There is no model of the market that can remain stably accurate because the market will inevitably incorporate the insights of any model that is accurate until those insights are no longer accurate
I didn't know they had Panda Expresses in the wild
I assume in that situation they would be targeted specifically with ASATs at the beginning of the conflict, with the denial of LEO then preventing us from launching replacement sats.
We also have visual navigation systems that can use satellite imagery to produce guidance packages. They will become increasingly less useful the longer the imagery goes without updates after a Kessler syndrome type…
This happened after I stopped working for the DOD, but I am 99% sure the program in question during this incident was something I worked on. It was effectively an anomaly detection system for identifying any weird…
Bullshit. Even if you don't think LLMs alone are enabling that level of advancement, GPUs in general very much are. They are the critical enabling technology underlying self-driving cars, autonomous drones, camera-based…
You are not disproving but rather reinforcing my point. Amazon survived the dotcom bubble precisely because they could hope to do more than deliver physical books. It was a more flexible, generally applicable business…
I think actually it's quite the opposite and you're the one conflating the impacts on a narrow market space with the larger economy. Right now, AI dominates growth in the stock market and demand for chips, but it is by…
That math is very much general purpose. It's just linear algebra under the hood, and linear algebra is a wildly useful toolkit with an unbounded set of potential applications, including many applications other than…
Fair, but my point is that a data center is not pets.com. They are a much more flexible asset, and are even more flexible than AI itself. Pets.com failed because the physical delivery infrastructure and consumer buying…
I have generally been bullish on data centers independent of how AI demand/load evolves. People will find a way to use that compute, even if it isn't the precise use we expect. As scale increases and the price per…
Do you mean is there anyone who thinks that the future is NOT local models anyway? Since that seems to be the gist of your other points
Humanity might be able to, humans cannot
I'm shocked Netflix hasn't just settled to keep this quiet, because the entire situation makes them look not only like an abusive, discriminatory employer but even worse, horrifically incompetent at being abusive and…
You can't have an HR policy that discriminates against people for receiving mental health treatment from a physician, that is plainly illegal under multiple statutes both federally and in the state of California. This…
Yes, it seems likely they violated California's Fair Employment and Housing Act (FEHA) and the federal Americans with Disabilities Act (ADA) based on the details I have seen so far. The EEOC’s mental-health guidance…
That is a hopelessly naive description of lobbying, to the point that I assume you are being intentionally disingenuous. Lobbyists commonly funnel money to politicians via fundraiser bundling, donations to outside…
I stopped cooking with nonstick pans over 15 years ago, and the only thing I've found that can consistently be a bit tricky is eggs, but really only if the pan isn't hot enough yet when you add the butter or oil, you…
I don't get why decoupling insurance from employment isn't a bigger part of the healthcare reform discourse. It's the most obvious, easiest, lowest hanging fruit for improving the US healthcare system, and almost…
Every other country is responsible. But in proportion to their wealth and power, and the US is far and away the wealthiest and most powerful country in the world so we bear an outsized share of the responsibility for…
> A similar dilemma faces PACER. Overwhelmingly, PACER is used by attorneys, who are generally well-compensated professionals with a whole host of protectionist policies insulating them from market forces. One of those…
This analysis is almost bafflingly stupid. They conflate domain expertise with coding expertise, and then assess that people with domain expertise demonstrate great success at coding tasks, which suggests coding agents…
Literally does not work for me at all, just keeps reloading and spinning. I'm not even on my VPN. Really frustrating dealing with these things lately.
Man, I really freaking hate cloudflare bot checks. I can't even access this site, which I presume is just a few kilobytes of simple static HTML with some straightforward text content. I shouldn't have to work this hard…
That's not true. ITAR and security clearance are entirely separate regulatory regimes. For ITAR purposes, being a permanent resident is good enough. I used to work for a defense contractor, and we hired plenty of green…
There is no model of the market that can remain stably accurate because the market will inevitably incorporate the insights of any model that is accurate until those insights are no longer accurate
I didn't know they had Panda Expresses in the wild
I assume in that situation they would be targeted specifically with ASATs at the beginning of the conflict, with the denial of LEO then preventing us from launching replacement sats.
We also have visual navigation systems that can use satellite imagery to produce guidance packages. They will become increasingly less useful the longer the imagery goes without updates after a Kessler syndrome type…
This happened after I stopped working for the DOD, but I am 99% sure the program in question during this incident was something I worked on. It was effectively an anomaly detection system for identifying any weird…
Bullshit. Even if you don't think LLMs alone are enabling that level of advancement, GPUs in general very much are. They are the critical enabling technology underlying self-driving cars, autonomous drones, camera-based…
You are not disproving but rather reinforcing my point. Amazon survived the dotcom bubble precisely because they could hope to do more than deliver physical books. It was a more flexible, generally applicable business…
I think actually it's quite the opposite and you're the one conflating the impacts on a narrow market space with the larger economy. Right now, AI dominates growth in the stock market and demand for chips, but it is by…
That math is very much general purpose. It's just linear algebra under the hood, and linear algebra is a wildly useful toolkit with an unbounded set of potential applications, including many applications other than…
Fair, but my point is that a data center is not pets.com. They are a much more flexible asset, and are even more flexible than AI itself. Pets.com failed because the physical delivery infrastructure and consumer buying…
I have generally been bullish on data centers independent of how AI demand/load evolves. People will find a way to use that compute, even if it isn't the precise use we expect. As scale increases and the price per…
Do you mean is there anyone who thinks that the future is NOT local models anyway? Since that seems to be the gist of your other points
Humanity might be able to, humans cannot
I'm shocked Netflix hasn't just settled to keep this quiet, because the entire situation makes them look not only like an abusive, discriminatory employer but even worse, horrifically incompetent at being abusive and…
You can't have an HR policy that discriminates against people for receiving mental health treatment from a physician, that is plainly illegal under multiple statutes both federally and in the state of California. This…
Yes, it seems likely they violated California's Fair Employment and Housing Act (FEHA) and the federal Americans with Disabilities Act (ADA) based on the details I have seen so far. The EEOC’s mental-health guidance…
That is a hopelessly naive description of lobbying, to the point that I assume you are being intentionally disingenuous. Lobbyists commonly funnel money to politicians via fundraiser bundling, donations to outside…
I stopped cooking with nonstick pans over 15 years ago, and the only thing I've found that can consistently be a bit tricky is eggs, but really only if the pan isn't hot enough yet when you add the butter or oil, you…
I don't get why decoupling insurance from employment isn't a bigger part of the healthcare reform discourse. It's the most obvious, easiest, lowest hanging fruit for improving the US healthcare system, and almost…
Every other country is responsible. But in proportion to their wealth and power, and the US is far and away the wealthiest and most powerful country in the world so we bear an outsized share of the responsibility for…
> A similar dilemma faces PACER. Overwhelmingly, PACER is used by attorneys, who are generally well-compensated professionals with a whole host of protectionist policies insulating them from market forces. One of those…
This analysis is almost bafflingly stupid. They conflate domain expertise with coding expertise, and then assess that people with domain expertise demonstrate great success at coding tasks, which suggests coding agents…
Literally does not work for me at all, just keeps reloading and spinning. I'm not even on my VPN. Really frustrating dealing with these things lately.
Man, I really freaking hate cloudflare bot checks. I can't even access this site, which I presume is just a few kilobytes of simple static HTML with some straightforward text content. I shouldn't have to work this hard…
That's not true. ITAR and security clearance are entirely separate regulatory regimes. For ITAR purposes, being a permanent resident is good enough. I used to work for a defense contractor, and we hired plenty of green…