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Just providing this so you know why I’ve downvoted/flagged:

https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html

> AltRightTaxi

Please don't use Hacker News for political or ideological battle. That tramples curiosity.

> Two Muskito brigades downvotes in less than 40 seconds.

Please don't post insinuations about astroturfing, shilling, brigading, foreign agents, and the like. It degrades discussion and is usually mistaken. If you're worried about abuse, email hn@ycombinator.com and we'll look at the data.

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When there's an article that seems political that I come across, I'll either flag it (if it doesn't seem like it belongs here, guidelines-wise) or I'll hide it if it's something I dislike but I feel is probably still relevant to the community. Hiding is a great way not to get incentivized to say something that will only make matters worse
Moderation is speech too. It's not possible to have an apolitical discussion of matters related to a plutocrat that offers a $100M vote bounty. To selectively silence dissenters is to be even more political than to just debate with them.

Besides, Tesla is a car company. There are dozens of weekly articles about it, compared to maybe one for all the other automakers put together. This has effectively turned HN into an advertising platform for Musk. If moderation was sincere and not pretextual, the entire topic would be banned.

I'm 100% sure I'm not making matters worse by posting. At a minimum it creates a data trail for the bots' actions. It also prevents giving the impression that the audience has been 'tamed' into full Musk complacency by the bots.

BTW, it's funny that my replies to the flagged message are getting flagged too. If someone can read the original message they can read the replies as well. Digging into the hidden reply chain just to flag more stuff gives away the automated nature of the flagging.

Tesla is not currently licensed to operate a commercial autonomous ridehailing service in California. Musk predicted it would be easier to obtain permission in Texas than California.

Then why is he doing it in the Bay Area, then? Do it in Texas. Tesla has plenty of employees there.

He said they'd be building 50 thousand semis by now. He said they'd have 1 million robotaxis in 2020. Who cares what he says any more?

> Then why is he doing it in the Bay Area, then?

Probably so he can blame in on politics when it fails spectacularly.

I'm guessing many of the engineers doing the AI/self driving stuff want to remain the bay area.
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I wonder if Tesla would launch an Uber competitor without achieving autonomy.
If you have to ask the answer is of course!
Great to hear that they started testing it - these 1 million Robotaxi were sitting idle since 2020 !

If you believe any of Musk's bullshit, do yourself a favor and listen to past investor calls from Tesla. And then check how these statements and predictions turn out in reality.

"1000 times better than human driving by the second quarter of 2025". We're yet to see any reliable number from Tesla about those claims. Every single new version of FSD is "mind blowing" and looks like they "solved autonomy", for the past 4 years. And yet, they did unveil a concept Robotaxi in a ... Hollywood studio. Autonomy was solved in Hollywood studios and Theme parks 30 years ago.

How do you reconcile his "bullshit" with the fact his spaceships are saving astronauts from space?
one is a public company whose stock can be pumped up with "bullshit", other is not.
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Well, simple there is no need to reconcile it ? One can be successfull in one area and fail in another.

Tesla is not a bad company. As an EV maker, it's as good as it gets (although it's still bad as a business). But if it was just that, it would be valued at 10% of what it is today, at best.

But it's promoted by Musk, and priced by the market, as a revolutionnary one. And if you look at the history of it, you see it's all smoke and mirrors. In the process Musk cashed out > 40 billion USD.

Anyone who thinks Tesla is “as good as it gets” hasn’t tried literally almost any other EV in the last few years.
I meant an EV maker - as a business. They are making profit* while other EV makers are mostly not.

As for the cars quality, you're absolutely right.

* I also believe Tesla is pretty much cooking their books to show profits.

Cybertruck became the 3rd best selling EV in the US after Model Y and 3. Looks like the people have spoken after looking at "literally almost any other EV in the last few years''.
In the last year, I've driven almost every new EV available for under $100,000.

Tesla has more range per dollar than almost any others. Many have antiquated, unusable infotainment systems designed for legacy cars. Some get marked up by $10,000 or more by dealers. None have the simplicity of charging.

Tesla is still selling most of the EVs on the road. Slowdowns attributed to Musk's shit behavior are never compared with their peers, who are having even worse slowdowns. Having driven nearly all of them, I understand why.

>Tesla has more range per dollar than almost any others.

They don't - they inflate their estimated mileage across the board. Lucid runs circles around them dollar for dollar.

>Many have antiquated, unusable infotainment systems designed for legacy cars.

They pretty much all have carplay and android auto which runs circles around Tesla's antiquated interface. It was revolutionary a decade ago, it now looks like a tired android skin. Have you tried youtube music? You can't even properly like or dislike a song, much less properly navigate playlists.

>Some get marked up by $10,000 or more by dealers.

This literally isn't a thing. I don't know of ANY EV that you can't get at cost if you spend even 30 seconds looking. The dealers marking up cars ridiculous amounts during COVID hasn't been a normal thing for quite some time.

>None have the simplicity of charging.

Huh? You can drive a Ford Mach-E up to a Tesla charger, attach your adapter, plug it in, and it starts charging. The very first time you ever charge a given car, you do need to start it from the app to tie a tesla account to the car itself, after that it's plug and charge.

>Tesla is still selling most of the EVs on the road. Slowdowns attributed to Musk's shit behavior are never compared with their peers, who are having even worse slowdowns. Having driven nearly all of them, I understand why.

Having driven nearly all of them, I think I'm questioning if you have. Literally every other car I have driven has a nicer interior, a better technology system, and basic functionality that actually works like: auto wipers, cruise control that doesn't phantom brake for no reason, things you just take for granted in any modern car that Tesla decided wasn't worth spending a couple dollars per car to have work reliably.

Tesla is absolutely compared to peers, and no their peers aren't having "even worse slowdowns".

https://electrek.co/2024/10/22/gm-outpaces-us-rivals-q3-fewe...

Are you interested in discussing any of these things you've said? Or are you interested in 'being right'? Let me know. Happy to discuss.
Sure. Let’s discuss why a 6-figure Tesla doesn’t have functioning automatic wipers? Elon insisted that would be easy with nothing but cameras. And if they can’t even get the wipers working, why should any of us believe they’ll solve full autonomy with nothing but cameras?
This is not the way to have a conversation on HN.
wipers work fine
My wipers DO sometimes wipe once when the sun hits them wrong... not so bad though.
We realize you have a lot of bias but I think what the OP was getting at is that Tesla still has the best EV experience. The drivetrain is generally rocksolid, charging is a solved problem, going on road trips the navigation works seamlessly with optimal charging stops. The interiors are absolutely bare bones and will rattle, though I have heard the latest refresh on the 3 is a lot nicer. You are also right, they have a lot of hubris, the wipers are a debacle, it would be nice if they just paid for the sensors like all other car companies for automatic wipers.

I think the Hyundai is getting close and the Mercedes lineup is nice but a little $$$. Tesla still is a nice sweet spot.

thinking the bandaid of carplay/android auto is better is just hilarious
I bought a P3D in 2018 and it was quick. But the interior deteriorated in like six months. Rattled like crazy, center console lid wouldn’t stay closed, and after the hw3 upgrade it rattled even more.

When I made a service appointment through the app I got a message that it would cost me ($180 I think?) to have it inspected to determine where the noise was coming from.

I got FSD for $2k back then and while I only had the car for 3 years and drove mostly the 101, I found it helpful in traffic jams. However I didn’t trust it much at higher speeds because it would phantom brake or swerve randomly especially around bridges or when I was in lanes that intersected. Really scary!

I got a Mazda CX-30 after selling the Tesla and it had no interior rattles and felt more premium even though it was $26k. The steering wheel felt more like a sports car than the P3D.

Just my opinion.. I do miss the crazy acceleration. I don’t miss the rattles and poor interior quality.

Not sure if I’ll get another EV until Mazda or Honda make a nice reliable car. I’m a little scared to buy any car from companies that are burning money like crazy lol. I don’t mind moving fast and breaking things on the browser, but not on the road!!

the CX30 feels like a cramped, slow toy compared to the 2024 model 3.
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I felt the same. In the last year I test drove the Model 3 (pre-highland), Y, and pretty much all their competitors. I still landed on a Y, and I love it. I'm always surprised at how much hate Tesla gets ... I understand some folks won't prefer their minimalist interiors, and that's fine.
They don’t seem to be a great EV maker anymore… they were definitely first to market with practical luxury EVs, but the old school car companies have caught up with better designed EVs and much higher build quality at the same price points. The high end German EVs from Porsche, Audi, BMW and Mercedes are overall much better cars then a Model S in the same price range. Not just the general build quality, but the EV tech itself is generally more advanced than what Tesla is offering- faster charging, better battery cooling and charge management, better traction control, etc.
The range of the Porsches still sucks, go to any dealer and notice the beautiful and fancy Porsche Taycan EVs sitting around unclaimed with a sales guy eager to make a deal. The BMW's are also a blight upon the eye, it's laughable.

But you aren't wrong, Kia has nailed it where it matters.. their latest are extremely popular, there are tons in the Bay Area. Yuck, but it's true*. May be worth a shot if you're in the unfortunate position of needing new transportation.

https://www.kia.com/us/en/ev

* I have no vested interest in any car company, I drive very few miles per year and my cars are old AF. I have a lot of friends, though. Only want the best for you, Internet friend. Cheers.

P.s. Combustion Kia's suck ass, trash trying to move upmarket, lol. Hello humanity.

My daily driver is a 25 year old Porsche sports car and it has less fuel range than a new Taycan. Porsche has always sold track ready cars from the factory- with all of the compromises that entails. The Taycan is a much better designed and made car than a Model S. Porsche also is a company that doesn’t exaggerate their specs like Tesla does- a quick google search suggests the real world range of the Taycan is actually higher than the Model S despite a massive difference in the specs.

I’ve also heard Kias EVs are great cars.

Porsche Macan has a range of 613 km (381 mi) better than a Performance Model 3.

And is overall better at charging (270kw max).

Also BMW has seen strong EV growth: https://www.press.bmwgroup.com/global/article/detail/T044372...

SUVs and crossers are only Porsches in name/badge. If it isn't a sedan contraption it's really a VW. Good styling, but not true to the essence.

I am in admirer, but my entire collection of multiple automobiles is worth less than 25 grand. Yet they're actually pretty nice and cool, one is comfortable.

So I can buy a VW that is identical to a Porsche with the same handling, build quality, interior quality, performance, charging etc for a fraction of the price.

Please tell us which model it is as this could shake up the industry.

Touareg- which VW pulled from the US market because it also cost as much, or sometimes even more than the very similar Cayenne, and people wouldn't pay Porsche money for a VW badge. In 2004 you could buy a new VW twin turbo V10 Touareg for 60-70k, or about 100-120k adjusted for inflation. VW went through a weird time when ran by Ferdinand Piëch, the grandson of Ferdinand Porsche who was involved with a lot of really high end and unusual performance cars that were cool but didn't really end up having a market.

The Macan does share a similar design to the Audi Q5, but is also heavily modified for performance over the Q5, and it isn't similar to any of VWs models. That also seems like hardly an insult as the Q5 is also a high end SUV with great performance and handling.

We are talking about EVs.
The history is important because Porsche and VW have been collaborating on cars since they were founded by the same person- and the “that’s not a real Porsche, just a VW” snobbery has been applied to almost every Porsche model since, even the now iconic 912. VW also occasionally makes cars that are at least as high end as anything Porsche makes.

Both of the Porsche SUVs I mentioned are sold with all 3 drivetrains BTW: electric, plug in hybrid, and pure EV.

> not true to the essence

As a longtime Porsche fan that was exactly my first thought also when Porsche started making SUVs, but I couldn't have been more wrong. They're not just very much in the spirit of Porsches history- I find the SUVs to be more impressive and interesting than any of their sports cars.

The Porsche SUVs are really unique and impressive performance vehicles in their own right, each in different ways- especially the Cayenne. The Cayenne is indeed very similar to a VW Touareg, but the Touareg itself is nothing like other VWs and started out as a crazy expensive Piech era offroad supercar with V12 and V10 engines that is also the basis for the modern Bentley and Lamborghini SUV supercars. Look at YouTube videos you will see these same vehicles posting sports car worthy lap times on a track, as well as easily doing some of the most technical offroad trails. To me it's a mind blowing feat of engineering to make a single vehicle that can handle such opposed things, and do them both extremely well.

You can also find a lot of nice older Porsches for much less than 25 grand- 10 grand will get you a nearly perfect condition low mileage first gen Boxster or Cayenne these days.

hard disagree. american and euro oems are far behind, making inefficient, expensive and unprofitable EVs with shitty ass software.
The software on the high end euro in particular is light years ahead- and I don't mean the touch screen UIs (which I personally think are dangerous and should be illegal as you have to take your eyes off the road to operate), but the actual software controlling the cars hardware, like the traction control and stability systems, which work much better on those cars, especially VW/Audi/Porsche.

On paper Tesla dominates in range and performance specs, but they seem to be lying, while the older brands are under-estimating, as real world range and track lap time specs don't reflect the supposed higher specs of Teslas cars. Tesla seems to be a fundamentally dishonest company, whose claimed technical advantages are all lies/hype.

For example, Mercedes advertises their EQS at 350 miles range, but car magazine tests have gotten 400-500 miles on them[1]. Tesla claims 405 miles range on the Model S long range, but car magazines only get ~320.

[1] https://www.autoguide.com/manufacturer/mercedes-benz/2022-me...

the model 3 did 380mi. way over epa. https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=S6rgzGizgaQ

> actual software controlling the cars hardware, like the traction control and stability systems, which work much better on those cars, especially VW/Audi/Porsche

im gonna need a source on that lol how do you even quantify that

Yeah, Tesla has been really good at getting the whole package together with cars. The Model 3 is really the best EV on the market, IMO.

It isn't the fastest accelerating. It doesn't charge the fastest. It doesn't have the longest range. It isn't the cheapest.

But the balance of all four of those still manages to be better than basically anything else out there, though the Ioniq 6 is extremely close.

But it has the worst build quality, interior and controls. These are not numerically measurable but they certainly do matter to prospective buyers. As does even more subjective things like styling, which is now pretty dated.

Either way I suspect it now doesn't really matter because this is becoming the "Trump-mobile" which makes it a non starter for a lot of politically conscious peoples.

counterpoint; love the interior. all the widgets in other OEMs look hilarious by comparison. controls? the car literally drives me around town by itself
The spaceships work, but they've also taken about twice as long as he's said they would to hit each milestone.

His companies make some great stuff, but he also overhypes everything they do. Both things can be true.

He's just the rich clown atop of the companies putting pressure and maybe unreasonable requests to smart people under him that as you go down the chain are actually closer to being worth their net worth.
He’s exaggerated SpaceX timelines, too. It is well established that he does this: https://sherwood.news/business/elon-musk-tesla-timeline-robo...

In Tesla’s case, it might be more of a problem because they sell to consumers: https://electrek.co/2024/10/15/tesla-needs-to-come-clean-abo...

But besides that, it only really affects investor outlook.

Space is hard. If you think SpaceX exaggerated their timeline, then NASA (JWST, SLS, Artemis), Blue Origin, ULA, Rocket Lab, Arianne all did. See how late their rockets have been?
Have you read his SpaceX claims? He claimed he'll have passenger rocket service operating by 2028 for around $1000 a ticket.
Musk is not running SpaceX.
>How do you reconcile his "bullshit" with the fact his spaceships are saving astronauts from space?

this reminds me of a common political tactic. "Mr. SoandSo couldn't be lying, look at his donation records and philanthropy! Look at the jobs he produced! The profit he has generated!"

Well, the matter-of-fact is that there is no need to reconcile the two states. He's a highly effective individual who has had great success in certain fields -- he's also a huckster con-man that over-promises and under-sells.

One could argue that his effectiveness on one sided is aided by his willing to take ethical shortcuts with his portrayed opinions and 'honesty' on the other side.

There are no pure shades of color in the human psyche.

I think fans of his would just call it '4D chess' and refer to his genius. Whatever floats your boat.

Taking your idea into straight non-sense : how many days does this space mission add to our expectation on FSD delivery? Are there grounds for a class-action lawsuit against Boeing originating from Tesla owners that are unhappy with the additional stress to the time-line? Sounds ridiculous from the other side...

>How do you reconcile his "bullshit" with the fact his spaceships are saving astronauts from space?

Easy - they aren't "his spaceships". He funded a bunch of other really smart people doing incredible things with rockets. That doesn't really exonerate him from continually spewing bullshit. If you want to go with Space-X bullshit - in 2016 he said there would be manned missions to Mars in 2024. He did it again in 2017, and multiple times after that. If there's one thing you can be sure of, whatever date Elon tells you something is going to happen, you should promptly throw into the trash where it belongs and try to find someone else at the company in question that isn't a pathological liar to give you a realistic timeline.

It's too bad the webmaster of elonmusk.today[1] hasn't kept it up to date with all of his BS promises. I guess it was too much content to keep track of, even for him!

1: https://elonmusk.today

The man may exaggerate pace of progress but he has more than proved him self with TESLA, SpaceX, Neuralink. that's 3 bleeding edge companies in 3 different industries.

p.s) For those misinformed about state of Neuralink. Currently in beta with quadriplegic patients.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gVcMpjIY52Q

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Idk why this is getting downvoted because it’s basically true
I’m not following too closely. Maybe they’re getting the crippled on dancing with the stars by now for all I know.

But so far I haven’t heard anything about that company that qualifies as “proven” in any way.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gVcMpjIY52Q

basically not. Literally life changing already for this person.

We had quadriplegics using brain-computer interfaces to control computers since the 90s. We had neuro implants giving sight to the blind since the 2000s. The problem is not making it work at all, the problem is making the implant work in the long-term in a way that the body doesn't eventually reject. Neuralink is still catching up to where we were 20 years ago, only fronted by a dancing monkey trying to hype himself up as the technoking.
conceptually we had eletric cars since 1900. Doesn't mean much until someone improves it to mass market adoptable level and mass produce it like Elon did with TESLA.

It's silly to compare available tech from 90s from what's possible nowadays with 1000x + BCI bandwidth done with Neuralink

To reiterate, the computer tech is not the bottleneck. I've made software for neuro research labs logging terabytes per day of data from rats. The hardware/wetware interface is not a problem you can solve by waiting for TSMC to scale to the next node.
I'm eagerly awaiting you to break grounds, invest 100's of millions, hire top researchers in field and out compete Elon.
We had electric cars more than 100 years ago, actually.
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Yeah, the electric cars predated gas cars. First prototypes were in the early 1800s.
The crippled guy playing video games with his mind is not notable? I guess others may have done it before? I dont know, they have terrible PR if so.
He doesn't actually do any of the work in developing those technologies. He didn't even found Tesla. He's just the front man with enough money to buy titles like "chief engineer" and "founder".

A complete grifter.

When you get to higher level, you’re not doing work but instead you are guiding work and making decisions.

Whenever you don't know which way to go, you consult someone more senior. Those people do the same with their seniors. And so on.

There are many stories from people who have worked with Elon scattered across books and interviews. He makes wild decisions, tells people to do it, and somehow the sum of these wild ideas works out.

Remember, the idea of landing a reusable rocket was abandoned long ago by many nations because it was deemed impossible or financially infeasible. Yet here we are with SpaceX dropping LOE launch prices per kg by 90-98%.

You can call Elon many things, but a grifter he is not.

> Remember, the idea of landing a reusable rocket was abandoned long ago by many nations because it was deemed impossible or financially infeasible. Yet here we are with SpaceX dropping LOE launch prices per kg by 90-98%.

It's almost like revisiting the wildest ideas turns into feasible ones thanks to steady progress all around (science, manufacturing, better pricing).

I guess what's key is being lucky to re-attempt something at the right time. Just look at how long things from the mother of all demos took to become successful products, hell, we are finally getting the hang of collaborative editing and video conferencing was awful still 40yrs after in 2008.

You forgot all the ridicule endured for all the previous failed attempts and people how "stupid" he is for not listening to his engineers that the chopstick landing is not feasible.
you don't know anything about how business works if you can't appreciate how Elon managed to turn Tesla at concept car stage to current mass manufacturing capacities and being more valuable than next 7 car companies combined.

the man got into Stanford for Physics, and there are more than enough anecdotes from his biography done by Walter Isaacson that confirm his technical prowess.

> if you can't appreciate how Elon managed to turn Tesla at concept car stage to current mass manufacturing capacities and being more valuable than next 7 car companies combined

So government bailouts followed by cultivating a breathless cult who throw money at making your stock the most overvalued asset in history?

Tesla took government loans and paid them all back with interest. there was never any bailout but I can tell you just hate the man regardless of facts.

Feel free to put your money where your mouth is by shorting TESLA if you feel like it's so overvalued. and get crushed like everyone that did just that along the way.

> Feel free to put your money where your mouth is by shorting TESLA if you feel like it's so overvalued

As a smart man once said: "the market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent".

As a smart man once said: 'A lie can travel half way around the world while the truth is putting on its shoes.'

https://www.quora.com/Was-Tesla-bailed-out-by-the-US-governm...

No, Tesla did not receive any funds under the 2009 auto industry bailout.[1] The $80.7 billion went to Chrysler and GM.

Tesla did receive a government loan of $465 million under the Advanced Technology Vehicle Manufacturing program, a program signed into law by Bush in 2008. Tesla subsequently repaid that loan.

> Feel free to put your money where your mouth is by shorting TESLA if you feel like it's so overvalued. and get crushed like everyone that did just that along the way.

Selling put options on TSLA has been one of my more profitable plays for a long while, so maybe not.

Selling puts is a long position :)
Sorry, I meant buying puts. I mostly sell puts on other things, but on TSLA I buy puts.
Selling puts is a volatility play and doesn't mean anything. Putting your money were your mouth is would be shorting the stock, good luck with that.
Only people who don't understand stock trading fundamentally would say that. You have a completely different risk profile when you sell short vs when you take a long position. You pay market interest on borrowed shares (which can eat you alive), you may get your position recalled by the lender, you may take a margin call. Being right at the wrong time is the same thing as being wrong when you're short -- not when you're long. Intelligent traders would take a short position involving options as a hedge - or would sit on the sidelines and not bother.
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You sure typed a lot of words without actually saying anything. Can you stop and think for a minute? Selling puts and profiting from TSLA is not a vindication of your view that the company is trash, the stock is so volatile that you would be a fool to not sell puts even if you’re bullish. I for one have profited a lot by raking in the premiums selling the puts and then also seeing the value of the stock I was “forced” to buy at lower prices appreciate tremendously. This is not a vindication that my view of the company is correct though.
Ok let me try again.

Long positions have a completely different risk profile than a short position. One has unlimited upside and a capped downside. One has unlimited downside and a capped upside.

Saying "put your money where your mouth is and short" is asinine because they have completely different risk profiles.

Did that help?

> Can you stop and think for a minute?

Depends who you ask tbh.

> Selling puts and profiting from TSLA is not a vindication of your view that the company is trash.

Selling puts is a long position -- a bullish position -- not a short position. You would only sell puts if you were optimistic about the company. The fact that you don't know that tells me you're not ready to trade options and vindicates my statement that you don't fundamentally understand stock trading. So maybe stop going around and telling people to "put their money where their mouth is by shorting."

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> Selling puts is a long position -- a bullish position -- not a short position. You would only sell puts if you were optimistic about the company. The fact that you don't know that tells me you're not ready to trade options and vindicates my statement that you don't fundamentally understand stock trading. So maybe stop going around and telling people to "put their money where their mouth is by shorting."

I just said I use selling puts as a bullish strategy, do you lack basic reading comprehension skills?

> Tesla took government loans and paid them all back with interest. there was never any bailout but I can tell you just hate the man regardless of facts.

Many people don't know this but the vast majority of the money that was spent in 2008 was actually given out as loans, and those loans have been repaid with interest, netting the Treasury over $100B in profit, with billions more in quarterly dividends continuing to this day from Fannie and Freddie.

Do you think the 2008 TARP package was "not a bailout" also, because it was repaid with interest?

https://projects.propublica.org/bailout/

Or would you define it more by business outlook if they hadn’t received the funds in the first place?

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> you don't know anything about how business works if you can't appreciate how Elon managed to turn Tesla at concept car stage to current mass manufacturing capacities and being more valuable than next 7 car companies combined.

The elephant in the room is that this was all done during ZIRP. There was an incredible amount of money sloshing around, and due to Elon's great ability to market, it ended up at Tesla.

> the man got into Stanford for Physics, and there are more than enough anecdotes from his biography done by Walter Isaacson that confirm his technical prowess.

This is Elon sympathetic. Where someone got into school has nothing to do with their business acumen. There are many people who actually went to Stanford for Physics with no business acumen. There also plenty of people who didn't go to school at all who have built great companies.

There are also many critiques of the accuracy of the Walter Isaacson biography. A definitive tome, it is not.

That's bullshit.

He is a grifter, and I believe he's going to prison for fraud soon.

But it's also true that he's / was incredible at attracting top talent, pushing seemingly impossible projects and delivering.

Prison for fraud? What for?
Then he can claim those things, but not what he hasn’t done yet. He’s very capable and I’m happy to defend his contribution, but his pronouncements on “full self driving” have been untruthful. It is not full self driving. It was not autopilot. If the new version is, the world should be thrilled. It’s probably not.
And he's also proven himself with X, Boring, SolarCity, America PAC, PayPal etc.
Not to forget his most brilliant brain child of hyper loop. Which has already revolutionized transport and replaced cars, trains, planes and ships... Oh wait...
Everyone has better and worse projects.
What successful projects have you birthed and how do they compare?
Paypal did very well, no? Solar City wasn't a homerun like spacex, but I wouldn't call it a failure. America PAC is not something I agree with, but again, not clear what your point about it is?

We can agree that he is an asshole and also acknowledge the fact that he has a statistically significant success rate for big engineering tasks.

a) He was fired from PayPal for his poor management and erratic behaviour.

b) SolarCity has been unquestionably a failure.

c) America PAC which handles most of the field operations for the Trump campaign has been in the news for how poorly it has been managed.

I never understood the criticism for late delivery from the tech community. We of all people should know how difficult estimating can be. I can cut Musky some slack on this one.
> We of all people should know how difficult estimating can be.

Then (a) perhaps keep your mouth shut until you can deliver it, and (b) don't take people's money for something that you say is "only X years away" when it's actually X+3/4/5.

He has promised FSD is one year away each year since 2015. We're coming up on the 10th anniversary of "one year away."
So you're saying it's better to be like most people: to promise nothing and then deliver exactly that, perfectly on time.
> So you're saying it's better to be like most people: to promise nothing and then deliver exactly that, perfectly on time.

When people can buy your product, tell them that they can buy it.

If you don't have a product that people can buy, keep your mouth shut.

Tesla might benefit from an in-house prediction platform to pour cold water on some of these forecasts. That said, I was not expecting the chopsticks to catch Starship so soon.
Yeah Gwynne Shotwell is doing a great job running SpaceX.
And probably almost everyone working there, too. Stellar company.
Has anybody ever seen one? Or are they outwardly just regular Teslas and thus indistinguishable from all the other Teslas roaming around the Bay Area?
At this stage it might as well be a Indian call center controlling them remotely.