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Gold is a real thing. Crypto, no matter the stake, is a figment of our collective beliefs. Collective opinion isn’t something that can be split or analyzed, otherwise we’d already know everything.
Gold is a real thing. The value of gold and willingness to trade it for food and shelter is a figment of our collective beliefs. We can assign that belief to any other thing we want, the US dollar, Bitcoin, whatever.
To add to that, many things are tangible like real estate, but the notion of ownership is a figment of our collective beliefs as well.
Well, if you can physically enforce your ownership of something via force, that is a tangible expression of ownership. Generally, we have outsourced this to the state, though, as we seem to have a better society when ownership isn't determined solely by who's the best at violence.
True. Force can get pretty expensive and difficult to scale, so in practice I'm glad we outsourced it to the state (which is itself a construct).

It's turtles (collective beliefs) all the way down. In my opinion if society breaks down enough, there are no secure assets besides tools of force and goodwill.

I'm the most bearish person on crypto out of everyone I know, and even I can admit that gold only has value because of the value people assign to it. The value of gold beyond its niche uses in industry is a figment of our collective beliefs, in other words.
This is why I'm holding gold (as a hedge against the stock market in these weird times). There is a buyer who will buy no matter the confidence in it. Gold is an important ingredient in, for example, electronics. Your computer and smartphone all have gold in them.
Your reasoning goes against the person you’re replying to. The vast majority of gold’s price is as an investment. If the investment demand went away, the price would plummet. Not 100% because of the industrial demand, but it would be a huge amount. If you want something where the value is backed by industrial use, literally any other metal would be a better choice.
True. It's similar to cryptocurrencies that way, but there is an underlying demand that I find comforting. Bitcoin etc. can be completely abandoned without consequence, but we need gold. Gold will probably always have some value. And as long as it is scarce, that value floor will probably allow its price to recover from a confidence crisis.
Indeed, neither are productive assets, and I'm only interested in investing in and advocating for productive assets.
what about PAXG? it's a gold backed crypto. not much different in principle than a precious metals fund.
Bitcoin can act as a store of value if people want it to. A big reason people like gold is because there’s very little new gold mined every year, something like 1% of total supply. So it’s guaranteed to not inflate(versus the fed printing 30% of total USD supply this year), same thing with Bitcoin.
Do you think the value that we all attribute to gold is not a figment of our collective beliefs? If not, where do you think it derives its value from?
Not disagreeing, but there's something to be said for a collective belief that has lasted for, at the very least, 5000 years, and likely significantly longer than that.
I agree. Definitely longer track record.
> The basic premise is that money is simply technology that makes our wealth today available for consumption tomorrow. Thus the "best" money is the one that will give its holder the most purchasing power over time.

This is absurd. A complete misunderstanding of what money is for. Money is a means of exchange. The "best" money is the one that's most widely accepted in places you want to spend it. It only needs to function as a store of value in the short term. Anything with less than 10% inflation per year should work.

Money only needs to be a few things.

1. Cheap, fast and easy to transact + broadly accepted.

2. Fungible.

3. Predictable.

4. Hold its value for exactly as long as it takes you to convert your earnings into either long-term value storage assets, or to spend on the necessities of life. Any longer is a non-goal.

5. [bonus] Flexible enough to respond to shocks, changes and externalities, offering mild, predictable inflation as measured against a basket of necessities.

Every crypto fails 1, 3, 4 and 5 - and all the popular ones fail (2) also - as a public ledger revealing a coins history makes each transaction quantum unique.

No idea why you got down-voted, the article is totally wrong.

1. There are plenty of cryptos that this applies to right now. Cheap is not true for ETH atm, but it may soon be given the very real scaling solutions that are soon to come online.

2. Why does a means of exchange need to be fungible? Regardless, Monero and others are fungible.

3. Not sure what this means or why its required for money, but still seems like crypto can apply here.

4. Stablecoins exist, and I'm not even counting the shady AF ones like Tether. For example there is DAI, which is fully decentralized, runs on the Ethereum blockchain, has held stable very well (certainly well enough for the above use case) and which saw $2.6B trade volume in the last 24hr.

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Nice list, but it seems kind of like a straw man specifically constructed to claim that cryptocurrencies fail to meet it.

Anyways, I don’t understand your extreme hard-line stance on holding money. You do realize that liquidity is important, right? Holding uninvested cash sends two important signals: that I want a buffer against adverse events without having to liquidate assets, and/or that none of the currently available investment opportunities meets my desired risk/reward criteria. These are extremely important market signals that get squashed when you abuse your money supply to bully everyone into being 110% invested at all times, good or bad.

I agree some amount of cash is worth holding, and the 2% annualized inflation you pay is simply a fee for liquidity. It harms the economy but benefits you, so a fee doesn't seem unreasonable.

I didn't construct the list specifically to attack cryptocurrencies, the whole crypto situation has led me to do a lot of research on just what a reasonable monetary policy is.

Seems like Ethereum will win that one too, since Layer 1 scaling solutions seems imminent (and it is already much better than say BTC in terms of throughput anyway) and most "smart chain" crypto stuff is happening on Ethereum as well (DeFi, NFTs, ERC20s, etc)
The money that keeps its purchasing power will be the most widely accepted.
That's a non-goal of a currency, it's the goal of an asset.
It's a goal for a better currency. You don't have to store wealth in pointless assets if money has this property.
No, it isn't. A currency only needs to hold its value from the time you get it, to the time you productively allocate it or spend it on necessities. There is no benefit to a currency holding its value long term, and in fact, it is a detriment as currencies are not productive vehicles. Keeping capital locked up unproductively is a detriment to the economy. Money is the pointless asset.
It sounds like you're stuck with that definition. Sometimes it's better to save money, in order to productively allocate it later. Spending non-productively is a detriment to economy and environment.

And, because people are free to choose the better money, you can't do anything to prevent it from taking over anyway.

Again it’s strictly worse at being money. You just keep restating that it’s not instead of attempting to justify your position.
I'm afraid this is the complete misunderstanding of what money is for.

You're describing the best medium of exchange, which you know today generally as base money of fiat currencies (cash). Acting as a medium of exchange is a property money can have but absolutely does not require to be used for its principal and only use which is to store value. Why is that its only function? Because the only way to use a medium of exchange is to find in turn someone who wants to store wealth himself. Absent that market participant your medium of exchange becomes worthless.

Acting as a medium of exchange is a transitory instant blip in the life of an asset that lives for the sole actual purpose of storing wealth.

Now if the average redemption horizon of monetary wealth was short as you seem to imply, then in effect all monetary assets would be used frequently as mediums of exchange and their capacity to preserve value over meaningful periods of time would be less of a consideration. Becoming accepted for payments everywhere would become the most important feature they could have. But this is absolutely not the case. The average redemption horizon of monetary wealth today is very long.

Some 200tn+ of monetary wealth sits today in various monetary instruments (100tn+ in fiat treasuries equivalent, real estate, 10tn in gold etc) that are absolutely never used as mediums of exchange. But they serve monetary assets' main and only role of preserving wealth through time, generally for long periods of time. Even the bulk of cash generally sits dormant as medium to long term investments by people holding onto the most liquid of reserve assets in case of crisis / emergency, very rarely to be used transactionally.

Whenever those investors need some transactional money, they simply then clip off a little bit of their monetary assets to buy whatever medium of exchange is en vogue to go about their daily spending habits. The rest sits idle to store wealth for as long as needed. And on that front, finding the hardest monetary asset you can find is your driving concern, and a digital new entrant like bitcoin with a hard cap is an extremely interesting alternative to other options available to this point which all have material drawbacks to that main goal, especially fiat currencies which get inflated by their central banks at a bare minimum of 25% per decade (but these days more like 15%+ per year).

Why do people keep pushing blockchain tech as store as value? As far as ETH is concerned I see it more like the web, dns, IPFS. It's infrastructure software. It's not meant to be store of value.

This frenzy looks more like the dot com bubble when everyone was thinking domain names will become the store of value of the future(i.e pets.com).

I can see value in ICOs just like there is value in penny stocks or other secondary markets but that depends by the company that offers the shares/tokens. Of course if you know that someone will pump it and keep it up(i.e like banks do on IPOs) then there is speculative value as well but that's a different story.

This being said I'm hopeful that some good tech will stick around just like the web tech did.

I agree, which is why I stopped speculating on cryptos last year. That's not to say I don't think you can speculate and make money, because clearly you can. But the movements do not seem to behave very rationally, even by finance industry standards, which is saying something.

That being said, I think the one difference is that ETH actually does have some intrinsic value assuming the Ethereum network is actually used to build useful things, which so far it seems like it is. As long as that is true, people will need ETH in order to pay gas fees. And if you need ETH to pay gas fees, presumably its value will scale somewhat proportionally to the real-world usefulness of the network.

Bitcoin doesn't have (useful) smart contracts and it's clearly not a currency so it's either a "store of value" or straight gambling. Ethereum has more leeway to define its identity.
Can blockchain exist without store of value?

Put another way: Has any project proven that there is sufficient incentive for miners or stakers to secure a blockchain without significant value stored?

Let's look at it from the perspective of "I'm going to put my life savings into this thing" and hold on to it for at least 10+ years.

Do I put it into Bitcoin which is simple, secure, battle tested, moves slowly but with broad consensus, has had a much fairer distribution, is not controlled by the whims of it's creator, etc?

Or do I put it into eth that's been forked pretty easily after the dao hack, moves much faster, has significantly more complexity and critical bugs go unnoticed for months[1], that's in the middle of switching over to a significantly more complex, not battle-tested long enough PoS system with significant technical and also philosophical problems like embedding "rich gets richer" deep into the protocol, that's been pitched as a smart contract platform for years?

You can still use the smart contracts using Bitcoin on top of eth, so it's not like you don't have access to them.

The way I look at it, Bitcoin is my data (aka value) and eth is my computer (aka financial transaction platform), I switch computers every other year, but my data comes along with me.

This is the question I've been pondering lately and it's pretty clear to me which one I'm choosing. That said, I have a stake in both and hope both succeed.

1: https://cryptonews.com/news/disclosed-ethereum-lived-with-a-...

Generally one doesn't invest in currencies. Currencies aren't an asset class [1], and a currency isn't an asset. One uses currencies to buy assets. Conflating the two would be an economic catastrophe, as nobody spends an appreciating asset. That's why currencies and assets are forked the way they are.

Proof is in the pudding: Pomp's Bitcoin Pizza cannot be paid for in Bitcoin - or any other crypto.

[1] https://www.commonfund.org/blog/is-currency-an-asset-class#:....

What happens between the day of creation (when it's worth 0) and the day Bitcoin becomes global reserve currency (worth multiple trillions of dollars)?

It acts as a highly appreciating asset with a great upside.

Also, I agree with you, I wish IRS would treat it as currency so that we won't have to pay capital gains taxes on it.

>> What happens between the day of creation (when it's worth 0) and the day Bitcoin becomes global reserve currency (worth multiple trillions of dollars)?

You wake up and it's morning. That happens.

There are many sales pitches, the merchant currency adoption being just one and the weakest
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Are you arguing that cryptocurrencies are a currency, and therefore not an asset class, or that cryptocurrencies are not a currency, because they are an asset class?

Because the way you worded it made it seem like the former, but your article makes it pretty clear to me that cryptocurrencies don't fit its definition for currency.

The US government has decided to treat crypto as a digital asset and not as a currency, at least, especially for the purposes of taxes.

> Pomp's Bitcoin Pizza cannot be paid for in Bitcoin

...which got him a lot of press and attention, far more than had he accepted Bitcoin. That's kinda boring these days.

The idea that nobody spends an appreciating asset is silly. I have BTC, and I need to buy things. One way or another I need to spend my wealth. How exactly I chose to do that comes down to things like convenience, privacy, conversion costs, etc. Quite often, yes, BTC won't be the most convenient or cheapest way to buy things! But sometimes it is, and when it is, my decision to spend my wealth isn't impacted by whether or not the asset I happen to use is appreciating.

It makes sense for me to spend BTC more than most people, because I'm often paid in BTC by foreign clients. So I tend to have an excess of it. But if I were, say, buying porn on a site like ManyVids, or refilling a burner phone's credit via Bitrefill, regardless of whether or not I had excess BTC I'd much rather get the privacy benefit of paying with a BTC/BTC Lightning wallet than giving my name and address with a credit card. And yes, both those sites do in fact do Lightning payments; I won't admit whether or not I've checked that myself. :)

Why would you ever spend an asset that you think is going to be worth more tomorrow than it is today? Doesn't make sense, you'd just borrow against it and wait. This is how the majority of the wealthy handle their investments. Buy, hold, borrow against it, spend. This is even doubly tax advantaged, as you don't have to recognize your capital gains - and you can deduct your margin interest.
Because these forms of wealth are fungible: if I spend fiat, that just means I have less fiat in the future that could be put into Bitcoin. The only difference is the conversion costs - depending on what exactly is the financial situation you might be saving a conversion cost by either spending fiat or spending BTC.

Keep in mind, because Bitcoin is an appreciating asset, sane investors will often need to spend their BTC to re-balance their overall portfolios. If I had never sold my BTC, essentially all my wealth would be in BTC, which is reckless. Spending my BTC directly vs trading it for fiat and then spending the fiat at minimum reduces the number of conversions needed, is better for privacy, and can even be more convenient now that Lightning works pretty well.

> Doesn't make sense, you'd just borrow against it and wait.

I have zero interest in taking that kind of risk, and I'm certainly not alone.

Fiat is intentionally worthless in the future to encourage you to spend it.
Shouldn't that be reason enough to get rid of it for something that's not trying to become worthless and rob you of your purchasing power?

It's pushing endless/pointless consumerism. People will spend money on things they need, they will also spend money on things they want, but this is pushing them to spend money for the sake of spending it.

Not necessarily consumerism. It's a temporary/intermediate representation of value. You can move it into any kind of investment. The only encouragement is to keep it as not-cash.
>> life savings into this thing

If you put your life savings in crypto currencies you should be prepared to loose it all. Consider working on your FOMO before to start investing/gambling. It's a risky asset and I would say it will become worthless as store of value but that's a different discussion.

For sure, it's very risky, highly volatile and nobody should put more money than they are willing to lose.

But if you don't trust your gov/central bankers then crypto is one(only?) way to opt out.

The issue is that the value of crypto is influenced by gov/central bankers as well. I really don't see how you could hold and trade assets if your gov doesn't want to. It can simply make it illegal like they did in China. As a business you can't sell services using illegal currency so your crypto currency treasure becomes worthless because you can't buy a loaf of bread with it.
China, India and Nigeria have made - or are in the process of making - crypto illegal. That's about 30% of the world's population. More to come.
China did not make crypto illegal. "China has banned crypto exchanges and initial coin offerings but has not barred individuals from holding cryptocurrencies."

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/05/18/china-bans-financial-payment...

India is likely to just regulate crypto, not ban it outright, even though an official made the claim back in March that they were going to:

"The central government may form a fresh panel of experts to study the possibility of regulating cryptocurrency in India, three sources privy of the discussions told ET. This comes amid the prevailing view that the recommendations by a committee headed by former finance secretary Subhash Garg in 2019 for a blanket ban on these assets had become outdated."

https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/tech/technology/govt-ma...

Nigeria did not ban crypto.

"According to local publication TodayNG, Adamu Lamtek, the Deputy Governor of the monetary regulator, said that the CBN did not ban Nigerians from buying, selling or holding cryptocurrencies but protected the banking sector from the activities of cryptocurrencies.

Additionally, he clarified that the central bank did not place any restrictions on cryptocurrencies in general and is not discouraging people from trading them."

https://www.financemagnates.com/cryptocurrency/regulation/ni...

Nothing stopping people in China or Nigeria from having crypto, just certain institutions. And I doubt India goes through with a full ban on it.

> Mm, re: Nigeria.

CBN says: "Due to the fact that cryptocurrencies are largely speculative, anonymous and untraceable they are increasingly being used for money laundering, terrorism financing and other criminal activities." Further, it describes them as "volatile speculative assets that can be a danger to Nigerian users," and banks are "not to use, hold, trade and/or transact in cryptocurrencies."

Further, all bank accounts associated with exchanges were ordered shut down in 2017 and reiterated in 2021. Also all bank accounts associated with individual traders.

So yes, individual ownership is not illegal, although to call this an attempt to discourage would be pretty tepid.

> India.

India is, to date, moving forward with a complete ban, and the plan of record is to give folks 6 months to sell off all assets they may have. They have not completed this yet, and of course to your point they may not. We'll have to watch.

> China.

PBOC is not a fan. Exchanges are illegal, ICOs are illegal, and I'm not sure I'd want to be caught anywhere near cryptos in China. Just ask Zhao Dong. [1]

> Clarification.

I apologize for not having my facts entirely straight, I should have said "heavily restricted" instead of banned.

[1] https://www.theblockcrypto.com/post/104550/chinese-court-beg...

The way I look at it, the whole point of the exercise is that nobody (no governments, no corporation, no billionaire with a twitter account) can affect the network itself.

If Bitcoin can't deliver on that promise, it doesn't deserve to exist and anybody who didn't do their due diligence should lose all their money (including me).

As long as the network is alive, it will have some value to some people somewhere.

>> it will have some value to some people somewhere.

That's not really very assuring for someone who puts life savings into a such asset.

I think the difference is influence vs control.
what has a higher probability of losing your life savings over the next 10 years, your gov/central bankers or any kind of crypto?
10 years ago, the answer to that question would have obviously been: Any kind of crypto

(though I'm not advocating anybody puts their life savings into crypto now)

US dollar is guaranteed to lose at least 50% (lowball) of its value over the next the 10 years, most with this knowledge are choosing to protect wealth by investing in scarce assets.

Bitcoin is an easy choice for wealth preservation as the most scarce/liquid/desirable asset available to most humans.

>philosophical problems like embedding "rich gets richer" deep into the protocol

Proof of work is a pretty clear "rich get richer" system, except it's the rich with stakes in energy companies, semiconductor fabs, and mining hardware that get richer, not the rich in Bitcoin.

How do they cover those costs? By selling it on the market.

As a PoS staker, all I have to do is provide a cryptographic signature and I have zero pressure to sell the coins I receive on exchanges.

The "income tax as forcing function" bit in the OP was pretty rich.

Like someone staking millions of dollars worth of ETH can't set up a shell company in a tax haven to own the resulting riches?

Different issues. In PoS, the people with the most coins decide the protocol. In PoW, the people running nodes decide the protocol. See Segwit2x debate.
But coins are fungible with dollars and dollars are fungible with mining the most coins... Most coins <-> Most USD <-> Most mining power <-> Most stake <-> Most coins.
yeah, but that doesn't matter, no matter how much you mine, or how many coins you have, you don't get any more say in the protocol rules than the people running the nodes. Your stake is irrelevant, and whilst your hashpower secures the network, if you try to break/change the rules, nobody will accept the coins you mine.
The answers depends on which 10 years of your life that you’re in
Couldn't agree more. Very well said.
Whether I answer this question correctly or not will have significant financial consequences for me, so I'm trying to be as fair and balanced as possible.
> The way I look at it, Bitcoin is my data (aka value) and eth is my computer (aka financial transaction platform), I switch computers every other year, but my data comes along with me.

Is Bitcoin the data, or is it the harddrive?

Because i switch harddrives every other 5 years too...

Just wait a few months, when millions(?) who "own" ethereum on Robinhood realize not only do they not really own ETH, they actually "own" a security that tracks the price of Ethereum 1.x, and therefore can't upgrade to ethereum 2.0 or earn "staking" rewards. Proof of Stake is genuinely neat, but the transition to Ethereum 2.0 is going to be rocky because it will involve another hard fork that will create severe confusion for millions of Robinhood users. Furthermore, there are other cryptocurrencies, such as Tezos, which currently offer proof of stake, with staking rewards, etc. I don't get how Ethereum is better set up as a store of value at this point.
Eth 1.x ownership doesn’t get rolled into Eth 2? (I’m firmly an outsider observer here)
Remember the mantra, not your keys not your coins. Robinhood will own the ETH2 tokens on their behalf. But unless you own them, you can't stake them and earn rewards for doing so. I really doubt the RH crowd cares though, and RH could easily return the staking rewards to them as 'interest.'
Some exchanges do allow staking. That's actually the easiest way to stake for an individual who doesn't own 32 ETH or doesn't wants to set up their own node.

But it's still not your coins.

Yep, agreed. Hopefully what I said didn't come across as any kind of criticism, I was hoping to explain the situation to the parent. RH could absolutely allow staking on behalf of coin owners, and frankly, it seems much easier than doing it yourself from what I've read and heard.
I just found that out earlier today on my exchange of choice. It was quite the relief, as before I was like "How the hell am I going to get to 32 ETH? That's a lot of cash I have to drop to get there."

Maybe eventually I'll have that much ETH, but I'm nowhere near that today. If I ever get to that point I might set up my own node.

I think "the RH crowd" does care, but they don't have the time or resources to learn. A bit surprised I'm saying this but, people generally care about their money. If they knew for example how easy it is to transfer out of RH and also that RH could liquidate your holdings to save their asses (which they can do), I don't think they would use Robinhood. Just because people don't have access to some information that informs your value judgments doesn't mean they don't care (or for that matter that all of our value judgments have to line up with one another).
RH will get into deep trouble if they stake users' ETH without their consent. It's not gonna happen.
It does. OP gets it wrong. Ethereum holders will not have to do anything. The legacy chain will get rolled into the execution layer (ETH2) automatically.
Legacy ETH gets rolled over to ETH to, without the owner having to do anything [1]. It's an automatic process. However, if you want to stake your ETH2 you either need to set up your own validator infrastructure or use a custodial or non-custodial staking provider.

Robinhood will not stake your ETH without your consent. That's absurd.

[1] https://launchpad.ethereum.org/en/

So Ethereum is better because it's deflationary, and proof of stake in which the rich get richer? Both of those are terrible.

The reason why no one trusts Ethereum as a proper store of value is because it's not very decentralized, has a clear owner that can be pressured by governments to reverse transactions, the owner + early developers hold the vast majority of the Eth in existence, and there's been a clear precedence of the developers reversing transactions due to a bad smart contract.

Vast majority? Do you have a number? Because it seems like Buterin has 333,500 ETH, which is 0.3% of circulating supply. That's a lot mind you, but nowhere near a majority, much less a "vast majority".
72 million ethers were given to early investors/developers/Vitalik at launch.