The arms race is an intrinsic game theoretical property of a multi-adversarial-actor scenario involving exponential growth of a universally potent technology. It's almost certainly winner-take-all, on a global scale,…
This is not an impulse reaction, as I've thought deeply about this for many years, and I'm quite resolute in holding the following view: Quibbling over the academic nature/definition of "true intelligence" is a…
Look up "mechanistic interpretability" in the context of LLMs. The next token prediction machinery is just a foundation for a higher order learned structure that appears to encode specific concepts, regardless of input…
In areas of applicability where GenAI to now considered to be good/great, the pattern I've observed is a frighteningly rapid progression from "abjectly terrible", to "middling and mostly more trouble than it's worth"…
The conclusion of this blog post is a bit hysterical. The intent of this steg is excruciatingly clear (identifying usage by Chinese firms that may be conducting model distillation). It's unclear on how this "punishes…
And even if that's true (and it frequently is!), detractors usually miss the underlying and immense impact of "sleeping dad capability" equivalent artificial systems. Horizontally scaling "sleeping dads" takes decades,…
> Not "hidden", but probably more like "no one bothered to look". Well yeah. There weren't enough "someones" available to look. There are a finite number of qualified individuals with time available to look for bugs in…
It's doom and gloom because the underlying game theory forces all state actors into an unbound and irresponsible arms race, consequences be damned. AI development game theory is extremely similar to the game theory…
Unfun thought experiment: In an AGI scenario, what lever of power do the UBI recipients have to force what you've described? Historically, humanity's biological monopoly on the fundamental resource of "general…
I used to think that "AI operating in meatspace" was going to remain a tough problem for a long time, but seeing the dramatic developments in robotics over the last 2 years, it's pretty clear that's not going to be the…
Do you genuinely believe that this is a binary decision, or is this just anti-euthanasia rhetoric disguised as concern trolling? Offering humane end-of-life options to people suffering today does not prohibit ongoing…
I am entirely convinced that absent LEO comsat constellations, people who espouse this sentiment would likely be whining about "useless astronomy taking money away from helping poor people". If you genuinely care about…
Trains don't have guaranteed personal space, nor do they proceed from one's origin directly to their destination. You might not value that, but lots of other people do.
Sorry, that's goalpost moving. Just reminding you of your earlier claim: > AI is not good enough yet for anything requiring deep reasoning, mission-critical work... Is driving a mission-critical function? Due to its…
> We don't understand human cognition despite literally thousands of years of thought and study Is this a requirement for achieving AGI? The history of progression of the ML field indicates that the answer is "no". We…
> We already produce more than enough for economic liberation all over the world, many times over. It hasn't happened. Why? Because directing material resources towards that end requires a certain aggregate amount of…
Ah yes. I believe this is commonly called "moving the goalposts".
> They think it’s the end all be all for everything. Is (human-based) general intelligence not one of the fundamental enabling elements of literally every human activity throughout history, regardless of how many layers…
Sorry, didn't see any "kitchen fridge/hot water tank combo units" on their website. Care to provide a link? Or perhaps you may have missed a nuance in the comments above yours? Nobody is claiming that heat pumps don't…
Reviewing the actual problems is highly recommended: https://kts.github.io/arc-viewer/ They're not particularly difficult, but clearly require reasoning to solve.
Nope. If the cost to "reuse" the heat exceeds that of the status quo, it simply doesn't make sense.
You make use of several independent authorities for each timestamped document. The chance is exceedingly low that the PKI infrastructure of all the authorities becomes compromised.
Not sure why people keep falling into these mental traps. Regardless of whether the system you're deriding is a "Chinese room", "stochastic parrot", "brute force" or whatever other dericive term-du-jour you want to use,…
Why is it early from your perspective? If one is expecting to have an AGI breakthrough in the next few years, this is exactly the prepositioning move one would make to be able to maximally capitalize on that…
From my admittedly subjective perspective, it's the lesser of two evils. The alternative of having centralized control of "truth" is a far more awful option.
The arms race is an intrinsic game theoretical property of a multi-adversarial-actor scenario involving exponential growth of a universally potent technology. It's almost certainly winner-take-all, on a global scale,…
This is not an impulse reaction, as I've thought deeply about this for many years, and I'm quite resolute in holding the following view: Quibbling over the academic nature/definition of "true intelligence" is a…
Look up "mechanistic interpretability" in the context of LLMs. The next token prediction machinery is just a foundation for a higher order learned structure that appears to encode specific concepts, regardless of input…
In areas of applicability where GenAI to now considered to be good/great, the pattern I've observed is a frighteningly rapid progression from "abjectly terrible", to "middling and mostly more trouble than it's worth"…
The conclusion of this blog post is a bit hysterical. The intent of this steg is excruciatingly clear (identifying usage by Chinese firms that may be conducting model distillation). It's unclear on how this "punishes…
And even if that's true (and it frequently is!), detractors usually miss the underlying and immense impact of "sleeping dad capability" equivalent artificial systems. Horizontally scaling "sleeping dads" takes decades,…
> Not "hidden", but probably more like "no one bothered to look". Well yeah. There weren't enough "someones" available to look. There are a finite number of qualified individuals with time available to look for bugs in…
It's doom and gloom because the underlying game theory forces all state actors into an unbound and irresponsible arms race, consequences be damned. AI development game theory is extremely similar to the game theory…
Unfun thought experiment: In an AGI scenario, what lever of power do the UBI recipients have to force what you've described? Historically, humanity's biological monopoly on the fundamental resource of "general…
I used to think that "AI operating in meatspace" was going to remain a tough problem for a long time, but seeing the dramatic developments in robotics over the last 2 years, it's pretty clear that's not going to be the…
Do you genuinely believe that this is a binary decision, or is this just anti-euthanasia rhetoric disguised as concern trolling? Offering humane end-of-life options to people suffering today does not prohibit ongoing…
I am entirely convinced that absent LEO comsat constellations, people who espouse this sentiment would likely be whining about "useless astronomy taking money away from helping poor people". If you genuinely care about…
Trains don't have guaranteed personal space, nor do they proceed from one's origin directly to their destination. You might not value that, but lots of other people do.
Sorry, that's goalpost moving. Just reminding you of your earlier claim: > AI is not good enough yet for anything requiring deep reasoning, mission-critical work... Is driving a mission-critical function? Due to its…
> We don't understand human cognition despite literally thousands of years of thought and study Is this a requirement for achieving AGI? The history of progression of the ML field indicates that the answer is "no". We…
> We already produce more than enough for economic liberation all over the world, many times over. It hasn't happened. Why? Because directing material resources towards that end requires a certain aggregate amount of…
Ah yes. I believe this is commonly called "moving the goalposts".
> They think it’s the end all be all for everything. Is (human-based) general intelligence not one of the fundamental enabling elements of literally every human activity throughout history, regardless of how many layers…
Sorry, didn't see any "kitchen fridge/hot water tank combo units" on their website. Care to provide a link? Or perhaps you may have missed a nuance in the comments above yours? Nobody is claiming that heat pumps don't…
Reviewing the actual problems is highly recommended: https://kts.github.io/arc-viewer/ They're not particularly difficult, but clearly require reasoning to solve.
Nope. If the cost to "reuse" the heat exceeds that of the status quo, it simply doesn't make sense.
You make use of several independent authorities for each timestamped document. The chance is exceedingly low that the PKI infrastructure of all the authorities becomes compromised.
Not sure why people keep falling into these mental traps. Regardless of whether the system you're deriding is a "Chinese room", "stochastic parrot", "brute force" or whatever other dericive term-du-jour you want to use,…
Why is it early from your perspective? If one is expecting to have an AGI breakthrough in the next few years, this is exactly the prepositioning move one would make to be able to maximally capitalize on that…
From my admittedly subjective perspective, it's the lesser of two evils. The alternative of having centralized control of "truth" is a far more awful option.