The UNESCO/World Bank literacy rate is basically defined how you thought. But high income countries don't usually report this because literacy by this measure is nearly universal. So they often report at higher…
Questions like that cost a tiny fraction of a cent. "What's the capital of Sri Lanka?" cost a fifth of a cent at GPT 5.5 API price, and would cost a fraction of that if the question were routed to a more suitable,…
The usage is irrelevant if we're interested in cost per token. If you use it half as much, you get half as many tokens at half the cost. It's still $5.56 in electricity per million output tokens either way (using…
Not much point in serfdom when they don't have use for human labor.
> I feel like you're also doing something weird—sorta strawmanning and sorta being conveniently inconsistent. You're reframing his argument as something much softer. I'm going to firmly push back on this. A reasonable,…
You're not really engaging with PG's argument so much as nitpicking around the edges. Are people becoming billionaires primarily by cheating and stealing, or by making something people want? That's the core argument.…
Anthropic's plan may not have great odds, but your proposal is orders of magnitude worse. There are plenty of groups opposing AI. They don't get billions in investment. They don't have a clear way to stop OpenAI or…
It means Mythos/Fable was the strongest model globally, not just the newest model from a company.
That's not a reason for Waymo to give rides at a major loss. Heavy users are the ones that are going to buy the unlimited package. If you do just one average trip per day (there and back), at about $20 per ride, their…
$100 per month is way, way too cheap for unlimited rides. That's about 10x cheaper than the amortized monthly cost for owning an average car, without the headache of doing maintenance. They'd be losing a ton of money on…
These numbers don't mean anything without a denominator. You could burn $10 million/month of tokens if you want. We want to know how the cost per unit of useful output compares to a human. Does $6000 of usage buy you a…
> Playing at 1080p doesn’t reduce your texture size, for the most part. You still use those 4k textures because you’re only seeing a subset of the texture projected at a close distance. That greatly reduces your GPU…
Empirically, these benchmarks are showing it doesn't make much difference once you reach this level of bandwidth: https://www.tomshardware.com/pc-components/gpus/early-rtx-50...
All good points. Absolutely an RTX 3060 is a more normal gamer GPU than the 5090, but you're also not playing in 4k without DLSS on a 3060. Drop to the most common resolution on Steam (1080p), and turn on DLSS and…
Until an LLM becomes better at coming up with products people want and running a company. Then we'll cut out the founders and have LLM run companies.
But do you think you'll reach 1.8 TB/s?
Very true, but I'll point out that even those 2000 full screen reads per second at 4k are only 4% of the 5090's bandwidth. Sacrificing some of that speed for a unified memory architecture seems like a good trade. Plus,…
I think much of the difficulty is just that, for example, the 1.8 TB/s of an RTX 5090 is a lot of bandwidth for a game to use. That's over 50,000 4k textures per second at 32bpp.
It's not just a nitpick, because this is really at the core of your position. Ignoring the terminology, you're trying to claim there is some principle that says everyone should have the default position that LLMs aren't…
I don't think this shows that people who can afford housing have more kids. And it shows that even households earning over $700k/year are now below replacement (replacement fertility rate is about 2.1). In the graph,…
This is a bit of a side point, but you are severely misusing "null hypothesis". 1. A null hypothesis is part of a statistical test: it is the hypothesis whose consequences are used to compute a test statistic, p-value,…
You totally reversed who is making a strong assertion. Anthropic has said they don't know if LLMs could be conscious. Ted Chiang has said they are definitely are not conscious.
Most of the time, no group of players will run a server at that cost. So regular players still can't play. It's not unheard of though. WoW and City of Heroes had/have large, expensive fan servers. But realistically,…
The article very bluntly states multiple times that LLMs aren't conscious. Ted Chiang is definitely making that argument.
There is no reason to have UBI if there is zero scarcity. There is no reason to have money at all without scarcity. UBI is a system for dividing up scarce resources.
The UNESCO/World Bank literacy rate is basically defined how you thought. But high income countries don't usually report this because literacy by this measure is nearly universal. So they often report at higher…
Questions like that cost a tiny fraction of a cent. "What's the capital of Sri Lanka?" cost a fifth of a cent at GPT 5.5 API price, and would cost a fraction of that if the question were routed to a more suitable,…
The usage is irrelevant if we're interested in cost per token. If you use it half as much, you get half as many tokens at half the cost. It's still $5.56 in electricity per million output tokens either way (using…
Not much point in serfdom when they don't have use for human labor.
> I feel like you're also doing something weird—sorta strawmanning and sorta being conveniently inconsistent. You're reframing his argument as something much softer. I'm going to firmly push back on this. A reasonable,…
You're not really engaging with PG's argument so much as nitpicking around the edges. Are people becoming billionaires primarily by cheating and stealing, or by making something people want? That's the core argument.…
Anthropic's plan may not have great odds, but your proposal is orders of magnitude worse. There are plenty of groups opposing AI. They don't get billions in investment. They don't have a clear way to stop OpenAI or…
It means Mythos/Fable was the strongest model globally, not just the newest model from a company.
That's not a reason for Waymo to give rides at a major loss. Heavy users are the ones that are going to buy the unlimited package. If you do just one average trip per day (there and back), at about $20 per ride, their…
$100 per month is way, way too cheap for unlimited rides. That's about 10x cheaper than the amortized monthly cost for owning an average car, without the headache of doing maintenance. They'd be losing a ton of money on…
These numbers don't mean anything without a denominator. You could burn $10 million/month of tokens if you want. We want to know how the cost per unit of useful output compares to a human. Does $6000 of usage buy you a…
> Playing at 1080p doesn’t reduce your texture size, for the most part. You still use those 4k textures because you’re only seeing a subset of the texture projected at a close distance. That greatly reduces your GPU…
Empirically, these benchmarks are showing it doesn't make much difference once you reach this level of bandwidth: https://www.tomshardware.com/pc-components/gpus/early-rtx-50...
All good points. Absolutely an RTX 3060 is a more normal gamer GPU than the 5090, but you're also not playing in 4k without DLSS on a 3060. Drop to the most common resolution on Steam (1080p), and turn on DLSS and…
Until an LLM becomes better at coming up with products people want and running a company. Then we'll cut out the founders and have LLM run companies.
But do you think you'll reach 1.8 TB/s?
Very true, but I'll point out that even those 2000 full screen reads per second at 4k are only 4% of the 5090's bandwidth. Sacrificing some of that speed for a unified memory architecture seems like a good trade. Plus,…
I think much of the difficulty is just that, for example, the 1.8 TB/s of an RTX 5090 is a lot of bandwidth for a game to use. That's over 50,000 4k textures per second at 32bpp.
It's not just a nitpick, because this is really at the core of your position. Ignoring the terminology, you're trying to claim there is some principle that says everyone should have the default position that LLMs aren't…
I don't think this shows that people who can afford housing have more kids. And it shows that even households earning over $700k/year are now below replacement (replacement fertility rate is about 2.1). In the graph,…
This is a bit of a side point, but you are severely misusing "null hypothesis". 1. A null hypothesis is part of a statistical test: it is the hypothesis whose consequences are used to compute a test statistic, p-value,…
You totally reversed who is making a strong assertion. Anthropic has said they don't know if LLMs could be conscious. Ted Chiang has said they are definitely are not conscious.
Most of the time, no group of players will run a server at that cost. So regular players still can't play. It's not unheard of though. WoW and City of Heroes had/have large, expensive fan servers. But realistically,…
The article very bluntly states multiple times that LLMs aren't conscious. Ted Chiang is definitely making that argument.
There is no reason to have UBI if there is zero scarcity. There is no reason to have money at all without scarcity. UBI is a system for dividing up scarce resources.