Hetzner announcement: Price changes for servers ordered via the Server Auction
"Unfortunately, energy prices in Germany have been increasing dramatically, and electricity plays a big role in the operating costs for servers. We have always calculated the prices for the Server Auction to be as low as possible. The current prices for many Server Auction servers do not cover the increasing operating costs."
In my case, server price is going from €26 to €35, a 35% increase(!!!). Still cheap for what I'm getting but quite a price hike, new pricing starts in March in my case.
Received via email, no article on their website yet.
140 comments
[ 5.2 ms ] story [ 231 ms ] threadI wasn't buying cheap before and stayed regional and now I am still at about 30 Cents/kWh. It the same with lumber last year.
I don't know how it is in the US, electricity prices have skyrocketed in europe
Edited to show fully burdened rate, inclusive of delivery charges and other fees and taxes.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Green_Deal
OF COURSE the ideological movement to reduce EU's available sources of energy, plus make the existing ones more expensive, has nothing to do with the rising energy prices.
And OF COURSE second order effects that ripple through our civilization, so dependent on cheap energy, have nothing to do with it either. /s
It's all Putin.
Of course Hetzner can choose to invest in generating their own energy. Those roofs over their data centers would be a perfect spot for solar. And in related news, that's exactly what they are doing: https://www.datacenterdynamics.com/en/news/hetzner-online-ho...
Makes sense, it's what the big cloud providers are also doing. Consuming large amounts of electricity from the grid is not a great business plan when there are cheaper alternatives. And of course they get to advertise how green they are.
IMHO skyrocketing or unstable grid prices are a good thing in the sense that it makes people more likely to spend money on solutions like this.
[1] https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/euro-zone-consumers-...
[0]https://www.forbes.com/sites/scottcarpenter/2020/01/11/costs...
When you lose 25% of your 2011 energy producing capacity by closing many nuclear power plants, it’d be strange if there was no effect. The pollution increase is even more worrying after many new studies since then found negative effects on human health that we didn't know about earlier: https://www.heinz.cmu.edu/media/2020/January/study-examines-...
Even after closing some reactors (plus one more currently down due to some accident) Sweden is still producing 15% more than it needs. The price increase is due to increased international prices thanks to Germany, and Russia.
- the "green" party "Miljöpartiet" ("Party for the environment") has forced the premature closure of half of the nuclear power plants, going so far as to replace the leadership of the state-owned power consortium "Vattenfall" when they refused to fall in line. They actually boast about closing those nuclear power plants, indicating the disconnect between their party's name and its goals.
- Sweden has increased its exchange with other European power distribution networks which caused the higher prices on the European market to have a larger influence on local pricing. The country is divided into 4 pricing zones, the northernmost 2 of which have lower prices - closer to the price paid by all Swedes before deregulation and the introduction of the controlled market "Nord Pool" - than the rest.
Have a look at the "control room" site for information on current pricing, electricity flows, power sources and more:
Moreover to blame the current price hikes on the nuclear shutdown is dishonest at best 8 of the 17 nuclear reactors in Germany were shut down in 2011 (and IIRC all of the were 40 years and older) without this causing a big price hike. Of the remaining only the last 3 were shut down in 2021 (the youngest being 31 year, with IIRC original permits being 40 years). It is also false to say that Germany replaced nuclear with coal, because coal reduced significantly as well during the same time, while renewables raised rapidly.
One could just as well argue that it's Frances fault for not investing in renewables at all (growth of renewables is tiny in France compared to Germany). Also of note is that nuclear relies just as much on gas peakers as renewables.
It's also funny that you blame the greens for the 12/2020 ringhals shutdown, because it was shut down by vattenfall due to low profitability[1]. This was one of two shutdowns the other was in 2019, so both also had very little to do with current prices.
[1] https://www.politico.eu/article/sweden-nuclear-power-split/
Mortality rate in deaths per trillion kWh
source: https://www.forbes.com/sites/jamesconca/2018/01/25/natural-g...Another thing, I related to the shutdown of Swedish nuclear power, not German nuclear power so why did you bring up those numbers on Germany? It is very clear that the closure of those Swedish nuclear power plants - which could have run until 2036 without problems, by which time replacements would have been in place - has made the electricity supply in Sweden less reliable and the price swings more frequent and intense. The oil-fired peak power plant in Karlshamn would normally only be fired up in the cold of winter but last year it was used in the middle of summer to avoid a brown-out in Stockholm.
Regarding the plant shutdown, you nicely ignored the fact that contrary to your assertion it was just down for economic reasons. Sure Vattenfall could have kept it running and made losses and now that demand increased they would have stopped prices going up (likely not because the big winners of the price hikes are the nuclear power plant operators). They could have also build windfarms for that money that likely would have taken prices down.
Haha det är så kul med kärnkraftshögermän som låtsas att vi i MP motarbetat kärnkraft ”i smyg” för att sen skylla på marknaden. Löjligt. Jag tar hemskt gärna cred för nedlagd kärnkraft. Utan MP hade nog flera av de nedslängda reaktorerna rullat vidare.
...which translates to:
Haha it's so much fun with nuclear right-wingers who pretend that we in the MP ("Miljöpartiet") opposed nuclear power "secretly" and then blame the market. Ridiculous. I'm terribly happy to take credit for discontinued nuclear power. Without MP, several of the closed ("nedslängda" means "dropped", I guess he meant to write "nedstängda" which means "closed") reactors would probably have rolled on.
So, no. Not "the market" but politics pushing that market in a certain direction.
[1] https://twitter.com/LorentzTovatt/status/1478049881487032328
These two claims aren't contradictions though.
It is both possible that nuclear tech has improved a lot, and that newer reactors would be better, but the alternative of "no reactors at all" is much worse than even running the existing ones beyond their design lifetime.
Previous prices were around 31 €ct/kWh on average (seen them as low as 26 €ct/kWh).
People that have ongoing contracts are the lucky ones currently.
If I were to sign a new contract right now in Finland I’d pay 8 cents per kWh. Including transfer fees and taxes that comes to less than 15 cents all in.
And prices are extremely high right now over here. Normally you’d pay under 10 cents all in.
Right now for new contracts some pay like 80c/kwh.
Do you think Finnish electricity prices are so much cheaper because of ample nuclear power?
Our newest nuclear power plant won’t be in production until summer, but once that comes online the nuclear share will go up.
Imports are mainly Russian nuclear and Scandinavian hydro.
Hydro and nuclear definitely help, as well as the low dependency on fossil fuels.
- Plan was to increase wind/solar electricity by massive amounts while phasing out old nuclear power stations over twenty years
- Plan was hampered by various political parties and lots of nimby's (one conservative state basically outlawed new wind power stations)
- Hence basically nowhere close enough new green electricity generation, while still phasing out nuclear over the last twenty years.
- Prices were shifted around so that private persons had to directly pay for the small amount of subsidies for green electricity, while subsidies for coal/gas were kept the same and paid for via general taxes
- This cost was not paid by companies, hence the total amount was put on the shoulders of private persons
- This all lead to this year where gas/fuel prices went up massively everywhere, so electricity prices went up as well. This isnt a uniquely German problem. This is the case in the whole of Europe.
NIMBY for wind is expected behavior, they should really not base future electricity market predictions on ideal scenario's. The opposition was there from the start and it would of course increase once the easy locations have wind installed on them.
Simplified version: - Everyone lists how much power they can produce at which marginal price (Renewables = 0c/kWh, Nuclear/Lignite = 4-8c/kWh, Gas peaker = very much based on the current gas prices) - Offers get sorted by marginal price. - Buyers put in the amount of power they want to buy. - The transaction (which is always a 1h timeslot) is resolved by adding up all buyers and take all offers from the list, till demand is fulfilled. - The price of the last kWh bought, will determine the price for everyone.
So, as soon as a single gas power plant is required to fulfill demand, the whole market price is going up. With the extreme rise in gas-prices, due to Russia playing games with the gas-market, The average market prices have gone up. Especially Nuclear and Lignite plants are very happy about the current situation, as they make much more money due to market mechanisms.
While lots of renewables drive the prices down (as they are usually valued at zero due to feed-in tariff regulations).
Another issue is, France has multiple nuclear reactors in unplanned maintenance due to failures. Their fleet is missing more than 10% of their capacity, while most of France is heating with direct electricity heating (not even heat pumps).
Result: The electricity market is in a massive crunch right now in Europe, electricity prices are driven by natural gas prices. And there we've got a huge dependency on Russia. .... And Russia is arguing that all Europe needs to do is certifying their new pipeline (Nordstream2), which comes with massive geopolitical problems attached to it.
Also there have been a lot of astroturf groups spawning up over the years. From hard climate change denial, blackout FUD-spreader and false claims about health impacts. They feed a huge load of BS to the locals, as soon as a developer wants to create a new windpark.
See this electricity map for realtime overview of production, consumption and export/imports. https://app.electricitymap.org/
This Norwegian article show historical average for Europe and current prices picture. https://e24.no/olje-og-energi/i/nWbMBo/nord-norge-hadde-bill...
Sweden is moving to greener energy and is currently exporting electricity to Germany and Poland. How come it works here but not down there?
Because bad planing, political sabotage and a whole lot of NIMBY.
Hydro is maxed out basically everywhere already and nuclear is being shut down in Germany, it doesn't take a genius to see it can't work. We can't keep increasing our demand while killing the only large/cheap/on demand energy source to rely on intermittent ones. It might work if we decreased our consumption by a lot but this doesn't seem to be the plan
Sweden has 3.5x more hydro than wind energy (in TWh produced). Germany has 7x less hydro than wind. Sweden can easily use their large hydro reserves to balance out the fluctuations in wind power output.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electricity_sector_in_Sweden
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electricity_sector_in_Germany
Increase from a low of 17.05 Euros per megawatt hour in April 2020 to 128.34 in October 2021:
https://www.statista.com/statistics/1267541/germany-monthly-...
Even if you go with a more conservative average before the increase of 40 Euro, its an increase of 220%!
If you are stuck behind paywall: https://imgur.com/a/HfpD2Pp
my current energy provider increased it like this (prices in Euro Cents)
Energy: 27.85 ct/kWh --> 40,7 ct/kWh Gas: 5,71 ct/kWh --> 19,87 ct/kWh
I am already in the process of ugprading appliances and decided against building a second home server I was planning.
Less than 1.400 kWh / year
More than 1.400 kWh / year I took the standard package and never shopped around. I'm using around this 1400 threshold. It was >1600 before I switched the energy-guzzling graphics card for a minimal one (I don't play games and videos are the only thing utilizing it a bit, on the 32 inch screen). Apart from the PC and 32 inch monitor an Italian all-metal and heat-radiating portafilter espresso maker (with E61 brew group, whose 1961 design did not care about energy efficiency, unfortunately) is the largest contributor to my bill. Lighting is negligible, heating is for the whole apartment building and gas-powered.https://www.n-ergie.de
As from the latest newsletter I've got they are 100% sustainable and source everything themself without anything to buy in from nuclear, coal, and gas. That's the reason why they don't offer anymore the ecofriendly tariff, because they are 100% anyhow.
(it's a flat daily fee you pay regardless of your gas/electricity usage)
For the generally curious, you can go to https://www.verivox.de/ click on "Strom" (= electricity), type in a german postcode (grab one off google maps, 5-digit number), and type in a kWh / year number. (The "number of persons" is just a fill-in aid for the kWh/yr.)
That said, these numbers are entirely useless for discussions around a hoster like Hetzner — they're end user prices.
Best offer from electricity price comparison sites is 44¢/kWh, so I guess I will stay with them.
People using electricity startups / discount providers (both gas / electricity) have seen them go into insolvency. They are automatically supplied by the base providers who run the networks in their region.
New prices are up to 1€/kWh on the high end. This is less a problem due to shutting down nuclear plants or the CO2 tax, but rather due to the energy market being de-regulated to casino style capitalism (meaning many more investors / companies being allowed to make a quick buck on the end user's expense).
edit: another reason for high energy prices: the former government has decided that wind energy farms require 1km distance from the nearest settlement (compared to less than half that for a coal-driven power plant...). Also NIMBYism prevents the building of desperately needed north->south electricity lines which could transport energy from wind farms to where its needed.
The really important thing however is geopolitics and rabid capitalism colliding badly. Basically, for a very long time it was usual business practice of utilities to go for long-term contracts for natural gas and electricity itself... but nowadays, the market has shifted towards spot price contracts, which are usually cheaper. Under "normal" conditions, that would not have been a problem... but when market conditions dramatically change, everyone on a spot contract is pretty much fucked. Additionally, dynamic capacity ("Regelenergie") exploded in price for the same reasons [1], and that dynamic capacity which is needed to balance out unstable renewables (solar/wind) has to be paid for by all the consumers, further contributing to price hikes.
We do have regulations in place to prevent consumers from being on the hook for thousands of dollars like in that Texas power crunch, but nevertheless a couple of "discounter utilities" had to cease operating and a whole lot of others were forced to rapidly hike prices. The result of that was that the local utilities, which by law have to cover for such situations ("Grundversorgung"), were hit with an onslaught of new customers that they hadn't bought supply contracts for... meaning they had to raise the prices, too.
It's an all-around clusterfuck. The fact that our government was in a transition phase until mid of December didn't help either, and expensive energy is actually what the Greens want as an incentive for people and companies to save power - whereas the Social Democrats focus on how the crisis affects poor people (pretty badly!) and the Liberal Democrats only care about the economy aka their large donors. So it's not like actual solutions are going to crop up... sigh.
[1]: https://www.next-kraftwerke.de/energie-blog/steigende-preise...
hedging is the solution. without it expect bankruptcies.
http://www.bricklebrit.com/stromboerse_leipzig.html
You have to enter the date and so on. I have done it for the Jan 20 2021 to Jan 20 2022 range and obtained this deeplink:
http://www.bricklebrit.com/cgi-bin/spotmarktpreise.pl?VONDTE...
Indeed there has been a massive explosion at the wholesale markets for energy. Up to a 10 fold increase!
This challenge put a lot of smaller energy providers into a bad situation, especially those who would obtain most of their electricity through the exchanges instead of their own infrastructure or longer term contractual arrangements. They could only sell energy at the lower prices and had to buy at extremely high prices. So they mass terminated the contracts of their customers (otherwise they would probably have went bankrupt).
In Germany, this doesn't mean that people are without electricity though, as a so called "basic provider" kicks in, who is always the electricity provider with the most customers in a given area. Per regulation, that provider has to take you as customer if they want to or not. Of course these providers are in the same buying situation as the smaller ones, so have to buy the energy at those inflated prices. To get back those costs, they have often doubled or even tripled their end customer prices, but only for new customers, that is, those customers that got dumped on them by the smaller providers and those who were the cause of having to buy new electricity.
For the electric customers this led to a market split in two: first the customers who did not get dumped, still the vast majority of people. For them, there was barely an increase. Second the customers who did get dumped and now have to pay the extremely inflated prices. Some people claim this is unfair, but at the same time, the main reason for people to switch away from the basic provider is to use cheaper prices (outside of people who want to buy "green" energy), so it's not that unfair that it's these people have to shoulder the costs if the market is directed against their favour for a while.
https://www.t-online.de/finanzen/news/unternehmen-verbrauche...
https://mobile.twitter.com/fmbreon/status/148058947971495936...
The day I saw this twitt I passed by a large windmill farm close to Berlin and not a single one of them was spinning... so we end up buying gas from Putin
It has to be the dumbest energy long term plan I've heard about, and it's purely motivated by ideology, looks like they don't want to understand the reality of modern energy issues.
https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php...
I've recently decided to stop renting a machine - I've had 3 server auction machines across 10 years - with 2x3TB enterprise (internal ecc protected) HDD, Xeon, 16GB ECC RAM, etc. The hw is aging, the disks were reasonably new, and it all just works, for practically pennies compared to cloud providers (no IO, no internal bw cost, fully dedicated CPUs, and so on). My reason to leave it was lack of need; I decided to move my backups and archives offline and my services to a tiny home "server".
I hope you're not gonna regret "moving" backups rather than "copying". I made that mistake once, and only once. Now I only copy my backups if there is some better alternative, while keeping the "worse" one unless I did it for security reasons.
I should have gone with my original idea, to install a server in their house and transfer over the internet.
Money is worth less and less, you'd better start charging more.
All the assets are up, the market is up despite the terrible economy, salaries of jobs which are needed are up. Startups are also incredibly overvalued, I think that's because nobody want to hold cash, which drives evaluations up. (Hence why all the recent unicorns)
The price hike comes because of the hiking gas prices.
We're importing 9392MW also.
It does not matter that plants are in maintenance, that is the normal state of complex systems like nuclear plants and a very desirable one. Sure, we could do better and close the last two coal factories to get 0% of coal modulo imports. That is still very different from 0% of nuclear. :)
What type of server do you have?
Intel Xeon E3-1275, 16 GB DDR3, ~1 TB HDD. Price went from 37.60 to 59.29 (~57% increase)
Like, energy prices over the past year have gone up from €20 per MWh to €120 per MWh, so I sort of get it, but still.
Who would have thought the cost of the hardware would be irrelevant compared to the cost of the energy (or hell, the IPv4 address space)
Makes me wonder how OVH / French alternatives will fare. My guess is much better, since they have a more stable energy infrastructure, from what I can tell. Peter Zeihan has some good analysis on that.
The auctions after the price increase might be interesting.
i hope so. since auction servers don't have a setup fee i could actually save money and get a better machine if i switch now.
as it is, i am saving money and i got a lot more diskspace. the cpu is probably better too because the one being replaced is quite old.
Tldr: 2021 avg electricity price 88,78 EUR/MWh, 2,6x higher than 2020. December 2021 had highest avg price: 206,40 EUR/MWh (January had ~50+ EUR/MWh), with peak price for 1 hour: 1000,07 EUR/MWh
and somebody from Hetzner decided to answer some of my questions. One of which is mind-blowing: apparently they are going to re-adjust the prices once the electricity prices go down: https://twitter.com/hetzner_online/status/148452210352112435...
I wonder why this wasn't at all mentioned in their initial email... note i don't remember signing a contract for hosting where the price is dynamically calculated on commodity prices...
Which I guess they’re giving us now.
In fairness, I've never had a price change from Hetzner either in the years I've had service there.¹
If power prices keep increasing as they have everywhere in Europe², no doubt other providers will be forced to adjust some of their pricing too. Hetzner is not the first. Many of those auction boxes are older machines that will be relatively power hungry which I'm sure makes a difference too, if you look at what is available not only have they changed some prices but some really old units that used to float around the list have gone completely³.
[1] and in fact haven't been told of one for my current service yet (not sure if that means I won't or if the emails are going out in batches and mine hasn't been sent yet)
[2] though more in some countries than others
[3] unless they have coincidentally all been rented and no others re-released back into the pool
Thats actually something I hadn't even considered !
I previously had a server with Hetzner a few years ago despite being from Canada. The main reason I picked them was their pricing over other competitors.
Not sure if that'll help, but diversification seems good.
https://twitter.com/Hetzner_Online/status/148452016233009152...
I'm going to convert to USD for a minute (since I'm in the US) ... that's a price jump from ~$29.50 to ~$40. Or less than two trips through a drive through of a [cheap] value meal at a fast food place (maybe one trip through some places).
I guess consider yourself lucky that you apparently wouldn't be bothered by such an increase?
it doesn't make for good budgeting
when 30% roughly equals a latte, it's nothing to write home about
when it affects your monthly budget, it is
if a few euros is a Big Deal™ to you, then you have bigger personal budget problems than a couple bucks a month
when prices are held artificially-low, eventually they'll jump by more than a "nominal" amount
had this price increase been, say, 1-2EUR/mo/yr, OP never would've complained
but because he was locked-in at a rate the provider couldn't maintain, he's mad
so, yes: when food prices go up, I keep buying it