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Hard to discuss an article that is paywalled, and that can't be accessed through the usual "web" search for title method.
I was able to access a readable version through the "web" link. First Google result for me.
I was able to access it by clicking the News tab in Google and then clicking on the link.
WASHINGTON—The federal government is on track to forgive at least $108 billion in student debt in coming years, according to a report that for the first time projects the full cost of plans that tie borrowers’ payments to their earnings.

The report, to be released on Wednesday by the Government Accountability Office, shows the Obama administration’s main strategy for helping student-loan borrowers is proving far more costly than previously thought. The report also presents a scathing review of the Education Department’s accounting methods, which have understated the costs of its various debt-relief plans by tens of billions of dollars.

Senate Budget Committee Chairman Mike Enzi (R., Wyo.) ordered the report last year amid a sharp increase in enrollment in income-driven repayment plans, which the Obama administration has heavily promoted to help borrowers avoid default. The most generous version caps a borrower’s monthly payment at 10% of discretionary income, which is defined as any earnings above 150% of the poverty level.

That formula typically reduces monthly payments of borrowers by hundreds of dollars. Any remaining balance is then forgiven after 10 or 20 years, depending on whether the borrower works in the public or private sector.

Congress approved the plans in the 1990s and 2000s, and President Barack Obama has used executive actions to extend the most-generous terms to millions of borrowers.

Enrollment in the plans has more than tripled in the past three years to 5.3 million borrowers as of June, or 24% of all former students who borrowed directly from the government and are now required to be making payments. They collectively owe $355 billion.

The GAO estimates that $137 billion of that figure won’t be repaid. Most of it—$108 billion—will be forgiven because of borrowers fulfilling their obligations under income-driven repayment plans. The $108 billion only covers loans made through the current school year, however. The overall sum could continue to grow alongside enrollment increase.

The other $29 billion will be written off because of disability or death, the GAO projects, the only other circumstances under which the government takes a loan off its books. The government can garnish wages and Social Security checks for those in default.

Supporters say the plans offer a lifeline to borrowers who are unemployed or earning little, while the Obama administration has credited the programs for leading to a reduction in the number of new graduates defaulting on their loans. Supporters also point out that under current law, any amount forgiven would be taxed as ordinary income for private-sector workers, limiting the benefits for individuals. Public-sector workers aren’t taxed on forgiveness.

The overall government loan program—currently totaling $1.26 trillion of debt outstanding, including privately issued loans backed by the government—continues to generate a profit, though these projected revenues are dwindling as more people go into income-based repayment.

The government has a separate program, not included in the $108 billion estimate, to forgive loans to students who prove their colleges lured them to enroll by deceptive practices.

Critics, including academics across the political spectrum, say the income-based repayment program isn’t targeting the neediest borrowers and instead bestows big benefits on those who attend pricey colleges and graduate schools and earn high incomes.

Education Department data show that most borrowers with high debt balances have attended graduate school. Roughly 8 million borrowers are currently in default on their loans, most owe under $10,000, government data shows. But Wednesday’s report suggests the average balance of borrowers in income-driven repayment plans is nearly $67,000.

President Obama has called for capping how much debt an individual can have forgiven, but Congress hasn’t acted on the proposal.

While Republicans such as Sen. Enzi have criticized the debt-forgiveness plans, President-elect Donald Trump said du...

I don't think this would be a bad default practice for these articles.
Going to put an unpopular opinion here, but isn't this straight up copyright theft?
Let's call it copyright violation, but otherwise, heck ya, its definitely a violation of the law.
It is a violation of NYT's copyright, yes. (Note that this is different from "theft.")
Ah that makes more sense. I was wondering how any kind of student loan forgiveness program could possibly get passed in the current political situation, and it looks like the answer is that there isn't any such program being passed. This is just a new budgetary report estimating the fiscal impact of existing student-loan rules which cap repayment to a maximum percentage of income for a maximum number of years (such rules date back to the 1990s).
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This is a horrible message to kids currently thinking about borrowing because it will make them more likely to borrow which will make tuition skyrocket above its already criminal level.
Its a necessary part of the bubble cycle. Once you're on it, you can't just wish away the bubble and say "now we're gonna run this economic sector on financial fundamentals" or whatever.

There doesn't seem much political will to de-bubble economic sectors, real estate certainly hasn't been fixed and thats a larger problem, ditto medical-industrial complex.

Could it be that real estate and medical haven't been fixed, just as student loans won't be fixed, because this kicks the can further down the road instead of addressing the problem?
And that's what we do - band aid at the cost of everybody so that the industry can keep its racket going and ultimately cost even more in the future.
Housing is screwing the country (rent in particular) and it will create serious problems for the future if nothing is done about it. It's killing the opportunities for young people to save for retirement and reducing their purchasing power.
You say this like borrowing for college is a reasonable choice for most people, or a choice at all. For many, going to college means borrowing money because there isn't another way.

The average cost for tuition and fees in Indiana is nearly 8,000 per year. This does not include books and supplies (at around $1200) nor what they view as living expenses ($11,500). This is an average yearly cost of $20,700: $9,000 of this will be needed in a lump sum payment to the school when going. And I'm guessing the yearly living expenses aren't exactly all-inclusive.

Minimum wage is only $7.25. If you work 38 hours a week for a year you only earn a bit over $14,000 before tax. You might not get tax breaks because you are still a dependent on your parent's taxes. Heck, you can't even afford to pay your living expenses if you are working part-time. As a young high school graduate, most jobs that are willing to work around your college schedule pay this rate.

I'm not saying it is impossible, but highly improbable that you can go to college without financial aid. Tuition skyrocketing - yet again - will make little to no difference.

At no point in his comment did he say kids should go to college.
That is true, and I'm likely to agree. Some folks don't even consider further education: This obviously wouldn't apply to them. Proper college isn't really a good solution for some folks - I'm a supporter of trade schools - which also charge tuition in many cases, and there are a few jobs that post-high-school education isn't required and you can make a decent enough income. But realistically these aren't the norm, and this still puts folks victim to the borrow-or-don't go situation.

For those that college makes sense for, however, this is a pretty common scenario.

Not quite. Think of that 108 billion as an economic stimulus dolled out on an 'as needed' basis. Does that equate to increased demand for higher education down the road? Maybe, maybe not. But: a.) The demand was there before the stimulus package. b.) The individuals benefitting from the stimulus do not have a pure strategy of attaining the bail out. i.e. Just because the government forgave student loans in the past does not mean a later "generation's" loans will be forgiven. c.) The people benefitting from the stimulus spent that money in the past. The stimulus actually affects them as an income factor effectively raising their monthly income while holding their actual wage/salary constant. For the vast majority of the "forgiven" borrowers, this will increase their demand for goods and services. That's the exact sort of multiplier effect government's want with a stimulus. You can even guestimate the effect this would have on GDP. If the government was going to see payments of $1 billion (just a number) per quarter on the principle of those loans then at least an additional $1 billion of goods/services will be demanded by the borrowers. The additional goods/services demanded will be spread out across consumption by the nature of the borrowers. (i.e. If you qualified to have your student loans forgiven then the student loans were having a negative effect on your consumption.) So for every $100 billion in student loans forgiven the economy would grow by some fraction (could be 1 billion, 2 billion, etc) of that amount per month, in perpetuity.
... to students of Trump University
Bullshit.. I paid off student debt like a responsible adult
Then you are not the target for student loan forgiveness. It is meant for those who took a loan on the premise that they would be able to get a job that allowed them to pay back the loan. This is not the case for a large portion of college graduates. Here on HN this is not going to be common due to the demand in our job market. But talk to someone who borrowed a bunch of money to major in something with a less demanding job market and you'll hear a different story.
Yes, the target for student loan forgiveness is irresponsible people. I think that's the point.
Yes, or perhaps just people who were mislead by universities and/or student loan providers.
If you were misled by a loan provider, that's fraud and you should report it. The much more likely scenario is that you assumed a $150k degree guaranteed you a job, which is obviously not the case.
what do you mean, irresponsible? how do you know these people aren't working their asses off in a responsible manner to try to pay off their debt?
It's not fair and responsible (from a government point of view) to burden teens with decision that might lead to a debt for the big part of their life imho.
So, where are the parents at?

I would bet it's a small minority of students who actually did seriously consult their parents and whose parents did wisely caution against it (even refusing to sign a parent PLUS loan, a factor not talked about much) but who found a private lender themselves anyway and after graduating can't pay it back. You could protect this minority from itself by raising the age of adulthood, but if we actually agree it's a minority, this won't solve the problem.

My point is it's not good enough to blame stupid non-adult teens when you could blame their adult parents just as easily, and trying to solve the problem at either of those levels (less stupid teens through 'education', or less stupid adults with longer reaching power, or forbidding teens in general from making bad choices) won't work.

The sad truth is that some kids don't have parents. The fact that they need to take out a loan at all suggests that their parents (if they have any) may not be very experienced at making much money themselves.

Loan forgiveness should not be restricted to teens. I know many adults that could be similarly mislead.

And absolutely it is a minority, which is why student loan forgiveness is workable. Trust me, the banks will still make money, just not as much.

Ok, so where are the teachers at? Surely they're in even better positions to advise than the average parent. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=13070885 report suggests otherwise.

Some loan forgiveness is workable and I think inevitable but it does nothing to stop the problem, it just relieves some people at the expense of others (generalizing to the whole economy) who can take the hit. In that it's kind of a herring. When you find yourself in a hole, you should stop digging as the first thing you do. Loan forgiveness lifts some people out of the hole but incentivizes digging faster.

As some others have said, it all depends on how the debt is forgiven. If the government uses tax payer money to repay the loans, then you are correct. If the government makes universities and/or loan providers eat the cost in cases where it can be shown that they should have known the debt would not be able to be repaid, then the loan providers will not have an incentive to give out as many loans as possible to people who will be unable to repay them.

The party in the best position to know who will and won't be able to repay a particular loan is the lender, who has all the historical data and statistics about previous loans.

Stop making excuses for adults to engage in infantile behavior. I was perfectly capable of making life decisions at age 18 - 19. And I am not a special genius.
What's irresponsible? Getting a master in Art History?

You seem very close minded. Everyone can't and shouldn't do a CS degree to "get a job".

If you enjoy art history, I have no problem whatsoever if you want to learn about it. But if you borrow $50k that you can't pay back to pay for your hobbies, that's irresponsible.
The problem is a university and/or loan provider who is only interested in your money (and doesn't fear their loans being forgiven) has an incentive to mislead kids into thinking that this is not irresponsible.

Not everyone is as well informed as you were at 18.

A decision to start your adult life with borrowing large amount of money and spending it on studying an esoteric subject would be considered extremely irresponsible in most societies ( assuming the person does not have any assets or marketable skills to fall back on).
By 'most societies' you probably mean undeveloped countries.

This problem doesn't really exist in other first world countries.

The article touches on this, but income based repayment benefits students who graduate with medical, law or other professional degrees the most. Entering into the workforce at a relatively low rate, then having some loans forgiven before their pay goes up a great deal.
Unfortunately, it's not the target. The target is, as has been stated multiple times, people who are incredibly, irretrievably indebted with no hope of paying the money back, because the colleges with the relevant programs cost far more than someone who obtained the resulting job (or wasn't able to find one) can ever afford to pay back.

Being that student loans in the US are _no longer forgivable_ via bankruptcy or any other means, these student loans are essentially a permanent debt the student will never be free of otherwise, and bear more than a passing resemblance to a class of indentured servitude. Such things are not what any reasonable person had in mind for America.

Taking out a loan you don't realistically have the capacity to pay back is irresponsible. This scheme is nothing but privatized success and socializing failure.

If you want to fix the problem, stop subsidizing the loans and allow these colleges to die, shrink or reduce costs.

> Taking out a loan you don't realistically have the capacity to pay back is irresponsible.

The loan provider is in a much better position to know who will and will not be able to pay back a particular loan.

> If you want to fix the problem, stop subsidizing the loans and allow these colleges to die, shrink or reduce costs.

Perhaps this is better, but seems unrealistic.

The loan provider is in a much better position to know who will and will not be able to pay back a particular loan.

They have no reason to care since the government backs the loans.

How is taking money for a degree irresponsible? The only party irresponsible is the lender. I hope the taxpayer loses 60 gajillion dollars on student loans since they are simply exploiting young people.
I won't copy my entire comment, but right here I lay out the math on why student loan forgiveness goes largely to those getting very expensive terminal professional degrees. Do you consider those going into medical school to be irresponsible people?

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=13070754

That's interesting. No, I guess that those folks (who do have the ability to pay back their loans) aren't irresponsible.

They are just being subsidized at the expense of folks who are (over a lifetime) much poorer than they are.

While this situation sucks, how is it any different than buying a house with a loan, having the house lose half its value, and then having the mortgage be written-off by the bank? Many adults went through this in 2008-2009 but short of filing for bankruptcy, I don't think billions of dollars of loans were forgiven because people couldn't pay them. They had to give up their houses, which would be the equivalent here of giving up your education.

Basically, if loans don't need to be paid back, what's the point of a loan at all?

If you were mislead by the bank about the value (or future value) of the house, then perhaps that loan should be (at least partially) forgiven as well.

It is also the responsibility of the party giving a loan to ensure that the borrower will have the ability to reasonably repay the loan in the future.

> If you were mislead by the bank about the value (or future value) of the house, then perhaps that loan should be (at least partially) forgiven as well.

During the housing crisis, banks enabled home buyers by providing low interest rates, insanely low income requirements, and small down payments. As a free person with their own free will, it should be your responsibility to decide if an investment is worthwhile, not a no-name bank which most definitely does not have your best interests at heart.

> It is also the responsibility of the party giving a loan to ensure that the borrower will have the ability to reasonably repay the loan in the future.

While it's obviously their goal to ensure that the borrower will be able to repay the loan (why else would they have people jump through so many hoops to get one?), it's by no means their responsibility. The only responsible party here (i.e., the party you can count on) is yourself. Your bank isn't going to find you a job, or put together your resume for you, just so you can repay your loan.

I want to live in your world of perfectly rational and infinitely wise superhumans. Sadly we live in the real world, and people are under-educated about debt, mislead by marketers, preyed upon by salespeople, and left holding the baggage. Adding and enforcing regulations about how debt can be issued, and helping people who have been victimized, seems like a practical resolution to the problem, rather than the one based on wishful thinking that you propose.
I think we're both describing the real world. People can simultaneously be held responsible for their debts and be under-educated about debt, mislead by marketers, etc. The question is who pays when a borrower makes a mistake—the lender or the borrower.

If you label all borrowers who can't pay back their loans as "victims", wouldn't that make the practice of lending itself immoral? In your opinion, why not just outlaw lending completely and be done with it? That way no one can be taken advantage of.

I have a hard time foisting the responsibility for all $108 billion onto the borrowers. There's something more at play here than personal irresponsibility.
> If you label all borrowers who can't pay back their loans as "victims", wouldn't that make the practice of lending itself immoral?

No. It is only immoral to knowingly lend to someone who can't and won't be able to repay the loan.

But that is unfair to those of us who do understand debt. This is the problem with socialism right here--you can't cripple the people who are responsible, who do the right things. You kill the country that way.
You feel cheated that you understand debt enough not to be taken advantage of? Seems like a silly thing to be upset about.

Perhaps we also shouldn't rescue someone who falls into an open man-hole, because it isn't fair to those of us who know to watch where we're walking?

The issue is that "not understanding well enough.." is the fault of the fool, not the crook. Crooks will always exist.

Fools should be responsible for the consequences of foolish behavior.

>Fools should be responsible for the consequences of foolish behavior.

The financial sector disagrees.

And they are wrong. Criminals should be held accountable, and justice should be blind. Naive or not, those are goals we should uphold as a society, in my opinion.
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> The only responsible party here (i.e., the party you can count on) is yourself.

Agreed, but to that point, I'd imagine that the primary consumers of student loans are people in their late-teens who are on-the-whole less financially responsible than homeowners. And for a lot of those people, they're under a lot of social pressure to go to college despite the fact that it's a gamble that might not pay off.

Completely agree. This is a problem of education, upbringing, and society. If we really wanted to solve this problem, we'd address the root issue, and adolescents would understand that college isn't required or expected to be a functioning and productive member of society.
Banks didn't generally make any promises about the future values of houses.
The difference is that you can't clear student loans by going bankrupt AFAIK.
While that's completely true, my point stands. If loans don't need to be repaid, what's the point? Why just give up the ruse and make college free for everyone? I'm not proposing this at all, I'm just saying this is a slippery slope and the difference between the two is minimal.
Going bankrupt doesn't have zero costs associated with it.
The linked article in this post doesn't mention anything about the borrowers needing to file bankruptcy.
I had no opportunity to attend college, I had to support myself at 18. Is it right that I subsidize people more privileged than I? If and when they start making money can I expect a discount on their services?
Yes and yes. The fact that they are offering the service at all means you don't have to go somewhere else (possibly far away) to get an equivalent service, so that is a form of discount.

The exception is for fields that are zero-sum games, such that an abundance of lawyers, for example, makes it cheaper to defend yourself from a lawsuit but also more likely to be sued.

> Yes and yes. The fact that they are offering the service at all means you don't have to go somewhere else (possibly far away) to get an equivalent service, so that is a form of discount.

No thanks, if I'm paying for your education I expect a better discount than "my office is a little bit closer"

Op is right, this is unadulterated bullshit.

It should not be controversial that with a greater supply of a service, price will tend to go down (or quality will go up) because there will be more competition.
>It should not be controversial that with a greater supply of a service, price will tend to go down (or quality will go up) because there will be more competition.

Firstly, if the services are in demand why is paying off the loan an issue?

Secondly, they already have the degree paying off loans does not increase the number of graduates.

> Firstly, if the services are in demand why is paying off the loan an issue?

That is a very good point.

> Secondly, they already have the degree paying off loans does not increase the number of graduates.

It depends on how the debt is forgiven. If government just pays the colleges then it will suck, but suppose they were like "You sold a defective product to millions of people and we are not paying for it. Deal with it". Then colleges will learn to stop offering useless majors and the number of graduates in bullshit will reduce while the number of graduates in useful stuff will increase.

> Is it right that I subsidize people more privileged than I?

Probably not, but considering that the forgiveness program the government is talking about mainly targets people with debt who can't pay it back - like people who are seriously disabled and can't get a job - you would likely be subsidizing people less privileged than you, which is a good thing.

> If and when they start making money can I expect a discount on their services?

No, but they're not making money now and they won't be in the future and that is why the government is considering discharging their loan debt.

>mainly targets people with debt who can't pay it back - like people who are seriously disabled and can't get a job - you would likely be subsidizing people less privileged than you, which is a good thing.

So if I become disabled, will you be paying my mortgage?

I'm not sure if I'd be paying your mortgage per se, but I'd be paying for whatever benefits you receive through the Social Security Adminstration's Disability Benefits program. But even if I was, why would that be controversial? Why should the government not provide aid to people who are virtually derelict?
Don't college educated people also receive social security benefits? Why should they receive more benefits over someone who isn't college educated?
I would think that the program is meant to extend help to people who pursued a college-education, took out $30k worth of loans, worked hard, and became disabled or otherwise unable to procure employment post-hoc. For example, people who pursued computer science degrees and then got into car accidents and incurred traumatic brain injury (use your imagination).

I take your position to be that 1. you're in favor of providing financial support to people on disability, but 2. concerned that college-educated people on disability potentially stand to qualify for more benefits than non-college-educated people on disability.

If this program's stated intent was to fully subsidize education for people who would definitely not be able to procure work in their academic area of focus (like subsidizing music degrees for deaf people or whatever), I would concede that the program would be economically counter-productive. Otherwise I think the government should extend more financial assistance to people who are at greater risk of ruin.

If you become disabled, then you do get the opportunity to receive subsidized help in the form of disability.
It is for people who changed majors from liberal arts to ancient languages to renaissance literature and back again a couple of times.
Congratulations, you are a better human being than those who remain in debt. Now what?
Then you suck, you should have not paid anything and get it forgiven anyway.
About 8 years post-graduated I have roughly $19k in student debt remaining. At my current payments, I won't pay it off in the next 12 years, but it's cheaper for me to pay it off quickly.

Even ignoring the often sizeable income tax bill, people whose debts are forgiven likely paid more back to the government than you did, on both a percentage and absolute scale.

Edit: And to the income tax point, if you've got tens of thousands in debt and have an already high income (not totally outside the realm of possibility since you're likely ~42 years old) that could easily be a 5-figure bill.

That's a completely nonsensical way to do accounting. $1 today != $1 with risk of non-payment 5 years from now.

The correct way to compare is to do time discounting at market interest rates (i.e. what interest rates would be if the feds did not act as backers for student loans).

Then you have a stroke of luck in more ways than one. You didn't hit on hard financial times afterwards: you spouse didn't wind up disabled and neither did you. You didn't have one of the many natural disaster dooms that plagues others and so on. You found a decent enough paying job after graduation instead of getting only being able to use it to be a department manager at a retail joint.
You don't know that.
'Tis rather likely. These sorts of things are difficult for most folks to weather if they don't have high enough income to keep up on stuff or help from other folks with better means.
You probably also chose the correct student loan like a responsible adult. Considering you were not an adult back then, that's an achievement (or just luck).

But you can hardly expect all people who just got out of high-school to have good financial sense.

>Bullshit.. I paid off student debt like a responsible adult

I've got a similar unpopular opinion about the housing bust. Prices were sky-high, so I chose save (and couldn't afford to buy a home). Then, a bunch people who got in over their heads and couldn't make their mortgage payments were, in some situations, bailed out.

Yes, I get that some people were deceived by zealous mortgage brokers or had personal crises that caused them repayment issues. But I'm sure that's about as common as the people who took what they could get as far as a mortgage, lied on their applications, or were flipping houses.

Irresponsible fiscal behaviour is incentivized, and more prudent measures are punished.

Student debt is not real anymore than indebting newborns for their $30k birth costs at 6.8% interest rate would be real.
Except newborns don't have the choice of being born.

Also, your figure is for the average C-Section; not as common as traditional.

And, there is no "insurance" option (as there is for birthing) for student debt; which really would reduce it to about 10% of the cost...

Having a reasonable discussion about student loans with an age group that attended college 20-30 years ago isn't reasonable. The costs increased exponentially compared to what it was. The reasonable solution is to educate high school students on the affordable options of in-state universities and community college.
Also the trades.

Everyone going to Stanford will get a tech job in SV, which is nice for about 0.1% of the population, but its a national problem and rando graduate of some state U has at best 50/50 odds of getting a job in their field or working retail/restaurant/bartend work. Better off as a 22 yr old electrician than as a 22 yr old unemployed kid in moms basement.

You have to pick the right trade, though, which requires quite some economic forecasting. Several of my extended family members took exactly this route for the reason you suggest, and they're now unemployed former steelworkers. In retrospect they would've been better off with a university degree, as unemployment rates are much lower for people with degrees. I know people with degrees who got laid off from steel companies too (doing engineering, HR, accounting, IT, various things), but they had a much easier time switching industries to find new jobs.

Most of the building trades have also fared badly (with electrician somewhat of an exception), as wages have collapsed over the past few decades in trades like carpentry and roofing.

Aren't there programs to retrain workers whose jobs are offshored?
There are Federal programs to retrain and financially assist those who have be displaced by offshoring.[1]

The problem is that these programs are notoriously underfunded (the financial assistance barely helps. It's like 10k a year if you're very lucky), have their resources misallocated, and do just enough to say that they're doing "something". Their funding is also often lumped in with other welfare "handouts". So when people vote against funding "handouts", they vote against helping people who need it most.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trade_Adjustment_Assistance

There are such programs, but their effectiveness and avilability varies widely depending on where you live.

Where I live, we have Second Career Ontario[1]. When I was in college, several of my classmates were formerly highly paid tradespeople who ended up unemployed and unable to find work after the decline in Ontario's manufacturing sector. The Second Career program funding was enough for them to go back to school for a couple of years. To to best of my knowledge, all of my classmates ended up making the transition to a new career successfully.

I've seen programs in other jurisdicitions that provide some funding for retraining, but not enough funding to teach people enough skills in enough depth for them to realistically be able to move to a new career.

[1] http://www.secondcareerontario.com/web/second_career/

I want to say one word to you. Just one word: Plumbing. [quote from "The Graduate"]

:-)

Seriously though: I have been begging plumbers to come and work on a reasonably high-priced project at my house. I reached out to 10+, no one is interested - they are booked for weeks in advance.

> reasonably high-priced project

What would it pay for them?

The one quote I was able to get - $6K, labor only. No more than 2 days of work for 1 person. All plumbers based within 10 min drive.
You're not telling the full story.

$6k got me a 4 hour response of a 5 man crew with an excavator to replace a rusted section of a wastewater pipe, which involved digging 14ft down and demolishing part of my driveway (and pouring new concrete in after it was finished)

> No more than 2 days of work for 1 person.

You'll have us believe a plumber charges $375/hour for this project, based on the $6k quote?

This is not typical, so either your project is extremely difficult or you're not telling us something else.

My brother is a "plumber" but he never took the exam or whatever and got his license. It's the same thing over and over--people with ambition succeed, people who lack it do not. If he had studied and gotten that license he would have been set for life, but no, always the "helper" or taking far lower paying jobs at schools and hospitals instead.
I used to work as a diesel mechanic.

Trades are great, but we, as a society, are not really prepared to deal with them. It's easy for someone working a comfortable desk job to say "those kids should go into the trades" without realizing the following things:

1. Trade jobs often involve non trivial amounts of physical risk.

2. Trade jobs rarely allow you to work until normal retirement age (65 or even 70). I never met a diesel mechanic over the age of 50, and precious few in their 40s.

3. Despite all that, they don't pay as much as your desk job.

If you're going to sit a kid down and give them the option between a physically demanding, difficult trade job or a climate controlled, higher paying desk job, what do you think they are going to choose, realistic or not?

I would also add alternative ways to get into a career. Whether that be through a trade school, code boot camp or technical college that is available in their area.

There is no longer a reason to think that you must go get a 4 year degree in order to have a career and financially independent. Education has evolved drastically over the last 20 years because tuition has gone through the roof.

Who isn't being educated about these options? I was in HS 00-04 and teachers and guidance counselors constantly extolled cheap state school options (which even today are in the $6-8k/yr range including room and board) and community colleges.

Prestige and pride have a lot to do with it. Two degrees from the same school are worth the same if one person was there for four years and one went to community college for two first, but ask the 17 year old HS student who just has to sign a promissory note which one they want to do, and they're going to pick the first option 9 times out of 10.

Then don't let them. Why is so much money being lent to such people? It's just usury.
That's not what usury means, because it's not illegal and it's not unreasonable high rates of interest. My highest student loan, which is private, is about 6%.

Also, who are you to tell someone that they can't go to a school if they can find someone to lend them the money to do it?

> My highest student loan, which is private, is about 6%.

If you're in the US and you don't think that rate is unreasonable, I'm curious as to why. We're talking about loans that cannot even be discharged in bankruptcy, in a 0% interest rate environment.

2007 was not a 0% interest rate environment.
Oh, that's an old loan. My sympathies.

But I'm paying roughly the same for loans taken out in the last five years. It's irritating.

Maybe the problem is not with the financing but with the product itself. Billions of dollars wasted on zero-sum games is a tragedy no matter who I am and no matter how legal it is.
If it is a zero-sum game, then you should be just as happy to not have an education, as long as you can live in a country where no-one else has one either. If you want to talk about billions of dollars, why don't we get rid of primary and secondary education too?
Speaking of primary and secondary education, I heard that in America people try to move to expensive neighborhoods when they have kids because those have the best schools.

That part is also a zero-sum game, because all parents work harder to afford the best neighborhoods and that makes the price of living in those neighborhoods go up, leaving everyone right where they started only they now work two jobs instead of one.

Decoupling property tax from school funding can help with that. In Universities, a system that is free but only accepts the people with the best grades, IQ, or some arbitrary qualification can help, but brings its own problems.

6% for a US private education loan? How does 9% sound instead?

My best investments are the raises I get when paying off my student loans ahead of schedule.

For the sake of one-upping you, mine were at 10%. Those were the first thing I attacked once I got out of school.
Except that most loans are for things that you can liquidate if you get into financial trouble.
I grew up relatively poor but was encouraged by my high school teachers to attend a nearby private undergraduate university, which at the time (2005) was $40k/year. Even as a 17-year-old I was worried about carrying a lifetime of debt. My parents weren't involved at all in the situation (neither having gone to college and not particularly concerned with my choices -- long story), so these teachers were the trusted adults I turned to for advice. They universally said, "the degree will pay for itself! Don't worry about the debt!" I did get some financial aid and scholarships, but now 7 years post graduation my total debt is still around $50k, with about $44k of that being federal loans.

Just an anecdote of someone who not only wasn't educated about the options, but actively encouraged to ignore them.

You were supposed to meet a rich girl/guy at that college and be set for life. That you didn't understand the real game is whose fault?
I was in a similar boat, but picked the cheaper state school (which now, btw, is not cheap 15 years later).

I think, realistically, the only benefit I maybe missed out on at a more expensive school is that I could have (completely anecdotally) met a larger, richer network. And now, I would be using said contacts in that network to get me better job(s). For example, I've seen perfectly regular people come out of Cornell and they just mint money.

On the other hand, investing in a network doesn't stop at college, so it can be overcome in various ways.

Perhaps unsurprisingly I got my current job because the owner of the company is the brother of one of my professors.

I guess what I find most disappointing in retrospect was that I wasn't encouraged to research further out from the local area. My original comment may have been a bit hyperbolized in that clearly I knew about state schools, but my idea of what constituted a "state college" was influenced by the three within an hour drive of where I grew up. In my state's college system these three also happen to rank toward the bottom of most lists in terms of job placement and campus quality of life. I toured two of them and wasn't exactly impressed. So belief became that "state college" meant "cheap college", as in the degree would be worthless. Again, this is the naivete of a rural-raised 17 year old.

In the summer before my final year at my expensive university, I did a "Research Experience for Undergraduates" internship thing at one of my state's larger research universities and was blown away by how different (and better) it was compared to the state schools I was familiar with. I was 21 at this point and had a better understanding that even though it was about a 7 hour drive from home, it really wasn't that far away, and if I had known about it when I was graduating high school it would've been doable.

For curiosity's sake, I just looked up what the tuition plus room and board for this state school, and in 2016 it's still less than half of what I paid for my school in 2005.

But that's all in the past. I think I got a decent, though not stellar, education from professors who genuinely seem to care (even now, as I stay in contact with a few), in addition to the networking opportunities. In the end I don't regret it, but I do try to advocate to my younger relatives that they should shop around and take the decision seriously, and of course ask me for guidance should they need it.

Fellow poor student checking in. My experience was roughly similar but I also didn't get any real advice from my high school. Basically left to work much of it out on my own.
$6-$8k a year, including room and board...sounds like you're mistaken or haven't paid as close attention as you think. Back when I first went to my state school in 1999, you were right, but now, my school has jumped to $28k a year, in-state, for tuition + room and board. Source: http://www.collegedata.com/cs/data/college/college_pg03_tmpl...

Also, I'm still paying off the loans from when I went back to school a five years ago. The jump in tuition after 10 years away from school was a major shock when I went back.

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I was in school during the recession and prices started there but doubled. Loan interest rates doubled for a few years too.
I would probably go the CC route today, but when I was in high school the risk of not being able to transfer into a good school for whatever reason outweighed the cost.
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No, you're missing a key point: In-state tuition has sky rocketed because states have drastically cut funding. People who went to state school 30 years ago went to schools that were much better funded by their states.
Yeah I just looked at a couple of nearby state schools that are rated 'selective' by US News (that means they aren't very selective) and tuition is roughly $10,000 per year.
I've heard this a lot but do you have a citation for this? I'm actually open to believing this but I want a link.
The costs increased because the government hands out money that people don't have to pay back. The government should stop the student loan program now.
>> The costs increased exponentially compared to what it was.

The cost increased due to government intervention. They wanted more people to go to college so they told lenders they'd guarantee loans for education. They do that by having the ability to take it out of your paycheck for the rest of your life if you don't pay. Anyway, with the flood of money instantly available, schools were able to jack tuition by double digits every year for as long as the want. The place I went has been on a building spree for the last 20 years - it's a whole different place now. Part of that was needed since the number of students has about doubled, so it's not entirely wasteful. But the bottom line is that the "free" money is what caused the rates to rise. I feel bad for that entire generation - they got fucked from all angles financially.

School that I went to also has been on a building spree for the past 20 years. I'm sure a lot of the spending is necessary, but seeing things like mega-gyms and amphitheaters being built with student tuition is ridiculous.

The irony is no one will ever be able to afford a gym membership as nice as the gym they had in college because they're too loaded with debt from said college.

Same here. My college has a 30 year master plan on their website, and it's basically knocking down every single building and rebuilding them. They've already knocked down several buildings and what they've replaced them with has been at least twice as big. The gym they built about seven years ago is huge, and fancier than just about every commercial gym in the city.

But.....that being said, I have heard that they lost over half of their government subsidies (it's a private school), and the state has been perpetually 6 months behind on those subsidy payments, so that's at least part of the reason for the tuition increase also.

I don't disagree, but where I saw it begin was approx. +25 years ago when business started demanding degrees for jobs that had previously had no requirement, and for career advancement, as well as refusing on the job training. They would pay for expensive tuition and book benefits with no problem though. People began beating the doors down of colleges as this was the only way to enter many careers, or advance to the next level once there. Once this cascade started, the government wanted to make sure there was some kind of equal access to education, so funding had to be made available to allow the less privileged to attend, students or adults. Just my take on it.
I took the Scared Straight approach with my daughter.

1. On-line loan repayment calculators showing you're monthly payment for years.

2. Youtube videos under the search "I majored in debt".

3. The FAQ on the loan servicer's website; or "Where's all this interest coming from?!"

http://www.studentloan.org/about-us/frequently-asked-questio...

Good approach. It won't sink in unless they see how it has already affected other people. Did she decide to be more modest in her college ambitions after that?
"The reasonable solution is to educate high school students on the affordable options of in-state universities and community college"

I was an international student in the U.S. and went to a community college and did very well then went to a 4 year college after. I had little choice since $1 USD = $2.5 of my country's currency so community college was a cheaper option especially after having my parent also send my other siblings to college out of pocket. At community college I watched kids(Americans), not all though just waste their opportunity, slacking off in the cafeteria when they should have been at class and eventually getting dropped. It was basically free for them. We international students just wished amongst ourselves that we were given the same opportunity of free schooling at that level. Going to community didn't seem to hurt me in anyway.

>The reasonable solution is to educate high school students on the affordable options of in-state universities and community college.

When the in-state flagship university costs $25k/year to attend, it's not very reasonable.

There should be a clause that only helps individuals with useful majors (Engineers, Education, Math) and not some dingus that went to a $60,000 a year private school for art therapy.
> for art therapy.

Art therapy is a respected form of psychotherapy. It's available to people on the English NHS (which focuses on evidence based treatment), and "art therapist" is a protected title in the UK.

Does "art therapy" mean something else in the US?

A title being protected doesn't mean it's scientific. C.f. naturopathic "doctors."

I don't know enough about art therapy to say that it is or isn't scientific, though.

Art therapists are licensed therapists who focus on treating patients in the way the title implies. I don't think I'd call it science, although the one graduate program I'm familiar with has their students treat children and report on the efficacy of the results.

It's often an MA degree, so there's no pretense of it being a scientific endeavor.

In what way is therapy not science?
I don't think most therapists publish much, is the short answer. For a more meaningful answer you'd want to ask a practitioner, I would think.
I'm assuming that art therapy is grounded in a scientific understanding of psychotherapy. You don't need to be a professional scientific researcher to practice science.

I realize that my wording was ambiguous so I'm sorry for that.

It's a respected field here, (obviously not universally well respected) although not as highly paid as anything requiring med school.
It's just a way for people with well paying STEM degrees and jobs to look down on people who make different life choices.
In a case of "Be careful what you wish for", this would likely result in colleges abandoning the pretense that all their majors are equally valuable and charging engineers more. They already act to capture any increase in public or private subsidy [+]; this just makes it easy to justify for people who would find it socially awkward to say "Degrees in CS better prepare you for the labor force than degrees in communications; we should charge accordingly."

"The government is practically forcing our hand; what can we do. Those philistines, there is just no reasoning with them. Ever since Reagan all they do is cut, cut, cut -- why does no one appreciate the value of an education anymore?"

[+] I have been occasionally called paranoid regarding this claim, so I will clarify that this is directly observable. Get a price quote which contains any portion of grant aid. Then inform the university that you've received a $2k scholarship. The university will increase the price retroactively, by "applying" the scholarship 50% to your loan and 50% to your grant aid.

This was straight-up policy at my alma mater. Luckily, my regular-old mater embarrassed the heck out of me by arguing the point with them for each of my external scholarships, causing a net decrease in the cost of attendance of about $10k versus the university's post-subsidy-recapture amended quote.

So what? This form of "price discrimination" already exists at universities, e.g., with certain graduate, MBA, and continuing education programs that function largely as profit centers. There's no reason for different schools like engineering or liberal arts to charge the same rate.

Students aren't forced to pay tuition. It's a voluntary exchange if they feel they're getting their money's worth.

Individuals with useful majors can pay their own debt precisely because their major is useful. It's the people with degrees in terrible fields that need and deserve forgiveness, because they were scammed.

They shouldn't have been allowed into college in the first place, but the college was just too happy to take their money and give them nothing.

So they can learn nothing and future generations can look at look at what happened and think I too should follow my heart and major in Stamp History because its a government subsidized major.
But then the colleges will also learn their lesson and stop admitting such people. Also the institutions that finance them will learn to stop lending money for useless majors.

I'm all for personal responsibility, but isn't it too much to ask for teenagers to be able to resist propaganda from all sides that insists they must go to college and follow their dreams?

Students are not the problem, they are just doing what they are told. We just need colleges and banks and governments to stop telling them to be financial idiots.

Hey that's not fair. How will I make my US friends feel bad about paying so much for the same or worse education as I got for free in Europe?

My favorite effect of this social difference between [most of?] EU versus [most of?] US is that in non-england Europe, paying for private schooling means you're dumb and can't earn good grades without paying for them. In the US few non-private universities are considered truly legit.

Always a fun pub or thanksgiving dinner conversation.

I feel like a good amount of the top tier are public a la UC Berkeley, UPenn.
Don't those charge many dollars in tuition despite being public? UC Berkeley is $13k/year according to their site.

For comparison, my european public uni was 50eur/year for enrollment fees.

LMU Munich, #1 uni in germany, is 110eur/year in mandatory fees.

They certainly are nowhere near as cheap as universities in Europe, but they are comparatively affordable. UC Berkeley's tuition, for example, I would put in the middle of public universities, and likely anywhere from 10-30k less than most private ones
Still unlikely to graduate without debt unless your parents are loaded
UPenn is private.
Hah, shows how much I know about our universities...
> In the US few non-private universities are considered truly legit.

You have no idea what you're talking about.

>My favorite effect of this social difference between [most of?] EU versus [most of?] US is that in non-england Europe, paying for private schooling means you're dumb and can't earn good grades without paying for them. In the US few non-private universities are considered truly legit.

Ditto in Israel. Small "academic colleges" are second-tier public institutions. Privately-owned colleges are for people who really can't do well on matriculation exams. The best universities are the six big state-owned ones.

The student loan system needs serious reform. It encourages students to take on debt with the student holding the bag and then ultimately the taxpayer, based on an individual judgment about whether a particular degree will have market value.

One reform that has been suggested is to make sure that universities have skin in the game, that they actually lose money when a loan defaults. I'm not sure we should go there but there should be a system better than debt servitude for students coupled with moral hazard for society.

This is absolutely disgusting. The only way this would the ok is if the Government also stopped backing student loans.

My family didn't have a lot of money so I went to a cheap, but good, local college, and commuted from home by public bus while I worked every day.

If I had known I could simply borrow money and not pay it back and live on a country-club-like "farm" for 4 years, getting drunk and going to frat parties, I probably would have.

Screw all these freeloaders.

What this actually means is that someone is making on-time payments for 20 years (10 if they work for the public sector) and still hasn't paid back the balance. More often than not this means they're paying less than interest.

When I was initially on an IBR plan I was paying roughly 3/4 of the interest that was accruing every month. Do you have any idea how soul-crushing it is to make less than $30k a year, make payments in the multiple hundreds of dollars every months, and see the balance increase?

After 20 years of that, I think you deserve the forgiveness. But not only that, you're then taxed on the forgiveness (which I think is necessary!). So you struggle for 20 years, still have the debt, then get nailed with what could very well be a 5-figure tax bill.

Under most circumstances they have probably paid more to the federal government than you have.

Screw all those freeloaders!

Don't forget while you make payments you get tax credits paid on interest - up to a limit (which is really easy to hit; by the way).
Yes but if you're on IBR this is minuscule. I only paid ~$2k my first year in repayment, a small part of that was interest, and because my income was low enough the taxes on that small part was only a few dozens of dollars.

But absolutely when you're making $2250/mo before taxes and extra $20 in your refund is awesome :)

Interestingly, and the article touches on this a bit, a disproportionate fraction of this forgiven debt goes to those who got terminal professional degrees, like doctors and lawyers.

> Critics, including academics across the political spectrum, say the income-based repayment program isn’t targeting the neediest borrowers and instead bestows big benefits on those who attend pricey colleges and graduate schools and earn high incomes.

Take a new surgical resident who just graduated from med school with a slightly above average amount of debt - $300k [0]. They consolidate their loans and put themselves on an income based repayment plan, and start their residency at a nonprofit hospital. After 120 payments (at most one per month) made while working for a 501(c), their remaining loan is forgiven, tax-free. [1]

At the outset, the income based plan really is the only option. They'll be earning a modest salary as a resident - 40-60k per year. During this period their debt will accumulate unpaid interest as their payments are capped at 10% of their income (above 1.5x the poverty line, so something like max_payment = 0.10*(income-20k); $200-300 a month, at most). After ~7 years of surgical residency, depending on specialty, the doctors begin earning $300k-$500k/year. At this point their total loan amount at 7% simple interest (unpaid interest isn't compounded under these programs) has grown somewhere on the order of 40-50%. Now they are making the maximum payment on their debt assuming a 20-25 year repayment term. Unfortunately, they'll only be making those payments for 3 years before the entire balance of the loan is forgiven - tax free.

The end result is that for doctors whose residency and subsequent career begins by working at nonprofit hospitals, the government will end up forgiving the full amount of their medical school tuition, usually plus a little bit of interest. Med schools, law schools, and other professional schools know this, and actively promote these programs as a way for students to justify going into unbelievable levels of debt. [2]

In general, those with less than about $40k in debt will see no change to their monthly payment by moving to an income based repayment program, so they have little incentive to go through the hassle of signing up.

[0] http://grad-schools.usnews.rankingsandreviews.com/best-gradu...

[1] https://studentaid.ed.gov/sa/repay-loans/forgiveness-cancell...

[2] https://www.law.gwu.edu/loan-repayment-plans

Yes, implicit public subsidization of medical schools, which the taxpayer signed up for 100%.
> The end result is that for doctors whose residency and subsequent career begins by working at nonprofit hospitals, the government will end up forgiving the full amount of their medical school tuition, usually plus a little bit of interest. Med schools know this, and actively promote these programs as a way for students to justify going into unbelievable levels of debt.

So we get more doctors that work in hospitals that aren't motivated by profit and you make it sound like a bad thing.

We also get completely unrestrained tuition growth, which is really the core problem. And we forgive hundreds of thousands of dollars in debt to professionals earning 10x the median income.

Also: don't kid yourself. Non-profit hospital chains are enormous businesses. [0]

[0] http://www.beckershospitalreview.com/lists/25-top-grossing-n...

My SO is a resident at a non-profit in an east coast city. I'm not "kidding myself".

I made no claim that non-profit hospitals aren't enormous businesses so I'm not sure what your link is proving. Though to me that link does actually make the point that we should have more non-profit hospitals, imo.

2 more points:

1) You are grossly over exaggerated the compensation of doctors after residency in non-profit hospitals. Of course they do make more than the median income but it is no where near 10x.

2) I think you should consider what the benefit of a) having non-profit hospitals and b) loan forgiveness programs for doctors at non-profit hospitals is.

> We also get completely unrestrained tuition growth, which is really the core problem.
Right so you have a few options there. 1 being getting rid of the incentive to work for a non-profit or another being to increase the size and number of medical schools. I know which one I'd prefer.
My preferred solution is actually to force the original beneficiaries of the debt origination to carry a "lowest priority" fraction of it for the duration of the loan - somewhere from 5-20% should be sufficient. Once schools need to carry responsibility for the full repayment of the student loans, they'll have an incentive to minimize the size of the loans.
I chose surgeons deliberately:

"Hospital employment: Hospital employment can be a good option for orthopedic and spine surgeons who want steady hours, guaranteed income and relief from the administrative duties associated with running a private practice. Hospital employment also guarantees an immediate patient base, which can be difficult to build from the ground up in a private practice.

"One of the interesting thing hospitals have been doing for employed physicians is paying a wage to a new graduate that are substantially higher than what they would make in private practice for the first year or two," says Dr. Ott. "So they capture many of the new graduates. While they may be spending more on the professional services side, they recoup hospital charges when these surgeons bring patients to the facility for surgery or diagnostic testing."

For general orthopedic surgeons, the starting salary is $500,000 with a sign-on bonus at $35,000, according to the "2011 Orthopedic Recruiting Trends & Starting Salary Overview from Orthopedic Recruiting Group. Hip and joint on average receive $597,000 salary and $50,000 sign-on buns, while spine surgeons receive $452,000 salary and $40,000 sign-on bonus."

http://www.beckershospitalreview.com/hospital-physician-rela...

Firstly, the most profitable hospitals are nonprofit. Secondly, it would probably be cheaper to hire them at market rate as opposed to paying off their loans.
Really interesting that so many people went straight for the "welfare queen" of this current economic specter (s/"welfare queen"/"art therapist") while ignoring this.

I mean the article all but says this ("critics.. say the income-based repayment program... instead bestows big benefits on those who... earn high incomes").

I guess history does repeat itself.

Yep. Income based programs are almost exclusively for those with more than 40-50k in debt, and are most beneficial/costly for the government for people with far more than that. The average college student graduating with less than $20k in debt should not even bother enrolling - they won't see a dime.
Maybe the government could just hire doctors and have them treat people. An idea so crazy that the rest of the developed world does it already.
Buddy, you're in for a world of hurt over the next four years.
You don't say.
Yup, med schools are actively advertising public loan forgiveness as a way to get students to pay whatever they charge. Students don't have any incentive to take on less debt since they'll pay the same no matter how much debt they take on.
In a nutshell, all US citizens end up paying extremely expensive education (compared to countries with same or better education level) to overpriced private faculties and in bank loans instead of simply accepting that higher education should be public (and with that greatly reducing the expenses with education) and founded by state with a network of public faculties.

All in all, people appreciate the idea of having a middleman in the equation that greatly increases the costs of the product, just so that then can pretend they are not financing other people education when they could simply accept public education, pay much less and get rid of the speculative middleman.

Same goes for healthcare actually. It's a strange part of American mentally: better pay more for an inferior product and pretend that you aren't actually financing those that can't afford the product, than pay less and have a part of what you pay directly helping those that can't afford it by themselves.

It's to perpetuate the myth of 'rugged individualism', one of the founding legends of the US. Those middle men making all the money have a vested interest that people follow this belief. It's related to the believe where everybody views themselves as 'temporarily embarrassed millionaires', which explains why they are willing to take on so much debt to study, and why they accept the trickle up.
Why is the federal government the largest single lender to students? This is a direct transfer from taxpayers to a few public and private institutions. If colleges and universities were responsible for student debt, they never would have made these loans that need to be forgiven in the first place.
It's the American way: profits are private but losses are public. (See also the health insurance system.)
>The overall government loan program—currently totaling $1.26 trillion of debt outstanding, including privately issued loans backed by the government—continues to generate a profit, though these projected revenues are dwindling as more people go into income-based repayment.
Check out the US crop insurance system for an even better example. It'll make you laugh (and cry).
Are there any standard paths to getting in on this scam? I'm tired of always being picked to fund other people's carelessness.
Harvard Business School, I guess?
If the federal government is lending to students then "taxpayers" (as a collective) aren't funding colleges, the individual students are (who are taxpayers individually, but I don't think that's what you meant).

And if the government participates in loan forgiveness, then the fact that the government is also a lender isn't really relevant, because the taxpayers will be covering that bill anyway.

Really, it's for the best that the federal government gets any interest from student loans, rather than private banks having a vested interest in the growth of tuition rates.

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The most earnest attempts to help are again struck down by the law of unintended consequences.

From the article, for the 8 million people currently in default the average outstanding balance is < $10,000. For the people enrolled in the income-based repayment plan the average outstanding balance is > $67,000. So it seems if the marginal cost of borrowing more is 0, people are going to borrow more.

I think the real story is that it's difficult to have government subsidies for students without putting some form of price controls on the schools. What we see in practice is that the subsidies cost the government (which is fine -- that's what a subsidy is) but the value is being captured by the school, not the student.

The whole mess that is higher education sickens me. The bankers did this. They colluded with susceptible financial aid officers and corrupted and victimized. Now the rest of us are left holding the bag, as usual. Socializing the losses. This is unacceptable. I still think the idiots who took out the loans need to repay them, not be let off. You might say it is akin to modern day slavery, and I get that, but the fact of the matter is, it is the bankers who are looking for the write offs because a) they still get paid and b) they need those same suckers to take on loads more debt buying houses.
Modern investment banking seems to be at the root of a lot of society's ills.
Bankers didn't raise tuition and pile on fees on top of that.
Agreed.

1) The universities obtained massive loans to build fancy new buildings and that cost is simply being passed on to students.

2) The ease to obtain educational loans prevents universities from having any sort of revenue constraints.

Constraints breed innovation. If there are no constraints, the universities have no incentive to reduce costs.

I think some of that is certainly true.

But it's also true that the costs of employing professional workers has increased, primarily in the guise of health care premiums. There are more parties involved in this chain than just a university and students. A health insurance company (or any service company) may be able to increase premiums knowing the university has access to easy money from students.

And a public university (or any public institution) rarely has the option of laying people off and hiring ones with the right skills in order to maximize value. Universities are subject to so much political scrutiny that more popular options like hiring freezes or pay raise freezes are preferred, leading to this bizarre attrition that makes it difficult to get value out of your most expensive resource: faculty and staff.

What about private institutions? Are they not subject to the same constraints?

https://priceonomics.com/static/images/college-one/Yearly_Tu...

Also, if these institutions are interested in "maximizing value" then they should be perusing modified MOOCs (online course + office hours and on-site testing). They are not.

> What about private institutions? Are they not subject to the same constraints?

They are not, but they offer a very different set of problems. In that situation buildings are not the issue, but inflated tuition before loans. I appreciated the government coming down on for profit institutions and would definitely like to see more scrutiny of private colleges in regards to loans.

>Also, if these institutions are interested in "maximizing value" then they should be perusing modified MOOCs (online course + office hours and on-site testing). They are not.

That's just not true. Plenty of institutions are exploring these or using them, either to reach students that are not local or to teach local students. My dad works at a state university system and they are aggressively pursuing MOOCs, but there has been a great deal of push back from students and placement partners (businesses who the colleges partner with for placement of trade students).

The other issue that comes up with MOOCs -- at least where I am -- is that students who might go to a local community college or small university are going to larger institutions in state because they can take courses online. That leads to a great deal of political hostility towards the large institutions.

> That's just not true. Plenty of institutions are exploring these or using them, either to reach students that are not local or to teach local students.

In California, they kinda bricked the online courses (at the time). You would get no credit for the course if it was within your major. The material was also somewhat simplified. Also, the fact that you took an online course was looked down upon.

> My dad works at a state university system and they are aggressively pursuing MOOCs, but there has been a great deal of push back from students and placement partners (businesses who the colleges partner with for placement of trade students).

That sounds like great news. Your right, it seems to boil down to politics.

Professors, by and large, are freaking out about a new proposed law to mandate accepting online course credit. “There is no possibility that University of California faculty will shirk its responsibility to our students by ceding authority over courses to any outside agency,” wrote the faculty senate in a strongly worded letter.

https://techcrunch.com/2013/04/03/a-few-crazy-college-fees-t...

> That sounds like great news. Your right, it seems to boil down to politics.

I think the problem here in Minnesota is not the professors, but the students, who don't want to take an online course, especially since it does not seem to lead to a reduction in tuition. Several faculty had already integrated MOOCs into their curriculum (staff cuts may have forced their hand), but your customer have to want it. Placement partners also felt they were not necessarily preparing students to the agreed upon level.

The approach to MOOCs should be done differently:

1) The courses should be VIGOROUS and SELF-PACED (no quarter, semester).

2) Billed on a monthly subscription.

Students are short-sighted:

1) They can load up on more classes concurrently.

2) Spend more time on hard courses and breeze through on easy ones.

3) Have access to more courses and not be constrained by univ. budget or professor availability.

Basically, the students get more for their money in the near term. At some point, the tuition will flatten out and potentially increase access to those who could not previously afford to attend.

I believe the increased costs stem more from administration bloat.

For state schools in my state, capital funds for school buildings come from a different pool of money. And for any "student initiative" buildings, such as a rec center, current students vote to increase their student fees to help pay for them. Which is stupid. The are sacking their wants onto future students and increasing the costs for them with "non-education" related things. Most of these student fees are outlaid for more than 4 years. If you want a gym to workout in while a student, get a membership to an existing local fitness center. Don't force all the students to subsidize your wants.

I agree.

When the government subsidizes student loans (which I think they should in order to promote an educated/skilled society) there must be cost controls on the school (no NE private school art majors costing 100k+) and underwriting on the part of both the school and the student (the student doesn't successfully complete a degree, the government gets money back), in combination with monitoring.

They are private institutions. They can charge whatever they like. How about not providing easy money to absolutely anyone for a college degree?
>> When the government subsidizes student loans...there must be cost controls on the school (no NE private school art majors costing 100k+)

I never said that they couldn't. I said that when the government pays for student loans they should enforce price controls and underwriting of the loans.

They are private institutions that ride on tons of government money because they are for some reason considered non-profit.
> When the government subsidizes student loans (which I think they should in order to promote an educated/skilled society) there must be cost controls on the school (no NE private school art majors costing 100k+) and underwriting on the part of both the school and the student (the student doesn't successfully complete a degree, the government gets money back), in combination with monitoring.

If the government really wants to get involved in this (which I really wish they didn't) they should build and operate more schools. Make them either at-cost, heavily subsidized, or (my preference) entirely free for anyone to attend. Forget income requirements, residency requirements, or anything else. Just make it entirely free to anyone that wants to show up and learn.

This would force the private sector to actually compete against something meaningful and that would lead to lower prices. The current system of the government handing out loans to anybody for anything is what leads to $100K 4-year tuitions.

We've already got a decent baseline of community colleges throughout the USA. If they closed off the student loan spigot and poured that same money into there we'd all be much better off. If someone wants to go to $EXPENSIVE_SCHOOL then fine, let them figure it out on their own or get the school to use their $N-billionaire dollar endowment to subsidize it.

> If the government really wants to get involved in this (which I really wish they didn't) they should build and operate more schools. Make them either at-cost, heavily subsidized, or (my preference) entirely free for anyone to attend. Forget income requirements, residency requirements, or anything else. Just make it entirely free to anyone that wants to show up and learn.

By financing loans, aren't they already trying to do this? Building and operating more schools just adds more cost.

IMO, when you have a functioning government, this is what makes a single payer system (like is often seen in healthcare) so great. If schools can't come to a reasonable price/agreement with the single payer, they don't get paid. And it also leverages a central tenant of Capitalism... there's always someone out there willing to work for less.

I know people see this as a bad word, but if we leveraged the best of both Socialism and Capitalism in situations like these we would be better off.

> By financing loans, aren't they already trying to do this? Building and operating more schools just adds more cost.

No providing loans increases the demand side of things (more people capable of paying) without controlling costs or increasing supply.

Building and operating more schools increases supply which would have a downward pressure on costs as private institutions would then be competing for students against (more) government run schools.

> IMO, when you have a functioning government, this is what makes a single payer system (like is often seen in healthcare) so great. The single if schools can't come to a reasonable price/agreement with the single payer, they don't get paid. And it leverages a central tenant of Capitalism... there's always someone out there willing to work for less.

Ha! This is first time I've heard someone try to explain single-payer healthcare as an example of capitalism.

> Ha! This is first time I've heard someone try to explain single-payer healthcare as an example of capitalism.

Well single payer isn't Capitalism, it's Socialism. I wasn't trying to represent it as Capitalism. In (this form) Capitalism, if one buyer and one seller can't agree (where the supply and demand meet), then that's ok because there are (most likely, given a supply/demand graph) other buyers and other sellers.

In (this form) Socialism, if the sellers cannot agree with the single payer (or the payer that represents an overwhelming number of the potential buyers) then they don't get paid for services (or are relegated to the much smaller market segment).

>> I know people see this as a bad word, but if we leveraged the best of both Socialism and Capitalism in situations like these we would be better off.

Not to imply that you were being disingenuous/malicious, but leaving out this part of my post misrepresents what I was trying to say.

Single payer systems are neither Capitalist or Socialist. It's just a form of public spending.
Under (pure) Capitalism, there isn't public spending for private individuals. Not to mention government influenced pricing... single payer is pretty far away from laissez-faire and capitalism.
Capitalism is simply an economic system based on private ownership of property. Public spending is completely irrelevant. Single payer systems are entirely compatible with capitalism, and is a good example of Social Democratic policy (not to be confused with Socialism, which it is not), which seeks to work within the structure of Capitalism. A Socialist system would be one in which private ownership (of health care) is prohibited; perhaps the closest example among modern democracies being the NHS in the UK.
> By financing loans, aren't they already trying to do this? Building and operating more schools just adds more cost.

You could say they are doing this but in a super inefficient way. With plentiful student loans you end up a lot of actors that capture the money that should be going to eduction (the goal). This includes schools (and their growing administrative departments, lenders, expensive sub-standard housing).

You know when college was the most affordable in the US? It's when the states contributed the biggest part. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/fancy-dorms-arent-the-ma...

I'm personally in favor providing an option at decent post HS education to almost everybody for a modest cost (so people do take it seriously). This shouldn't be just college or generic 4 year university but also vocational training (HVAC, nursing, electrical). If you want to go to a private institution or non public-private partnership, that will always be an option.

I also think there's a lot of room for redesigning the 4 year university. I did enjoy some (but not all) of my required electives courses like History of Theater, Early American Literature, History of Africa (you could pick an area), but I don't think it's ethical to shove down a year of classes that may or may not be helpful to people in their life and saddle them with additional debt for that so smugly we can claim they will be more rounded.

You can also look at this from a selfish long term angle where we equip people with the tools for the future so they are more self reliant (less reliance on government programs) also offset with higher tax recipes in the long term.

I was impressed with the community college classes I took. I can't imagine how much better the quality would be if you redirected that money from expensive schools to them. The cost of failure would be much lower if you decide that chemistry isn't for you and you want to do something else. That could really retrain our workforce for the future and I think it would be politically palatable.

Not sure how you'd manage class sizes while still maintaining quality (assuming increased enrollment). I guess would this end up turning into a "grade 13-16" thing where you have the same problems you have funding schools and paying teachers a good salary.

> I can't imagine how much better the quality would be if you redirected that money from expensive schools to them.

Yeah, but you'd lose a football team, an expensive stadium for which the bond payments are still due, and a lot of nice offices for staff.

Uhhh, the government does build and operate schools? So many schools. There are public Universities in every state. Some of them top notch and as good as the best private universities in the world. Most of them decent.

Government loans should only apply to state schools, the schools should be funded better, and there should be more oversight and price controls, sure (public schools waste millions of dollars just like private ones on sports, administrator salaries, fancy buildings and landscaping that aren't necessary, etc).

This is exactly the reason Clinton/Sanders proposed a plan to include free tuition for /public/ universities for people meeting an income threshold. No free rides to Sarah Lawrence.

> Uhhh, the government does build and operate schools? So many schools. There are public Universities in every state. Some of them top notch and as good as the best private universities in the world. Most of them decent.

And I'm saying we should have more (assuming we want the government to have any hand in this).

> Government loans should only apply to state schools, the schools should be funded better, and there should be more oversight and price controls, sure (public schools waste millions of dollars just like private ones on sports, administrator salaries, fancy buildings and landscaping that aren't necessary, etc).

Screw loans. Just let people go to school for free.

> This is exactly the reason Clinton/Sanders proposed a plan to include free tuition for /public/ universities for people meeting an income threshold.

Screw income thresholds too. I don't care if your a prince or a pauper, it should be free regardless.

Income thresholds are a pain in the ass to implement and verify. Plus they have the insanely stupid consequence of causing people not to save money as it's only going to be used against you.

For every millionaire's son that's going to get a free ride under by "everybody's included" plan, you'll get plenty more people that were on the cusp of whatever income threshold you've chosen. I can live with that (hell I think it's more fair than discriminating based on the success of your parents).

> No free rides to Sarah Lawrence.

That'll still exist but it'll have to be the student's uncle instead of Uncle Sam.

Are there not caps on student loans in the US? In Norway student loans are given by a government body and there is a capped amount per year of studies. This effectively caps the private schools tuition too.
There is a cap on what the government will directly loan, which is fairly low for undergrad, but higher for grad school.

http://studentaid.psu.edu/types-of-aid/loans/federal-direct/...

Gives you about 31k as an undergrad, and 138k as a grad student.

So combined you could be 160k in debt, which adds up especially if you don't do payments for a few years.

Then there is a whole other product of "private loans" where a bank gives you a loan, but the government agrees to back against loss to some degree (unsure of exact rules). Seems like this limit varies by lender, but is in the 70-120k range

https://www.edvisors.com/college-loans/terms/loan-limits/

So all said, you can end up with a LOT of debt.

> the value is being captured by the school, not the student

Yup. That's also why so many for-profit schools popped up.

All of the private schools are for-profit. They just have a scam going to call themselves otherwise.
Also, government should not subsidize zero-sum games. More people go to college and suddenly a college degree is not a comparative advantage anymore, it becomes a baseline. Nobody benefits.

http://slatestarcodex.com/2015/06/06/against-tulip-subsidies...

An educated population is NOT a zero sum game.

The top thing the government can do for it's people is to keep them alive. (Free from invasion, murder, etc).

The second thing the government can do for it's people is to keep them healthy. Access to health care, etc. etc. More of an offshoot of above, but for things deeper than alive.

The third thing the government can do for it's people is to educate them. Not so that they can get "better jobs", but so they can be educated. The people around you vote just as much as you do. They decide the future of the country just as much as you do. Would you rather someone who never ever set foot in school helped elect your local government, or someone who has a PhD from a good college?

Kind of a hierarchy of needs.. education doesn't matter if you aren't safe.. but once you are safe, it seems very important. Not at ALL a 0 sum game. You don't educate to give people better jobs, but to enable them to think critically. Which is why 4 year colleges do a lot more for the world than coding boot camps or trade schools.

The US has one of the best (albeit expensive) college education in the world. The primary/middle/high-school system is seriously under-performing, though.

Couldn't those be improved instead? It would benefit everyone, not just the upper-middle classes that can afford college.

How do you increase the performance of the primary/middle/high-school system? To me, that means creating better and more educated teachers that can generate more 'performant' students!
You've got to pay those teachers a competitive wage, if you want to get better quality out of them. Teaching is already kind of a shitty deal, considering you need a four-year degree, plus specialty teacher training, and then continuing education to maintain your certificate, and then they pay you peanuts.
Teachers make over the median wage on average, and work less hours per year as well. How much do we have to pay them in order to encourage them to do their jobs in your opinion?

"The BLS reports that elementary teachers in the U.S. receive an average annual salary of $55,270. Many teachers, including those in New York City, receive their pay at set intervals throughout the course of the year. In other areas, teachers only receive pay when school is in session. The BLS does not gather data relating to hourly wages due to the manner in which most elementary teachers are paid. However, someone working a typical 40-hour work week would have to receive an hourly rate of $26.57 to earn as much as the average elementary teacher over the course of a year."

http://work.chron.com/hourly-wages-teachers-2044.html

That seems pretty high. My mother with 27 years of seniority and a master's degree only makes about that much, and she is the highest-paid teacher in her school district. Starting salary in Maine is something like 30, 32k. Technically, teachers do only work about 3/4 as many days as the rest of us that work full time, but it's not exactly easy to pick up another real job for those two and a half months in the summer. You're not going to get people that have better options to gravitate towards teaching at those kind of rates. Especially for math and sciences, where you could start out making double or triple a teaching salary in an industry job.
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> over the median wage on average

That's an odd measure. Why use the average median instead of the median median or the average average?

Remember also to take into account the median (or average, whatever) wage among people with four year degrees + special training + willingness to continue training to maintain their certificates.

My mistake, I mean't to type simply median wage. A single teacher makes more than the average household ($53,657).

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Household_income_in_the_United...

>Remember also to take into account the median (or average, whatever) wage among people with four year degrees + special training + willingness to continue training to maintain their certificates.

And then cut that number(50,556)[0] by 1/4th, and you are at a number much lower than what most teachers make currently and that's before you factor in pensions and benefits.

[0]http://time.com/money/3829776/heres-what-the-average-grad-ma...

Conflating university degrees with the general educational of all citizens is a mistake.

Universities are useful in attaining a particular type of education that is not suited to every highschool graduate. It's fairly clear once you've spent time on an American university campus that not everyone there "needs" to be there on the governments dime for the betterment of society.

Why do you think they've reduced the level of knowledge of the average HS grad so that they have to go to college to get a decent job? Sure, you have to know more by age 20 now to get employed in a brain-based job, but education should be much easier and more efficient by now.
It is. We have MOOCs now, and ebooks, and online encyclopedias.

But it's like those synthetic diamonds: It doesn't matter how much shinier, purer and cheaper they are, they will never replace "real" diamonds because the whole purpose of diamonds as a status symbol is that they are expensive.

Except a college degree isn't just signalling; you do actually learn things there.
> What we see in practice is that the subsidies cost the government (which is fine -- that's what a subsidy is) but the value is being captured by the school, not the student.

But is this really an unintended consequence? Who has more lobbying power in Washington, students or Princeton and Yale?

I hear your point, but neither Princeton nor Yale require students to get loans. Along with a number of other super-prestigious schools, they offer all students full grant coverage of all the cost they can't afford.

"By committing to an admissions policy that does not consider a student’s ability to pay, and by meeting the full financial need of all admitted students (with no loans required), we ensure that Yale is accessible to the most talented students from around the world, regardless of their family’s income" http://admissions.yale.edu/financial-aid-prospective-student...

> What we see in practice is that the subsidies cost the government (which is fine -- that's what a subsidy is) but the value is being captured by the school, not the student.

And thus it's in the academic class's self-interest to encourage both more lending and more debt forgiveness — and remarkably enough that's exactly what the academic class is arguing for.

I don't think that they're acting in bad faith, just that there's little incentive for them to examine their assumptions. After all, from the perspective of a tenured professor or a university executive, higher education is an unmitigated good, his life's work.

>I think the real story is that it's difficult to have government subsidies for students without putting some form of price controls on the schools. What we see in practice is that the subsidies cost the government (which is fine -- that's what a subsidy is) but the value is being captured by the school, not the student.

Well, uh, yeah, what did people expect? This was a pretty deliberate policy shift. Public higher education used to be funded by per-student block grants at the state level, whose conditions said that tuition and fees had to be kept below some maximum level and could not rise faster than some maximum rate. Now it's mostly funded via subsidized loans.

When you subsidize education-usury instead of education, you get more usury and less education, because that's what you paid for.

I saw academic bloat run sky-high when I was a post-doc. Today, I think about saving for my daughter's college, which I am fortunate enough to be able to do. It's infuriating that the money is going to paying for self-preserving bureaucracy and campus beautification projects like replacing the flowers every month. From what I've read, it's even worse today.
The highest paid public employee in my state is a college basketball coach.
A.

I think it's less about the amount any one person is paid and more about the huge number of administrators moving paper from one desk to another.

I went to a private liberal arts college with a few thousand students. We had a Dean and four assistant Deans, all of whom made multiple six figures a year. Our president when I was there made $450k/yr and had next to no living expenses.

B.

Private v. public has nothing to do with academic bloat.

Exactly this! I attended a major southern public university and the administrative overhead there was immense. Not only that, you had high placed administrators who "retired" only to immediately return as high dollar consultants. Whole thing stinks.
Closely followed by an army of "Deans of Diversity and Inclusion" and others like that, at around $400K/year.
I too live in Michigan. Dantonio's salary is ridiculous.
Jim Harbaugh makes even more.

But Big 10 football (and basketball) runs at a profit for the schools, it's the big salaries at smaller sports programs that don't make financial sense.

> self-preserving bureaucracy

When academia is run as a business and subsidies are drastically cut, you need to devote resources into acquiring new customers, which means competing with other universities who are doing the same thing. Hence the rapid increases in campus amenities and business administration positions that never existed 30 years ago.

> campus beautification projects like replacing the flowers every month

Out of all things to complain about, flowers on campus are on the low end of the totem pole. Let them plant flowers, I say! I enjoy them.

When a school with ~4000 students has a multimillion dollar flower replacement budget, it says a lot.
It gets worse, the army of governors, deans, vice chancellors and council of senates all making over $400k at a university here built luxury condos on endowment lands with tuition fees to speculate on.
>It's infuriating that the money is going to paying for self-preserving bureaucracy and campus beautification projects like replacing the flowers every month.

You forgot paying for sports facilities...

Edit: Downvotes for wondering why universities are paying millions for sports facilities. Nice.

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Some private firms in the income-based repayment space:

- Vemo Education (vemo.com)

- LEIF (joinleif.com)

- Purdue, Washington U (...)

My wife is a mental health worker - a therapist - who works with people with severe needs. The jobs in her field are almost always state funded either via the criminal justice system or counties providing services for adults with severe and persistent mental illness. Therapists get paid less than a fast food restaurant manager and many times and have student loan debts that quite large compared to the expected earnings. In my mind, this sort of work is exactly why the public service 10 year program was created and is a form of the Federal government subsidizing the state government efforts to care for the least and the last.
University is the new H.S. You know it. I know it. Everyone knows it. We have publicly funded high schools. It's time we have publicly funded universities. If the U.S. wishes to be competitive globally we need a well trained, educated workforce unencumbered by mountains of debt at the very time their supposed to be making their first "adult decisions" (buying a home, having kids, choosing which city to live in). Lump this in with climate change and universal health care, as far as I'm concerned. This is 2016, not 1850. It's not every person for themselves on the frontier. Almost everything we consume is touched by folks far away, requires IP to be built, and public infrastructure to get to you. This "there are no externalities that we need to worry about", "I can take care of myself mythology is so blatantly false at this point", it's b.s. and I just consider someone that starts with that as a set of axioms for their world view as ignorant or delusional.
University is not the new high school. Community college and trade school is the new high school. Not everyone is suited to a university education, or wants one.
I oversimplified. I would say that all three of those should be an option, that one should not consider their education complete till they'd gotten through either university, college, or a trade school. I'm even a huge advocate of apprenticeships. I suppose those could be rolled up into the trade school category. But I believe that leaving university out of that group (only counting college and trade school) ignores a large and important portion of the economy. Also, the liberal arts portion of schooling is important for a citizen.
The current situation is a mess, and I don't really know what to say about how to handle it. Maybe the government forgiving it is a good idea. But, moving forward...

Kids: please don't go into debt for education! Go to a community college or a state school. Go part time. Go to a trade school. Start a business (no degree required!) But just try to avoid debt. It's hard to describe exactly how suffocating debt can feel. All those things you want to do when you grow up - debt is going to make most of them harder of impossible.

Parents: if you want to save up and pay for your kids education, I guess that's fine. But if you can't/won't, then it's your responsibility to inform you children about debt.

>debt is going to make most of them harder of impossible.

I experienced this when buying my first house. My wife and I were unable to get a conventional loan because our debt to income ratio was too high. I had $90k in student loans from grad school which prevented us from getting a conventional loan. We were able to get an FHA loan and can re-finance once we get to 20% equity but it is frustrating to have to put up with FHA regulations before buying the house.

Why would anybody take your advice when they know it is very likely the government will forgive student debt again in the future? People do not take advice on face value, incentive matters!
A lot of this problem would go away if student loan lenders and educational institutions were required to give students / borrowers a list of median starting incomes for graduates broken down by major, along with examples of typical repayment schedules.