I think you missed an important point in your analysis, that the prob of ax is increasing every iteration, assume as an example, p_1(ax)=0.97, p_2(ax)=0.98 and so on till p_r(ax) \approx 1,so the expected number of…
I think you missed an important point in your analysis, that the prob of ax is increasing every iteration, assume as an example, p_1(ax)=0.97, p_2(ax)=0.98 and so on till p_r(ax) \approx 1,so the expected number of…