A mental model I was thinking about was - I remember when Travis Kalanick was talking about using the chatbot to discuss “vibe physics-ing” on the all-in podcast. And like - I think there’s a presumption you could make…
The 70’s were arguably more Grim than today in life and film.
None of them! That was my point. High prices is unpopular, and datacenters are unpopular, so I’m trying to figure out why 1 and 3 are written in the negative and 2 is written in the positive. I’m just confused that’s…
I’m trying to understand your position here. Resistance to datacenters is like wildly bipartisan popular the other two are inversely so. I assume you’re trying to make a satirical point, but what is it?
I’m curious if something akin to the Streisand effect is going to take place here. It’s not like you can stop them from knowing about the rest of the world and it sounds like current efforts are heavy handed.
I think it was Kara Swisher and guest who made the observation that the reasons social media as it currently exists may not be long for this world is that part of the reason these lawsuits and laws to restrict access to…
“ I have repeatedly argued for strong antitrust enforcement to keep industries competitive, especially Big Tech.” Has David Sacks actually called for stronger antitrust enforcement? Not that he has total control of this…
I think SWE fundamentals matter - because it will be a long time before software is a closed system. And the problem is that as long as humans are in the loop building software that dynamic will have to be maintained.…
“Debuggable? It can add extensive instrumentation in seconds. None of this requires expertise, prompting, or mention of TDD. It's the default.” I’m pretty sure it takes some level of expertise just to use the term…
It seems like, particularly in scholarly works, we should cite AI contributions the same way we cite a third party, with similar consequences around plagiarism. If you’re copying AI whole hog, not quoting and citing it,…
The point on Radithor seemed suss to me: “Introduced in 1918, Radithor was William J. A. Bailey's biggest commercial success, selling 400,000 bottles between 1925 and 1930. The Food and Drug Administration (FDA) issued…
I don't know if this is sort of a nerds vs normies argument, but sometimes I think we get stuck on AI and not the simpler ideas it represents. Things are easier to validate in person so there's a sense you understand…
On the one hand I want to believe in spec driven development - I think there’s this awkward gap between code and not code that is the cause of the sort of “code review crisis” that gets written about a lot. And But the…
I always find Superintelligence inevitability interesting. And the author dismisses George Hotz argument about supply chains and the way that in order for ASI to truly take off it has to dominate not just the world of…
I think I learn a decent amount from AI so I’m legitimately torn on this, but I guess an analogy I might turn to would be something like “fork lifts are great! But don’t bring them to the gym to do your heavy lifting.”…
I was accused of being AI a few posts ago. I think it’s hard get the cadence out of your head if you talk to AI a lot. Especially when making certain kinds of arguments. I was thinking about dropping a few more f bombs,…
I think it’s a maturity model question, and an individual ability question. And maybe an industry tooling question. Individual ability? Newer engineers should read and write more code than experienced engineers.…
Slowing us down from what? In the context of many other measures I think speed is an important measure. Maybe even the key measure. I’ve even written a blog post entitled “reading code is an anti-pattern.” But if the…
The whole LLM development revolution has made me feel like I’m taking crazy pills, and this is one of those observations. And, as someone who does a decent amount of vibe coding - Are we really turning engineering into…
I don’t entirely disagree with this criticism, but it also feels to me like - progressivism is the flavor of modern bad studio films, but not a cause of bad media. Like going back to the early 90’s there was this…
There’s something of a footnote in here that - raises a moral or even spiritual question. Scott says that one of the great things about superforcasters is that some people who regularly make bad decisions will be able…
> Why can't we have a red-queen's race where non-tech companies are implementing AI, but it's not increasing the total profits of those sectors, just meeting rising customer demands/fighting over the share of existing…
> How much do these models need to do before people throw their hands in the air and say, ok this is happening. It's quite interesting to me that your epistemology is basically "God in a box is inevitable" and not…
I mean he explicitly at the end says there will be a new era of prediction markets: "This, then, is my prediction for the AI superforecaster future: for basic questions, your off-the-shelf AI chatbot will be able to…
I suppose on the one hand, I probably understand what this means? But I hate when guidance is totally verboten because like - “Babies should not be shaken at all in the first two years of life”. I think has a…
A mental model I was thinking about was - I remember when Travis Kalanick was talking about using the chatbot to discuss “vibe physics-ing” on the all-in podcast. And like - I think there’s a presumption you could make…
The 70’s were arguably more Grim than today in life and film.
None of them! That was my point. High prices is unpopular, and datacenters are unpopular, so I’m trying to figure out why 1 and 3 are written in the negative and 2 is written in the positive. I’m just confused that’s…
I’m trying to understand your position here. Resistance to datacenters is like wildly bipartisan popular the other two are inversely so. I assume you’re trying to make a satirical point, but what is it?
I’m curious if something akin to the Streisand effect is going to take place here. It’s not like you can stop them from knowing about the rest of the world and it sounds like current efforts are heavy handed.
I think it was Kara Swisher and guest who made the observation that the reasons social media as it currently exists may not be long for this world is that part of the reason these lawsuits and laws to restrict access to…
“ I have repeatedly argued for strong antitrust enforcement to keep industries competitive, especially Big Tech.” Has David Sacks actually called for stronger antitrust enforcement? Not that he has total control of this…
I think SWE fundamentals matter - because it will be a long time before software is a closed system. And the problem is that as long as humans are in the loop building software that dynamic will have to be maintained.…
“Debuggable? It can add extensive instrumentation in seconds. None of this requires expertise, prompting, or mention of TDD. It's the default.” I’m pretty sure it takes some level of expertise just to use the term…
It seems like, particularly in scholarly works, we should cite AI contributions the same way we cite a third party, with similar consequences around plagiarism. If you’re copying AI whole hog, not quoting and citing it,…
The point on Radithor seemed suss to me: “Introduced in 1918, Radithor was William J. A. Bailey's biggest commercial success, selling 400,000 bottles between 1925 and 1930. The Food and Drug Administration (FDA) issued…
I don't know if this is sort of a nerds vs normies argument, but sometimes I think we get stuck on AI and not the simpler ideas it represents. Things are easier to validate in person so there's a sense you understand…
On the one hand I want to believe in spec driven development - I think there’s this awkward gap between code and not code that is the cause of the sort of “code review crisis” that gets written about a lot. And But the…
I always find Superintelligence inevitability interesting. And the author dismisses George Hotz argument about supply chains and the way that in order for ASI to truly take off it has to dominate not just the world of…
I think I learn a decent amount from AI so I’m legitimately torn on this, but I guess an analogy I might turn to would be something like “fork lifts are great! But don’t bring them to the gym to do your heavy lifting.”…
I was accused of being AI a few posts ago. I think it’s hard get the cadence out of your head if you talk to AI a lot. Especially when making certain kinds of arguments. I was thinking about dropping a few more f bombs,…
I think it’s a maturity model question, and an individual ability question. And maybe an industry tooling question. Individual ability? Newer engineers should read and write more code than experienced engineers.…
Slowing us down from what? In the context of many other measures I think speed is an important measure. Maybe even the key measure. I’ve even written a blog post entitled “reading code is an anti-pattern.” But if the…
The whole LLM development revolution has made me feel like I’m taking crazy pills, and this is one of those observations. And, as someone who does a decent amount of vibe coding - Are we really turning engineering into…
I don’t entirely disagree with this criticism, but it also feels to me like - progressivism is the flavor of modern bad studio films, but not a cause of bad media. Like going back to the early 90’s there was this…
There’s something of a footnote in here that - raises a moral or even spiritual question. Scott says that one of the great things about superforcasters is that some people who regularly make bad decisions will be able…
> Why can't we have a red-queen's race where non-tech companies are implementing AI, but it's not increasing the total profits of those sectors, just meeting rising customer demands/fighting over the share of existing…
> How much do these models need to do before people throw their hands in the air and say, ok this is happening. It's quite interesting to me that your epistemology is basically "God in a box is inevitable" and not…
I mean he explicitly at the end says there will be a new era of prediction markets: "This, then, is my prediction for the AI superforecaster future: for basic questions, your off-the-shelf AI chatbot will be able to…
I suppose on the one hand, I probably understand what this means? But I hate when guidance is totally verboten because like - “Babies should not be shaken at all in the first two years of life”. I think has a…