The study looks at forms of AI that have existed for a long time, as well as newer LLMs. From the article: "Their dataset included 41.3 million English-language papers published between 1980 and 2025 in ..." Earlier…
I'm genuinely curious how you think we should avoid it? If I had to buy a household appliance tomorrow, or a new car, I cannot think of a single company I'd feel safe purchasing from.
There are many beautiful parks and it's wonderful to spend time in them. But at some point you have to return to domesticity, and if you can't live that part of your life without being repeatedly screwed over by greedy…
What do you do when the expensive options are also junk? Relatively few manufacturers actually focus on quality today.
> you're trying to compete with millions of square miles of naturally sun-lit dirt You're begging the question with this statement. Indoor growing is used when you don't have access to this kind of resource. There are…
There currently isn't a effective treatment for varroa that doesn't also kill the hive. It is not a solved problem, and there is certainly room for more research in this space.
I agree with your point, but to play devils advocate: doesn't a competitor arguably need access to these beyond-frontier models to even become an effective competitor to OpenAI and Anthropic?
I'm not sure what you think I'm saying, but in case it needs clarifying, it is not that Apple should have built fabs 3.5 years ago, or today, or at any other point in time. What I did say is that in a hypothetical world…
Isn't one of the points of the article that memory manufacturers leave demand unmet for their own financial safety? In which case, nobody (including Apple) is paying close to manufacturing costs. There isn't enough…
A world where Apple has invested in their own fabs, so they can sell devices with drastically more RAM than their competition at entry-level prices.
I think your comment about inventing new words is an interesting one. One of the things that I believe limits our ability to discover new ideas is our ability to describe related concepts. For example, the reason we…
I'm not making a circular argument, nor one based on legality. You explicitly changed your example to use "public domain" content, and ignoring the legal specifics of that it's clear that's a separate category of…
If AI turns out to be a bust, ignoring it could become a significant win. One possible outcome of AI adoption is that existing code bases are degraded, and existing programmer capability is allowed to atrophy. In that…
Your examples, as you say, are all public domain. Are all the works we train LLMs on public domain too? Was the original book in my analogy in the public domain? What do you think about training on material that isn't…
A better analogy would be that you do original research or work and produce a valuable book. Somebody else looks at your work, decides it has value, and reproduces it in a new book under their name. The new book is…
What kind of work are you applying Opus and other LLMs to? I'm quite curious to understand how other people are using these tools. At the moment neither Opus nor any open weights models seem to be capable of doing…
No one at my company cares about OpenClaw either. We do care that we can be billed unexpectedly (either usage quota immediately being consumed, or being charged additional costs), generally with zero recourse, because a…
Yes, fully agree. Nonetheless, I suspect violence can be used more effectively and more minimally if it's considered and performed by a group rather than haphazardly by individuals. I recognise that's a very simplistic…
There's still a meaningful difference between violence wielded by a single individual who feels angry or unheard, and violence wielded by a large representative group who has invested genuine effort in conversation…
Tools do author commits in my code bases, for example during a release pipeline. If I had commits being made by Claude I would expect that to be recorded too. It isn't for recording a bill of tools, just to help…
Vendramini's theory appears to be built upon some fairly extraordinary ideas that are not supported by actual evidence. In fact some of his claims (e.g. about face shape and skull placement) are directly contradicted by…
This is rather disingenuous. It can be hard to overcome momentum in research, but most researchers would be giddy with excitement if they could show our (extremely disturbing) forecasts regarding climate change are…
There's a case cited in that paper which does suggest something similar: > A report in the lay literature describes the case of Claire Sylvia who reported changes in her personality, preferences, and behaviors following…
Would you consider that any current LLM is close to passing the Turing test? If you think there's an LLM that can do so, I'd love to try it out! Even talking to the best models available today, it's disappointingly…
It's quite possible that the models from different companies are clustering together now because we're at a plateau point in model development, and won't see much in terms in further advances until we make the next…
The study looks at forms of AI that have existed for a long time, as well as newer LLMs. From the article: "Their dataset included 41.3 million English-language papers published between 1980 and 2025 in ..." Earlier…
I'm genuinely curious how you think we should avoid it? If I had to buy a household appliance tomorrow, or a new car, I cannot think of a single company I'd feel safe purchasing from.
There are many beautiful parks and it's wonderful to spend time in them. But at some point you have to return to domesticity, and if you can't live that part of your life without being repeatedly screwed over by greedy…
What do you do when the expensive options are also junk? Relatively few manufacturers actually focus on quality today.
> you're trying to compete with millions of square miles of naturally sun-lit dirt You're begging the question with this statement. Indoor growing is used when you don't have access to this kind of resource. There are…
There currently isn't a effective treatment for varroa that doesn't also kill the hive. It is not a solved problem, and there is certainly room for more research in this space.
I agree with your point, but to play devils advocate: doesn't a competitor arguably need access to these beyond-frontier models to even become an effective competitor to OpenAI and Anthropic?
I'm not sure what you think I'm saying, but in case it needs clarifying, it is not that Apple should have built fabs 3.5 years ago, or today, or at any other point in time. What I did say is that in a hypothetical world…
Isn't one of the points of the article that memory manufacturers leave demand unmet for their own financial safety? In which case, nobody (including Apple) is paying close to manufacturing costs. There isn't enough…
A world where Apple has invested in their own fabs, so they can sell devices with drastically more RAM than their competition at entry-level prices.
I think your comment about inventing new words is an interesting one. One of the things that I believe limits our ability to discover new ideas is our ability to describe related concepts. For example, the reason we…
I'm not making a circular argument, nor one based on legality. You explicitly changed your example to use "public domain" content, and ignoring the legal specifics of that it's clear that's a separate category of…
If AI turns out to be a bust, ignoring it could become a significant win. One possible outcome of AI adoption is that existing code bases are degraded, and existing programmer capability is allowed to atrophy. In that…
Your examples, as you say, are all public domain. Are all the works we train LLMs on public domain too? Was the original book in my analogy in the public domain? What do you think about training on material that isn't…
A better analogy would be that you do original research or work and produce a valuable book. Somebody else looks at your work, decides it has value, and reproduces it in a new book under their name. The new book is…
What kind of work are you applying Opus and other LLMs to? I'm quite curious to understand how other people are using these tools. At the moment neither Opus nor any open weights models seem to be capable of doing…
No one at my company cares about OpenClaw either. We do care that we can be billed unexpectedly (either usage quota immediately being consumed, or being charged additional costs), generally with zero recourse, because a…
Yes, fully agree. Nonetheless, I suspect violence can be used more effectively and more minimally if it's considered and performed by a group rather than haphazardly by individuals. I recognise that's a very simplistic…
There's still a meaningful difference between violence wielded by a single individual who feels angry or unheard, and violence wielded by a large representative group who has invested genuine effort in conversation…
Tools do author commits in my code bases, for example during a release pipeline. If I had commits being made by Claude I would expect that to be recorded too. It isn't for recording a bill of tools, just to help…
Vendramini's theory appears to be built upon some fairly extraordinary ideas that are not supported by actual evidence. In fact some of his claims (e.g. about face shape and skull placement) are directly contradicted by…
This is rather disingenuous. It can be hard to overcome momentum in research, but most researchers would be giddy with excitement if they could show our (extremely disturbing) forecasts regarding climate change are…
There's a case cited in that paper which does suggest something similar: > A report in the lay literature describes the case of Claire Sylvia who reported changes in her personality, preferences, and behaviors following…
Would you consider that any current LLM is close to passing the Turing test? If you think there's an LLM that can do so, I'd love to try it out! Even talking to the best models available today, it's disappointingly…
It's quite possible that the models from different companies are clustering together now because we're at a plateau point in model development, and won't see much in terms in further advances until we make the next…