It's the theme of the year. Building each year. Going back historically when Social media apps were the craze, or mobile apps were HN reflected what VCs typically were looking to invest in.
This is cool data but I’d love to see how this AI boom compares to the big data AI boom of 2015-2018 or so. There were a lot of places calling themselves AI for no reason. Lots of anxiety that no one but data scientists would have jobs in the future.
It’s hard to tell how total that was compared to today. Of course the amount of money involved is way higher so I’d expect it to not be as large but expanding the data set a bit could be interesting to see if there’s waves of comments or not.
What I found insightful about this article was the framing of another article cited.
> " This pretty negative post topping Hacker News last month sparked these questions, and I decided to find some answers, of course, using AI"
The pretty negative post cited is https://tomrenner.com/posts/llm-inevitabilism/. I went ahead to read it, and found it, imo, fair. It's not making any direct pretty negative claims about AI, although it's clear the author has concerns. But the thrust is inviting the reader to not fall into the trap of the current framing by proponents of AI, rather questioning first if the future being peddled is actually what we want. Seems a fair question to ask if you're unsure?
I got concerned that this is framed as "pretty negative post", and it impacted my read of the rest of this author's article
Im guessing it took over around the time it became more convenient, reliable, accurate, pleasant and consistently present than the average human being, but it could have been later.
I noticed at one point a few days ago that all 10 out of the top 10 articles on the front page were about AI or LLMs. Granted, that doesn't happen often, but wow. This craze is just unrelenting.
My subjective impression is that it has become even more prominent in the past few months. I suspect the providers are feeling increased pressure to monetize and are boosting their astroturfing and creative marketing efforts accordingly.
Would be fun to do similar analysis for HN front page trends that peaked and then declined, like cryptocurrency, NFTs, Web3, and self-driving cars.
And actually it’s funny: self-driving cars and cryptocurrency are continuing to advance dramatically in real life but there are hardly any front page HN stories about them anymore. Shows the power of AI as a topic that crowds out others. And possibly reveals the trendy nature of the HN attention span.
ETA: I am only partly joking. It's abundantly clear that the VC energy shifted away from crypto as people who were presenting as professional and serious turned out to be narcissists and crooks. Of course the money shifted to the technology that was being deliberately marketed as hope for humanity. A lot of crypto/NFT influencers became AI influencers at that point.
(The timings kind of line up, too. People can like this or not like this, but I think it's a real factor.)
I'm more annoyed at the - clearly - AI based comments than the articles themselves. The articles are easy to ignore, the comments are a lot harder. In light of that I'd still love it if HN created an ignore feature, I think the community is large enough now that that makes complete sense. It would certainly improve my HN experience.
AI talk on Hacker News surged w/ GPT-4 (dev unlock), not consumer ChatGPT. The sentiment around AI has remained mostly stable since the 2021 Apple NeuralHash backlash.
I guarantee these trends are no different than Google News or any other news aggregator. AI didn't take over HN specifically; at some point HN fell behind the mainstream rather than rushing in front of it. This was due to extremely heavy moderation explicitly and plainly meant to silence the complaints of black people and women in tech (extremely successfully, I might add.) These discussions were given the euphemism "politics" and hand-modded out of existence.
Discussions about the conflicts between political parties and politicians to pass or defeat legislation, and the specific advocacy or defeat of specific legislation; those were not considered political. When I would ask why discussions of politics were not considered political, but black people not getting callbacks from their resumes was, people here literally couldn't understand the question. James Damore wasn't "political" for months somehow; it was only politics from a particular perspective that made HN uncomfortable enough that they had to immediately mod it away.
At that point, the moderation became just sort of arbitrary in a predictable, almost comforting way, and everything started to conform. HN became "VH1": "MTV" without the black people. The top stories on HN are the same as on Google News, minus any pro-Trump stuff, extremely hysterical anti-Trump stuff, or anything about discrimination in or out of tech.
I'm still plowing along out of habit, annoying everybody and getting downvoted into oblivion, but I came here because of the moderation; a different sort of moderation that decided to make every story on the front page about Erlang one day.
What took over this site back then would spread beyond this site: vivid, current arguments about technology and ethics. It makes sense that after a lot of YC companies turned out to be comically unethical and spread misery, rentseeking, and the destruction of workers rights throughout the US and the world, the site would give up on the pretense of being on the leading edge of anything positive. We don't even talk about YC anymore, other than to notice what horrible people and companies are getting a windfall today.
The mods seem like perfectly nice people, but HN isn't even good for finding out about new hacks and vulnerabilities first anymore. It's not ahead of anybody on anything. It's not even accidentally funny; templeos would have had to find somewhere else to hang out.
Maybe this is interesting just because it's harder to get a history of Google News. You'd have to build it yourself.
The comments on most of the stories are the same old diatribes as well
most of them are fairly useles it feels like the majority of the sites comments are written by PMs at the FANG companies running everything though the flavor of the month llm
It's just a fad. It'll die down eventually like everything else does. Don't see much talk about cryptocurrency lately (not that I care to see more, the technology choices are cool though).
Might take a long while for everyone to get on the same page about where these inference engines really work and don't work. People are still testing stuff out, haven't been in the know for long, and some fear the failure of job markets.
This is anecdotal, but the article used ChatGPT to score the sentiment. I’ve noticed that ChatGPT tends to “hallucinate” positive sentiment where there is sufficient nuance but a person would interpret it as overall negative[^1]. I however haven’t tested that bias against more brazen statements.
I thought this was going to be an analysis of articles that are clearly AI-generated.
I feel like that’s an increasing ratio of top posts, and they’re usually an instant skip for me. Would be interested in some data to see if that’s true.
43 comments
[ 4.9 ms ] story [ 72.2 ms ] threadIt’s hard to tell how total that was compared to today. Of course the amount of money involved is way higher so I’d expect it to not be as large but expanding the data set a bit could be interesting to see if there’s waves of comments or not.
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=4611830
Sad times...
> " This pretty negative post topping Hacker News last month sparked these questions, and I decided to find some answers, of course, using AI"
The pretty negative post cited is https://tomrenner.com/posts/llm-inevitabilism/. I went ahead to read it, and found it, imo, fair. It's not making any direct pretty negative claims about AI, although it's clear the author has concerns. But the thrust is inviting the reader to not fall into the trap of the current framing by proponents of AI, rather questioning first if the future being peddled is actually what we want. Seems a fair question to ask if you're unsure?
I got concerned that this is framed as "pretty negative post", and it impacted my read of the rest of this author's article
whats so confusing about this, thinking machines have been invented
And actually it’s funny: self-driving cars and cryptocurrency are continuing to advance dramatically in real life but there are hardly any front page HN stories about them anymore. Shows the power of AI as a topic that crowds out others. And possibly reveals the trendy nature of the HN attention span.
ETA: I am only partly joking. It's abundantly clear that the VC energy shifted away from crypto as people who were presenting as professional and serious turned out to be narcissists and crooks. Of course the money shifted to the technology that was being deliberately marketed as hope for humanity. A lot of crypto/NFT influencers became AI influencers at that point.
(The timings kind of line up, too. People can like this or not like this, but I think it's a real factor.)
My intuition is that we moved through the hype cycle far faster than mainstream. When execs were still peaking, we were at disillusionment.
Discussions about the conflicts between political parties and politicians to pass or defeat legislation, and the specific advocacy or defeat of specific legislation; those were not considered political. When I would ask why discussions of politics were not considered political, but black people not getting callbacks from their resumes was, people here literally couldn't understand the question. James Damore wasn't "political" for months somehow; it was only politics from a particular perspective that made HN uncomfortable enough that they had to immediately mod it away.
At that point, the moderation became just sort of arbitrary in a predictable, almost comforting way, and everything started to conform. HN became "VH1": "MTV" without the black people. The top stories on HN are the same as on Google News, minus any pro-Trump stuff, extremely hysterical anti-Trump stuff, or anything about discrimination in or out of tech.
I'm still plowing along out of habit, annoying everybody and getting downvoted into oblivion, but I came here because of the moderation; a different sort of moderation that decided to make every story on the front page about Erlang one day.
What took over this site back then would spread beyond this site: vivid, current arguments about technology and ethics. It makes sense that after a lot of YC companies turned out to be comically unethical and spread misery, rentseeking, and the destruction of workers rights throughout the US and the world, the site would give up on the pretense of being on the leading edge of anything positive. We don't even talk about YC anymore, other than to notice what horrible people and companies are getting a windfall today.
The mods seem like perfectly nice people, but HN isn't even good for finding out about new hacks and vulnerabilities first anymore. It's not ahead of anybody on anything. It's not even accidentally funny; templeos would have had to find somewhere else to hang out.
Maybe this is interesting just because it's harder to get a history of Google News. You'd have to build it yourself.
most of them are fairly useles it feels like the majority of the sites comments are written by PMs at the FANG companies running everything though the flavor of the month llm
this sums up the subject this article is about.
Might take a long while for everyone to get on the same page about where these inference engines really work and don't work. People are still testing stuff out, haven't been in the know for long, and some fear the failure of job markets.
There is a lot of FUD to sift through.
I feel like that’s an increasing ratio of top posts, and they’re usually an instant skip for me. Would be interested in some data to see if that’s true.