Don't forget that the infant mortality rate (post birth) is 0.5%. https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/infant-health.htm Number of infant deaths: 19,582 Deaths per 100,000 live births: 541.9 Leading causes of infant deaths:…
Project succeeds = good. Project fails = bad. If a bunch of projects given to NG + LLM fail, the company will say at some point "this is no good, let's not do that anymore". If they mostly succeed, they'll do it more.…
> The experienced engineer also gets an LLM though Say experienced engineer Edna was working on a project and the new grad Nelson replaced her because he was cheaper and about as good if both have LLMs, i.e., Edna + LLM…
Then those projects will fail and they won't do that anymore. Or they'll succeed and engineers will have to find harder problems to solve. If a new grad + LLM can do task X about as well as an experienced engineer can,…
That's capitalism. After you get fired, if you can still produce useful labor there will ideally be more employers waiting; you can freelance if your visa situation allows it; or you can start your own business and…
>people misunderstand and anthropomorphize LLMs I agree but there is a certain "god of the gaps" process that's happening here. To me what's been achieved so far is encoding text into natural (and programming)…
I think people are more impressed than they should be because of a misconception about what programmers really do. For most big software projects the bottleneck is not writing code and test boilerplate that runs…
Don't forget that the infant mortality rate (post birth) is 0.5%. https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/infant-health.htm Number of infant deaths: 19,582 Deaths per 100,000 live births: 541.9 Leading causes of infant deaths:…
Project succeeds = good. Project fails = bad. If a bunch of projects given to NG + LLM fail, the company will say at some point "this is no good, let's not do that anymore". If they mostly succeed, they'll do it more.…
> The experienced engineer also gets an LLM though Say experienced engineer Edna was working on a project and the new grad Nelson replaced her because he was cheaper and about as good if both have LLMs, i.e., Edna + LLM…
Then those projects will fail and they won't do that anymore. Or they'll succeed and engineers will have to find harder problems to solve. If a new grad + LLM can do task X about as well as an experienced engineer can,…
That's capitalism. After you get fired, if you can still produce useful labor there will ideally be more employers waiting; you can freelance if your visa situation allows it; or you can start your own business and…
>people misunderstand and anthropomorphize LLMs I agree but there is a certain "god of the gaps" process that's happening here. To me what's been achieved so far is encoding text into natural (and programming)…
I think people are more impressed than they should be because of a misconception about what programmers really do. For most big software projects the bottleneck is not writing code and test boilerplate that runs…