IQ is not randomly distributed in heterogeneous populations. Do a little research, and you'll see what I mean.
I guarantee you that you do NOT know someone who tested B2 using an actual proctored Goethe Institute test, after only using DuoLingo. > Why would I changed? Exactly.
To be fair, Mensa is a Venn diagram between IQ and being a douche.
Look at GDP growth (it's not great). Where are the sales coming from? The modal revenue boost to Mag-7 companies since Covid has been a profitless tech firm wasting venture money whose source was debt enabled by low…
I disagree. The massive divergence between US household income and European household income since 2009 tracks almost perfectly Fed interest-rate policy and government deficit spending. The federal government has spent…
I'll let you in on something. The "inexplicable" success is Fed interest-rate policy plus deficit spending.
I speak 4 foreign languages, at (fully tested through exams like the DALF, DELE, Goethe Institute) levels of C2, C1, C1 and B2. Take an actual test proving your knowledge and get back to me. I've spent a lot of time…
Agreed, but look at it the other way. Do you really think we'll never again have a recession? Some people genuinely believe that.
Not completely. It just means you can have an AI do the useless busywork instead of a human. Something can be economically useful but still have proponents in a firm.
In my experience, people who make fun of AI's ability to eliminate white-collar work are exactly the same people who are white-knuckling it, hoping they can make another $300k next year to buy that Rivian. People who…
Yes. I was specifically referring to Zitron's circular-financing complaints. I can't defend his separate claims that AI just isn't that useful. If he were involved in the tech industry, he'd know how preposterous those…
I agree that the specific amounts invested in AI aren't enough to cause a calamity directly. The problem is you have the vise of a stock-market decline on one side (something basically everyone thinks is impossible),…
I think it's fair to call his specific predictions "early." I'm saying his timelines are too short. Like almost all bearish market commentators, he doesn't understand the scope of the government stimulus. This is a…
How well I remember people pointing to the scoreboard in early 2008...
I don't know about Chegg, but the fundamental problem with Duolingo is their product does nothing to teach people a foreign language. The nasty reality of that product is if you go through their entire learning tree in…
I don't think Zitron is wrong, exactly. He's just early. There are a lot of analysts who have faced the same criticism over the past 10-15 years. IMO the issue is that they fail to understand the staggering size and…
Isn't it super easy for the community to just replace HuggingFace? Isn't it pretty much just a repo/index for open-weight models? Why is it even worth anything?
Humans will never be "multiplanetary" without something like warp drive.
ChatGPT estimates Tesla has received $33B in government money directly and indirectly. My guess is it’s much more, since there are intangible benefits such as free marketing. For SpaceX the estimate is $35B+. The reason…
It doesn't require "lying," per se. It just requires hiding the truth, kind of like what Musk has done for dozens of his other ventures. You do know that SpaceX owns Twitter now, for example? You do know that he tricked…
Here's an OK article on the topic: https://archive.is/eKCJu Starlink is almost certainly playing games with capex and depreciation to appear profitable when it is not. They're also using political patronage to get…
To me, the bigger issue with SpaceX is that there's no real argument for how space exploration will benefit humanity in any tangible way. Humans cannot live sustainably on Mars or the moon -- that's just a straight-up…
The Fed can still declare some kind of financial emergency and increase the money printing again. My guess is this is likely, given the sway that tech CEOs have over the White House, and the reality of overseas…
Fine. Not smuggling then “advocating”. It doesn’t actually matter, since it hurts the overall force of his point. Like, if he’s detected this trend why not learn from it himself?
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IQ is not randomly distributed in heterogeneous populations. Do a little research, and you'll see what I mean.
I guarantee you that you do NOT know someone who tested B2 using an actual proctored Goethe Institute test, after only using DuoLingo. > Why would I changed? Exactly.
To be fair, Mensa is a Venn diagram between IQ and being a douche.
Look at GDP growth (it's not great). Where are the sales coming from? The modal revenue boost to Mag-7 companies since Covid has been a profitless tech firm wasting venture money whose source was debt enabled by low…
I disagree. The massive divergence between US household income and European household income since 2009 tracks almost perfectly Fed interest-rate policy and government deficit spending. The federal government has spent…
I'll let you in on something. The "inexplicable" success is Fed interest-rate policy plus deficit spending.
I speak 4 foreign languages, at (fully tested through exams like the DALF, DELE, Goethe Institute) levels of C2, C1, C1 and B2. Take an actual test proving your knowledge and get back to me. I've spent a lot of time…
Agreed, but look at it the other way. Do you really think we'll never again have a recession? Some people genuinely believe that.
Not completely. It just means you can have an AI do the useless busywork instead of a human. Something can be economically useful but still have proponents in a firm.
In my experience, people who make fun of AI's ability to eliminate white-collar work are exactly the same people who are white-knuckling it, hoping they can make another $300k next year to buy that Rivian. People who…
Yes. I was specifically referring to Zitron's circular-financing complaints. I can't defend his separate claims that AI just isn't that useful. If he were involved in the tech industry, he'd know how preposterous those…
I agree that the specific amounts invested in AI aren't enough to cause a calamity directly. The problem is you have the vise of a stock-market decline on one side (something basically everyone thinks is impossible),…
I think it's fair to call his specific predictions "early." I'm saying his timelines are too short. Like almost all bearish market commentators, he doesn't understand the scope of the government stimulus. This is a…
How well I remember people pointing to the scoreboard in early 2008...
I don't know about Chegg, but the fundamental problem with Duolingo is their product does nothing to teach people a foreign language. The nasty reality of that product is if you go through their entire learning tree in…
I don't think Zitron is wrong, exactly. He's just early. There are a lot of analysts who have faced the same criticism over the past 10-15 years. IMO the issue is that they fail to understand the staggering size and…
Isn't it super easy for the community to just replace HuggingFace? Isn't it pretty much just a repo/index for open-weight models? Why is it even worth anything?
Humans will never be "multiplanetary" without something like warp drive.
ChatGPT estimates Tesla has received $33B in government money directly and indirectly. My guess is it’s much more, since there are intangible benefits such as free marketing. For SpaceX the estimate is $35B+. The reason…
It doesn't require "lying," per se. It just requires hiding the truth, kind of like what Musk has done for dozens of his other ventures. You do know that SpaceX owns Twitter now, for example? You do know that he tricked…
Here's an OK article on the topic: https://archive.is/eKCJu Starlink is almost certainly playing games with capex and depreciation to appear profitable when it is not. They're also using political patronage to get…
To me, the bigger issue with SpaceX is that there's no real argument for how space exploration will benefit humanity in any tangible way. Humans cannot live sustainably on Mars or the moon -- that's just a straight-up…
The Fed can still declare some kind of financial emergency and increase the money printing again. My guess is this is likely, given the sway that tech CEOs have over the White House, and the reality of overseas…
Fine. Not smuggling then “advocating”. It doesn’t actually matter, since it hurts the overall force of his point. Like, if he’s detected this trend why not learn from it himself?
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