That's an interesting response, thanks! I think where I disagree is that I think people are pretty smart, at least in one thing, which is survival -- the proof of that is that those who were not, quickly exited the gene…
There should be a named fallacy for that, "linking to a comic" -- although I guess it falls under fallacy fallacy.
I agree with you, but my point is more broadly that in reality we often don't go through the steps "1. estimate probability" -> "2. make a decision based on the probability distribution", because step 1. is so…
There is always a prior only if you really care about computing probabilities. The implicit assumption in Bayesian data analysis is that you go first to "best possible estimate of probability", then to "decision based…
Now that's a pretentious dismissal if I ever heard one.
Controversial opinion: Bayes Theorem is overrated. In real life usually we have no idea about priors, and we have close to zero chance to get any good estimate of the true probability of something. But we can still get…
> What do you recommend using for fertiliser in its place? Horse manure :)
Another great series is Advoko: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xRSUxRUZb0I
This is like saying that the weapons advanced countries sell to less advanced countries are more "life-respecting".
Being an "early adopter" when it comes to non-essential medicine is not too smart either. Referring to IQ as a stand-in for intelligence is yet another blind alley.
That integrity of the West during and before the cold war included some nasty moves as well (Vietnam to name one). In fact, I find your thesis jingoism at its best.
I agree that in Berlin it is not as _major_ problem as in some other large cities, but still, it is telling that it is widely accepted as normal that all building corners that face the sidewalk are constantly pissed by…
It's amazing that the only danger you see is that it is fuel to anti-vaxxers. What if it is actually harmful at scale?
You are right, 50 years is probably smarter, 20 is too little for all the effects to come out.
Yet sidewalks in cities around most of the developed world drown in dog/cat poop and pee, something that would have seemed strange a generation ago, and still seems if you travel from a less pet-crazy place.
You can encode as moderately large (low hundreds of clauses/variables) SAT instances questions of Ramsey-theory and other unsolved combinatorics and those instances will not be solved by any heuristic.
I would love to take part in such an experiment and be on UBI while the rest of society is not.
I saw that a long time ago, it is hilarious.
To be fair, the "new math" of the 60s deserved that.
Most such services are contracted anyway and not on payroll.
Some of these skills (I would add: patience, focus, controlling anger, planning a few steps ahead) definitely transfer and are especially valuable to teach to children. But all these apply at the beginning already, for…
It correlates with education, income, etc. because it serves basically as a literacy test. (As in, very low IQ means you fail at most measurable things.) Once you condition on IQ>110, the correlation disappears.
A double twist is that in the original Hungarian his name is Élő that means "Live". For the first few decades of hearing "Élő"-score, I just assumed it meant your "live" score, as in your score at the current time. I…
Faster internet than Germany, while being far behind Germany by most standard socio-economic metrics.
As a counterpoint, I didn't care for the project itself so much and he had me cracking at the robot jokes.
That's an interesting response, thanks! I think where I disagree is that I think people are pretty smart, at least in one thing, which is survival -- the proof of that is that those who were not, quickly exited the gene…
There should be a named fallacy for that, "linking to a comic" -- although I guess it falls under fallacy fallacy.
I agree with you, but my point is more broadly that in reality we often don't go through the steps "1. estimate probability" -> "2. make a decision based on the probability distribution", because step 1. is so…
There is always a prior only if you really care about computing probabilities. The implicit assumption in Bayesian data analysis is that you go first to "best possible estimate of probability", then to "decision based…
Now that's a pretentious dismissal if I ever heard one.
Controversial opinion: Bayes Theorem is overrated. In real life usually we have no idea about priors, and we have close to zero chance to get any good estimate of the true probability of something. But we can still get…
> What do you recommend using for fertiliser in its place? Horse manure :)
Another great series is Advoko: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xRSUxRUZb0I
This is like saying that the weapons advanced countries sell to less advanced countries are more "life-respecting".
Being an "early adopter" when it comes to non-essential medicine is not too smart either. Referring to IQ as a stand-in for intelligence is yet another blind alley.
That integrity of the West during and before the cold war included some nasty moves as well (Vietnam to name one). In fact, I find your thesis jingoism at its best.
I agree that in Berlin it is not as _major_ problem as in some other large cities, but still, it is telling that it is widely accepted as normal that all building corners that face the sidewalk are constantly pissed by…
It's amazing that the only danger you see is that it is fuel to anti-vaxxers. What if it is actually harmful at scale?
You are right, 50 years is probably smarter, 20 is too little for all the effects to come out.
Yet sidewalks in cities around most of the developed world drown in dog/cat poop and pee, something that would have seemed strange a generation ago, and still seems if you travel from a less pet-crazy place.
You can encode as moderately large (low hundreds of clauses/variables) SAT instances questions of Ramsey-theory and other unsolved combinatorics and those instances will not be solved by any heuristic.
I would love to take part in such an experiment and be on UBI while the rest of society is not.
I saw that a long time ago, it is hilarious.
To be fair, the "new math" of the 60s deserved that.
Most such services are contracted anyway and not on payroll.
Some of these skills (I would add: patience, focus, controlling anger, planning a few steps ahead) definitely transfer and are especially valuable to teach to children. But all these apply at the beginning already, for…
It correlates with education, income, etc. because it serves basically as a literacy test. (As in, very low IQ means you fail at most measurable things.) Once you condition on IQ>110, the correlation disappears.
A double twist is that in the original Hungarian his name is Élő that means "Live". For the first few decades of hearing "Élő"-score, I just assumed it meant your "live" score, as in your score at the current time. I…
Faster internet than Germany, while being far behind Germany by most standard socio-economic metrics.
As a counterpoint, I didn't care for the project itself so much and he had me cracking at the robot jokes.