There is little evidence for wine being better than other alcoholic drinks. For example, see https://www.health.harvard.edu/blog/is-red-wine-good-actuall... Most of the claimed benefits are either from observational…
My favorite story when I hear someone dismiss an argument saying 'that is obvious': Lazarsfeld was writing about “The American Soldier”, a recently published study of over 600,000 servicemen, conducted by the research…
Nice summary of the Nassim-Nate debate. A formal analysis/discussion of election forecasting is in this paper: http://www.stat.columbia.edu/~gelman/research/published/jdm2... Edward says that Nate's prediction should be…
Greenwald was not claiming he is breaking the story. He was trying to shed light into the media blacklisting of the story. It is indeed Ironic that his story got blacklisted as well! I think some editors are perhaps…
I don't get this obsession with comparing Sweden, a remote, sparsely-populated country, to more dense, well-connected, large population centers. If you really want to compare Sweden, please restrict your comparisons to…
Yes, I agree. This issue is super-nuanced and I believe Mark has spent years (since the 2016 election fiasco) looking into this as well as being advised by top minds to arrive at his current position. These employees…
> I'll go out on a limb, and say that the existence of police unions is not the most important factor behind police brutality, and the killing of people of colour by police, in the US. Hard to say if it is the most…
John's analysis is cherry picking in many ways. Death rate in Diamond Princess is 1.1% today and 2% is listed as severe. Assuming 50% of severe make it, final fatality rate for the ship may end up closer to 2%. John…
Classics have a way to taking things to extreme to illustrate various points. The Gulag example highlights that when a person had a choice to take the road to the left (selfish) or the right (selfless), they took the…
There is little evidence for wine being better than other alcoholic drinks. For example, see https://www.health.harvard.edu/blog/is-red-wine-good-actuall... Most of the claimed benefits are either from observational…
My favorite story when I hear someone dismiss an argument saying 'that is obvious': Lazarsfeld was writing about “The American Soldier”, a recently published study of over 600,000 servicemen, conducted by the research…
Nice summary of the Nassim-Nate debate. A formal analysis/discussion of election forecasting is in this paper: http://www.stat.columbia.edu/~gelman/research/published/jdm2... Edward says that Nate's prediction should be…
Greenwald was not claiming he is breaking the story. He was trying to shed light into the media blacklisting of the story. It is indeed Ironic that his story got blacklisted as well! I think some editors are perhaps…
I don't get this obsession with comparing Sweden, a remote, sparsely-populated country, to more dense, well-connected, large population centers. If you really want to compare Sweden, please restrict your comparisons to…
Yes, I agree. This issue is super-nuanced and I believe Mark has spent years (since the 2016 election fiasco) looking into this as well as being advised by top minds to arrive at his current position. These employees…
> I'll go out on a limb, and say that the existence of police unions is not the most important factor behind police brutality, and the killing of people of colour by police, in the US. Hard to say if it is the most…
John's analysis is cherry picking in many ways. Death rate in Diamond Princess is 1.1% today and 2% is listed as severe. Assuming 50% of severe make it, final fatality rate for the ship may end up closer to 2%. John…
Classics have a way to taking things to extreme to illustrate various points. The Gulag example highlights that when a person had a choice to take the road to the left (selfish) or the right (selfless), they took the…