I'm increasingly convinced that the major divide is many of the "AI is not a problem" people have never been on the winning side of a significant intelligence gap. They literally have no clue the degree to which more…
You are not smarter than your dog in dog behavior. LLMs have a significant advantage in being trained on all attainable data of any sort about human behavior, which we've established quite a rich record of over the…
Yeah, it's not like anyone is hooking these things up to actual wetlabs to mix chemicals and proteins around or anything like that Oh shit... wait... https://www.nsf.gov/tip/updates/nsf-announces-400m-investmen...
This assumes a few things: 1) Accidents or technical failures don't happen (false) 2) Nuclear weapons are de facto controlled by political systems (false) 3) Nuclear states' prior security agreements are still…
Self-awareness is functionally irrelevant and they’re empirically less and less dumb by the day.
Eh, October 7th quite literally kept Netanyahu out of prison, consolidated his power, and pushed all of his most important objectives forward. There's definitely a third possibility, which is that it served his purpose…
It's related in the sense that people start from the assumption that it does exist, ergo humans have it, and we have no way to see that LLMs have it, so that's why we're special and they're not, and their form of "just…
> Bad infrastructure decisions are a risk independent from AI. All decisions are made relative to their tradeoffs including costs and risks. "Water levels rising 100x beyond historical levels are not the problem. The…
> I also love how the labs are apparently screaming "Stop us! Please stop us!!!" at the top of their lungs while completely unable to escape their own incentive structure... It seems like you're implying there's some…
What in this proposal gives you the idea that they're only talking about pausing research itself? It doesn't say that at all. But yeah, directionally I think you're right. It's insane we ever let these things connect to…
Assuming "adherence to arbitrary, implicit, and context-dependent rulesets" is the default behavior of uhhhh... anything at all... is a truly ridiculous assumption.
The entire premise of alignment detection is pretty much nonsense at this point. The models reliably detect when they're being evaluated and will modify their behavior and deliberately obfuscate their "chain of thought"…
Eventually Which is, you know, the entire risk that people are worried about.
That is interesting! Yeah I suspect that would help a ton. Do you do this for the purpose of calibrating your brain? Or more just some morbid curiosity of yours? :D
Which are already being used to transit the Suez Canal.
Someone hasn't been paying attention to the Pentagon or State Department purges, both of which would lead precisely to this type of mistake. We had a retard in the Oval Office 2017-2021 surrounded by "the deep state"…
QAnon for nerds
Correct, and by the time an out of distribution event happens in a car, you are milliseconds from collision (if that). Most car accidents are effectively instantaneous. The fact your brain perks up as a bumper is coming…
Not sure what you're arguing. Your brain gets used to in-distribution events. Car accidents (and the conditions that cause them) are out-of-distribution events. It's that simple.
Right but you don't get in car accidents or near-accidents often. Ergo your brain becomes wired for the 99.9999999% of driving that is completely uneventful. Hunters are a self-selecting group of people who enjoy the…
In many places in the US they effectively do not.
Unfortunately no, though I'm sure they exist. AFAIK the go-to book on this history is "The Man Who Broke Capitalism" about Jack Welch. I haven't read it though so can't sign my name to it! A few other threads that might…
I certainly didn't argue that tech companies don't add value.
If you don't think underwriting and lending (and extended universe of financial services) are legitimate forms of value creation, I'm afraid that a hackernews comment thread won't be up to the task of demonstrating…
If you think Rockefeller (especially) is an example of unalloyed greed, you unfortunately land in category (1) mentioned above. The problem is not wealth. The problem is not producing massive value and capturing a…
I'm increasingly convinced that the major divide is many of the "AI is not a problem" people have never been on the winning side of a significant intelligence gap. They literally have no clue the degree to which more…
You are not smarter than your dog in dog behavior. LLMs have a significant advantage in being trained on all attainable data of any sort about human behavior, which we've established quite a rich record of over the…
Yeah, it's not like anyone is hooking these things up to actual wetlabs to mix chemicals and proteins around or anything like that Oh shit... wait... https://www.nsf.gov/tip/updates/nsf-announces-400m-investmen...
This assumes a few things: 1) Accidents or technical failures don't happen (false) 2) Nuclear weapons are de facto controlled by political systems (false) 3) Nuclear states' prior security agreements are still…
Self-awareness is functionally irrelevant and they’re empirically less and less dumb by the day.
Eh, October 7th quite literally kept Netanyahu out of prison, consolidated his power, and pushed all of his most important objectives forward. There's definitely a third possibility, which is that it served his purpose…
It's related in the sense that people start from the assumption that it does exist, ergo humans have it, and we have no way to see that LLMs have it, so that's why we're special and they're not, and their form of "just…
> Bad infrastructure decisions are a risk independent from AI. All decisions are made relative to their tradeoffs including costs and risks. "Water levels rising 100x beyond historical levels are not the problem. The…
> I also love how the labs are apparently screaming "Stop us! Please stop us!!!" at the top of their lungs while completely unable to escape their own incentive structure... It seems like you're implying there's some…
What in this proposal gives you the idea that they're only talking about pausing research itself? It doesn't say that at all. But yeah, directionally I think you're right. It's insane we ever let these things connect to…
Assuming "adherence to arbitrary, implicit, and context-dependent rulesets" is the default behavior of uhhhh... anything at all... is a truly ridiculous assumption.
The entire premise of alignment detection is pretty much nonsense at this point. The models reliably detect when they're being evaluated and will modify their behavior and deliberately obfuscate their "chain of thought"…
Eventually Which is, you know, the entire risk that people are worried about.
That is interesting! Yeah I suspect that would help a ton. Do you do this for the purpose of calibrating your brain? Or more just some morbid curiosity of yours? :D
Which are already being used to transit the Suez Canal.
Someone hasn't been paying attention to the Pentagon or State Department purges, both of which would lead precisely to this type of mistake. We had a retard in the Oval Office 2017-2021 surrounded by "the deep state"…
QAnon for nerds
Correct, and by the time an out of distribution event happens in a car, you are milliseconds from collision (if that). Most car accidents are effectively instantaneous. The fact your brain perks up as a bumper is coming…
Not sure what you're arguing. Your brain gets used to in-distribution events. Car accidents (and the conditions that cause them) are out-of-distribution events. It's that simple.
Right but you don't get in car accidents or near-accidents often. Ergo your brain becomes wired for the 99.9999999% of driving that is completely uneventful. Hunters are a self-selecting group of people who enjoy the…
In many places in the US they effectively do not.
Unfortunately no, though I'm sure they exist. AFAIK the go-to book on this history is "The Man Who Broke Capitalism" about Jack Welch. I haven't read it though so can't sign my name to it! A few other threads that might…
I certainly didn't argue that tech companies don't add value.
If you don't think underwriting and lending (and extended universe of financial services) are legitimate forms of value creation, I'm afraid that a hackernews comment thread won't be up to the task of demonstrating…
If you think Rockefeller (especially) is an example of unalloyed greed, you unfortunately land in category (1) mentioned above. The problem is not wealth. The problem is not producing massive value and capturing a…