Can't do that, I'm still in hiding from GPT-3 trying to kill us all.
Ok, fair enough theyre not entirely opposed to outsiders setting up research institutes like theirs and enjoy debate (or the optics of debate) more than most. But the point wasnt that they were exclusionary, but more…
I mean, they're also gearing up for one of the largest IPOs in history to generate unprecedented amounts of wealth for themselves, and the nonprofit foundation's focus is community engagement with OpenAI products.…
It doesn't seem at all strange to me that a chatbot trained by true believers in an AI singularity and the importance of safety guardrails will give more satisfying answers to true believers in an AI singularity and the…
An important adjacent point point is the same people that are insisting that only their research can stop intelligent manipulative computers from controlling the human race are also some of the few people who believed…
Yeah, autonomous shipping makes sense for naval/coastguard drones but not much else. Shipping companies can pay most of the staff Filipino wages, and they run around doing all sorts of maintenance tasks, not just…
People vastly overestimate the subjective importance of the internet if they think people with relatively little historic exposure too and practical use for the internet would rather go hungry or have a worse marriage…
Not gonna lie, I'd rather attack with 26 fighters that haven't survived lots of jump attempts than 8 who are much more confident in their motorbike stunt riding but presumably still aren't bulletproof. But maybe they…
Founders decide they want to do other things with their lives all the time, and in the case of komoot reportedly exited at a €300m valuation for a company that had raised very little VC money, which is going to tempt…
Sure, but things like "OCR tool" or "agentic calendar assistant" or "agentic interface to CAD" don't feel like things I'd need pay 300k to build out custom infrastructure for, they feel like something lots of…
To be honest, a novelty candidate couldn't possibly do less as a constituency MP than Farage and might plausibly turn up to Parliament and take his real responsibilities more seriously. I don't think someone that runs…
> What does that have to do with it? The design licensing entity is going to get a fee per-plane from every company doing final assembly. They're going to set the fee high enough to cover their costs but not so high…
> If you want to play No True Scotsman with the overwhelming majority of this time period and insist that this wasn't 'real deflation', awesome! Feel free to. Because it's exactly these eras that I believe we ought…
Considering the design and certification is the expensive bit that needs thousands of sales to break even (want certification to be cheaper? Well I guess if you like more crashes) I'm not sure what some artificial…
There aren't any common activities where visible corpses serve to remind you that around 1% of participants don't make it back
> I'm not the one arguing about definitions. You chose to take us down that path, adding a bunch of ad hominem while simultaneously misusing the terminology you were trying to be patronizing with. I 100% agree that it's…
I mean, the "right price" for a 15 year old 787 (with a fresh new set of life limited parts and maintenance checks) is around a third of the cost of a new one and they're now starting to be parted out for their…
Problem with antitrust hammers is that once you've chopped Boeing into bits you don't end up with a competitive market with lots of new aircraft designs, you end up with a global Airbus monopoly on aircraft over 150…
The problem with fully electric airliners is physics: to achieve useful range you either need batteries with energy density that seems unfeasible or some sort of power beaming infrastructure which has its own set of…
They can order engines from RR or P&W But those companies have no commercial interest in supporting a Chinese manufacturer that just wants the blades even without export controls, when they can make much higher margins…
> In investing, you seem to be trying to derive variance from expected value, which is impossible. And risk is not the same thing as variance. It's funny, because two posts ago you wrote the words "expected value is a…
> I've also already said I fully agree that the data we're using isn't ideal in terms of inflation. It's not a case of it being not ideal. It's the case of it being an example of literally the opposite phenomenon from…
Well yeah, the relative velocity is what matters, but not everything is moving in perfectly circular concentric shells either. You've got many different inclinations and eccentricities (and drag profiles) within what's…
Without wishing to defend Tim Cook at all, there is a difference between a corporation donating to an incumbent government that seems unusually receptive to bribes (including to be left alone) and an individual CEO…
Nah, it's more akin to complaining about the number of bullets crossing your path. They don't occupy much space, but the fact they're moving at 17,500mpg means you want to ensure you avoid them, and ideally for there to…
Can't do that, I'm still in hiding from GPT-3 trying to kill us all.
Ok, fair enough theyre not entirely opposed to outsiders setting up research institutes like theirs and enjoy debate (or the optics of debate) more than most. But the point wasnt that they were exclusionary, but more…
I mean, they're also gearing up for one of the largest IPOs in history to generate unprecedented amounts of wealth for themselves, and the nonprofit foundation's focus is community engagement with OpenAI products.…
It doesn't seem at all strange to me that a chatbot trained by true believers in an AI singularity and the importance of safety guardrails will give more satisfying answers to true believers in an AI singularity and the…
An important adjacent point point is the same people that are insisting that only their research can stop intelligent manipulative computers from controlling the human race are also some of the few people who believed…
Yeah, autonomous shipping makes sense for naval/coastguard drones but not much else. Shipping companies can pay most of the staff Filipino wages, and they run around doing all sorts of maintenance tasks, not just…
People vastly overestimate the subjective importance of the internet if they think people with relatively little historic exposure too and practical use for the internet would rather go hungry or have a worse marriage…
Not gonna lie, I'd rather attack with 26 fighters that haven't survived lots of jump attempts than 8 who are much more confident in their motorbike stunt riding but presumably still aren't bulletproof. But maybe they…
Founders decide they want to do other things with their lives all the time, and in the case of komoot reportedly exited at a €300m valuation for a company that had raised very little VC money, which is going to tempt…
Sure, but things like "OCR tool" or "agentic calendar assistant" or "agentic interface to CAD" don't feel like things I'd need pay 300k to build out custom infrastructure for, they feel like something lots of…
To be honest, a novelty candidate couldn't possibly do less as a constituency MP than Farage and might plausibly turn up to Parliament and take his real responsibilities more seriously. I don't think someone that runs…
> What does that have to do with it? The design licensing entity is going to get a fee per-plane from every company doing final assembly. They're going to set the fee high enough to cover their costs but not so high…
> If you want to play No True Scotsman with the overwhelming majority of this time period and insist that this wasn't 'real deflation', awesome! Feel free to. Because it's exactly these eras that I believe we ought…
Considering the design and certification is the expensive bit that needs thousands of sales to break even (want certification to be cheaper? Well I guess if you like more crashes) I'm not sure what some artificial…
There aren't any common activities where visible corpses serve to remind you that around 1% of participants don't make it back
> I'm not the one arguing about definitions. You chose to take us down that path, adding a bunch of ad hominem while simultaneously misusing the terminology you were trying to be patronizing with. I 100% agree that it's…
I mean, the "right price" for a 15 year old 787 (with a fresh new set of life limited parts and maintenance checks) is around a third of the cost of a new one and they're now starting to be parted out for their…
Problem with antitrust hammers is that once you've chopped Boeing into bits you don't end up with a competitive market with lots of new aircraft designs, you end up with a global Airbus monopoly on aircraft over 150…
The problem with fully electric airliners is physics: to achieve useful range you either need batteries with energy density that seems unfeasible or some sort of power beaming infrastructure which has its own set of…
They can order engines from RR or P&W But those companies have no commercial interest in supporting a Chinese manufacturer that just wants the blades even without export controls, when they can make much higher margins…
> In investing, you seem to be trying to derive variance from expected value, which is impossible. And risk is not the same thing as variance. It's funny, because two posts ago you wrote the words "expected value is a…
> I've also already said I fully agree that the data we're using isn't ideal in terms of inflation. It's not a case of it being not ideal. It's the case of it being an example of literally the opposite phenomenon from…
Well yeah, the relative velocity is what matters, but not everything is moving in perfectly circular concentric shells either. You've got many different inclinations and eccentricities (and drag profiles) within what's…
Without wishing to defend Tim Cook at all, there is a difference between a corporation donating to an incumbent government that seems unusually receptive to bribes (including to be left alone) and an individual CEO…
Nah, it's more akin to complaining about the number of bullets crossing your path. They don't occupy much space, but the fact they're moving at 17,500mpg means you want to ensure you avoid them, and ideally for there to…