Either way it seems the US has somewhere from 1 to 8 months before accounting for reductions due to national considerations. That's concerning no matter how you frame it. What's the outlook for the other major economies?
To both points, you appear to broadly lack technical understanding of the field. You are assuming that how things appear to you reflects how they are at a lower level. A chronological review of the architectures of the…
But surely then you agree they are having an effect. Thus my analogy serves its point - test coverage isn't to be dismissed out of hand.
And this is the actual problem. I can't see framing it as a ratio as anything other than an attempt to mislead. What do you predict will happen when the market deflates? Whether or not a segment will behave like a line…
Sure, the regulation that guarded against externalizing certain costs might well have been the only thing precluding profitability. Importantly it wasn't some shared cultural value leading to voluntarily leaving money…
LLMs are next token predictors in the exact same way that a rogue paperclip maximizer in the process of defeating the US military is a paperclip making machine. You might as well describe the primary purpose of a for…
> frontier research is halted but efficiency isn't Why are you treating those as if they're separate things? > Advancing the frontier seems to take a massive amount of compute, data, and parameters: miniaturization only…
You don't need a datacenter to train a 30B model. Further, the rapid trend of increasing efficiency and decreasing model size for a given level of capabilities means that what is possible to do without a datacenter will…
But after accounting for maintenance & etc were they more profitable than sinking the equivalent amount of money into something else, such as slower aircraft? Notably there are currently efforts to develop new…
If what you want is fox ears does it matter to you which country manages to come up with the biomedical procedure to give them to you? Ditto for enhanced eyesight, a replacement liver, or whatever it is you're after.
Not in the way you seem to be thinking, no. Nuclear weapons can be banned because they are prohibitively expensive to research and build. You can't reliably hide a nuclear program. In contrast, rewind to the early 1800s…
But notably the amish don't preclude the rest of us from existing. Some subset of humans could turn their attention away from AI but it would presumably still exist and continue to be developed. I can't think of any…
Recall that the legal system is itself provided by "the government". It's a complex system. Whether one part of it is capable of exerting influence over some particular thing comes down to competing interests. For…
And 80 years ago cars didn't have seatbelts. Your point?
What I'm asking is, why should we expect that to effectively further the end goal? You're simply asserting that it will ultimately do so. Given the efficiency gains we've seen it seems to me that the situation has…
What's the expected state space of effective regulation though? Note that we've got passable coding models down to ~30B parameters by now. And keep in mind the ultimate floor here - the human brain only consumes on the…
As always, context is all important.
I can't believe that actually works? This is far more interesting than the half baked ML idea.
A fairly obvious theory at that, unless I've critically misunderstood what's being described. As with so many obvious ideas I've always assumed that the reason I haven't come across it in the wild is because it doesn't…
This is easily the most depressing thought I've encountered in a while. It's entirely accurate and combined with talk of AI regulation it paints a picture of a very bleak future indeed. Locked down hardware given away…
Aren't these two largely separate questions? Viability versus if a given incumbent has interest in a market of a given size. With the combination of (at minimum) streaming platforms, the box office, and advertisements…
> watermarks never took off because the technical complexity and lack of standardization Both audio (sports) and video (netflix et al) watermarks are alive and well. They are used to trace piracy (ie account ID), not…
Yes, it's possible. Some sports broadcasts do this. The ones I'm familiar with use a high pitched tone on the edge of human hearing but still audible to most people. Streaming services watermark the video as opposed to…
Doesn't that preclude paravirtualization drivers? Seems like a major tradeoff for daily driver desktop stuff.
> the market can't support the cost of generating video. I'd suggest that's only the case given the current quality of output. Media is incredibly expensive to produce. A model capable of sufficiently high quality could…
Either way it seems the US has somewhere from 1 to 8 months before accounting for reductions due to national considerations. That's concerning no matter how you frame it. What's the outlook for the other major economies?
To both points, you appear to broadly lack technical understanding of the field. You are assuming that how things appear to you reflects how they are at a lower level. A chronological review of the architectures of the…
But surely then you agree they are having an effect. Thus my analogy serves its point - test coverage isn't to be dismissed out of hand.
And this is the actual problem. I can't see framing it as a ratio as anything other than an attempt to mislead. What do you predict will happen when the market deflates? Whether or not a segment will behave like a line…
Sure, the regulation that guarded against externalizing certain costs might well have been the only thing precluding profitability. Importantly it wasn't some shared cultural value leading to voluntarily leaving money…
LLMs are next token predictors in the exact same way that a rogue paperclip maximizer in the process of defeating the US military is a paperclip making machine. You might as well describe the primary purpose of a for…
> frontier research is halted but efficiency isn't Why are you treating those as if they're separate things? > Advancing the frontier seems to take a massive amount of compute, data, and parameters: miniaturization only…
You don't need a datacenter to train a 30B model. Further, the rapid trend of increasing efficiency and decreasing model size for a given level of capabilities means that what is possible to do without a datacenter will…
But after accounting for maintenance & etc were they more profitable than sinking the equivalent amount of money into something else, such as slower aircraft? Notably there are currently efforts to develop new…
If what you want is fox ears does it matter to you which country manages to come up with the biomedical procedure to give them to you? Ditto for enhanced eyesight, a replacement liver, or whatever it is you're after.
Not in the way you seem to be thinking, no. Nuclear weapons can be banned because they are prohibitively expensive to research and build. You can't reliably hide a nuclear program. In contrast, rewind to the early 1800s…
But notably the amish don't preclude the rest of us from existing. Some subset of humans could turn their attention away from AI but it would presumably still exist and continue to be developed. I can't think of any…
Recall that the legal system is itself provided by "the government". It's a complex system. Whether one part of it is capable of exerting influence over some particular thing comes down to competing interests. For…
And 80 years ago cars didn't have seatbelts. Your point?
What I'm asking is, why should we expect that to effectively further the end goal? You're simply asserting that it will ultimately do so. Given the efficiency gains we've seen it seems to me that the situation has…
What's the expected state space of effective regulation though? Note that we've got passable coding models down to ~30B parameters by now. And keep in mind the ultimate floor here - the human brain only consumes on the…
As always, context is all important.
I can't believe that actually works? This is far more interesting than the half baked ML idea.
A fairly obvious theory at that, unless I've critically misunderstood what's being described. As with so many obvious ideas I've always assumed that the reason I haven't come across it in the wild is because it doesn't…
This is easily the most depressing thought I've encountered in a while. It's entirely accurate and combined with talk of AI regulation it paints a picture of a very bleak future indeed. Locked down hardware given away…
Aren't these two largely separate questions? Viability versus if a given incumbent has interest in a market of a given size. With the combination of (at minimum) streaming platforms, the box office, and advertisements…
> watermarks never took off because the technical complexity and lack of standardization Both audio (sports) and video (netflix et al) watermarks are alive and well. They are used to trace piracy (ie account ID), not…
Yes, it's possible. Some sports broadcasts do this. The ones I'm familiar with use a high pitched tone on the edge of human hearing but still audible to most people. Streaming services watermark the video as opposed to…
Doesn't that preclude paravirtualization drivers? Seems like a major tradeoff for daily driver desktop stuff.
> the market can't support the cost of generating video. I'd suggest that's only the case given the current quality of output. Media is incredibly expensive to produce. A model capable of sufficiently high quality could…