While I dislike this take, when the dust settles we will have compute clusters orders of magnitude larger than anything that existed in 2023. If demand vanishes for the 3 million cards Amazon just bought, then something…
While simultaneously trying to own all economic activity derivable from labor... it's hard to see the argument as anything but disengenuous.
Maximally, a closed form solution would remove the need for Computational Fluid Dynamics. Any property could be derived from a (presumably expensive) analytic function. Minimally. It could say that no such analytic…
How do you know the lean is correct? You don’t bet the two trillion dollar company on “the ai said so”
The loss of a succession strategy with an elderly leader at the helm seems like a major issue.
I can do none of those things.. I hope that I am generally intelligent. 1 year ago we viewed models as tools and agents were just kinda toying around, that we now think the bar is literally an anything to anything…
I think we're getting to the point where it is difficult to identify the goal post of AGI. Is it rapid skill acquisition? -> ARC benchmarks are saturated Is it breadth of knowledge? -> See many ... many benchmarks Is it…
Then why does the expensive treatment cost 7 figures? Estimating hospital costs is hard, but a quick glance at many buildings/offices would tell you that they are by no means struggling. We overpay for healthcare…
A lot of big enterprises struggle with ai adoption. Either they can't get models/tools approved fast enough, can't provision them in their internal network, or get slammed with exorbitant inference costs. A big…
There are many enterprise environments where running modern models is... difficult. Rather than fighting security for months, a user could petition for a mac studio and have rough cost parity with a z.ai subscription.…
As a kick-starter project is this thing actually real? My experience with kick-starter has been that the projects are almost universally faked.
The answer is likely that it makes sense for maintenance purposes, but the legal authority granted to an HOA is overly broad.
In the past, a professional job might mean extended periods of travel by rail etc with little work to do. A small acreage farmer has to wait for plants to grow. The advent of factories with limitless and constant demand…
Token cost is falling rapidly for a given quality. We don't think about this too much as newer models have made legacy apps obsolete - but its an interesting question what the cheapest text to sql or similar model would…
betting on a compute bottleneck sounds like a recipe to get thrashed when the bottleneck relieves itself. At the investment scales being discussed, CUDA/architecture and other advantages do not matter - you could spend…
why would anybody believe true brilliance? They would only believe something that can be proved from combining existing knowledge. If a time traveler went back to 1600 and started spouting off about differential…
I'm still uncertain if mythos is real. Subsequent model releases have been lackluster, no one has claimed to verify mythos performance and it's silently vanished from most comparisons.
I would presume the goal is to have an electromagnetic accelerator of inbound charged ions to serve as thrust. You can get limitless power from solar, but propellent mass is a limiter.
It seems like a data/roadmap acquisition. Reports have been that Cursor's footprint was still growing rapidly, and their composer model wasn't bad. Take that data / training recipe and scale it up with compute to see…
I think you'll find that 95% of all academic presentations are telling stories out of other peoples work.
There is no requirement to own the hardware. Even if you own your servers and GPUs - you would not own the power plant, real estate, or internet infrastructure to support it. It's trivial to rent all of the above…
Governments may be uniquely positioned to offer housing incentives as they often own the land, and control the zoning.
Interesting, this presents an meta for an early stage investor. Fund a company with a BS forecast based on your ability to make money on the claw back provisions.
if someone says they have a billion users because they are connected to the doubleclick exchange... they aren't lying, they might be deceptive or simply foolish. As part of due diligence, the buyer/investor should ask…
I think we have unfortunately apt historical comparisons. The economic state of Eastern Europe at the turn of the 20th century matches a society where wealth had been completely and utterly bifurcated. The result was…
While I dislike this take, when the dust settles we will have compute clusters orders of magnitude larger than anything that existed in 2023. If demand vanishes for the 3 million cards Amazon just bought, then something…
While simultaneously trying to own all economic activity derivable from labor... it's hard to see the argument as anything but disengenuous.
Maximally, a closed form solution would remove the need for Computational Fluid Dynamics. Any property could be derived from a (presumably expensive) analytic function. Minimally. It could say that no such analytic…
How do you know the lean is correct? You don’t bet the two trillion dollar company on “the ai said so”
The loss of a succession strategy with an elderly leader at the helm seems like a major issue.
I can do none of those things.. I hope that I am generally intelligent. 1 year ago we viewed models as tools and agents were just kinda toying around, that we now think the bar is literally an anything to anything…
I think we're getting to the point where it is difficult to identify the goal post of AGI. Is it rapid skill acquisition? -> ARC benchmarks are saturated Is it breadth of knowledge? -> See many ... many benchmarks Is it…
Then why does the expensive treatment cost 7 figures? Estimating hospital costs is hard, but a quick glance at many buildings/offices would tell you that they are by no means struggling. We overpay for healthcare…
A lot of big enterprises struggle with ai adoption. Either they can't get models/tools approved fast enough, can't provision them in their internal network, or get slammed with exorbitant inference costs. A big…
There are many enterprise environments where running modern models is... difficult. Rather than fighting security for months, a user could petition for a mac studio and have rough cost parity with a z.ai subscription.…
As a kick-starter project is this thing actually real? My experience with kick-starter has been that the projects are almost universally faked.
The answer is likely that it makes sense for maintenance purposes, but the legal authority granted to an HOA is overly broad.
In the past, a professional job might mean extended periods of travel by rail etc with little work to do. A small acreage farmer has to wait for plants to grow. The advent of factories with limitless and constant demand…
Token cost is falling rapidly for a given quality. We don't think about this too much as newer models have made legacy apps obsolete - but its an interesting question what the cheapest text to sql or similar model would…
betting on a compute bottleneck sounds like a recipe to get thrashed when the bottleneck relieves itself. At the investment scales being discussed, CUDA/architecture and other advantages do not matter - you could spend…
why would anybody believe true brilliance? They would only believe something that can be proved from combining existing knowledge. If a time traveler went back to 1600 and started spouting off about differential…
I'm still uncertain if mythos is real. Subsequent model releases have been lackluster, no one has claimed to verify mythos performance and it's silently vanished from most comparisons.
I would presume the goal is to have an electromagnetic accelerator of inbound charged ions to serve as thrust. You can get limitless power from solar, but propellent mass is a limiter.
It seems like a data/roadmap acquisition. Reports have been that Cursor's footprint was still growing rapidly, and their composer model wasn't bad. Take that data / training recipe and scale it up with compute to see…
I think you'll find that 95% of all academic presentations are telling stories out of other peoples work.
There is no requirement to own the hardware. Even if you own your servers and GPUs - you would not own the power plant, real estate, or internet infrastructure to support it. It's trivial to rent all of the above…
Governments may be uniquely positioned to offer housing incentives as they often own the land, and control the zoning.
Interesting, this presents an meta for an early stage investor. Fund a company with a BS forecast based on your ability to make money on the claw back provisions.
if someone says they have a billion users because they are connected to the doubleclick exchange... they aren't lying, they might be deceptive or simply foolish. As part of due diligence, the buyer/investor should ask…
I think we have unfortunately apt historical comparisons. The economic state of Eastern Europe at the turn of the 20th century matches a society where wealth had been completely and utterly bifurcated. The result was…