I mean, yeah? That's why in my workflow I don't write single monster specs. Rather, I work with the LLM to iterate on small, individual, highly constrained specs that provide useful context for what/why/how -- stories,…
As a homeowner I literally pay a fee every month to fund the construction and maintenance of the infrastructure that gets water to my home. If that water supply is cut off without valid reason, there is a complaint…
Yup, fair. I tried to acknowledge that in my paragraph about KYC in a follow-up edit to one of my earlier comments, but I agree, the language I've been using has been intentionally quite strong, and sometimes…
So let's consider the possibilities: #1. Facebook did everything they could to evaluate Flo as a company and the data they were receiving, but they simply had no way to tell that the data was illegally acquired and…
That's not my problem to solve? If Facebook chooses to build a system that can ingest massive amounts of third party data, and cannot simultaneously develop a system to vet that data to determine if it's been illegally…
Yeah, sorry, no, I have to disagree. We're seeing this broad trend in tech where we just want to shrug and say "gee wiz, the machine did it all on its own, who could've guessed that would happen, it's not really our…
It's also called "liability". "Warning, this washing machine might burn your house down" is not sufficient to escape punishment. Why should digital technology get a pass just because the product that's offered is…
Sure, when applied thoughtfully and judiciously. Look back. At no point did I suggest AI should be banned or outlawed. My remedy for washing machines burning down houses isn't to ban washing machines. It's to ensure…
I have nothing to add other than to say this is, IMO, exactly right. I have no notes.
Or sweatshops or radium infused tinctures. We've moved on from the 1800s. Why are you using that as your baseline of expectation?
This is the story of the modern tech industry at large: a major new technology is released, harms are caused, but because of industry norms and a favourable legal environment, companies aren't held liable for those…
> It's a logical presumption. Researchers discover things. AGI is a researcher that can be scaled, research faster, and requires no downtime. Those observations only lead to scaling research linearly, not exponentially.…
> Progress has been exponential in the generic. Has it? Really? Consider theoretical physics, which hasn't significantly advancement since the advent of general relativity and quantum theory. Or neurology, where we…
The parent is referring to the "buy, borrow, die" strategy of wealth accumulation. Would that work in your parent's specific circumstance? Maybe? Maybe not? But taking a low interest loan against assets as a method of…
> There are many ways to make consumption taxes not regressive. You can implement refunds up to certain threshold. You can use the revenue to fund services used by lower income families Every one of those "solutions" is…
> And given we lack the technical ability to fully understand global warming I'm sorry, what? We have total understanding of global warming: 1) CO2 traps heat, we know that from basic lab experiments, and 2) we're…
Yeah, LLMs share a lot of the same challenges as self-driving cars: when they work great, we get complacent, and then when they fail, they fail in ways that humans are really bad at anticipating. And the discourse…
> Conservative ideology views government research as inefficient compared to private sector research, something I generally agree with. I'd agree that's generally true when a profit motive is identifiable. Absent that,…
It says a lot about the current discourse around AI that 6 years ago Marcus would write: > Despite all of the problems I have sketched, I don’t think that we need to abandon deep learning. And that would somehow be…
[dead]
I mean, yeah? That's why in my workflow I don't write single monster specs. Rather, I work with the LLM to iterate on small, individual, highly constrained specs that provide useful context for what/why/how -- stories,…
As a homeowner I literally pay a fee every month to fund the construction and maintenance of the infrastructure that gets water to my home. If that water supply is cut off without valid reason, there is a complaint…
Yup, fair. I tried to acknowledge that in my paragraph about KYC in a follow-up edit to one of my earlier comments, but I agree, the language I've been using has been intentionally quite strong, and sometimes…
So let's consider the possibilities: #1. Facebook did everything they could to evaluate Flo as a company and the data they were receiving, but they simply had no way to tell that the data was illegally acquired and…
That's not my problem to solve? If Facebook chooses to build a system that can ingest massive amounts of third party data, and cannot simultaneously develop a system to vet that data to determine if it's been illegally…
Yeah, sorry, no, I have to disagree. We're seeing this broad trend in tech where we just want to shrug and say "gee wiz, the machine did it all on its own, who could've guessed that would happen, it's not really our…
It's also called "liability". "Warning, this washing machine might burn your house down" is not sufficient to escape punishment. Why should digital technology get a pass just because the product that's offered is…
Sure, when applied thoughtfully and judiciously. Look back. At no point did I suggest AI should be banned or outlawed. My remedy for washing machines burning down houses isn't to ban washing machines. It's to ensure…
I have nothing to add other than to say this is, IMO, exactly right. I have no notes.
Or sweatshops or radium infused tinctures. We've moved on from the 1800s. Why are you using that as your baseline of expectation?
This is the story of the modern tech industry at large: a major new technology is released, harms are caused, but because of industry norms and a favourable legal environment, companies aren't held liable for those…
> It's a logical presumption. Researchers discover things. AGI is a researcher that can be scaled, research faster, and requires no downtime. Those observations only lead to scaling research linearly, not exponentially.…
> Progress has been exponential in the generic. Has it? Really? Consider theoretical physics, which hasn't significantly advancement since the advent of general relativity and quantum theory. Or neurology, where we…
The parent is referring to the "buy, borrow, die" strategy of wealth accumulation. Would that work in your parent's specific circumstance? Maybe? Maybe not? But taking a low interest loan against assets as a method of…
> There are many ways to make consumption taxes not regressive. You can implement refunds up to certain threshold. You can use the revenue to fund services used by lower income families Every one of those "solutions" is…
> And given we lack the technical ability to fully understand global warming I'm sorry, what? We have total understanding of global warming: 1) CO2 traps heat, we know that from basic lab experiments, and 2) we're…
Yeah, LLMs share a lot of the same challenges as self-driving cars: when they work great, we get complacent, and then when they fail, they fail in ways that humans are really bad at anticipating. And the discourse…
> Conservative ideology views government research as inefficient compared to private sector research, something I generally agree with. I'd agree that's generally true when a profit motive is identifiable. Absent that,…
It says a lot about the current discourse around AI that 6 years ago Marcus would write: > Despite all of the problems I have sketched, I don’t think that we need to abandon deep learning. And that would somehow be…
[dead]
[dead]
[dead]