Of all the things we’re never going to do… we’re never going to agree with China to pause AI research in a verifiable way that would mean they could trust us or we could trust them. It’s just never going to happen. With…
Example 6 is a good one. Iran attacked water infra in the US recently and maybe they would have done a “better” job (from their point of view) had they used Fable. The “worst case” with 6 is potentially very bad but I…
I’m an economist. On the basis of current evidence, I view AI as a complement to human labor, not as a substitute for it. That’s the source of my rejection of the wild labor market disruptions theories. I just don’t see…
I did know about the mass shooting but failed to mention it here. I’d put it in the “unlikely to be a widespread problem” category. If we’re in the “one AI driven mass shooting every four years” world for example it’s…
“ No other human activity poses this level of danger.” I really, really disagree with that statement. I don’t think ai models come close to nuclear weapons or to run-of-the-mill, everyday carbon emissions in terms of…
It’s kind of a fun story but it doesn’t make sense. Was that the only data in a data center in the world that’s not backed up elsewhere? Did I miss that part?
Newspapers have an extremely expensive product. They have to pay for it somehow! You can’t give away an expensive product for free forever! No one on the internet likes paying for access to content. After 35 years we…
I stand by my statement. I’d love an estimate from you (or anyone) about the marginal effect on the profession’s “legitimacy” (which is what? and how’s it measured?) from having the prize include Nobel’s name vs. not…
Sure… Mokyr’s northwestern website has links to a lot of his papers. An extremely crude selection rule: Anything published in the American economic review, quarterly journal of economics, journal of political economy…
You can start with a used copy of an older edition of mankiw’s text which is a standard undergrad reference. Barro also has an old undergrad macro text which is good The gap between undergrad macro and professional…
Economist here… An unexpected (to me!) prize but definitely a good one. What’s notable is that mokyr’s research is very, very accessible to a layman. You can read his books and understand them nearly perfectly without…
If you read the review, you will see the author notes that issue pretty often and specifically discusses ways in which the oldest book he reviews (from 2014) both is and isn’t useful. It’s worth reading
Why stand up and not use your legs at all?? People have rowed it. This is a weird stunt that won’t prove anything. If he (magically) made it in a week people would still fly. What’s the point? Don’t say “raising…
Agree that these are very very hard industries in which to secure employment. At the least the anecdote is not that informative about the effects of AI, given the details.
(2021)
The funniest thing about the reaction from all of his neighbors is that none of them are willing to do the one thing that really would annoy Zuckerberg and probably make him move: build multi story, multi tenant housing…
Entirely useless recommendations and very dubious empirical claims here. Let’s take them one at a time…. - “The climate crisis and socio-ecological issues are broadly absent from economic curricula.” -> I don’t believe…
I have a PhD in economics with a specialization in antitrust policy. Fact: “Matt stoller gets big, important issues wrong in antitrust all the time and his analysis shouldn’t be taken seriously.” Source: me You are…
Not surprising at all to hear that Matt Stoller got the economics of an antitrust issue wrong. I appreciate the attention he brings to the topic and his diligence in digging up stories but his own analysis is often just…
I would love to see more of their game theory example. Having experience teaching the subject myself, what I saw on that page is about the first five minutes of the first class of the semester at best. The devil will…
Great question! And a great example of why the central question in any antitrust issue is defining the market. Define it narrowly enough, and Firm A buying Firm B might create a monopoly - the regulator cannot approve…
(2018) And the title should be “…who speak many languages.” Speaking one language may be something of a mystery but to most of us it’s at least a familiar state.
How do you handle the very well known limits of LLMs in your especially-sensitive use case? Hallucinations are the leading example. Health queries are a really bad place to do even mild “imagining” of responses.
This feels like a “break glass in case of emergency” kind of moment. Sure there are no details yet, but I’m trying to imagine details which would make me think “that arrest makes sense.” If I were in Milwaukee I’d be in…
Great piece and deserves to be complemented by the time series of daily outlays from the US treasury starting Jan 20 compared to the last two years. Elon Musk is failing to cut American spending…
Of all the things we’re never going to do… we’re never going to agree with China to pause AI research in a verifiable way that would mean they could trust us or we could trust them. It’s just never going to happen. With…
Example 6 is a good one. Iran attacked water infra in the US recently and maybe they would have done a “better” job (from their point of view) had they used Fable. The “worst case” with 6 is potentially very bad but I…
I’m an economist. On the basis of current evidence, I view AI as a complement to human labor, not as a substitute for it. That’s the source of my rejection of the wild labor market disruptions theories. I just don’t see…
I did know about the mass shooting but failed to mention it here. I’d put it in the “unlikely to be a widespread problem” category. If we’re in the “one AI driven mass shooting every four years” world for example it’s…
“ No other human activity poses this level of danger.” I really, really disagree with that statement. I don’t think ai models come close to nuclear weapons or to run-of-the-mill, everyday carbon emissions in terms of…
It’s kind of a fun story but it doesn’t make sense. Was that the only data in a data center in the world that’s not backed up elsewhere? Did I miss that part?
Newspapers have an extremely expensive product. They have to pay for it somehow! You can’t give away an expensive product for free forever! No one on the internet likes paying for access to content. After 35 years we…
I stand by my statement. I’d love an estimate from you (or anyone) about the marginal effect on the profession’s “legitimacy” (which is what? and how’s it measured?) from having the prize include Nobel’s name vs. not…
Sure… Mokyr’s northwestern website has links to a lot of his papers. An extremely crude selection rule: Anything published in the American economic review, quarterly journal of economics, journal of political economy…
You can start with a used copy of an older edition of mankiw’s text which is a standard undergrad reference. Barro also has an old undergrad macro text which is good The gap between undergrad macro and professional…
Economist here… An unexpected (to me!) prize but definitely a good one. What’s notable is that mokyr’s research is very, very accessible to a layman. You can read his books and understand them nearly perfectly without…
If you read the review, you will see the author notes that issue pretty often and specifically discusses ways in which the oldest book he reviews (from 2014) both is and isn’t useful. It’s worth reading
Why stand up and not use your legs at all?? People have rowed it. This is a weird stunt that won’t prove anything. If he (magically) made it in a week people would still fly. What’s the point? Don’t say “raising…
Agree that these are very very hard industries in which to secure employment. At the least the anecdote is not that informative about the effects of AI, given the details.
(2021)
The funniest thing about the reaction from all of his neighbors is that none of them are willing to do the one thing that really would annoy Zuckerberg and probably make him move: build multi story, multi tenant housing…
Entirely useless recommendations and very dubious empirical claims here. Let’s take them one at a time…. - “The climate crisis and socio-ecological issues are broadly absent from economic curricula.” -> I don’t believe…
I have a PhD in economics with a specialization in antitrust policy. Fact: “Matt stoller gets big, important issues wrong in antitrust all the time and his analysis shouldn’t be taken seriously.” Source: me You are…
Not surprising at all to hear that Matt Stoller got the economics of an antitrust issue wrong. I appreciate the attention he brings to the topic and his diligence in digging up stories but his own analysis is often just…
I would love to see more of their game theory example. Having experience teaching the subject myself, what I saw on that page is about the first five minutes of the first class of the semester at best. The devil will…
Great question! And a great example of why the central question in any antitrust issue is defining the market. Define it narrowly enough, and Firm A buying Firm B might create a monopoly - the regulator cannot approve…
(2018) And the title should be “…who speak many languages.” Speaking one language may be something of a mystery but to most of us it’s at least a familiar state.
How do you handle the very well known limits of LLMs in your especially-sensitive use case? Hallucinations are the leading example. Health queries are a really bad place to do even mild “imagining” of responses.
This feels like a “break glass in case of emergency” kind of moment. Sure there are no details yet, but I’m trying to imagine details which would make me think “that arrest makes sense.” If I were in Milwaukee I’d be in…
Great piece and deserves to be complemented by the time series of daily outlays from the US treasury starting Jan 20 compared to the last two years. Elon Musk is failing to cut American spending…