I think I disagree with [2]. (Though below is mostly a rephrasing of something I wrote [elsewhere](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/AG6PAqsN5sjQHmKfm/conversati...).) There's the idea that forecasting is only valuable if…
He said during the Congressional hearing that he would take measures substantially impacting FB's profitability, and a few months later profitability fell (in a very surprising manner). If this is not evidence that has…
I think I disagree with [2]. (Though below is mostly a rephrasing of something I wrote [elsewhere](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/AG6PAqsN5sjQHmKfm/conversati...).) There's the idea that forecasting is only valuable if…
He said during the Congressional hearing that he would take measures substantially impacting FB's profitability, and a few months later profitability fell (in a very surprising manner). If this is not evidence that has…