I was accused of being AI a few posts ago. I think it’s hard get the cadence out of your head if you talk to AI a lot. Especially when making certain kinds of arguments. I was thinking about dropping a few more f bombs,…
I think it’s a maturity model question, and an individual ability question. And maybe an industry tooling question. Individual ability? Newer engineers should read and write more code than experienced engineers.…
Slowing us down from what? In the context of many other measures I think speed is an important measure. Maybe even the key measure. I’ve even written a blog post entitled “reading code is an anti-pattern.” But if the…
The whole LLM development revolution has made me feel like I’m taking crazy pills, and this is one of those observations. And, as someone who does a decent amount of vibe coding - Are we really turning engineering into…
I don’t entirely disagree with this criticism, but it also feels to me like - progressivism is the flavor of modern bad studio films, but not a cause of bad media. Like going back to the early 90’s there was this…
There’s something of a footnote in here that - raises a moral or even spiritual question. Scott says that one of the great things about superforcasters is that some people who regularly make bad decisions will be able…
> Why can't we have a red-queen's race where non-tech companies are implementing AI, but it's not increasing the total profits of those sectors, just meeting rising customer demands/fighting over the share of existing…
> How much do these models need to do before people throw their hands in the air and say, ok this is happening. It's quite interesting to me that your epistemology is basically "God in a box is inevitable" and not…
I mean he explicitly at the end says there will be a new era of prediction markets: "This, then, is my prediction for the AI superforecaster future: for basic questions, your off-the-shelf AI chatbot will be able to…
I suppose on the one hand, I probably understand what this means? But I hate when guidance is totally verboten because like - “Babies should not be shaken at all in the first two years of life”. I think has a…
It feels like Scott is taking the bull case here - but like “perfect” information will pervert markets in bizarre ways. As soon as the prediction market says “this path here has a 25% chance of curing cancer” all sorts…
"You can absolutely write bad Pulumi code. You can over-engineer it. You can create abstractions nobody understands. You can make something simple feel clever for no reason. But that is not a Pulumi problem. That is a…
Right, but if your real assertion is “we have no idea”, it seems you should point your skepticism significantly more towards the people betting $100 billion dollars that self-driving cars are coming next year than the…
[dead]
I don’t understand the analogy you’re making, or what’s it’s wrong. No one thinks you shouldn’t do 8 digit multiplication with a calculator. Calculators _can_ calculate to think otherwise would be delusional or…
How is EFF asking to police or restrict users use of technology? The only thing they seem to be asking here is for X to continue to generate reports in how they use (or misuse) PII. The concerns on Grok seem pretty…
I’ve started blogging about my experience with AI. I’m not special, my workflow isn’t supercharged. I’ve just started writing about a guy(me) interfacing with these tools as if I was leaning any technology like a…
We're a few days out here, but I don't agree that a FAANG company will come out of AI, and I think this is a fundamental error to think there will be. FAANG is rare/hard. It feels like, we've forgotten there's this…
Me or OP? I'm 100% finger-generated. AMA. How can I do better? I can learn. Do you have any thoughts on the content of what I said?
The attached video did a good job I think explaining the range of problems, and I could definetly see the value applied specifically - But like - year or two ago now, Satya Nadella I think outlined this idea as all the…
> AI companies have a runway. The question isn't whether they can fly, but whether they have enough runway to get liftoff. This misses I think what is becoming my thesis is that competition from each other and open…
I feel like this gets at something, but we’re not quite there yet at understanding the language to use: “I shipped code I didn’t understand” Suggests to me that it didn’t follow the Vercel rule of: “Would you be…
Ok, so one last question - I think folks like Ed Zitron are too much I. The bear camp, he’s “AI is useless” and I’m not there, I do think AI changes the game. But everyone has been comparing OpenAI and Anthropic to the…
I assume Pritzker’s goal wasn’t necessarily to pass a bill, so much as to get everyone talking about how Pritzker is taking on big tech.
Is this really for comparable models though? Will folks at scale continue to choose Anthropic frontier AI model if OpenAI releases a similar generation at a 90% discount with comparable capabilities? It feels like the…
I was accused of being AI a few posts ago. I think it’s hard get the cadence out of your head if you talk to AI a lot. Especially when making certain kinds of arguments. I was thinking about dropping a few more f bombs,…
I think it’s a maturity model question, and an individual ability question. And maybe an industry tooling question. Individual ability? Newer engineers should read and write more code than experienced engineers.…
Slowing us down from what? In the context of many other measures I think speed is an important measure. Maybe even the key measure. I’ve even written a blog post entitled “reading code is an anti-pattern.” But if the…
The whole LLM development revolution has made me feel like I’m taking crazy pills, and this is one of those observations. And, as someone who does a decent amount of vibe coding - Are we really turning engineering into…
I don’t entirely disagree with this criticism, but it also feels to me like - progressivism is the flavor of modern bad studio films, but not a cause of bad media. Like going back to the early 90’s there was this…
There’s something of a footnote in here that - raises a moral or even spiritual question. Scott says that one of the great things about superforcasters is that some people who regularly make bad decisions will be able…
> Why can't we have a red-queen's race where non-tech companies are implementing AI, but it's not increasing the total profits of those sectors, just meeting rising customer demands/fighting over the share of existing…
> How much do these models need to do before people throw their hands in the air and say, ok this is happening. It's quite interesting to me that your epistemology is basically "God in a box is inevitable" and not…
I mean he explicitly at the end says there will be a new era of prediction markets: "This, then, is my prediction for the AI superforecaster future: for basic questions, your off-the-shelf AI chatbot will be able to…
I suppose on the one hand, I probably understand what this means? But I hate when guidance is totally verboten because like - “Babies should not be shaken at all in the first two years of life”. I think has a…
It feels like Scott is taking the bull case here - but like “perfect” information will pervert markets in bizarre ways. As soon as the prediction market says “this path here has a 25% chance of curing cancer” all sorts…
"You can absolutely write bad Pulumi code. You can over-engineer it. You can create abstractions nobody understands. You can make something simple feel clever for no reason. But that is not a Pulumi problem. That is a…
Right, but if your real assertion is “we have no idea”, it seems you should point your skepticism significantly more towards the people betting $100 billion dollars that self-driving cars are coming next year than the…
[dead]
I don’t understand the analogy you’re making, or what’s it’s wrong. No one thinks you shouldn’t do 8 digit multiplication with a calculator. Calculators _can_ calculate to think otherwise would be delusional or…
How is EFF asking to police or restrict users use of technology? The only thing they seem to be asking here is for X to continue to generate reports in how they use (or misuse) PII. The concerns on Grok seem pretty…
I’ve started blogging about my experience with AI. I’m not special, my workflow isn’t supercharged. I’ve just started writing about a guy(me) interfacing with these tools as if I was leaning any technology like a…
We're a few days out here, but I don't agree that a FAANG company will come out of AI, and I think this is a fundamental error to think there will be. FAANG is rare/hard. It feels like, we've forgotten there's this…
Me or OP? I'm 100% finger-generated. AMA. How can I do better? I can learn. Do you have any thoughts on the content of what I said?
The attached video did a good job I think explaining the range of problems, and I could definetly see the value applied specifically - But like - year or two ago now, Satya Nadella I think outlined this idea as all the…
> AI companies have a runway. The question isn't whether they can fly, but whether they have enough runway to get liftoff. This misses I think what is becoming my thesis is that competition from each other and open…
I feel like this gets at something, but we’re not quite there yet at understanding the language to use: “I shipped code I didn’t understand” Suggests to me that it didn’t follow the Vercel rule of: “Would you be…
Ok, so one last question - I think folks like Ed Zitron are too much I. The bear camp, he’s “AI is useless” and I’m not there, I do think AI changes the game. But everyone has been comparing OpenAI and Anthropic to the…
I assume Pritzker’s goal wasn’t necessarily to pass a bill, so much as to get everyone talking about how Pritzker is taking on big tech.
Is this really for comparable models though? Will folks at scale continue to choose Anthropic frontier AI model if OpenAI releases a similar generation at a 90% discount with comparable capabilities? It feels like the…