"I wonder if it's also 60% likely to be Tails if I bet on Tails, and I might be tempted to check." Only if you were clueless, or perhaps if the experimenter said "if you bet on heads it has a 60% chance of winning".…
"I wonder if it's also 60% likely to be Tails if I bet on Tails, and I might be tempted to check." Only if you were clueless, or perhaps if the experimenter said "if you bet on heads it has a 60% chance of winning".…