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Unsurprising to see TV writing overtake film writing in the last decade plus; TV writings lends itself much more to streaming shows (which are considered TV even if they never appear on cable / "normal" television).

Interesting that adjusted for inflation however, writing pays roughly what it does in the mid 1990s per the article.

That's a little surprising.

It's also probably a more competitive industry however, and the median pay (which is what's measured) doesn't account for the best writers probably doing better than ever. And then maybe more part time people trying to break into the field but not getting much.

If there's a pretty large middle ground buoyed by union pay scales and contracts, then both ends (high/low) will not really be accounted for in the statistics.

One thing mentioned--but largely passed over--in the article is the following:

Average writer earnings in 2021: $260,000.

Average earnings do not account for the sizable number of WGA members who, in any given year, earn nothing from writing. The WGA has not released a median annual figure since 2014, when it was $140,000 (in 2021 dollars, for the sake of consistency).

I'm not actually surprised. So writing is actually a pretty good gig (even if you're not a showrunner/executive producer) if you have a real gig. But the median WGA member is probably waiting tables or has some other job. And that's WGA members. The typical writer submitting scripts to studios on spec is earning almost nothing.

ADDED: And this is in the context of writing, perhaps other than some corporate content job, being an increasingly terrible way to earn a living on average.

Anytime I read a single statistic without the accompanying distribution in deciles, or at least quintiles, I assume there is an agenda or the publisher is trying to hide something.
Seriously? Isn't that an overly cynical worldview? I agree that having distribution information is strictly better than only the median, but in most cases only the median/mean is mentioned for the sake of brevity. People reading a article about writer pay don't want 10 numbers thrown at them for a single statistic.
It is just my experience over 20 years of reading. A 2x10 or 2x5 table is not going to make an article too long.

But all too often, the word “average” will be used without even clarifying if it is mean or median, and I have seen too many cases where it just so happens to support whatever argument the publisher is making.

See even the example ghaff quoted. The union went out of its way to remove information about the earnings distribution because they did not want people to know how the median was moving.

In this case, the distribution (for which it's not clear the numbers are public) is pretty important. A storyline that showrunners of hit shows make bank while the typical scriptwriter sending a spec script in to a studio makes zilch is basically "water is wet." Judging whether writers in film/TV in general have a real gripe with compensation (given that median salaries seem pretty decent) needs some more granularity.
> A table with 2x10 table with the data is not going to make an article too long

It is if you're going to do it for every statistic. eg. in a story about gen Z skipping college, you could have statistics about tuition rate, student loan amount, time to graduate, graduation rate, earnings after graduation, etc. Add to that, all of the statistics but separated by various demographic factors (eg. geography, age, race), and you can easily have dozens of tables. That's fine if you're writing a 20 page graduate dissertation, but for a daily article on npr.org or whatever that's just overkill.

Not to mention, in many cases the reason why it's being omitted from news stories isn't because of some nefarious motives by the author, it's because the source material only mentions medians. eg. most of the BLS news releases only has medians/averages: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.toc.htm, so any news stories based off them are inevitably going to not have decile level data like you demand, through no nefarious motivation on the part of the writer.

> That's fine if you're writing a 20 page graduate dissertation, but for a daily article on npr.org or whatever that's just overkill.

If the publisher is taking on a complicated topic, then it does need all of that information, at least via a link. Otherwise, we have the never ending clickbait of bullshit “articles” with one nebulous average intending to lead people to think something notable has happened, when it really has not.

There is so much propaganda floating around because people accept massaged averages as truth, I cannot imagine it is a benefit to society. Also, in this context, we happen to have wonderful machines and networking that allow us to share data at basically zero marginal cost.

> Not to mention, in many cases the reason why it's being omitted from news stories isn't because of some nefarious motives by the author, it's because the source material only mentions medians.

Yes, it goes without saying that the blame them moves up to the entity that has the data, but chooses not to release it.

In all fairness, I'm not sure a population that includes everyone who has ever written a script and sent it to a studio is a useful study point for most purposes. (I think we know the answer. Very few make it in any reasonable way.) But a distribution of those who have made some income above a reasonable threshold over the past 5 years is probably useful if we want to understand the situation for people legitimately working in the profession.
Right, but it is not in the writer’s union to let everyone understand the true situation, presumably because it would hamper their negotiating position.

Not that the union has any obligation to release the data, but just an example for why I assume I am not getting a clear picture when I am not provided the distribution, when it would be trivial to do so.

The WGA has terrible timing with their strikes. Last one was in 2008. This one is now on the heels of another banking crisis and chatgpt which has the ability to destroy any writing gigs.

I feel for my friends in the industry but AI is going to wreck workers in entertainment.

It’s going to also wreck entertainment.
> I feel for my friends in the industry but AI is going to wreck workers in entertainment.

I seriously doubt that, but I imagine this is exactly the point where one needs to renegotiate to make sure terms are fair.

Strikes are common when labour is at a relative disadvantage, because that's when they tend to be exploited the most.

> The WGA has terrible timing with their strikes. Last one was in 2008. This one is now on the heels of another banking crisis and chatgpt which has the ability to destroy any writing gigs.

I don't think it's terrible timing due to ChatGPT and AI. Rather, it is timing that is specifically because of ChatGPT and AI.

The writing's been on the wall (no pun intended) for quite some time (GPT-3 was released in 2020), and writers would have been in a much better position to say "you won't be able to replace us with AI anytime soon" even just a few months ago. But they waited until after the technology became so accessible that even non-technical people are regularly using AI to write things.
The writers say it’s down in the ways that matter to them. And since they’re the ones who create and drive popular culture this piece is mostly twirling on the head of a pin.
Top writers make significantly more (see, for example, the large paydays for Phoebe Waller-Bridge and Quinta Brunson).

But everyone else makes significantly less. While pay scales have increased on a per-episode basis, TV show seasons are less than half as long as they were before, and streamers don't pay royalties, so absolute pay decreased substantially.

For point of comparison: a friend who worked in the writer's room on a FOX broadcast TV show several years ago (5+ years ago) was able to buy a house with the salary from one season and the royalties for writing a single episode broadcast that season (out of approximately 20ish). She currently works on a streaming show for one of the major streaming services and her salary this year as the head writer for that 10-episode show is less than the royalties for that single broadcast episode, despite millions more viewers watching the streaming show.

>But everyone else makes significantly less. While pay scales have increased on a per-episode basis, TV show seasons are less than half as long as they were before, and streamers don't pay royalties, so absolute pay decreased substantially.

But if seasons are half as long, can't writers write twice as many seasons, canceling that effect out?

Only if you actually get a gig on another season in that same time.

Writing is a very inconsistent job, and stability is really valuable. A contract that guarantees you for half the time, at the same rate, is a lot more uncertainty.

No, shows actually require more work today. For example, Wednesday, is only 8 episodes but required 8 months of actual production. In comparison, Grey's Anatomy averages over 20 episodes a season (in its heyday, 27 episodes/season) but only required 6 months of production each season. (Writers who are part of the "writing room" are contracted to the show until production ends. They can write film scripts in their free time but can't work in another show's writer's room.)

The problem is that everything these days is heavily serialized, and directors and studios are far more willing to demand last-minute script changes. Because of the nature and extent of serialization, this requires significant amounts of work--often more work than the original writing, because changes have to be propagated throughout the season.

Writers don’t go to production any more. It’s all mini rooms these days.
Which is part of what the strike is about — part of a union’s job is to ensure the next generation is as informed and familiar with the levers of power as the one that came before it. Mini rooms are one example of the tactic studios are using to isolate writers and reduce the union membership (and therefore bargaining power) as significantly as possible.
--- a friend who worked in the writer's room on a FOX broadcast TV show several years ago was able to buy a house with the salary from one season

this seems to make the case that writers were previously overpaid way beyond normal americans, and perhaps salaries are regressing to what average americans make

> ... normal americans

Normal Americans don't generate something that generates many millions of dollars.

And they also don't generally have order of magnitude changes in their earnings from year to year.
Vanishingly few writers have a steady salaried gig at a major broadcast network. I'm happy for this friend but they are an extreme outlier in the industry.
>this seems to make the case that writers were previously overpaid

What does it say about our society that the regression to the average no longer accommodates classic expectations of American life like homeownership.

I would assume they meant home (or land) ownership in Southern California, which was not a classic expectation of American life.
My reading is that they paid for the entire house with less than one year's work.

That's a lot more money than the classic homeowner expectation.

But it's a feast or famine deal - one year you make enough for a house, the next 5 years you are looking for another show to work on, and that's assuming you are at the top of your profession - a lot of people doing writer's work (such as writing spec scripts) have never had a gig, and even among those who do get a paying writing job many won't find a second. I don't know the numbers for TV writers, but 65% of people with a movie writing credit only ever get the one, and only 20% get 3 or more. Residuals might take the edge off, but if you're only expecting to see one solid payday a decade you better be getting enough to buy a house.
Wouldn't a show usually hire you for multiple years?

But yes if it's that irregular then the height of the pay spikes is reasonable. And also being that irregular is awful.

Possibly. Shows don't necessarily get multiple seasons, and even if they do writers aren't necessarily brought back for their duration. For example of the 11 people with writing credits for Stranger Things (including both Duffer Brothers), 6 have only written for a single season. Now if you are the showrunner for a successful series you're going to be making bank for a while, but the overwhelming number of writers will never be in that position.
> this seems to make the case that writers were previously overpaid way beyond normal americans, and perhaps salaries are regressing to what average americans make

The simpler explanation is writers were appropriately paid based on their supply and demand in previous years, and a decrease in pay in future years indicates a shift in supply and demand.

A) Houses were cheaper back then.

B) Streaming wasn't as big back then, so TV was a much bigger part of the entertainment pie.

C) The show was profitable for FOX (at the time).

C) Truly bizarre that people on a forum bragging about making well into the 6 figures for 30 hours of work a week reinventing yet another wheel are talking shit about other people making 6 figures for 60 hours of work a week on a product regularly enjoyed by millions of people and which contribute to the progression of shared cultural experiences.

phoebe waller bridge has a single credit of interest for writing, which is "no time to die", where she is one of 4 writers and doesn't have a story credit unlike the other three writers. The other writers include Neil Purvis and Robert Wade (who both have 20 years of bond film writing credits each).

She won awards for Killing Eve which is a show that is "mid" in every way.

Sometimes people get large paydays for reasons other than talented writing. If Phoebe Waller-Bridge is getting large paydays for writing its not because of her comprehensive work history and achievements.

phoebe waller bridge has a single credit of interest for writing

This says more about your tastes than your understanding of Hollywood.

Ms. Waller-Bridge wrote 2 critically acclaimed TV shows which were hits for their respective distributors: Fleabag (an Amazon Video launch series), and Killing Eve (BBC). She also wrote several smaller series for the BBC, and co-wrote No Time to Die, and provided uncredited rewrites for Solo, Indiana Jones 5, and is currently working on another TV show for Amazon.

For her work on both Fleabag and Killing Eve, she was nominated for outstanding writing by her peers (and won for Killing Eve). Taking into account the number of episodes she wrote for both of these series, she actually has more writing credits than her 3 credited NTTD co-writers.

doesn't have a story credit unlike the other three writers

A story credit is given to a writer that participated in writing the treatment for the film (i.e., the outline), in situations where a treatment is drafted before the script itself is written. A story credit is a lesser credit in Hollywood. Where there is overlap between the story by and screenplay by credits, it means that the original writers' first draft(s) weren't filmable and another writer had to be brought into salvage the script. Some writers will re-write enough things to get sole credit for the final script; others, like PWB, will make just the changes necessary to get it across the finish while still letting the original screenwriters get credited for their contributions.

>2 critically acclaimed TV shows

I tried to watch them.

My opinion is that they were critically acclaimed because the subject matter was popular or outrageous not necessarily because they were good. There aren't any sympathetic characters in fleabag - its a tale of a mentally unstable desperate neurotic woman as she goes from revolting situation to revolting situation through bad decisions she's mostly at fault for. It isn't funny. If you giggle when unlikable people talk about anal sex this may be for you.

Killing eve was a tv show that embodies "mid" in every way, except its about lesbian/bisexual bait so it wins awards.

>Solo, Indiana Jones 5,

Solo was a bad movie and the first star wars film to actually lose money, and indiana jones 5 hasn't been released yet so I'm withholding judgement.

>Taking into account the number of episodes she wrote for both of these series, she actually has more writing credits than her 3 credited NTTD co-writers.

Writing 1000 episodes of those shows isn't comparable to a single good bond film. This is why quantity and quality are not the same.

>A story credit is given to a writer that participated in writing the treatment for the film (i.e., the outline), in situations where a treatment is drafted before the script itself is written. A story credit is a lesser credit in Hollywood.

Ya, the other writers have writing credits, and story credits, and 20 years of history writing bond movies.

>Where there is overlap between the story by and screenplay by credits, it means that the original writers' first draft(s) weren't filmable and another writer had to be brought into salvage the script.

https://www.indiewire.com/features/general/heres-how-phoebe-...

>“[I was asked to do] dialogue polishes and to offer things really,” she said. “It’s about just offering different alternatives.”

>She went on to say “they did give me some scenes and then be like, can you write some alternatives for this or have another idea about where it could go in the middle or how it would end. And then I would just give them options and various scenes and then they would take what they want. But there was a lot people writing — the director [Cary Fukunaga] was a writer on it as well. And there’d been a few writers before.”

They didn't bring her in to salvage the script at all. They brought her in to do polishes of dialogue and to give them some ideas about how things could go and they'd take what they wanted. What about this reads salvaging?

She got the invited because one of the film's producers, Barbara Brocolli, invited her to contribute. in my opinion because they were looking to add female writing credits to the movie as the academy awards had suddenly introduced diversity requirements to be considered for awards and all the writers up to that point were men.

> ... critically acclaimed ... > ... bait so it wins awards.

So if you are a producer that wants "critically acclaimed" and "wins awards", author , hire her ? Maybe that answers why she is getting paid that much.

> Writing 1000 episodes of those shows isn't comparable to a single good bond film. This is why quantity and quality are not the same.

That's debatable. Personally I wasn't impressed with neither her work or last few James Bond (with the last one being the best of the lot.)

For me the best and most consistent author of past decade has been Randall Munroe of https://xkcd.com/ fame. Does he count ?

The two co-writers on No Time to Die that you keep praising were the people responsible for such trash as Johnny English, Die Another Day and The World is Not Enough, which says pretty much all you need to know about their screenwriting "skills" and their contribution to Bond history.

For all of the Craig Bond films, other writers had to be brought into to make their scripts filmable (Oscar winner Paul Haggis for Casino Royale and QoS and multiple Oscar nominee John Logan for Skyfall and Spectre, Emmy winners PWB and Fukunaga for NTTD).

Notably, Purvis and Wade have never been nominated for screenwriting awards, and the average RT score for the films they wrote without other screenwriters is...38 (the audience scores aren't much better, at 46). PWB's average is 85. Fukunaga's average for his screenplays is 87. PH and JL have won or been nominated for multiple Oscars.

They didn't bring her in to salvage the script at all. They brought her in to do polishes of dialogue and to give them some ideas about how things could go and they'd take what they wanted. What about this reads salvaging?

The WGA has strict rules about screenwriting credits. If she got screenwriting credit for a major blockbuster, she didn't just "polish" a little bit of the script, she wrote significant portions of the script that made it into production. And given their historical backgrounds, it's clear that she and Fukunaga were responsible for the serious elements of the film, since that's not a capability that Purvis and Wade have demonstrated in any of their prior films.)

except its about lesbian/bisexual bait so it wins awards. in my opinion because they were looking to add female writing credits

And suddenly your agenda becomes clear...Most people aren't so open about being misogynists.

The lack of streaming residuals seems to be a big, big part of the strike, and man, that's a tricky issue.

On one hand, writer compensation has always been structured around residuals -- and it seems like pay for writers on streaming shows has stayed the same, even though residuals haven't. That seems unfair.

On the other hand, "residuals" as a concept make less sense for shows that live on subscription streaming platforms.

Each view of a Stranger Things episode generates exactly zero dollars. Obviously there is a lot of value in Netflix having good, popular shows -- but the marginal cost/revenue structure is very different from cable TV, where you can actually map viewers to income whenever you air an episode.

Clearly the writers want to capture some of the possible upside of a super-popular show, much like residuals did in the past (and like startup equity does in SV). I just wonder if the industry is ready for a new structure to try and express that upside-value.

I suppose it will end up like the Spotify model of paying musicians.
Yeah. Take the subscription revenue, divide it up by program based on watch count (or number of minutes viewed, or whatever).

This gives you a rough approximation of revenue that can be attributed to each program. From this some proportion could sensible be allowed to the writers of the programming. This might be a percentage of the revenue after certain overheads have been first subtracted, or whatever. There are plenty of possible details to work out, but the basic concept seems sound.

Obviously this applies to subscription streaming without ads. Non-subscription streaming with ads seems perfectly amenable to traditional residuals, although if such ads pay less than TV ones (which i suspect is true), a smaller residual may make sense.

Subscription streaming with ads could sensibly be be either pure residual, of a hybrid of both approaches. The hybrid makes more sense for services that offer no ads if consumers pay more.

Is this not a problem that is easily solved in principle. For each 1 million views of a Stranger Things episode (after some date threshold), the writer gets n dollars. The contract would state that this clause transfers to any new ownership (just in case Paramount+ or whatever it's called now buys them and their catalog out).

Sure, they won't want to negotiate to allow this... but what's the difficult here besides unwillingness? It's basically the same thing as now, except that as rights to Friends and Seinfeld are bandied about, the value proposition for those is a little more clear (some network paid $1.1 billion to be able to air reruns for the next 14 years or whatever).

You'd think if there was some neutral arbitrator, they might settle what the format/pattern of that residuals clause would be, so that the two parties could just sit down and haggle out the actual numbers.

In principle, yeah, but the edge cases look nasty pretty quickly.

Some streaming platforms do have ads shown alongside their shows. So a residual structure could make sense.

Some shows will air on both kinds of streaming platforms - Community is on both Hulu and Netflix.

Some shows will start on linear television and then come to streaming, or vice versa -- Abbott Elementary is a recent, popular example.

I think you're generally right, though -- smart people could figure this out if they sat down and talked about it. It seems like the talking is the hard part right now.

I'm not sure I understand the first point. I am nearly 50, and still remember broadcast tv... so the idea that some tv shows ultimately derive revenue from advertising (sweeps month!) is not unfamiliar. But for a platform like Netflix where (hopefully?! dunno, I use Plex) revenue is ultimately derived from subscriptions, how should that be different? The writers don't give a shit about the original source of revenue, just that they get their cut.

Are residuals closely tied to how well the ad dollars flow? If someone buys a sitcom for re-runs, and the dish detergent manufacturers and Chrysler refuse to put ads on during those re-runs, do the writers get less (or no) residuals?

There has to be some residuals for shows not originally produced by Netflix, because Netflix isn't getting back catalogs for free.
> Each view of a Stranger Things episode generates exactly zero dollars.

I stopped watching shows on Netflix and subsequently cancelled my subscription. The value isn't in Netflix having content. Rather, the value is in viewers' consuming of content. Surely each view of an episode contributes to the revenue generated by the viewers' subscription fees.

Not directly, no. There's no marginal revenue generated from a person viewing an episode of a show on Netflix (unless they're on an ad-supported subscription).

The value of each show on Netflix is that it gives users one more reason not to cancel their subscription. The value is in Netflix always having more content for you to watch.

>The value is in Netflix always having more content for you to watch.

More precisely it's, as you said, in Netflix always having more can't miss content for you to watch. If you subscribe to Netflix for one or two shows that you absolutely must watch they are perfectly fine with that.

Kindle Unlimited works[1] works that way. They have pool of royalties derived as a percent of revenue for the month, that then distributed by views on a proportional basis. They have a specific algorithm that defines a "normalized page view" which prevents gaming from people doing things like using larger fonts, or adding filler pages that people skip.

I could imagine a version of this being adapted to other "unlimited consumption" model platforms like video streaming. That leaves room for the contract to negotiate the royalty percentage, maybe with some kind of a fixed floor, and to discuss how views are "normalized." Does minutes watched make sense? Should it be normalized by account, rather than overall time? etc ...

[1] https://kdp.amazon.com/en_US/help/topic/G201541130

> Does minutes watched make sense? Should it be normalized by account, rather than overall time? etc ...

And then incentivize people to leave their netflix accounts watching shows while they are away or whatever for pennies to recoup some of their monthly sub fees. If the royalties are enough, it would seem possible to instead just farm views for profit at netflix expense, on top of royalties, who then passes on the cost. Seems like a losing game all around

Do youtubers have tvs running with their videos on it to farm views in a meaningful way?
That wouldn't pay off for paid accounts. The cost of paying for a netflix account, will be higher whatever share of royalties is allocated from that account to the rights-holder. If for no other reason than netflix themselves is taking a cut. There might be some scenerio where gaming the system could be profitable with ad-supported accounts, but the remedy for that is probably contractual. If detected, it is a from of fraud and would have some sort of contractual or maybe even tort remedy.
Someone else in the thread mentioned that this is roughly how Spotify works, too -- take a pool of revenue, and distribute it based on how many streams an artist got.

One way or another, it's clear that there are existing, practical models for distributing revenue in this way. Seems like TV / streaming video is just behind the times.

Each view of a show individually generates zero dollars, but each month that it's on the platform generates lots of dollars (compared to the case where it wasn't on the platform). I don't think it's really tricky at all.
I would think the logical structure would be to set up a holding company for each major production/show that the writers and other major contributors would hold equity in, and that holding company sells the rights to the work to the streaming company with regular renegotiations and some bonus clauses for short term success. So long as the content is still deemed a valuable asset, the holding company can keep charging a high price for the streamer to keep it, allowing the creators to collect dividends, or the streamer can buy out the equity holders if they want permanent ownership. With the bonus clauses (ie you get an extra lump of cash if this show winds up suddenly getting super popular) there is a strong incentive both to make something that will briefly drive a surge in membership, but with the equity there is an incentive to make something of genuine value that the streamer would want to make a permanent addiction to their collection. Of course if the streamer is bankrolling the production, it would make sense that they'ed have an exclusivity agreement in place so the holding company can't shop it around, giving them a very strong negotiating position (though they can't completely shaft the production team assuming they want to work with them in the future), but the people involved in the production would at least know what they are getting into ahead of time and decide if the equity they'd be getting is worth it.

Of course this is a change to how it's been done in the past, but not that big a change - this is basically already how the producers for movies get paid, essentially you'd just have a much larger number of "producers" with much lower individual equity stakes. And ultimately a new medium with a new business model was always going to require a new compensation strategy.

So, an actor on a popular show can get, say 500k per episode. And, sure, they have to be good at acting for the show to be good. However, without good writing, they wouldn't have a good show either. The writers don't get that much per episode. They might get that per SEASON. Seems largely unfair.
Big productions might pay household-name writers at that level plus points, but most writers are nowhere near that level and are grinding away at various smaller jobs while pitching shows and treatments where pay is delayed, divided, and contingent. I thought this was an enlightening little thread:

https://twitter.com/coreydeshon/status/1655319912104218624

There is no point in trying to figure out fair and unfair, as there is no clear metric with which you can measure things.

For example:

-An actor has to maintain a physical appearance

-at higher risk of losing income due to an accident since it could change their appearance

-has to travel and generally do more physically strenuous tasks

I am not saying actors should be getting paid more either. But prices are best determined by supply and demand curves, not by people’s “feelings” on fair and unfair.

Not really equivalent in terms of leverage. Generally speaking, no matter how good a writer is, they can be replaced by another writer with the same level of talent if necessary. The vast majority of the audience won't even notice. (Exceptions for some showrunners, but by definition a staff writer needs to fit seamlessly onto the writing team, without much room for a unique creative voice.)

By comparison, replacing an actor is much more of a headache, and requires writing out or recasting a character. In some circumstances this could potentially ruin the show. That gives actors much better leverage for salary negotiation, particularly once the show has become established.

It's not down enough IMO. I've seen what writers are producing these days and I say sack 'em all and let the AI take over.