I don't think this is about tariffs (or rather, 'loans' which are inevitably going to be forcibly disgorged by the courts).
The crypto market plunged yesterday right as news came out that the OpenAI 'Stargate' project was dead in the water[1]. I think this is a continuation of that crash, and it's the realization that, while everyone was busy partying, the AI bubble hit an iceberg in the North Atlantic.
It's a few points, but consumers confidence is low and debt is _really_ high, saving rates are excruciatingly low (especially when compared to developing economies).
If I had to bet, US growth should be driven by AI investment, high-earner spending and net exports (a bit like China). Being a net exporter basically mean suppressing workers wages, so that tracks.
If tariffs are stopped all at once without being careful about it, I'm a bit wary of the chain reaction. We might see negative growth for a quarter (temporarily), but since the economy is vibe-based these days, that could end up really bad.
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[ 2.6 ms ] story [ 26.0 ms ] threadThe crypto market plunged yesterday right as news came out that the OpenAI 'Stargate' project was dead in the water[1]. I think this is a continuation of that crash, and it's the realization that, while everyone was busy partying, the AI bubble hit an iceberg in the North Atlantic.
[1] https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/artificial-intell...
Call me at 2,000 points and we can talk.
If I had to bet, US growth should be driven by AI investment, high-earner spending and net exports (a bit like China). Being a net exporter basically mean suppressing workers wages, so that tracks.
If tariffs are stopped all at once without being careful about it, I'm a bit wary of the chain reaction. We might see negative growth for a quarter (temporarily), but since the economy is vibe-based these days, that could end up really bad.
When the tariffs get rolled back, companies can enjoy the increased revenue by not lowering their prices back down.
This is a great deal for them, so they'll keep donating to Trump.