Technically, updating priors wouldn't necessarily be warranted. Consider a statement X implies Y, e.g. The government is corrupt, which implies SBF won't go to jail. Just because X implies Y does not mean ~Y implies ~X.…
This is a straw-man argument. Emerging economies get money and jobs out of the globalization arrangement. That's more than enough to sell emerging economies on the idea. Globalization needed to be sold to western…
You've conveniently omitted the independent third-parties that had seen the data. It's a messy world. Unexpected things happen. How do these third-parties factor in to Occam's razor? You need to add more parameters to…
Apparently he doesn't have the data anymore. According to the article, independent third parties did see the data and didn't think it was suspicious. The implication of what you are saying is that if you lose data for…
No he’s not: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-022-04446-1 According to During, DePalma was supposed to be an author on the paper. According DePalma, they had brief discussions to collaborate, but ultimately…
During, the other author, also has an incentive to discredit DePalma so she can claim to be the sole discoverer of the asteroid timing. Without conclusive evidence, it’s irresponsible to get out the pitchforks.
Don’t forget to include mice studies.
I'm still not understanding the correlation between a centralized exchange and perpetuating a scam. Tether doesn't rely on a centralized exchange. If an entity, centralized exchange or otherwise, is willing to pay off…
Well for one, I don’t want to add another language to my tool chain. Many languages can compile C directly. For instance in Swift or Go you can add C source files directly to your project and have them compile as part…
The issue with this type of promotion is that you usually want to preserve the type. Like if I add two int32s, I probably want an int32 as a result. A cooler feature would be requiring the compiler to prove the addition…
C is an amazing language. If you want to integrate into another language via FFI you basically have 0 other options. That being said, it’s too easy to do something wrong in C. The desire to use Rust isn’t because C is…
From the industrial revolution to some time in the early-to-mid 20th century, materials were more expensive than labor. It made total sense to ornately decorate things as the cost was not much more than the material…
How do you animate on the HWUI thread?
What excites me about about ChatGPT is the fact that you can take a lot of data and a huge model and make it do something cool. Right now, "making it do something cool" costs tens of millions of dollars. If that cost…
I think you're "begging the question." You believe that Tether is a fraud. You're using the fact that the price on a CEX and DEX are the same to justify that belief. "See, the price on a DEX matches that on a CEX,…
For starters, I believe the number is 75 billion in USDT, not 65 trillion. And Tether doesn't have an unlimited supply of money. Tether allows USDT to be redeemed for USD. If Tether was minting unbacked USDT, then…
I'm not saying no one has ever tried to manipulate the price of a cryptocurrency before. But the scheme you describe is not sustainable for a long period of time.
That doesn't prove your point at all. The CEX isn't setting the price. The price is set by people trading. If the price on an exchange, centralized or otherwise, is too high, no one will buy. If the price is too low, no…
Even if your SSN is not an ID, there must be a use for the card/number is my point. If there is a use for the SSN, then you still need an ID to verify that you are the person to whom the SSN belongs to. So you still…
My point was that your example shouldn't have provable negative expected value. Feel free to use the S&P 499 example in the future. And look, I agree that indexed investing is likely the best strategy for most people.…
Why would you expect the price on a DEX to differ from the price on a CEX? Any substantial price difference would immediately be closed by arbitrage.
> The agency can require remedies, such as posting of notices and reversals of policies or punishments, but it has no authority to impose punitive damages on companies. So, in essence, there is zero incentive for Apple…
That’s not a good example because the expected value of your returns is less than the market returns. Only rubes would invest in such a scheme. A better example would be to create the S&P 499. Take the S&P 500 and…
Why do social security cards exist? I have no idea, but presumably they are required for something. They don’t contain your photo, so asking for photo identification seems like a totally valid follow up.
They say later on that some firms do beat their benchmark over a 20 year period, so I don't think it's just noise.
Technically, updating priors wouldn't necessarily be warranted. Consider a statement X implies Y, e.g. The government is corrupt, which implies SBF won't go to jail. Just because X implies Y does not mean ~Y implies ~X.…
This is a straw-man argument. Emerging economies get money and jobs out of the globalization arrangement. That's more than enough to sell emerging economies on the idea. Globalization needed to be sold to western…
You've conveniently omitted the independent third-parties that had seen the data. It's a messy world. Unexpected things happen. How do these third-parties factor in to Occam's razor? You need to add more parameters to…
Apparently he doesn't have the data anymore. According to the article, independent third parties did see the data and didn't think it was suspicious. The implication of what you are saying is that if you lose data for…
No he’s not: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-022-04446-1 According to During, DePalma was supposed to be an author on the paper. According DePalma, they had brief discussions to collaborate, but ultimately…
During, the other author, also has an incentive to discredit DePalma so she can claim to be the sole discoverer of the asteroid timing. Without conclusive evidence, it’s irresponsible to get out the pitchforks.
Don’t forget to include mice studies.
I'm still not understanding the correlation between a centralized exchange and perpetuating a scam. Tether doesn't rely on a centralized exchange. If an entity, centralized exchange or otherwise, is willing to pay off…
Well for one, I don’t want to add another language to my tool chain. Many languages can compile C directly. For instance in Swift or Go you can add C source files directly to your project and have them compile as part…
The issue with this type of promotion is that you usually want to preserve the type. Like if I add two int32s, I probably want an int32 as a result. A cooler feature would be requiring the compiler to prove the addition…
C is an amazing language. If you want to integrate into another language via FFI you basically have 0 other options. That being said, it’s too easy to do something wrong in C. The desire to use Rust isn’t because C is…
From the industrial revolution to some time in the early-to-mid 20th century, materials were more expensive than labor. It made total sense to ornately decorate things as the cost was not much more than the material…
How do you animate on the HWUI thread?
What excites me about about ChatGPT is the fact that you can take a lot of data and a huge model and make it do something cool. Right now, "making it do something cool" costs tens of millions of dollars. If that cost…
I think you're "begging the question." You believe that Tether is a fraud. You're using the fact that the price on a CEX and DEX are the same to justify that belief. "See, the price on a DEX matches that on a CEX,…
For starters, I believe the number is 75 billion in USDT, not 65 trillion. And Tether doesn't have an unlimited supply of money. Tether allows USDT to be redeemed for USD. If Tether was minting unbacked USDT, then…
I'm not saying no one has ever tried to manipulate the price of a cryptocurrency before. But the scheme you describe is not sustainable for a long period of time.
That doesn't prove your point at all. The CEX isn't setting the price. The price is set by people trading. If the price on an exchange, centralized or otherwise, is too high, no one will buy. If the price is too low, no…
Even if your SSN is not an ID, there must be a use for the card/number is my point. If there is a use for the SSN, then you still need an ID to verify that you are the person to whom the SSN belongs to. So you still…
My point was that your example shouldn't have provable negative expected value. Feel free to use the S&P 499 example in the future. And look, I agree that indexed investing is likely the best strategy for most people.…
Why would you expect the price on a DEX to differ from the price on a CEX? Any substantial price difference would immediately be closed by arbitrage.
> The agency can require remedies, such as posting of notices and reversals of policies or punishments, but it has no authority to impose punitive damages on companies. So, in essence, there is zero incentive for Apple…
That’s not a good example because the expected value of your returns is less than the market returns. Only rubes would invest in such a scheme. A better example would be to create the S&P 499. Take the S&P 500 and…
Why do social security cards exist? I have no idea, but presumably they are required for something. They don’t contain your photo, so asking for photo identification seems like a totally valid follow up.
They say later on that some firms do beat their benchmark over a 20 year period, so I don't think it's just noise.