This technique is called "SHOUT HERE, ARGUMENT WEAK". > easily verifiable information in this thread As others have pointed out, none of the information you've posted in this thread supports the conclusion you think it…
> which is a meaningless tautology, as the entire argument is about the definition of vaccinated used by the public health agencies. The ONS mortality stats linked to by kadkadels at the start of the thread contain data…
> The statistically invalid time-windowing games the public health agencies all played in which people who had taken vaccines were classed as unvaccinated As I have just replied to the other commenter, the ONS data he…
The ONS data linked the comment you're replying to is clear that it counts "vaccinated" from the day of vaccination. What ONS data are you referring to which "used to have the obvious flaw that people dropping dead 3…
Where does this "publisher/platform" meme come from? It's completely incorrect but I keep seeing it. https://www.techdirt.com/2020/06/23/hello-youve-been-referre... for more.
> But even if science proposes God as the hypothesis at step 3, the next problem comes at step 4: how are you going to test it? "Um, God, could you do that again? And, um, sign it this time?" You can't run the…
Or consider Elijah and the priests of Baal in 1 Kings 18. Pretty good empirical demonstration there. Of course, if the priests of Baal had the equivalent of a modern Christian apologist in their ranks, things might have…
Thanks. Vim links on your page appear to be broken, btw.
What happens is that the nutters follow and reply to popular threads (see epidemiology Twitter during the pandemic, for example). If there are more of them, Twitter loses value. Twitter has started to let you control…
That's not how Section 230 works: it's explicitly designed so that some editing does not open you to full liability for user provided content (but it's common to think it does the opposite).…
> But, it's not the same thing at all, because if you were to separate yourself from the violinist, they would die from their disease / from not being given very extraordinary aid, but if you were to separate yourself…
The Redditors on /r/cambridge routinely tell American applicants that the whole "extra-curriculars" thing is only relevant if whatever you did demonstrates enthusiasm for or ability in your subject, both of which you…
This is called "whataboutery". It's also disingenuous. In general, there's a fast statistic about COVID deaths, which is something like "deaths within N days of a positive PCR". This will catch some people who died for…
Berenson is a crank: https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2021/04/pandemics-...
The first sentence of the article is that it's about "People who are fully vaccinated against Covid yet catch the virus". If the vaccines don't lower P(transmission|infection) but do lower P(infection), then they lower…
This is incorrect: we don't know the rates, because we don't know the denominators. Published figures use estimated denominators: "because the proportion of unvaccinated people is small and the NIMS population estimates…
They can in the UK. Back in January, the QRA Typhoons chasing an unresponsive aircraft back in January went right overhead at 10000 ft at supersonic speeds. That was loud:…
> Seems like the school culture can shape behavior and varies a lot. Like other universities, things are also going to differ between subjects. But OxBridge has autonomous colleges which provide undergrad accommodation…
Certainly on Twitter, hyping ivermectin as the cure is also good Bayesian evidence that the speaker also believes a bunch of unevidenced or plain wrong things about Covid19.
Samsung bought what was advertised as mobile handset business after CSR failed to spot that combo BT/Wifi chips were the future and threw away their lead. Qualcomm got the rest a few years later. ("what was advertised…
I investigated this once (while I was sitting around doing not much during a 3 month notice period, funnily enough). It's as you say, the breach of a contract is something where the employer would have to sue you for…
> The UK Government is arresting people who film empty hospitals: The police arrested one person who walked, mask-less, though quiet public areas of a busy hospital (and was abusive when challenged by hospital workers).…
> Right now most tests are using over 40 cycles This is misleading. The number of cycles used is irrelevant. Reference: https://virologydownunder.com/the-false-positive-pcr-problem... (from someone who has actually used…
Comparing winter excess death peaks, where government interventions (like lockdowns) didn't occur, with COVID19 peaks doesn't tell you what would have happened without the interventions. You (I think) say the…
> Excess deaths is not the same thing as "deaths caused by COVID". This conflation relies on the assumption that you can virtually empty hospitals out and have no effect on mortality at all, which is absurd. I know that…
This technique is called "SHOUT HERE, ARGUMENT WEAK". > easily verifiable information in this thread As others have pointed out, none of the information you've posted in this thread supports the conclusion you think it…
> which is a meaningless tautology, as the entire argument is about the definition of vaccinated used by the public health agencies. The ONS mortality stats linked to by kadkadels at the start of the thread contain data…
> The statistically invalid time-windowing games the public health agencies all played in which people who had taken vaccines were classed as unvaccinated As I have just replied to the other commenter, the ONS data he…
The ONS data linked the comment you're replying to is clear that it counts "vaccinated" from the day of vaccination. What ONS data are you referring to which "used to have the obvious flaw that people dropping dead 3…
Where does this "publisher/platform" meme come from? It's completely incorrect but I keep seeing it. https://www.techdirt.com/2020/06/23/hello-youve-been-referre... for more.
> But even if science proposes God as the hypothesis at step 3, the next problem comes at step 4: how are you going to test it? "Um, God, could you do that again? And, um, sign it this time?" You can't run the…
Or consider Elijah and the priests of Baal in 1 Kings 18. Pretty good empirical demonstration there. Of course, if the priests of Baal had the equivalent of a modern Christian apologist in their ranks, things might have…
Thanks. Vim links on your page appear to be broken, btw.
What happens is that the nutters follow and reply to popular threads (see epidemiology Twitter during the pandemic, for example). If there are more of them, Twitter loses value. Twitter has started to let you control…
That's not how Section 230 works: it's explicitly designed so that some editing does not open you to full liability for user provided content (but it's common to think it does the opposite).…
> But, it's not the same thing at all, because if you were to separate yourself from the violinist, they would die from their disease / from not being given very extraordinary aid, but if you were to separate yourself…
The Redditors on /r/cambridge routinely tell American applicants that the whole "extra-curriculars" thing is only relevant if whatever you did demonstrates enthusiasm for or ability in your subject, both of which you…
This is called "whataboutery". It's also disingenuous. In general, there's a fast statistic about COVID deaths, which is something like "deaths within N days of a positive PCR". This will catch some people who died for…
Berenson is a crank: https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2021/04/pandemics-...
The first sentence of the article is that it's about "People who are fully vaccinated against Covid yet catch the virus". If the vaccines don't lower P(transmission|infection) but do lower P(infection), then they lower…
This is incorrect: we don't know the rates, because we don't know the denominators. Published figures use estimated denominators: "because the proportion of unvaccinated people is small and the NIMS population estimates…
They can in the UK. Back in January, the QRA Typhoons chasing an unresponsive aircraft back in January went right overhead at 10000 ft at supersonic speeds. That was loud:…
> Seems like the school culture can shape behavior and varies a lot. Like other universities, things are also going to differ between subjects. But OxBridge has autonomous colleges which provide undergrad accommodation…
Certainly on Twitter, hyping ivermectin as the cure is also good Bayesian evidence that the speaker also believes a bunch of unevidenced or plain wrong things about Covid19.
Samsung bought what was advertised as mobile handset business after CSR failed to spot that combo BT/Wifi chips were the future and threw away their lead. Qualcomm got the rest a few years later. ("what was advertised…
I investigated this once (while I was sitting around doing not much during a 3 month notice period, funnily enough). It's as you say, the breach of a contract is something where the employer would have to sue you for…
> The UK Government is arresting people who film empty hospitals: The police arrested one person who walked, mask-less, though quiet public areas of a busy hospital (and was abusive when challenged by hospital workers).…
> Right now most tests are using over 40 cycles This is misleading. The number of cycles used is irrelevant. Reference: https://virologydownunder.com/the-false-positive-pcr-problem... (from someone who has actually used…
Comparing winter excess death peaks, where government interventions (like lockdowns) didn't occur, with COVID19 peaks doesn't tell you what would have happened without the interventions. You (I think) say the…
> Excess deaths is not the same thing as "deaths caused by COVID". This conflation relies on the assumption that you can virtually empty hospitals out and have no effect on mortality at all, which is absurd. I know that…