I am yet to see a robot that could clean my bathroom. And I have a pretty basic bathroom: a toilet, a shower, a bathtub, a sink, a mirror, some shelves, laundry baskets, a washing machine, a window, a door, a floor.
How would you design a robot that can clean all of those?
I appreciate that you are taking the Janitor example quite literally.
From a jobs to be done perspective of any housekeeping task, there is a lot more progress in the past year than I realized. I thought the same until it was shared with me.
even with human judgement, it will become way more efficient because LLM will prepare input and you press y/n. As results way less human judges will be required, so job market will shrink by factor N.
Author here. The new contribution of the research[0] this article visualizes is a measure of the adaptability of workers across different occupations, should they be displaced by AI.
> But there’s another dimension to the picture. Some workers will find it easier to adapt, the researchers argue, based on factors like their savings, age and transferrable skills.
> Most web designers will be fine. Many secretaries will not. The most vulnerable occupations are largely held by women.
Answer: Any job where the majority (or all) of your work can be done strictly by using a computer, and for tasks that have easily verifiable and objective outcomes. And from an economic perspective, jobs that have the highest cost (i.e, highest margins for AI companies to replace) have a strong economic incentive to be automated first. So Software, Finance, Accounting, Law, etc.
Yes - this means software engineers are likely the first to go, along with other high paying computer jobs.
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[ 3.2 ms ] story [ 37.3 ms ] threadIn any event adoption of tech can take time as hard as it might be to believe.
It might not take 40 years for factories to adopt electricity when it comes to AI.
I am yet to see a robot that could clean my bathroom. And I have a pretty basic bathroom: a toilet, a shower, a bathtub, a sink, a mirror, some shelves, laundry baskets, a washing machine, a window, a door, a floor.
How would you design a robot that can clean all of those?
From a jobs to be done perspective of any housekeeping task, there is a lot more progress in the past year than I realized. I thought the same until it was shared with me.
https://www.figure.ai/
There are others as well, quite a few out of China.
2 weeks ago: robot on the line in BMW production https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B2uPkPLijgs
Nobody read their presentations and documents, and they are already using ChatGPT to make them and do their “mission, vision, strategy” bullshit
> But there’s another dimension to the picture. Some workers will find it easier to adapt, the researchers argue, based on factors like their savings, age and transferrable skills.
> Most web designers will be fine. Many secretaries will not. The most vulnerable occupations are largely held by women.
[0]: https://www.brookings.edu/articles/measuring-us-workers-capa...
Yes - this means software engineers are likely the first to go, along with other high paying computer jobs.