Not exactly, if Monty randomly picked a door and happened to open a goat then it would still be beneficial for the player to swap.
Good point. That's probably also the case for surgeries on national holidays.
There is no such thing as "true probability" in Bayesian interpretation, it only exists in frequentist world. Notice that it is possible to build a robot which flips a coin in such a way that it's always heads - sure…
I wouldn't say that's the core of the paradox. The thing is that people don't have a good understanding what probability is. We think that when we choose a gate at the beginning, with a chance of winning being 1/3 it…
Can someone tell me if I understand this correctly. So Bell famously proved that it is not the case that the correlation we see between 2 entangled particles A and B is because of some common cause C. Therefore we…
It is a common misconception that Chaos theory and Quantum Mechanics show that universe is random. Chaos theory is a perfectly deterministic theory that basically means fragility to initial conditions. Quantum…
Come on, you don't like to tinker with SharePoint Server configuration templates in your free time?
Hmm, why is it surprising that AI is good at poker? The way I see the game is that a bad poker player will just hold a model of his hand in mind. A slightly better one will also hold a model of his opponent's hand. Even…
If you enjoy reading about human biases coming from non-statistical point of view then check out "Thinking fast and slow" by Kahneman. Great read.
Let's map some ideas: Mochizuki -> Prophet | abc conjecture -> "god" conjecture | 500-page proof -> "holy book" And there we go, a brand new religion. The whole situation is like something out of Monty Python.
Not exactly, if Monty randomly picked a door and happened to open a goat then it would still be beneficial for the player to swap.
Good point. That's probably also the case for surgeries on national holidays.
There is no such thing as "true probability" in Bayesian interpretation, it only exists in frequentist world. Notice that it is possible to build a robot which flips a coin in such a way that it's always heads - sure…
I wouldn't say that's the core of the paradox. The thing is that people don't have a good understanding what probability is. We think that when we choose a gate at the beginning, with a chance of winning being 1/3 it…
Can someone tell me if I understand this correctly. So Bell famously proved that it is not the case that the correlation we see between 2 entangled particles A and B is because of some common cause C. Therefore we…
It is a common misconception that Chaos theory and Quantum Mechanics show that universe is random. Chaos theory is a perfectly deterministic theory that basically means fragility to initial conditions. Quantum…
Come on, you don't like to tinker with SharePoint Server configuration templates in your free time?
Hmm, why is it surprising that AI is good at poker? The way I see the game is that a bad poker player will just hold a model of his hand in mind. A slightly better one will also hold a model of his opponent's hand. Even…
If you enjoy reading about human biases coming from non-statistical point of view then check out "Thinking fast and slow" by Kahneman. Great read.
Let's map some ideas: Mochizuki -> Prophet | abc conjecture -> "god" conjecture | 500-page proof -> "holy book" And there we go, a brand new religion. The whole situation is like something out of Monty Python.