China has built and deployed nearly 1.25TW of renewable energy in five years, and they're deploying on an exponential. If you're trying to convince me this isn't impressive or relevant to our future "because they still…
This attack predates OpenAI and the German wiki attack (which OpenAI confirmed was theirs) and shares agent naming conventions. So seems unlikely that someone went back in time to frame OpenAI before the HF stuff was…
Because right now the Department of Justice is shut down for causes that the administration supports, which includes OpenAI, and none of the victims want to sue over it.
There are two phases I've seen in becoming a security engineer. The first phase is moving beyond the "I am an engineer" mindset, where the goal is to build systems that fit into a specific set of design constraints. You…
Prompting a system to give a history of a person’s movements (even if they’re movements “in public”) is not something that has any historical analogy. The law has slapped down the “it’s in public” argument in cases like…
The question is not "does OpenAI know", it's "can OpenAI attest that the usage of their products for confidential data is not going to cause that sensitive data to become known to their models". And right now the answer…
The long tail is what scares me. Chrome will get fixed. Major OSes will get fixed. But your enterprise software and all your appliances? Shit.
I'm still waiting for someone to build a fine-tuned local "Anarchist Cookbook" LLM. We haven't seen LLMs tuned for bad purposes yet, I have to imagine someone somewhere is thinking about it.
Re: complexity. I used to find AWS unusable, then I realized I can just tell Claude Code or Codex to manage it. This makes it into an entirely different product, where "Cloudflare is easier" doesn't really matter. Now…
People hate Congress but love their Congressperson. It's even got a name: Fenno's paradox: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fenno%27s_paradox Diffuse organizations like "Congress" or "the party" aren't what you're voting…
If I had the email address of every researcher in my field, I would never send a mass email to them describing my latest goofy idea. I would, however, send my latest goofy idea to a conference with those same reviewers…
This sort of thing is really useful for helping people to understand what the purpose of scientific publication is. It's not about presenting finished products to society, it's more like a Discord where you communicate…
Audience capture is a bastard.
DraftKings alone is estimated to do $6.5bn in revenue in 2026, and the whole US segment is close to $20bn. This is the market that Kalshi et al. are targeting, and these are huge sums of money. You can make sports…
Sports betting was, if not prohibited, then highly-proscribed for most of my life. You could do it in a few places like OTB, go to Vegas, or deal with an illegal bookie. People still gambled, but this made the problem…
The hope of SMR is that it can be cost-effective at the same level that other factory-produced power sources are. If that's not on the table, then large-scale nuclear deployment mostly isn't going to happen.
Maybe, but I think this misstates how security vulnerabilities work. Vulnerabilities are logic flaws, and we have every reason to believe that there is a maximum number of such flaws in any given system that allow…
Once you have a sustainable process, these last holdout areas like dredging (where you can't use batteries or wires) can have relatively terrible EROI as long as they're a small minority of the economy. All aviation and…
[dead]
This is already how Medicare works and it covers 70 million Americans. I’m not aware of any of these hypothetical violent outcomes being a huge problem for the program.
This particular brand of confrontational nuclear “advocacy” does not help nuclear. Please consider stopping it.
I was an introvert to the point where I started getting my hair cut at a place that plays movies, just to avoid awkward conversation with my hairdresser. Post-pandemic, I love talking to barbers and cab drivers, even if…
Try Tirzepatide or one of the other drugs. They each have their own side effect profile.
The Federal laws on grants are Byzantine and I’m not going to defend them. I think they make research much too expensive, and the compliance costs exclude smaller businesses and institutions. With that said: the general…
I’m genuinely not an expert, but isn’t the beauty of MoE models the fact that we explicitly don’t evaluate every parameter on inference? We evaluate exactly the subset that are needed to evaluate a prompt. Seems like…
China has built and deployed nearly 1.25TW of renewable energy in five years, and they're deploying on an exponential. If you're trying to convince me this isn't impressive or relevant to our future "because they still…
This attack predates OpenAI and the German wiki attack (which OpenAI confirmed was theirs) and shares agent naming conventions. So seems unlikely that someone went back in time to frame OpenAI before the HF stuff was…
Because right now the Department of Justice is shut down for causes that the administration supports, which includes OpenAI, and none of the victims want to sue over it.
There are two phases I've seen in becoming a security engineer. The first phase is moving beyond the "I am an engineer" mindset, where the goal is to build systems that fit into a specific set of design constraints. You…
Prompting a system to give a history of a person’s movements (even if they’re movements “in public”) is not something that has any historical analogy. The law has slapped down the “it’s in public” argument in cases like…
The question is not "does OpenAI know", it's "can OpenAI attest that the usage of their products for confidential data is not going to cause that sensitive data to become known to their models". And right now the answer…
The long tail is what scares me. Chrome will get fixed. Major OSes will get fixed. But your enterprise software and all your appliances? Shit.
I'm still waiting for someone to build a fine-tuned local "Anarchist Cookbook" LLM. We haven't seen LLMs tuned for bad purposes yet, I have to imagine someone somewhere is thinking about it.
Re: complexity. I used to find AWS unusable, then I realized I can just tell Claude Code or Codex to manage it. This makes it into an entirely different product, where "Cloudflare is easier" doesn't really matter. Now…
People hate Congress but love their Congressperson. It's even got a name: Fenno's paradox: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fenno%27s_paradox Diffuse organizations like "Congress" or "the party" aren't what you're voting…
If I had the email address of every researcher in my field, I would never send a mass email to them describing my latest goofy idea. I would, however, send my latest goofy idea to a conference with those same reviewers…
This sort of thing is really useful for helping people to understand what the purpose of scientific publication is. It's not about presenting finished products to society, it's more like a Discord where you communicate…
Audience capture is a bastard.
DraftKings alone is estimated to do $6.5bn in revenue in 2026, and the whole US segment is close to $20bn. This is the market that Kalshi et al. are targeting, and these are huge sums of money. You can make sports…
Sports betting was, if not prohibited, then highly-proscribed for most of my life. You could do it in a few places like OTB, go to Vegas, or deal with an illegal bookie. People still gambled, but this made the problem…
The hope of SMR is that it can be cost-effective at the same level that other factory-produced power sources are. If that's not on the table, then large-scale nuclear deployment mostly isn't going to happen.
Maybe, but I think this misstates how security vulnerabilities work. Vulnerabilities are logic flaws, and we have every reason to believe that there is a maximum number of such flaws in any given system that allow…
Once you have a sustainable process, these last holdout areas like dredging (where you can't use batteries or wires) can have relatively terrible EROI as long as they're a small minority of the economy. All aviation and…
[dead]
This is already how Medicare works and it covers 70 million Americans. I’m not aware of any of these hypothetical violent outcomes being a huge problem for the program.
This particular brand of confrontational nuclear “advocacy” does not help nuclear. Please consider stopping it.
I was an introvert to the point where I started getting my hair cut at a place that plays movies, just to avoid awkward conversation with my hairdresser. Post-pandemic, I love talking to barbers and cab drivers, even if…
Try Tirzepatide or one of the other drugs. They each have their own side effect profile.
The Federal laws on grants are Byzantine and I’m not going to defend them. I think they make research much too expensive, and the compliance costs exclude smaller businesses and institutions. With that said: the general…
I’m genuinely not an expert, but isn’t the beauty of MoE models the fact that we explicitly don’t evaluate every parameter on inference? We evaluate exactly the subset that are needed to evaluate a prompt. Seems like…