I like how they referred to it as “halfway between Los Angeles and San Francisco” like it was just in some random field, as opposed to being in San Luis Obispo, which also has Cal Poly.
> Shhh. The central coast doesn't exist. Just the bay and LA. Nothing to see here folks, keep driving.
Seriously, I still aspiration of retiring in Santa Barbara some day when the boomers are long gone and hopefully CA's population halves or at least reverts to numbers seen in the 90s.
With that said, had California been capable of any reasonable form of foresight it would be gaining even more of it's energy needs from solar; instead it did what we all feared it would in December and made the demand for solar plummet by forcing new solar owners have to sell to the utilities [0]. This coupled with higher interests rates, and a slowing economy has meant that diablo canyon, reluctantly found it's MVP in incompetence and corrupt officials.
This along with Costa Mesa refusing to build a desalination plant has to be the biggest blunders in trying to stave off some of the biggest issues in California; the Colorado River is not a viable option any more, and while its been a very good year weather wise for water replenishment it must be understood that this is not something CA, but specifically SoCal, can rely on to get it's house in order.
I personally wanted to see DC get put offline, for practical as well as personal reasons, but now it's made itself indispensable and stifled progress on incentivizing the building of more renewable capacity and updating a crumbling energy infrastructure that caused lots of fires during COVID, not unlike those seen in Maui. I think something like that happening is in the cards when the reversion to the mean happens and we see the true cost of keeping these things online and deferring and prolonging the inevitable.
I don't think that is a very fair assessment. There are some legitimate concerns about vulnerability to earthquakes and the discharge of warm water into the ocean. I think keeping Diablo Canyon running is the better option for the environment, but there are knowledgeable people on the other side of this issue who are also concerned about the earth and would rather move quickly to wind and solar. That doesn't make them "implacable enemies of the Earth."
If their uninformed choices actually result in millions of tons of CO2 emissions and people’s lifespans shortened by worsened air quality, then the title is deserving.
Because the most likely scenario is Diablo Canyon is simply replaced with an extra 10% CA grid load of natural gas for 20 years.
Anti-nuclear is the anti-vax of the environmental movement.
They focus on side effects that are scary but rare and in general much less than what it is trying to prevent.
Closing nuclear power plants increases CO2. We have seen that with Germany. If after all this evidence, you are still anti-nuclear in 2023, you are anti-science.
What do they propose instead? A new nuclear plant, coal plant? Decreasing power needs by taxing everyone out of the state?
I’m all for improving the environmental situation, but how?
They should use their donation money on layers that will force the hand of politicians to build newer better supply sources rather than just trying to shut down the current power sources.
What is their end game? Is it political or environmental? Is it just a pure emotional “this bad, turn off” type thought process? Is it a “oh this is in our budget and we don’t know what to do with it” situation?
Yes. As much as I am a proponent of nuclear power, the proposed grant does not make sense to me - what exactly do they need this kind of money for?
Operational expenses of properly built & operated nuclear plants are very low, which is the whole point. If there's a billion dollars required to keep it running, despite high energy prices in the state, something is very wrong.
A nuclear plant near me is currently undergoing "renovations" to extend the life of the plant.
I know nothing of the california plant, but I suspect its in a similar situation.
If so, the 1.1 billion is not running costs, but capital spent to renew parts of the plant, replace some parts and so on. The plants of the 70s were typically built with a projected 50 year life span, so extending it another 50% is not cheap, although cheaper than building a new one.
Your point about solar is well made. But solar is not 27x7 so its not comparing an equivalent thing. Solar and wind are enormously useful, and I'm a fan, but they're not enough by themselves, and won't be until we figure out how to store gw of power.
Running a nuclear plant in an earthquake zone is not ideal, but its hard to see any better alternatives at the moment.
Great idea! Now to just find somewhere to put a billion dollars worth of solar PV in California, preferably somewhere where it doesn't ever get dark so the power will stay on at night.
I was in the I15 recently and drove past those huge solar generating tower things. Seems like an enormous amount of nice sunny space out there close to HV lines.
As for night time, sure, spend half the $1.1 billion on solar panels and the other half on batteries.
How do you figure it'll give that much? Near as I can see large scale solar is a bit over $1/W so $1.1B would give you less than half as much power in the middle of the day, less spread out over time.
It's hard to compare nuclear v/ solar because of availability. A well-run NPP can have much better than 80% uptime. A solar farm depends on the sun. So 1GW of nuclear capacity is worth more than 1GW of solar. Thus the very low prices being quoted for solar systems today are not entirely honest.
California already has an issue with peak solar happening before peak demand. There's a rush to spin up all the natural gas power plants during peak demand. More solar doesn't really help with that, and is part of the problem because you can only spin up power plants so fast.
There have been a lot of environmental critiques of this particular nuclear power plant. They largely center on wastewater from the plant (which is warm, and rich in Tritium), as well as the risks posed by the potential of a strong, shallow earthquake in the vicinity of the plant.
But this is armchair quarterbacking, isn't it? We have a Nuclear Regulatory Commission that has the technical competency (and the legal mandate) to determine if a nuclear power plant is safe to operate. We also have an EPA that determines if something constitutes pollution or not. All nuclear power plants release Tritium in the environment. No exception. All nuclear power plants use water for cooling, and the water coming out is warmer than the one coming in. Those "concerns" are simply disingenuous.
No, they're not. Just because the NRC says it is cool doesn't mean that a power plant is above criticism. People are allowed to object to things happening around them.
> People are allowed to object to things happening around them
Sure, but when the topic is very involved from the technical and engineering point of view, it's still armchair quarterbacking.
Here's the link to the statement that Diablo Canion is safe from the earthquake point of view [1], and here are the relevant quotes:
As part of its response to the Fukushima event in Japan in 2011, the NRC directed all U.S. commercial nuclear power plants to perform a reassessment of the potential seismic and flooding hazards to their facilities.
The seismic hazard analysis was performed using an NRC-mandated process known as the Senior Seismic Hazard Analysis CommitteeOpens in new Window., or SSHAC. Under the SSHAC process, existing and new seismic information was peer-reviewed and publicly evaluated by leading third-party, independent seismic experts.
The flooding hazard re-evaluation involved the use of the latest NRC guidance and methodologies and independent expertise to determine the maximum potential waves and rainfall that could impact Diablo Canyon. It also examined the plant's ability to withstand storm flooding.
Because Diablo Canyon has received so much scrutiny it has had a lot of investment to fix problems. For instance they discovered the seismic risk was worse than they thought it was when they built it so they reinforced it to handle a bigger earthquake.
(Note Fukushima NPP was hit by an earthquake much bigger than it was designed for, this damaged the plant but wouldn't have caused a serious accident if it wasn't for the tsunami, resulting loss of primary and backup power, the isolation condenser not working at Unit 1, an untested plan to inject water into some of the other units not working, etc. Diablo Canyon is on a very high bluff and not vulnerable to ocean events.)
The substantive complaint about the seawater cooling system is that the heat is bad for sea life in the vicinity which is true but there are several other fossil fuel plants that are even more damaging.
On top of all that, all nuclear power plants in the U.S. have received major rounds of safety upgrades after incidents such as Three Mile Island, the 9/11 terrorist attacks, and Fukushima.
After I've read about the stance of the Green Party of Germany, I've kinda started to agree with their strategy of closing nuclear plants and going coal, so that everyone is pushed to fund renewables, nuclear is a temporary solution that slows everything else, but once you're on coal, then you need to move fast to renewables
And since this particular plant has been given billions to stay open, nuclear also sucks investments that in case you're currently on coal, you can fully give to renewables
The problem with energy production is a lack of coal plants. We’ve known this since the 19th century and it’s good to see various green parties finally understand that
We can't fully move to renewables until we have sufficient grid scale storage. There are a variety of technologies which might work for that but none has proven to be economically viable yet. Batteries are still heavily constrained by manufacturing capacity and availability of raw materials.
Batteries have improved dramatically. Grid scale storage looked like science fiction 20 years ago, it is already competitive for reinforcing the grid against short term power fluctuations, it may get a lot cheaper and widespread in the next 20 years but it is not a bird in the hand.
Diablo Canyon is up and running right now. It took 10 years to build an AP1000 (state of the art reactor) at Voglte 3; two AP1000s have been built successfully at that site although two failed at Virgil C. Summer. Building a new NPP is an expensive and risky proposition that could take a long time to bear fruit, but keeping an old one running is a slam dunk and avoids all the delays that would come from getting permits for and building anything new be it power lines, PV arrays, wind farms, or battery farms.
Wow. This is like a student thinking: I won't study now, because then when exam time comes, I will be more motivated to cram!
New renewables (solar & wind, non hydro) running without cheap oil as input for production,deployment, and maintenance, have very uncertain energy return on energy invested.
FOE wrote a report on this in the early-2010s. For quite a while energy use was dropping in California, PG&E was a leader in improving energy efficiency and replacing "negawatts" with "megawatts", which was a highly successful policy... for a while. Thus FOE thought electricity use would continue to decline in California but... it didn't. And it won't.
Many people today think we are not moving fast enough, but climate change is on the radar now, we are seeing "net zero" commitments from governments, corporations and NGOs. 10 years ago there was a lot more talk about decarbonizing "easy to decarbonize" sectors and not about making sharp cuts in all emission sources.
There are electric cars and a movement to stop using natural gas for heat and cooking. Thanks to climate change we need more air conditioning. For that matter, climate change is putting pressure on water supplies so there is more interest in desalination, which today is done by pushing water across membranes with high pressure, which takes electricity. Industrial carbon emissions are under attack with hydrogen, gas turbines run backwards, electrolysis and other methods... That need clean energy.
Thus. California's demand for clean energy appears bottomless in the next few decades.
Not enough. We need to build more nuclear plants, not just delay shutting down old ones. We're so far down the wrong path it might be too late to get back on the right one (nuclear).
I don't disagree with you that nuclear is a great option, but I'm also invested in finding a solution to nuclear's biggest problem: what to do with the waste. We've so far done a really terrible job of figuring that out.
44 comments
[ 4.6 ms ] story [ 119 ms ] threadSeriously, I still aspiration of retiring in Santa Barbara some day when the boomers are long gone and hopefully CA's population halves or at least reverts to numbers seen in the 90s.
With that said, had California been capable of any reasonable form of foresight it would be gaining even more of it's energy needs from solar; instead it did what we all feared it would in December and made the demand for solar plummet by forcing new solar owners have to sell to the utilities [0]. This coupled with higher interests rates, and a slowing economy has meant that diablo canyon, reluctantly found it's MVP in incompetence and corrupt officials.
This along with Costa Mesa refusing to build a desalination plant has to be the biggest blunders in trying to stave off some of the biggest issues in California; the Colorado River is not a viable option any more, and while its been a very good year weather wise for water replenishment it must be understood that this is not something CA, but specifically SoCal, can rely on to get it's house in order.
I personally wanted to see DC get put offline, for practical as well as personal reasons, but now it's made itself indispensable and stifled progress on incentivizing the building of more renewable capacity and updating a crumbling energy infrastructure that caused lots of fires during COVID, not unlike those seen in Maui. I think something like that happening is in the cards when the reversion to the mean happens and we see the true cost of keeping these things online and deferring and prolonging the inevitable.
0: https://calmatters.org/environment/2022/12/california-solar-...
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monta%C3%B1a_de_Oro_State_Park
The name means "Mountains of Gold" and at a certain time of year there are these "Gold" flowers all over the place
https://www.onlyinyourstate.com/usa/unspoiled-beach-montana-...
They focus on side effects that are scary but rare and in general much less than what it is trying to prevent.
Closing nuclear power plants increases CO2. We have seen that with Germany. If after all this evidence, you are still anti-nuclear in 2023, you are anti-science.
I’m all for improving the environmental situation, but how?
They should use their donation money on layers that will force the hand of politicians to build newer better supply sources rather than just trying to shut down the current power sources.
What is their end game? Is it political or environmental? Is it just a pure emotional “this bad, turn off” type thought process? Is it a “oh this is in our budget and we don’t know what to do with it” situation?
(From the article) > Last year the Biden administration announced it would give PG&E a $1.1 billion grant to help keep the plant open.
One idea:
$1.1 billion dollars will buy around that many watts of installed solar, at today's prices. Vastly more in another decade.
Operational expenses of properly built & operated nuclear plants are very low, which is the whole point. If there's a billion dollars required to keep it running, despite high energy prices in the state, something is very wrong.
I know nothing of the california plant, but I suspect its in a similar situation.
If so, the 1.1 billion is not running costs, but capital spent to renew parts of the plant, replace some parts and so on. The plants of the 70s were typically built with a projected 50 year life span, so extending it another 50% is not cheap, although cheaper than building a new one.
Your point about solar is well made. But solar is not 27x7 so its not comparing an equivalent thing. Solar and wind are enormously useful, and I'm a fan, but they're not enough by themselves, and won't be until we figure out how to store gw of power.
Running a nuclear plant in an earthquake zone is not ideal, but its hard to see any better alternatives at the moment.
That would explain it. Thanks for the data point.
> Your point about solar is well made.
That's actually somebody else's point, not mine. :)
As for night time, sure, spend half the $1.1 billion on solar panels and the other half on batteries.
The nuclear plant produces 2.2GW. Solar costs $1/W. So $1.1 billion will get you 1.1GW.
The plant thus has twice the return on investment of solar - and is already here right now and doesn't need to be constructed.
It makes more sense to shut the plant once no more coal or gas is being burned, rather than waste all that energy right now.
So actually getting a continuous 2.2GW from the nuclear plant will cost a lot more than $1.1 billion.
They've named it the duck curve: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Duck_curve
Sure, but when the topic is very involved from the technical and engineering point of view, it's still armchair quarterbacking.
Here's the link to the statement that Diablo Canion is safe from the earthquake point of view [1], and here are the relevant quotes:
[1] https://www.pge.com/en_US/safety/how-the-system-works/diablo...(Note Fukushima NPP was hit by an earthquake much bigger than it was designed for, this damaged the plant but wouldn't have caused a serious accident if it wasn't for the tsunami, resulting loss of primary and backup power, the isolation condenser not working at Unit 1, an untested plan to inject water into some of the other units not working, etc. Diablo Canyon is on a very high bluff and not vulnerable to ocean events.)
The substantive complaint about the seawater cooling system is that the heat is bad for sea life in the vicinity which is true but there are several other fossil fuel plants that are even more damaging.
On top of all that, all nuclear power plants in the U.S. have received major rounds of safety upgrades after incidents such as Three Mile Island, the 9/11 terrorist attacks, and Fukushima.
And since this particular plant has been given billions to stay open, nuclear also sucks investments that in case you're currently on coal, you can fully give to renewables
Diablo Canyon is up and running right now. It took 10 years to build an AP1000 (state of the art reactor) at Voglte 3; two AP1000s have been built successfully at that site although two failed at Virgil C. Summer. Building a new NPP is an expensive and risky proposition that could take a long time to bear fruit, but keeping an old one running is a slam dunk and avoids all the delays that would come from getting permits for and building anything new be it power lines, PV arrays, wind farms, or battery farms.
Many people today think we are not moving fast enough, but climate change is on the radar now, we are seeing "net zero" commitments from governments, corporations and NGOs. 10 years ago there was a lot more talk about decarbonizing "easy to decarbonize" sectors and not about making sharp cuts in all emission sources.
There are electric cars and a movement to stop using natural gas for heat and cooking. Thanks to climate change we need more air conditioning. For that matter, climate change is putting pressure on water supplies so there is more interest in desalination, which today is done by pushing water across membranes with high pressure, which takes electricity. Industrial carbon emissions are under attack with hydrogen, gas turbines run backwards, electrolysis and other methods... That need clean energy.
Thus. California's demand for clean energy appears bottomless in the next few decades.
Just finish Yucca Mountain.
https://ag.nv.gov/Hot_Topics/Issue/Yucca/
John Oliver's also done a pretty good segment on the disposal issue many years ago. It's probably on Youtube.