The article feels, I don't know… maybe like someone calmly sitting in a rocking chair staring at the sea. Then the camera turns, and there's an erupting volcano in the background.
> If it was a life or death decision, would you trust the model? Judgement, yes, but decision? No, they are not capable of making a decision, at least important ones.
A self-driving car with a vision-language-action model inside buzzes by.
> It still fails when it comes to spatial relations within text, because everything is understood in terms of relations and correspondences between tokens as values themselves, and apparent spatial position is not a stored value.
A large multimodal model listens to your request and produces a picture.
> They'll always need someone to take a look under the hood, figure out how their machine ticks. A strong, fearless individual, the spanner in the works, the eddy in the stream!
I think people are just getting lost in the sauce. Forget all the "singularity" or "AGI" nonsense. LLMs are genuinely useful automation machines. They're fantastic for going from semi-structured data to structured data. They're great for going from text blob to decision points. They're great for going from vague instructions to step-by-step inference.
No one (at least no serious person) is saying ChatGPT is Immanuel Kant or Ernest Hemingway. The fact that we still have sherpas doesn't make trains any less useful or interesting.
The long tail is fatter and longer than many people expect.
AlphaZero was a special/unusual case, I would say an outlier.
FSD is still not ready, but people have seen it working for ten years, slowly climbing up the asymptote, but still not reaching human level driving, and it may take a while.
I use AI models for coding every day, I am not a luddite, but I don't feel the AGI, not at all, what I am seeing is a nice tool that is seriously over-hyped.
The original [0] that this is in response to, essentially posits that something you cannot afford to ignore is going on, especially if you work in a white collar job. Admittedly a little bit of FUD [1] is going on with the "AI is coming for your job" narrative, but the core idea, that this is a fast moving field where it's worth re-examining your assumptions from time to time, appears to be sound and hard to disagree with.
This article has a confrontational title, but the point made here seems to not be incompatible with the original...the author is confronting the FUD directly, which is understandable but perhaps not quite as useful as refuting the core thesis, which is that something you cannot afford to ignore is happening.
In fact, both these people seem to be in agreement that you need to keep an eye on this ball, they just have a "panic" versus "don't panic" framing. Should you panic in an emergency? Research says no [2].
This has been popping up quite a bit but as far as I can tell, neither the original thought piece nor (therefore) the critiques are particularly above-the-bar?
13 comments
[ 37.4 ms ] story [ 186 ms ] threadBut I have personally repeatedly used AI instead of humans across domains.
AI displacement isn’t a prediction. It’s here.
Something big is happening (97 points, 77 comments)
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46973011
> If it was a life or death decision, would you trust the model? Judgement, yes, but decision? No, they are not capable of making a decision, at least important ones.
A self-driving car with a vision-language-action model inside buzzes by.
> It still fails when it comes to spatial relations within text, because everything is understood in terms of relations and correspondences between tokens as values themselves, and apparent spatial position is not a stored value.
A large multimodal model listens to your request and produces a picture.
> They'll always need someone to take a look under the hood, figure out how their machine ticks. A strong, fearless individual, the spanner in the works, the eddy in the stream!
GPT‑5.3‑Codex helps debug its own training.
No one (at least no serious person) is saying ChatGPT is Immanuel Kant or Ernest Hemingway. The fact that we still have sherpas doesn't make trains any less useful or interesting.
AlphaZero was a special/unusual case, I would say an outlier.
FSD is still not ready, but people have seen it working for ten years, slowly climbing up the asymptote, but still not reaching human level driving, and it may take a while.
I use AI models for coding every day, I am not a luddite, but I don't feel the AGI, not at all, what I am seeing is a nice tool that is seriously over-hyped.
This article has a confrontational title, but the point made here seems to not be incompatible with the original...the author is confronting the FUD directly, which is understandable but perhaps not quite as useful as refuting the core thesis, which is that something you cannot afford to ignore is happening.
In fact, both these people seem to be in agreement that you need to keep an eye on this ball, they just have a "panic" versus "don't panic" framing. Should you panic in an emergency? Research says no [2].
[0] https://shumer.dev/something-big-is-happening
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fear,_uncertainty,_and_doubt - note the original author is an AI founder
[2] https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9180869/
Something Big Is Coming (Annotated by Ed Zitron) [pdf] - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47007991 - Feb 2026 (31 comments)
Something Big Is Happening - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46973011 - Feb 2026 (74 comments)