Love the chain of sources: Business Insider article is about this paper https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-024-49753-5 which for that factoid links to https://pubs.acs.org/doi/10.1021/acsenergylett.1c02602 which for…
The aurora was visible for me and it was remarkable how much better it looked through my phone. What were faint grey lines, at first not even something I would think was the aurora if it were any other day, came out as…
"Affordability" usually refers to cost of ownership, generally as a proportion to some sort of income metric, not the full value of the home. If home prices don't fall in unison with increased rates sufficiently then of…
regarding the stat redfin uses: homeownership" is only counting those that are head of household (which is who is responding when filling out a census), e.g. if there are ~100 genZ's, consisting of 96 that live with…
It seems the 2015 flu was limited to the US, while this one has hit Europe and Asia hard too. The global markets might have softened 2015s price impact, see how exports from US dropped and imports increased:…
People want more space. They want more space in the country. They want more space in the city. A 2 bedroom urban apt doesn't accommodate 2 people WFHing, so roommates split up, adult children move out, established…
This research[1] estimates (15.1/23.8) 64% of the increases over pandemic period to remote work change, sounds like it could be a pretty big part of the story. [1] https://www.nber.org/papers/w30041
It's hard to connect interest rates to house prices historically, but I think that's because there's two scenarios going on, with some substitutability, but a general move to the latter over the last 50-30 years due to…
In the early 80s with high inflation and therefore high mortgage rates, the first years of mortgage payments would be a relatively high percentage of income: it's very front-loaded. However, the debt owed quickly gets…
1. Theoretically a tax against potential earnings is actually good, but it's much more difficult to estimate than land prices. 2. LVT is mostly about redistributing rents, with the land use efficiency bonus as a big…
Isn't the visual identification and jamming from other events? Can you share where it is best thoroughly debunked? The stuff linked so far in this thread (Friedman podcast; pilot Lehto analysis) isn't good.
UFO-ers were using things like the rotation speed as definitive evidence of some like other-worldly advanced technology. Demonstrating that it was the glare/gimble brings it back into the realm of just a normal far-away…
I've noticed situations on the job where I've had little issues with management on my own, but experienced going out with drinks/coffees with gossipy venting colleagues and me internalizing their anger. This prima-facie…
According to this[1] you'd have ordinary workers earning 22 shillings p/w (£57.2p/y) and highest skilled labourers (firemen) sometimes earning £300, but yes the average wage seemed to be around 150[2]. (I think most…
I think this is a fair point. Also a live in maid is not comparable because it probably includes full room/board.
ok, but it even says they had a passive income (aka wealth) leading to 1/3 of that 25x maid's earnings. Many factual points in the introduction, with the modest apartment, income in today's value, and her own regard of…
" The couple’s annual income was around around £700 ($50,000 in today’s dollars)—£500 ($36,000) from his salary and another £200 ($14,000) in passive income. They rented a fourth-floor walk-up apartment in London with…
To be fair, they said the risks are evenly distributed, not that deaths are.
A classic C Shanty.
I think this covers a lot of good points and I'm happy to see it, but the final section seems like a just-so. I've wondered if the difference in bike-induced-demand=good;cars=bad follows these lines: - Roads/cars often…
I read it the same way as you. I think the slides were deemed problematic because they are inflammatory towards right-leaners or some other group, not towards Google/Facebook powers that be. The acceptable slides are…
There's lots of active traders that aren't hedge funds (day traders, prop shops, bored retirees, bored reddit users), so it's reasonable to test/bet/show if the hedge funds confidently putting themselves out as…
Op was surely referring to [Jim] Simons' medallion fund and those like it - where it's closed except to family/friends, and in Simon's case fellow colleagues', personal funds, where often a single founder holds a bulk…
The mystery was well covered on HN before due to him being a programmer and plausibly active in coding/gaming online communities: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=24981786
The 34 million calculation is only for "certain" orders. I think this means some trades would be advantageous under the RH model (small trades where a $5 fixed commission would overwhelm any percentage), some trades…
Love the chain of sources: Business Insider article is about this paper https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-024-49753-5 which for that factoid links to https://pubs.acs.org/doi/10.1021/acsenergylett.1c02602 which for…
The aurora was visible for me and it was remarkable how much better it looked through my phone. What were faint grey lines, at first not even something I would think was the aurora if it were any other day, came out as…
"Affordability" usually refers to cost of ownership, generally as a proportion to some sort of income metric, not the full value of the home. If home prices don't fall in unison with increased rates sufficiently then of…
regarding the stat redfin uses: homeownership" is only counting those that are head of household (which is who is responding when filling out a census), e.g. if there are ~100 genZ's, consisting of 96 that live with…
It seems the 2015 flu was limited to the US, while this one has hit Europe and Asia hard too. The global markets might have softened 2015s price impact, see how exports from US dropped and imports increased:…
People want more space. They want more space in the country. They want more space in the city. A 2 bedroom urban apt doesn't accommodate 2 people WFHing, so roommates split up, adult children move out, established…
This research[1] estimates (15.1/23.8) 64% of the increases over pandemic period to remote work change, sounds like it could be a pretty big part of the story. [1] https://www.nber.org/papers/w30041
It's hard to connect interest rates to house prices historically, but I think that's because there's two scenarios going on, with some substitutability, but a general move to the latter over the last 50-30 years due to…
In the early 80s with high inflation and therefore high mortgage rates, the first years of mortgage payments would be a relatively high percentage of income: it's very front-loaded. However, the debt owed quickly gets…
1. Theoretically a tax against potential earnings is actually good, but it's much more difficult to estimate than land prices. 2. LVT is mostly about redistributing rents, with the land use efficiency bonus as a big…
Isn't the visual identification and jamming from other events? Can you share where it is best thoroughly debunked? The stuff linked so far in this thread (Friedman podcast; pilot Lehto analysis) isn't good.
UFO-ers were using things like the rotation speed as definitive evidence of some like other-worldly advanced technology. Demonstrating that it was the glare/gimble brings it back into the realm of just a normal far-away…
I've noticed situations on the job where I've had little issues with management on my own, but experienced going out with drinks/coffees with gossipy venting colleagues and me internalizing their anger. This prima-facie…
According to this[1] you'd have ordinary workers earning 22 shillings p/w (£57.2p/y) and highest skilled labourers (firemen) sometimes earning £300, but yes the average wage seemed to be around 150[2]. (I think most…
I think this is a fair point. Also a live in maid is not comparable because it probably includes full room/board.
ok, but it even says they had a passive income (aka wealth) leading to 1/3 of that 25x maid's earnings. Many factual points in the introduction, with the modest apartment, income in today's value, and her own regard of…
" The couple’s annual income was around around £700 ($50,000 in today’s dollars)—£500 ($36,000) from his salary and another £200 ($14,000) in passive income. They rented a fourth-floor walk-up apartment in London with…
To be fair, they said the risks are evenly distributed, not that deaths are.
A classic C Shanty.
I think this covers a lot of good points and I'm happy to see it, but the final section seems like a just-so. I've wondered if the difference in bike-induced-demand=good;cars=bad follows these lines: - Roads/cars often…
I read it the same way as you. I think the slides were deemed problematic because they are inflammatory towards right-leaners or some other group, not towards Google/Facebook powers that be. The acceptable slides are…
There's lots of active traders that aren't hedge funds (day traders, prop shops, bored retirees, bored reddit users), so it's reasonable to test/bet/show if the hedge funds confidently putting themselves out as…
Op was surely referring to [Jim] Simons' medallion fund and those like it - where it's closed except to family/friends, and in Simon's case fellow colleagues', personal funds, where often a single founder holds a bulk…
The mystery was well covered on HN before due to him being a programmer and plausibly active in coding/gaming online communities: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=24981786
The 34 million calculation is only for "certain" orders. I think this means some trades would be advantageous under the RH model (small trades where a $5 fixed commission would overwhelm any percentage), some trades…