It's a bad reply! Narrowly because it's actually unfair point by point, as you say. And slightly dishonest, because Scott does in fact entertain ideas that are scandalous to an expected arrival from the NYT. (Though…
Besides close monitoring of people on O2 to adjust amounts and intubate if that time comes, there are potentially other components of supportive care that might alter outcomes, like IV anti-virals (e.g. remdesivir) or…
That ~90% figure is wildly misleading. It's based on 282 deaths among the 320 ventilated patients who either died or were discharged. But 831 patients were still on ventilators! It's a snapshot taken too soon. Estimates…
An outright cure at a year strikes me as unlikely, given the record with anti-virals. But improvements in supportive care (anticoagulants?) and lucky repurposing might win meaningful reductions in morbidity (some…
That framing implies that all the relevant actors have committed to strategies that they'll see through to the end. Learning from what's happening in Sweden should help guide decisions elsewhere. The process of…
My understanding is that there are variable lags up the chain, and some states don't report deaths for months. NYC as it happens is a relatively prompt reporter. Not sure if there is any public information locally…
Sampling uncertainties aside, this is super sensitive to mis-estimating the false positive rate. Which they seem fairly likely to have done, using an estimated test specificity of 100% (with error bars) in one branch of…
I don't think the CDC/WHO recommendations started as a noble lie, just as a medical/bureaucratic orthodoxy, consistently expressed before any shortage. The orthodoxy drew too sharp a distinction between airborne and…
These workers would be dependent contractors in Germany or Canada, I think. Defining that in-between category in the US would allow for some useful compromises. Especially because full employee comes with so much…
I'm curious as a non-expert what's specifically worrying about their privacy model? My intuition is that rapid adoption of a relatively transparent privacy-preseving option could preempt more heavy-handed approaches to…
I don't want to discourage you, but please don't take your experience as a justification to ignore medical evidence and advice. Kidney function is most often estimated indirectly, based on measurements of the amount of…
It's a bad reply! Narrowly because it's actually unfair point by point, as you say. And slightly dishonest, because Scott does in fact entertain ideas that are scandalous to an expected arrival from the NYT. (Though…
Besides close monitoring of people on O2 to adjust amounts and intubate if that time comes, there are potentially other components of supportive care that might alter outcomes, like IV anti-virals (e.g. remdesivir) or…
That ~90% figure is wildly misleading. It's based on 282 deaths among the 320 ventilated patients who either died or were discharged. But 831 patients were still on ventilators! It's a snapshot taken too soon. Estimates…
An outright cure at a year strikes me as unlikely, given the record with anti-virals. But improvements in supportive care (anticoagulants?) and lucky repurposing might win meaningful reductions in morbidity (some…
That framing implies that all the relevant actors have committed to strategies that they'll see through to the end. Learning from what's happening in Sweden should help guide decisions elsewhere. The process of…
My understanding is that there are variable lags up the chain, and some states don't report deaths for months. NYC as it happens is a relatively prompt reporter. Not sure if there is any public information locally…
Sampling uncertainties aside, this is super sensitive to mis-estimating the false positive rate. Which they seem fairly likely to have done, using an estimated test specificity of 100% (with error bars) in one branch of…
I don't think the CDC/WHO recommendations started as a noble lie, just as a medical/bureaucratic orthodoxy, consistently expressed before any shortage. The orthodoxy drew too sharp a distinction between airborne and…
These workers would be dependent contractors in Germany or Canada, I think. Defining that in-between category in the US would allow for some useful compromises. Especially because full employee comes with so much…
I'm curious as a non-expert what's specifically worrying about their privacy model? My intuition is that rapid adoption of a relatively transparent privacy-preseving option could preempt more heavy-handed approaches to…
I don't want to discourage you, but please don't take your experience as a justification to ignore medical evidence and advice. Kidney function is most often estimated indirectly, based on measurements of the amount of…