You can't reduce people to their behavior ... As a first approximation, why not? Behavior is generally all we have in front of us, plus any other assorted social signals. Internal mental states are invisible, as is the…
Yeh, my sense as well. I'm just out of college, and can tell you people my age use AI all the time and will probably be happy with this change. There is a diehard anti-AI group, but it seemed smaller all the time over…
Tesla is profitable, as a matter of public record. And SpaceX is, by all accounts, extremely profitable.
No, the benefits are that something can be mass produced magnitudes faster and easier, which in turn also creates more latitude for creativity and new spaces. It's a true state-change, which makes the argument pretty…
What if the braincell-vibe JS libraries turn out pretty much identical to the legacy human JS libraries, aside from being better-commented. That might lead to an existential crisis for some folks.
Exactly. Clearly, some white-collar jobs will be replaced. Hard to argue against that, given it's already beginning to happen. So the question becomes what is the eventual rate of conversion and what is the subsequent…
Columbia. Challenger.
Yep, and the same with the internet. During the 1990s and 2000s, people kept wondering why the internet wasn't showing up in productivity numbers. Many asked if the internet was therefore just a fad or bubble. Same as…
This is actually an old syndrome with technology. It takes a longt ime for the effect to be reliably measured. Famously, it took many years for the internet itself to show up in significant productivity gains (if the…
I've got people in my social network who firmly believe that every car is, in fact, "driven by Indonesians". Apparently a widespread belief. I've pointed out that these vehicles are quickly become more prevalent, here…
My goodness. Please introduce me to this "plenty of people". I'm in the field, and none of them work with me. But I can tell you that statistics and parametrized functions have absolutely nothing to do with it. You're…
Same demographic, same experience. AI has been incredibly liberating for me. I get all sorts of things done now that before were previosly impossible for all practical purposes. Among other things, it cuts through the…
Adding to their sins, many of those airports are in "historically black neighborhoods", you know!
Whenever someone tells me that AI is worthless, does nothing, scam/slop etc, I ask them about their own AI usage, and their general knowledge about what's going on. Invariably they've never used AI, or at most very…
You should let Google know, given their business is really humming nowadays. Along with their stock price.
Recently I needed to summarize about a thousand lengthy documents, and then translate those summaries into Mandarin. I spent about a minute composing the prompt for this task, and then went for a cup of coffee. When I…
There's a financial AI bubble for sure - that's pretty much a mainstream opinion nowadays. But that's an entirely different thing from AI itself bubble-collapsing. If you truly believe AI is simply going to collapse and…
I see this logical pairing a lot. 1) AI is basically useless, a mere semi-random word generator. 2) And it is so powerful that it is going to hurt (or even destroy) humanity. This is this is called "having your cake,…
It seems we have found the One True Artist on this thread, the gatekeeper and judge for all that is worthy. Humble obedience in thy presence.
Very broadly, AI sentence-structure and word choice is recursing back into society, changing how humans use language. The Economist recently had a piece on word usage of British Parliament members. They are adopting…
For one: modifying existing images in interesting ways ... adding characters, removing elements, altering or enhancing certain features, creating layers, and so on. Things that would take a while on Photoshop, done…
Bad comparison. Investment in fusion is huge and rising. ITER's total cost alone will be around $20b. And then there's Commonwealth Fusion, Helion, TAE and about a dozen others. Tens of billions are going into those…
The concept does have a certain appeal. But it seems to me that the acid test, as always, is successful prediction. If one day a digital model makes a prediction that is experimentally demonstrated, and not accounted…
Yes, and I've had similar results. I'm easily 10x times more productive with AI, and I'm seeing the same in my professional network. The power of AI is so clear and obvious, that I'm astonished so many folks remain in…
It's not accurate to say we "wrote the code for it". AI isn't built like normal software. Nowhere inside an AI will you find lines of code that say If X Then Y, and so on. Rather, these models are literally grown during…
You can't reduce people to their behavior ... As a first approximation, why not? Behavior is generally all we have in front of us, plus any other assorted social signals. Internal mental states are invisible, as is the…
Yeh, my sense as well. I'm just out of college, and can tell you people my age use AI all the time and will probably be happy with this change. There is a diehard anti-AI group, but it seemed smaller all the time over…
Tesla is profitable, as a matter of public record. And SpaceX is, by all accounts, extremely profitable.
No, the benefits are that something can be mass produced magnitudes faster and easier, which in turn also creates more latitude for creativity and new spaces. It's a true state-change, which makes the argument pretty…
What if the braincell-vibe JS libraries turn out pretty much identical to the legacy human JS libraries, aside from being better-commented. That might lead to an existential crisis for some folks.
Exactly. Clearly, some white-collar jobs will be replaced. Hard to argue against that, given it's already beginning to happen. So the question becomes what is the eventual rate of conversion and what is the subsequent…
Columbia. Challenger.
Yep, and the same with the internet. During the 1990s and 2000s, people kept wondering why the internet wasn't showing up in productivity numbers. Many asked if the internet was therefore just a fad or bubble. Same as…
This is actually an old syndrome with technology. It takes a longt ime for the effect to be reliably measured. Famously, it took many years for the internet itself to show up in significant productivity gains (if the…
I've got people in my social network who firmly believe that every car is, in fact, "driven by Indonesians". Apparently a widespread belief. I've pointed out that these vehicles are quickly become more prevalent, here…
My goodness. Please introduce me to this "plenty of people". I'm in the field, and none of them work with me. But I can tell you that statistics and parametrized functions have absolutely nothing to do with it. You're…
Same demographic, same experience. AI has been incredibly liberating for me. I get all sorts of things done now that before were previosly impossible for all practical purposes. Among other things, it cuts through the…
Adding to their sins, many of those airports are in "historically black neighborhoods", you know!
Whenever someone tells me that AI is worthless, does nothing, scam/slop etc, I ask them about their own AI usage, and their general knowledge about what's going on. Invariably they've never used AI, or at most very…
You should let Google know, given their business is really humming nowadays. Along with their stock price.
Recently I needed to summarize about a thousand lengthy documents, and then translate those summaries into Mandarin. I spent about a minute composing the prompt for this task, and then went for a cup of coffee. When I…
There's a financial AI bubble for sure - that's pretty much a mainstream opinion nowadays. But that's an entirely different thing from AI itself bubble-collapsing. If you truly believe AI is simply going to collapse and…
I see this logical pairing a lot. 1) AI is basically useless, a mere semi-random word generator. 2) And it is so powerful that it is going to hurt (or even destroy) humanity. This is this is called "having your cake,…
It seems we have found the One True Artist on this thread, the gatekeeper and judge for all that is worthy. Humble obedience in thy presence.
Very broadly, AI sentence-structure and word choice is recursing back into society, changing how humans use language. The Economist recently had a piece on word usage of British Parliament members. They are adopting…
For one: modifying existing images in interesting ways ... adding characters, removing elements, altering or enhancing certain features, creating layers, and so on. Things that would take a while on Photoshop, done…
Bad comparison. Investment in fusion is huge and rising. ITER's total cost alone will be around $20b. And then there's Commonwealth Fusion, Helion, TAE and about a dozen others. Tens of billions are going into those…
The concept does have a certain appeal. But it seems to me that the acid test, as always, is successful prediction. If one day a digital model makes a prediction that is experimentally demonstrated, and not accounted…
Yes, and I've had similar results. I'm easily 10x times more productive with AI, and I'm seeing the same in my professional network. The power of AI is so clear and obvious, that I'm astonished so many folks remain in…
It's not accurate to say we "wrote the code for it". AI isn't built like normal software. Nowhere inside an AI will you find lines of code that say If X Then Y, and so on. Rather, these models are literally grown during…