The way to prevent pileups is not to assume that everything will work correctly, including every system on every car. It's to assume that every single thing that could break, will break, and design enough resiliency in…
Many bus routes are designed with stopping/break points, including limiting route lengths so that operators aren't stuck in these conditions. Yes, at 5pm in a major city, a bus driver might pull up next to a convenience…
Great, so when a deer jumps into the middle of the highway the size of the ensuing pileup is twenty times larger. I don't particularly think we should use technology to push efficiency to the point where a mechanical…
At a systems level, transportation is something we have to be very, very careful about, because if you get it wrong, you start excluding entire groups of people from being a functional part of your society just because…
The way this is typically handled is through compartmentalization, where no one working has enough of a global view to be able to claim that the behaviour is problematic. There's a lot that's problematic that we suspect…
There's no requirement that the mesh be IP-based or function as a layer-3 router... Even if it were IP-bsaed, it would be extremely straightforward for one box to send a UDP message to another, and receive and…
Imagine you walk up to a shelf and all the prices reconfigure based on a model of the most you would be willing to spend for each item, including putting fake "normal" prices so that the "sale" price you are shown is…
Baked model hardware is not the next step in the chain here, in the next 2-3 years we might hopefully see some HBF (high bandwidth flash) hardware to try and get at same memory bandwidth today at a somewhat lower price…
Keep in mind that what previous work has done on a single chip with weights baked in was on a 8b parameter model. Sol is likely something in the 5T parameter range, perhaps higher. Serving the whole thing at BF16 is on…
The five year project likely represents a bunch of engineers that are stuck in meetings and coordination for 75% of their time, then you staff the project with more people (because you need four times as many) then they…
This is starting to be done for very high value plants (think chip fabs, large datacenters, that kind of thing. When the infrastructure is a $10b expense it's worth it). Small plants in the middle of nowhere, especially…
I've seen similar things in this decade. Lots of stuff still running where the last change in design was 20+ years ago, the current team knows how to keep the lights on and replace parts, and calls a vendor if something…
We currently use a small US contract manufacturer that works pretty much as you say. The turn times are terrible (7+ weeks, not 7 days), and this is a major issue, but there are exactly two reasons we continue to use…
The improvements were for things governments (fuel/pollution efficiency) and insurers (safety) wanted, not necessarily you. A new 2010 Toyota likely wouldn't even be legal to sell today in many jurisdictions, and this…
Run on server, chroot into target environment, configure compiler flags for eventual target, done. It's really just an afternoon of setup and then the problem is solved.
Who actually pays for what and how is so mangled that if you want to reallocate someone to another project (or even just pay them out of a different pool of funds!) often the easiest approach is to rehire them through a…
There's likely always going to be value in limiting the number of $200k+ SWEs you have to pay. But that's not the interesting case. What about the $10k/year offshored employees that are getting replaced by AI call…
There's a lot of maintenance that is much easier/cheaper to do when the apartment is unoccupied, so the default is "do nothing, then when the tenant moves out in a year or two, do a couple years of maintenance much more…
Uber's situation is exactly the same. OpenAI is offering inference for a bunch of industries at prices that make it more competitive than hiring humans to do the same work. If the break-even price to actually provide…
One heuristic I use to avoid this exact problem is "minimize the number of places that the next poor soul has to look in order to understand how this code works", where place is loosely defined as about the number of…
Mobile users (or other locked down devices where adblockers are forbidden) are still a decent chunk of traffic. It's much easier to just read the overview and not click through to the ad infestation, or even use a…
1. Americans got a bit poorer due to inflation. 2. Brand quality went down to equivalent or less of no-name dropshipped goods in order to keep similar dollar prices for goods. 3. Cost of real estate spiked incredibly,…
It allows the code to be fully public domain, so you can use it anywhere, while very strongly discouraging random people from forking it, patching it, etc. Even still, the tests that are most applicable to ensuring that…
My 10hr drives usually have 2 stops at 30mins-1hr each, for food. Unfortunately, stopping at a restaurant for a meal doesn't leave the vehicle in a location that has a charger, for the most part. Other parts of the…
Something to consider is that in a secure environment like LANL, and especially for a non-standard or one-off process, it's likely that there is no computer system that everyone has access to with all the information.…
The way to prevent pileups is not to assume that everything will work correctly, including every system on every car. It's to assume that every single thing that could break, will break, and design enough resiliency in…
Many bus routes are designed with stopping/break points, including limiting route lengths so that operators aren't stuck in these conditions. Yes, at 5pm in a major city, a bus driver might pull up next to a convenience…
Great, so when a deer jumps into the middle of the highway the size of the ensuing pileup is twenty times larger. I don't particularly think we should use technology to push efficiency to the point where a mechanical…
At a systems level, transportation is something we have to be very, very careful about, because if you get it wrong, you start excluding entire groups of people from being a functional part of your society just because…
The way this is typically handled is through compartmentalization, where no one working has enough of a global view to be able to claim that the behaviour is problematic. There's a lot that's problematic that we suspect…
There's no requirement that the mesh be IP-based or function as a layer-3 router... Even if it were IP-bsaed, it would be extremely straightforward for one box to send a UDP message to another, and receive and…
Imagine you walk up to a shelf and all the prices reconfigure based on a model of the most you would be willing to spend for each item, including putting fake "normal" prices so that the "sale" price you are shown is…
Baked model hardware is not the next step in the chain here, in the next 2-3 years we might hopefully see some HBF (high bandwidth flash) hardware to try and get at same memory bandwidth today at a somewhat lower price…
Keep in mind that what previous work has done on a single chip with weights baked in was on a 8b parameter model. Sol is likely something in the 5T parameter range, perhaps higher. Serving the whole thing at BF16 is on…
The five year project likely represents a bunch of engineers that are stuck in meetings and coordination for 75% of their time, then you staff the project with more people (because you need four times as many) then they…
This is starting to be done for very high value plants (think chip fabs, large datacenters, that kind of thing. When the infrastructure is a $10b expense it's worth it). Small plants in the middle of nowhere, especially…
I've seen similar things in this decade. Lots of stuff still running where the last change in design was 20+ years ago, the current team knows how to keep the lights on and replace parts, and calls a vendor if something…
We currently use a small US contract manufacturer that works pretty much as you say. The turn times are terrible (7+ weeks, not 7 days), and this is a major issue, but there are exactly two reasons we continue to use…
The improvements were for things governments (fuel/pollution efficiency) and insurers (safety) wanted, not necessarily you. A new 2010 Toyota likely wouldn't even be legal to sell today in many jurisdictions, and this…
Run on server, chroot into target environment, configure compiler flags for eventual target, done. It's really just an afternoon of setup and then the problem is solved.
Who actually pays for what and how is so mangled that if you want to reallocate someone to another project (or even just pay them out of a different pool of funds!) often the easiest approach is to rehire them through a…
There's likely always going to be value in limiting the number of $200k+ SWEs you have to pay. But that's not the interesting case. What about the $10k/year offshored employees that are getting replaced by AI call…
There's a lot of maintenance that is much easier/cheaper to do when the apartment is unoccupied, so the default is "do nothing, then when the tenant moves out in a year or two, do a couple years of maintenance much more…
Uber's situation is exactly the same. OpenAI is offering inference for a bunch of industries at prices that make it more competitive than hiring humans to do the same work. If the break-even price to actually provide…
One heuristic I use to avoid this exact problem is "minimize the number of places that the next poor soul has to look in order to understand how this code works", where place is loosely defined as about the number of…
Mobile users (or other locked down devices where adblockers are forbidden) are still a decent chunk of traffic. It's much easier to just read the overview and not click through to the ad infestation, or even use a…
1. Americans got a bit poorer due to inflation. 2. Brand quality went down to equivalent or less of no-name dropshipped goods in order to keep similar dollar prices for goods. 3. Cost of real estate spiked incredibly,…
It allows the code to be fully public domain, so you can use it anywhere, while very strongly discouraging random people from forking it, patching it, etc. Even still, the tests that are most applicable to ensuring that…
My 10hr drives usually have 2 stops at 30mins-1hr each, for food. Unfortunately, stopping at a restaurant for a meal doesn't leave the vehicle in a location that has a charger, for the most part. Other parts of the…
Something to consider is that in a secure environment like LANL, and especially for a non-standard or one-off process, it's likely that there is no computer system that everyone has access to with all the information.…