The issue is that the example nostromo gave (40m) was not intended to be predictive of what would actually happen. It was based on a worst case / left unchecked scenario (useful for establishing an upper bound), and…
You claimed: > The models tended to overshoot the number of deaths by huge amounts. For example, the Imperial College of London estimated 40m deaths in 2020 instead of the 2m that occurred. The very article you cited…
The issue is that the example nostromo gave (40m) was not intended to be predictive of what would actually happen. It was based on a worst case / left unchecked scenario (useful for establishing an upper bound), and…
You claimed: > The models tended to overshoot the number of deaths by huge amounts. For example, the Imperial College of London estimated 40m deaths in 2020 instead of the 2m that occurred. The very article you cited…