I expect inflation to remain high for a while, and I think concerns about it (if not for self-fulfilling psychological, which are very real and significant) are overblown. I think this stimulus, and the resulting…
I was surprised by the quality of the Coway Airmega 200M. Good reviews, but looked sketchy: - Super-quiet - Sensor does actually speed it up with even trivial amounts of pollution. You sneeze in the same room, or spray…
As far as I can tell, COVID has two predominant modes of spread: - Extended time indoors, with high viral loads. It spreads ridiculously well with no protection (even among the vaccinated). - Isolated superspreader…
There are two theories: - We're borrowing money, and we'll need to pay it back. That's scary. - Money is bits in a computer, and from the perspective of the US government, it's like video game currency. Debts and…
As much as I like the change, the 3-month window seems unreasonable. I don't currently have AppStore apps, and these kinds of whiplash changes are part of the reason. Microsoft, for all its faults, is much better than…
Well, modules can be designed to protect my security, or to harm my security (e.g. to enforce DRM). I'm unclear on how "real TPM" functionality helps me. If it helps secure Microsoft, and hurts my security, that's a…
Serious question: How does YC work with companies like this? It seems like a YC standard-form offer doesn't make any sense to a company like Ginko at the stage it entered YC.
I don't think this represents most studies, but the far lower end. If we're going to cherry-pick, here's one which shows more than half of kids show at least one symptom 120 days out:…
If a side effect of COVID19 were getting rid of flu and colds, I'd be very very happy. It doesn't look like it will be, but it'd be nice. I actually think all the contact tracing stuff would do it. If we had zero…
If you define "risk" as "hospitalization," that's largely true. If you define "risk" as months or years of bizarre symptoms, reduced lung capacity, brain fog, etc., then children are at risk too. But perhaps you don't…
Investment in the housing market drives up supply of buildings, and drives up the cost of the land underneath them. In high-cost markets, most of the cost is the land, not development on that land. You can waive the…
I'm not sold on the Economist article. I do believe in home ownership. The idea that a person spends a lifetime in the same home and community is a good one. We're tribal creatures, and you want a tribe -- you want…
I'm saying that there are internals problems and there are external problems. Whenever I've had mental health issues, there were clear external causes, and therapy ain't gonna do a thing about that. Therapists will tell…
You do risk jinxing it. Once people believe high level of inflation are coming, they move wealth out of fiat for other assets. That leads to inflation. And it cycles in on itself. The classical example is the Weimar…
No, you're not diluting wealth unless you're sitting on a Scrooge McDuck pile of cash. If you have investments or property, they go up with inflation. If you're leveraged, inflation is a huge win. Inflation is a massive…
It's not so much the convenience as the problems other carriers bring. T-Mobile has no security, and lousy coverage, and is technically incompetent, but they're fairly honest and customer-friendly. I could tell a horror…
PHP exactly makes my point. PHP was a no-good, terrible, poorly-made, horrific original design for something like powering Facebook. As a result, it needed a lot of good and important improvements. Or to be more…
No, the web people have it wrong. It's called: - Failure to do upfront design (yay, misinterpreted agile/MVP/etc) - Reinventing wheels over, and over, and over Newer versions and frameworks tend to be 10% improvement,…
.... a long list of counterexamples?
This is dumb. The requisite amount of clothing varies country-by-country. There are countries -- such as some Arab countries -- were people are almost entirely covered, including veils for women. There are countries in…
Five out of six people report being happy playing Russian Roulette.
I think the standards in the law are pretty clear: "Beyond the shadow of a doubt" for criminal law, and a "preponderance of evidence" for civil law. Most of the instances I've seen that I really care about fall very far…
I never used it, seriously or otherwise, but I appreciated having it there: 1) Universal torrent support is prerequisite to broad adoption. Having S3 be part of that network is nice. 2) It gives a fallback to exploding…
> Oh my... it is not overselling. It is dealing with people like children they are. People reverted to the point where you can't have merit-based discussion about vaccines in public, and so simplifying the message is…
I feel like the goal posts are moving with lightening speed. Whenever I read a sentence like "The goal was never to eradicate COVID from being annoying—it was to eradicate it from being a killer." Those same experts, a…
I expect inflation to remain high for a while, and I think concerns about it (if not for self-fulfilling psychological, which are very real and significant) are overblown. I think this stimulus, and the resulting…
I was surprised by the quality of the Coway Airmega 200M. Good reviews, but looked sketchy: - Super-quiet - Sensor does actually speed it up with even trivial amounts of pollution. You sneeze in the same room, or spray…
As far as I can tell, COVID has two predominant modes of spread: - Extended time indoors, with high viral loads. It spreads ridiculously well with no protection (even among the vaccinated). - Isolated superspreader…
There are two theories: - We're borrowing money, and we'll need to pay it back. That's scary. - Money is bits in a computer, and from the perspective of the US government, it's like video game currency. Debts and…
As much as I like the change, the 3-month window seems unreasonable. I don't currently have AppStore apps, and these kinds of whiplash changes are part of the reason. Microsoft, for all its faults, is much better than…
Well, modules can be designed to protect my security, or to harm my security (e.g. to enforce DRM). I'm unclear on how "real TPM" functionality helps me. If it helps secure Microsoft, and hurts my security, that's a…
Serious question: How does YC work with companies like this? It seems like a YC standard-form offer doesn't make any sense to a company like Ginko at the stage it entered YC.
I don't think this represents most studies, but the far lower end. If we're going to cherry-pick, here's one which shows more than half of kids show at least one symptom 120 days out:…
If a side effect of COVID19 were getting rid of flu and colds, I'd be very very happy. It doesn't look like it will be, but it'd be nice. I actually think all the contact tracing stuff would do it. If we had zero…
If you define "risk" as "hospitalization," that's largely true. If you define "risk" as months or years of bizarre symptoms, reduced lung capacity, brain fog, etc., then children are at risk too. But perhaps you don't…
Investment in the housing market drives up supply of buildings, and drives up the cost of the land underneath them. In high-cost markets, most of the cost is the land, not development on that land. You can waive the…
I'm not sold on the Economist article. I do believe in home ownership. The idea that a person spends a lifetime in the same home and community is a good one. We're tribal creatures, and you want a tribe -- you want…
I'm saying that there are internals problems and there are external problems. Whenever I've had mental health issues, there were clear external causes, and therapy ain't gonna do a thing about that. Therapists will tell…
You do risk jinxing it. Once people believe high level of inflation are coming, they move wealth out of fiat for other assets. That leads to inflation. And it cycles in on itself. The classical example is the Weimar…
No, you're not diluting wealth unless you're sitting on a Scrooge McDuck pile of cash. If you have investments or property, they go up with inflation. If you're leveraged, inflation is a huge win. Inflation is a massive…
It's not so much the convenience as the problems other carriers bring. T-Mobile has no security, and lousy coverage, and is technically incompetent, but they're fairly honest and customer-friendly. I could tell a horror…
PHP exactly makes my point. PHP was a no-good, terrible, poorly-made, horrific original design for something like powering Facebook. As a result, it needed a lot of good and important improvements. Or to be more…
No, the web people have it wrong. It's called: - Failure to do upfront design (yay, misinterpreted agile/MVP/etc) - Reinventing wheels over, and over, and over Newer versions and frameworks tend to be 10% improvement,…
.... a long list of counterexamples?
This is dumb. The requisite amount of clothing varies country-by-country. There are countries -- such as some Arab countries -- were people are almost entirely covered, including veils for women. There are countries in…
Five out of six people report being happy playing Russian Roulette.
I think the standards in the law are pretty clear: "Beyond the shadow of a doubt" for criminal law, and a "preponderance of evidence" for civil law. Most of the instances I've seen that I really care about fall very far…
I never used it, seriously or otherwise, but I appreciated having it there: 1) Universal torrent support is prerequisite to broad adoption. Having S3 be part of that network is nice. 2) It gives a fallback to exploding…
> Oh my... it is not overselling. It is dealing with people like children they are. People reverted to the point where you can't have merit-based discussion about vaccines in public, and so simplifying the message is…
I feel like the goal posts are moving with lightening speed. Whenever I read a sentence like "The goal was never to eradicate COVID from being annoying—it was to eradicate it from being a killer." Those same experts, a…