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It is shit like this that makes me what to shut down the FDA and ban anybody who has every worked there from having a job again.

Isn't it enough that sick people have to suffer from their sickness? Does these nazies have to destroy their only chance of a better life?

If it turns out that the cure doesn't work, then let the estate sue the company -- don't go around ruining peoples life just to increase your own power.

There's another side though. Do you want to see pseudoscience stem cell "therapies" sold on late night infomercials as a panacea? A balance has to be struck between the number of people that could potentially be helped and the number of people that could potentially be harmed. We can debate how this balance should be struck without assuming bad faith on the part of those that disagree with us.

On the internet, when startups overpromise, misrepresent, and take risks, the worst that usually happens is that a few million people lose their data or get their embarrassing photos shared with their coworkers. In health care the consequences of an overhyped technology are far more grave.

How would you react if your father couldn't get the kind of treatment that he needed because the FDA wouldn't let him?

If the supplier is lying, that is fraud (and can be prosecuted even after the fact); If they find out that it was a good deal after he has died, how does that benefit him?

They will say that it's not a fraud. It was only an experimental treatment fundamented in abstract "principles" and they had some signs that it improves some of the symptoms in a few patients. Regrettably all the new studies proved that it doesn't work but the risk were clear in the small letter of the contract. Luckily now they realized that this treatment can be possible useful for another illness and/or they have another experimental treatment for this illness.
>Do you want to see pseudoscience stem cell "therapies" sold on late night infomercials as a panacea?

Mandatory FDA approval is orthogonal to over-the-counter sales. Surely you don't think the government should prohibit a medical decision between a patient and her doctor...

> when startups overpromise, misrepresent, and take risks, the worst that usually happens...

Yes, the risk people are willing to bear is proportional to the damage it can cause. This is probably why terminal patients are willing to risk experimental drugs.

I don't see that shutting down the FDA is a good alternative. There are countless therapies that are dangerous and/or ineffective and plenty of unscrupulous or incompetent people who want to flog them. Yes there's a human cost to regulation, but that's nothing compared to the cost of opening the floodgates to every half-baked idea out there, not to mention the damage to medical science when the medical trials are bypassed.
> There are countless therapies that are dangerous and/or ineffective and plenty of unscrupulous or incompetent people who want to flog them.

There are countless regulatory policies that are dangerous and/or ineffective and plenty of unscrupulous or incompetent politicians who want to flog them.

So what process validates the "safety" and "effectiveness" of the FDA's universal-scope regulations? Certainly, given that you and I can't opt out of them as we can with drugs and medical procedures, the danger of bad policy can be far graver than the danger of bad medicine, yet there's no regulation of regulatory policy at all!

I understand the desire to protect people from fraud and deceit, especially when the consequences of bad medicine are literally life-or-death, but surely the proper way to accomplish this end is to supply people with the data that will allow them to make informed decisions, rather than usurping their right make decisions in the first place.

The FDA should function as a certification body, evaluating drugs and treatments, and informing patients as to the likely results of using each, but it should not have the power to prohibit anyone from undergoing any treatment or taking any drug.

Sounds good in theory but I don't think the average doctor, let alone the average patient, is capable of independently weighing the pros and cons of every novel treatment. And then you have desperately people who might normally be more skeptical but will believe just about anything in the pain and torment of a moment when they or a loved one falls ill.

No thanks. I'll take the imperfect regulation over the "free market" any day.

> Sounds good in theory but I don't think the average doctor, let alone the average patient, is capable of independently weighing the pros and cons of every novel treatment

Why not? Who else can be more qualified to weigh the pros and cons of a novel treatment than the patient himself? What we're talking about here is the act of applying one's own value system to the likely distribution of results associated with that treatment. If the patient is properly informed of the latter data, then the remaining variable is the set of personal risk-reward value judgments that only the patient himself has access to. If the patient is not properly informed of the relevant data, well, then, why isn't he?

If the patient himself isn't capable of weighing the options, and neither is the doctor, that means that even more remote people who aren't familiar with the particulars of the case at hand, are going to be less likely, not more likely, to make a good decision. You're going in the wrong direction here.

> And then you have desperately people who might normally be more skeptical but will believe just about anything if they or a loved one fall ill.

Right. This is part of the point that I'm making; people who are "desparate" because they're literally in life-or-death situations will tend to have a much more idiosyncratic and organic hierarchy of risk-reward tradeoffs that isn't likely to be captured by generalized presumptions. You're trying to cast "desperation" as a impediment to informed decision-making, when in reality, "desparation" displays the underlying priorities of the patient in much clearer relief than comparative indifference ever could. People are desperate precisely because of the drastic implications of the situation, which means that it's much more important for the patient to make a choice compatible with his underlying value system than it would be in other, less impactful situations.

It's not a question of people being willing to "believe just about anything" to alleviate a horrific illness; it's their willingness to try even remote options, because even a tiny chance is better than none that you're not giving due consideration to.

> I'll take the imperfect regulation over the "free market" any day.

It's not about a "free market" as much as it's about your individual freedom to determine the disposition of your own life and health

Of course, if you'd rather trust one group of third parties over both another group of third parties and your own judgment, that's your prerogative. If the FDA were merely a certification group, you'd still have the option of relying only on that FDA certification as your sole decision criterion, and not considering the matter any more deeply than that. But you've got absolutely no right to demand that others outsource their own value judgments to your preferred third parties.

> There are countless therapies that are dangerous and/or ineffective and plenty of unscrupulous or incompetent people who want to flog them.

The FDA forces their own therapy of "do nothing for yourself" on the patient when the patient has run out of options. If something costs me my life, I don't care if something else would have cost me my fortune. At least my right to defend my own life would not have been infringed on by the FDA.

The problem is, an entire industry would spring up to do nothing but separate the dying from their fortunes. We already have churches for that. The FDA is all that stands in the way of an equally massive industry of snake-oil sellers.

The problem is, people want to believe. That's a bug in our mental firmware. The FDA is an ugly, flawed, but arguably vital workaround for that bug. If you want to get rid of it, you need to offer another fix for the bug.

> The FDA is an ugly, flawed, but arguably vital workaround for that bug. If you want to get rid of it, you need to offer another fix for the bug.

Here is an idea of a work around.

First, FDA "recommendations" shouldn't be mandatory. Even things the FDA claims to be safe can be more harmful than some of the things that it warns are unsafe.

Second, There should be competing private agencies other than just the FDA. Their reputations would rely on how safe their "approved" medication and procedures turn out to be.

Third, A patient looking for a treatment should be able to look up the ratings of doctors, medications, procedures. If they find a potential scam artists, they will see the negative reviews and reports of patients who died under their care. They will have valuable information to make their medical decisions that they don't have today. The ratings and information would be maintained by private agencies and the FDA. Kind of like a credit score for doctors, medications, and medical procedures.

This obviously doesn't solve every single problem, but I think its a pretty good start.

What's the difference between buying hard disk and getting a medical therapy?

* You can ask for a chargeback.

* You get a one year guaranty.

* You are not desperate.

* If it goes wrong, it's almost sure you aren't going to die for this.

Let's suppose that someone tries to sell a homeopathic "hard" disk: The information is stored homeopathically in water and read later. Is it a possible business model?

It's important that someone control the medical procedures and control that the effectively work. There have been a lot of horror stories of medical procedures that were totally ineffective of even dangerous. A similar case, with less emotional charge, is the need of regulation of airplanes.

> Wilkinson tells NPR's Laura Sullivan she got better immediately — 11 of her 25 MS-related symptoms have either improved or completely disappeared.

I hope that it's true, but I have a lot of doubts.

* How were these improvements measured? Self-reported or an independent test?

* Is this case reported in a medical journal?

* Can be only the placebo effect?

* Is this only a spontaneous temporal remission?

* Is she taking another treatment?

> It's important that someone control the medical procedures and control that the effectively work.

It's valuable to have a impartial observer who can quantify the characteristics of a new drug or technique in a valid and useful way, and if an unbiased organization were to produce histograms of likely consequences of using each drug/procedure, and supply them to patients as an input into their decision-making, I'm certain that it would be universally lauded.

But that's just supplying the data. Determining whether something is "safe" or "effective" isn't just about quantifying data; it's fundamentally a value judgment. Whether a drug is "safe" depends on how much risk the patient is willing to bear. Whether it's "effective" depends on what results the patient finds satisfactory. These are deeply intimate and personal judgments that are rightly the patient's to make.

The problem with the FDA is that it doesn't actually supply the data in a way accessible to patients at all; instead it usurps their inherent right to make their own value judgments regarding their health, and simply allows or denies everyone access to the drug/procedure according to its own criteria.

> A similar case, with less emotional charge, is the need of regulation of airplanes.

Well, no, this isn't similar at all. It's far, far easier to generalize the risk/reward tradeoffs of flying in an airplane: people want to arrive at their intended destination on time, without being killed or injured in the process. A plane trip lasts a few hours, and has essentially no lasting consequences for a passenger once he disembarks; unlike medicine, flying on a plane doesn't have vast consequences for the quality and quantity of one's subsequent life.

Plane trips, like hard drives, are both commodity goods for which the intended results and acceptable risks can be assumed in advance. Medicine is not.

>> It's important that someone control the medical procedures and control that the effectively work.

In most proposed treatments the discussion is not if they are more or less "effective", the problem is that they don't work, and some of them even have side effects. Terminal ill people are often desperate and would try whatever is trendy: http://theincidentaleconomist.com/wordpress/the-rise-and-fal... This was a very expensive, dangerous and ineffective treatment.

> In most proposed treatments the discussion is not if they are more or less "effective", the problem is that they don't work, and some of them even have side effects.

Well, in this context, whether treatments work or "don't work" is the definition of effectiveness, and whether or not they have deleterious side effects is the definition of safety. But apart from that, I'll again point out that whether or not a treatment works is determined by what results the patient considers satisfactory, and whether or not something is safe depends on what risks the patient is willing to bear; generalizations simply don't suffice here.

If the unlikeliness of a procedure's success and the nature of the possible side-effects are known, then they can be communicated to the patient so that he can decide whether the higher probability of side effects is justified by the lower probability of relief according to his own hierarchy of values. If how well the treatment works and the nature of its side effects aren't known, then no one has the relevant knowledge to make an informed decision, and it still remains up to the patient to weigh the unquantifiable possibility of relief against the equally unquantifiable risk of a bad outcome.

There's simply no way around the fact that the question always boils down to a deeply personal value judgement that no third party has the right to usurp.

> Terminal ill people are often desperate and would try whatever is trendy

Right. They're desperate because they're terminally ill. They're going to die if they don't get cured, so their risk calculation is probably entirely skewed to the "reward" side of the equation, no matter how remote it is. They've literally got nothing to lose, so it's unconscionable to forcibly deny them the right to "lose" it, third parties' objections to "trendiness" being entirely immaterial.

> http://theincidentaleconomist.com/wordpress/the-rise-and-fal...

Perhaps this was an ineffective treatment, but the question of whether it should be paid for by insurance is entirely unrelated to the question of whether people should be forbidden from choosing to undergo the procedure at all. The FDA has nothing to do with the former question, and everything to do with the latter; in the article itself, there's no indication that anyone actually tried to forcibly prohibit the ABMT procedure. Doctors simply stopped recommending it after it was demonstrated not to be of much value. If, in some specific case in the future, patient and doctor agree that the ABMT procedure might be worth trying, no third party is going to actively overrule their judgment. But, unfortunately, this isn't the case for certain other procedures.

The issue is not really whether these treatments work or not. Every new treatment is by necessity unproven and more risky than an established one. Some people are early adopters or terminal patients with high risk-tolerances; others would rather suffer for a while than chance a drug that might make things worse.

Both of those are fine as preferences. The trouble arises because every US citizen is forced to have the global minimum of risk-tolerances across the population. It would be as if you could not try a development version till it became user-friendly enough for your grandparents. Specifically, in the US, you can't be an early adopter: the FDA does not allow citizens to opt-out unless they leave the borders of the USA. Indeed, in Cowan vs. US (1998) it successfully sued in federal court to prevent a dying AIDS patient from trying an experimental drug:

http://www.leagle.com/xmlResult.aspx?page=4&xmldoc=19981...

  Plaintiff requests that Dr. Davis be authorized to inject 
  Plaintiff with the with the experimental goat neutralizing 
  antibody drug [1] and that the FDA be enjoined from 
  interfering with Dr. Davis' treatment of Plaintiff. ...

  The Court is sympathetic to Plaintiff's situation. 
  However, the law is very clear, and under the current 
  statutes and regulations, Plaintiff's physician may not 
  administer the goat neutralizing antibody drug absent 
  prior approval of the FDA. In Court, Plaintiff argued that 
  he should have the right to take whatever treatment he 
  wishes due to his terminal condition regardless of whether 
  the FDA approves the treatment as effective or safe, and 
  that to prohibit him from taking the treatment he wishes 
  violates his rights under the US Constitution. ...

  This Court is in no way criticizing the intentions of 
  Plaintiff and his physician or the potential effectiveness 
  of the proposed treatment. Plaintiff's physician should 
  pursue approval of his Investigational New Drug 
  application as quickly as possible. Plaintiff's doctor 
  must obtain appropriate approval through the proper 
  regulatory authorities. As much as this Court may 
  empathize with Plaintiff, the authority to provide some 
  type of exemptions for individuals such as Plaintiff rests 
  with Congress and not with this Court.
Plaintiff was denied. Plaintiff died. Who knows whether the drug would have saved him, but he wasn't given the chance to try. Occasionally, if you have tremendous political connections, you can get a waiver, like Fred Baron:

http://blogs.wsj.com/health/2008/10/17/lance-armstrong-and-b...

  “We did a safety review, consulted with experts on PML, 
  and worked closely with FDA to come up with a risk 
  management program that allowed us to bring it back on the 
  market in a way that limited its use,” a Biogen 
  spokeswoman told the Law Blog. The plan prohibits giving 
  Tysabri for unapproved uses.

  Biogen Idec is running an early-stage trial of the drug in 
  multiple myeloma, but Baron doesn’t meet the criteria to 
  participate.

  Baron’s a prominent donor to the Democratic party, and 
  many of his powerful friends, including Lance Armstrong 
  and Bill Clinton, made appeals on his behalf. And the 
  family agreed not to sue if anything goes wrong.

  Ultimately, his doctors at the Mayo Clinic worked directly 
  with the FDA to find a “legal basis” for giving Baron 
  Tysabri. The deal was announced on Baron’s son’s blog late 
  yesterday.
So, if you are wealthy you can travel outside the US to opt-out (though US-based companies will usually not administer treatment for fear of getting on the FDA's bad side). And if you are politically connected you can sometimes get an experiment...
Counterfactuals are hard, but I wonder if anyone has studied whether or not the FDA is actually a net saver of lives. It seems to me that every time the FDA approves a new drug that will save X lives a year, it has necessarily cost X lives every year that the drug was delayed in the mandatory approval pipeline.

If FDA approval was optional (perhaps requiring a big "NOT FDA APPROVED" label), would the number of people who die from taking unapproved drugs (and who otherwise would have lived) be more than the number who die from being denied a drug (and who otherwise would have lived)?

As I write this, it reminds me a bit of the IP issue, and whether the patent system really is a net benefit or not.

> Counterfactuals are hard, but I wonder if anyone has studied whether or not the FDA is actually a net saver of lives.

When did utilitarianism become an acceptable justification for usurping the right of individuals to make their own risk-reward tradeoffs?

Arguing from principle likely won't get you very far with people arguing from assumed utility.
I'm not arguing from principle as much as I'm pointing out that the utility value is itself subjective with respect to each individual; I'm criticizing the socio-political doctrine of utilitarianism which pursues the "greatest good for the greatest number" in accordance with a single, generalized definition of "good" applied to all, irrespective of the divergent preferences of each.

Treating individuals' health as something to be optimized with respect to a putative macro-level abstraction of society as opposed to treating individuals' health as something to be optimized with respect to each individual's particular happiness is the problem here.

The post I replied to was also an implicit argument from principle, in treating the net-lives-saved measurement, with respect to the aggregate population, as the overriding decision criterion. It's just that this is a bad principle in that it gives "saving" the life of someone living in misery due to an uncurable but not terminal disease the same moral weight as curing someone of a terminal disease, and gives the potential death of someone consciously willing to risk death in an attempt to alleviate suffering the same moral weight as the potential death of someone denied access to a treatment they were willing to try and which might have saved their lives.

You might be interested in these studies. The second link is to a discussion of Andy Grove's editorial in Science calling for the FDA to only certify safety (rather than safety + efficacy + comparative effectiveness). But it's the third that gets at your question:

http://www.cato.org/pubs/regulation/regv27n2/v27n2-8.pdf

http://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2011/10/and...

http://fdareview.org/harm.shtml

  The delay and large reduction in the total number of new 
  drugs has had terrible consequences. It is difficult to 
  estimate how many lives the post-1962 FDA controls have 
  cost, but the number is likely to be substantial; 
  Gieringer (1985) estimates the loss of life from delay 
  alone to be in the hundreds of thousands (not to mention 
  millions of patients who endured unnecessary morbidity). ... 

  If the U.S. system resulted in appreciably safer drugs, we 
  would expect to see far fewer postmarket safety 
  withdrawals in the United States than in other countries. 
  Bakke et al. (1995) compared safety withdrawals in the 
  United States with those in Great Britain and Spain, each 
  of which approved more drugs than the United States during 
  the same time period. Yet, approximately 3 percent of all 
  drug approvals were withdrawn for safety reasons in the 
  United States, approximately 3 percent in Spain, and 
  approximately 4 percent in Great Britain. There is no 
  evidence that the U.S. drug lag brings greater safety.
Ultimately this boils down to a classification problem. There will be type I and type II errors associated with any kind of centralized approval process. And when studied in its totality, there is quite a bit of evidence that the type II errors are predominating: good drugs being slowed or denied.

The only way to prove this definitively is a side-by-side experiment with a new jurisdiction in which patients and entrepreneurs alike are free to choose and the FDA has no power.

It's impossible to compute the number of treatments that weren't even invented because the inventor saw the FDA barrier as too much trouble for him to manage.

The real question is the unpopular one: by what right does the FDA insert itself between doctor and patient, between drug manufacturer and doctor?

Ah, dogma. It's killing us.

Even with careful studies, there have been some awful messes. One famous example is Thalidomide: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thalidomide (If you are not impressionable you can use Google images.)

Some drugs investigations are discontinued because they cause complications or deaths in the small test groups. Another important number is how many additional dead could have been if everyone could take unapproved treatments.

And most people would sign whatever the doctor tells them to sign, for example a "NOT FDA APPROVED"-waiver. People thrust whoever has a white coat and promises a cure. There has been problems with peopled enrolled in official experimental drug test, that didn't understand the details, but had signed just another "usual" form handled by the doctors.

Thalidomide was extremely effective in treating morning sickness, it was just dangerous to fetuses.

Why does the Thalidomide tragedy justify the FDA testing for _effectiveness_?

Sorry, I couldn't remember something more relevant, like a pill for the heart that reduces the blood pressure but after some years it produces more strokes. But if no one test the new proposed drugs for effectiveness and side effects, then there would be more death and complications.
It is very hard to say that any patient should be allowed to opt-out of the FDA's regulation because almost without exception every patient that buys into snake-oil thinks it is a good idea that is worth a shot.

How do you distinguish between "this patient is making an informed decision to opt out and use this unapproved drug" and "this patient is an idiot who thinks that throwing money at a "doctor" to mainline bleach will cure his disease"?

Three points.

First, many (most?) medical advances seem crazy and kooky because they haven't been tried before. So it's not usually as obvious as "this is a proven scam" vs. "this really works". It's much more frequently "this is unproven". And like Barry Marshall's famous self-experiment with H. pylori, someone has to be first for it to ever get proven.

Second, when the government gets it wrong, it gets it catastrophically wrong. The USDA Food Pyramid recommending "6-11 servings of grain" is still being slavishly followed, and in the fullness of time we might well find it partially responsible for the epidemic of obesity and type II diabetes. The FDA is still doing Phase I/II/III clinical trials despite all the evidence in favor of adaptive trials. And tens of millions of people were irradiated by TSA x-ray scanners fast-tracked through the FDA approval process, scanners criticized by UCSF scientists, scanners which have now (finally) been withdrawn. These errors are magnified in impact because no one can opt-out, because a .gov has a bully pulpit, and because strong political incentives exist to silence criticisms.

Third, if people have the right to euthanasia, or the right to walk near bridges, I do believe they have the right to try what treatments they want. Frankly I don't consider someone else's medical affairs my business, anymore than I'd ask why they had an abortion. You can argue that vaccinations present a public health issue, and I might agree with you there. But otherwise this strikes me as a right to privacy and right to bodily integrity issue.

People can inject just about anything they want into themselves (the Controlled Substances Act being the exception). The issue is when 'doctors' get involved and use their position of trust to scam, harm, and kill. These regulations control what doctors and companies can do, not what individuals can do.

btw: "mainlining bleach" is not an exaggeration: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H7tkyK8r3yw

  People can inject just about anything they want into 
  themselves
Actually, that is expressly not what the Cowan or the earlier Rutherford decision on Laetrile say.

http://www.leagle.com/xmlResult.aspx?page=4&xmldoc=19981...

  In Court, Plaintiff argued that he should have the right to 
  take whatever treatment he wishes due to his terminal 
  condition regardless of whether the FDA approves the 
  treatment as effective or safe, and that to prohibit him 
  from taking the treatment he wishes violates his rights 
  under the United States Constitution.4 The United States 
  Supreme Court previously addressed and rejected this  
  argument in Rutherford. In Rutherford, cancer patients 
  requested the right to use Laetrile, arguing, as does 
  Plaintiff, that for terminally ill patients the 
  effectiveness or safety of the proposed treatment is 
  irrelevant since such treatment is a last chance effort. 
  However, as identified by the Supreme Court in Rutherford, 
  to permit terminally ill patients to seek any type of 
  treatment regardless of the effectiveness of such treatment 
  would create a cottage industry existing solely to provide 
  potential panaceas to highly vulnerable patients. The 
  language of the Supreme Court in rejecting the Laetrile 
  argument is equally applicable here.

  "If history is any guide, this new market would not be long 
  overlooked. Since the turn of the century, resourceful 
  entrepreneurs have advertised a wide variety of purportedly 
  simple and painless cures for cancer, including liniments    
  of turpentine, mustard, oil, eggs, and ammonia; peat moss; 
  arrangements of colored floodlamps; pastes made from   
  glycerin and limburger cheese; mineral tablets; and 
  `Fountain of Youth' mixtures of spices, oil, and suet. In 
  citing these examples, we do not, of course, intend to 
  deprecate the sincerity of Laetrile's current proponents, 
  or to imply any opinion on whether that drug may ultimately 
  prove safe and effective for cancer treatment. But this 
  historical experience does suggest why Congress could 
  reasonably have determined to protect the terminally ill, 
  no less than other patients, from the vast range of self-
  styled panaceas that inventive minds can devise."
I don't know about you, but this argument strikes me as bizarre. Terminal patients are to be protected from their own good from a "drug [that] may ultimately prove safe and effective for cancer treatment" because they might be scammed by "inventive minds"?

The absolute worst case scenario is that they lose some money and die a little sooner. The best case scenario is that they live!

To say that someone else can or should have the power to constrain another human in this way, to keep them from a chance at living, in the name of "protecting" them from doctors or companies...well, we are likely at a fundamental philosophical impasse. Which is why I return to my original point. Feel free to stay in the United States with the FDA. Those with a different cast of mind need a jurisdiction where we can take conscious risks, where we aren't "protected" from medical innovation.

The fact that you can currently buy MMS and inject it to your hearts desire says otherwise. You can legally, right now, buy all sorts of medical bullshit that the FDA has not vetted. The court decision you bring up seems clearly aimed at preventing an industry of victimization that could occur if legitimacy were lent without review.

> The absolute worst case scenario is that they lose some money and die a little sooner. The best case scenario is that they live!

No, the worse case scenario is that charlatans, given a license to operate with perceived legitimacy by an "opt-out" system, convince sick people to neglect real treatment for woo. In the vast majority of cases, your best case scenario never happens.

We have a system designed to separate the woo from the real. Despite what one might think from the narrative you paint, human trials are involved in this system and sick people receive experimental treatments every day in a controlled fashion. Perhaps this process could be streamlined, but it must stay in place.

It seems like this is what the FDA is designed to do.

Cost of FDA: someone might miss out on a beneficial treatment because it has not been reviewed by the FDA (and may never be, given the cost of FDA approval).

Benefit of FDA: prevents charlatans from fleecing medically-ignorant people (which is pretty much everyone) of their life savings just before they die, which might be better spent on proven treatments or left as inheritance.

At some point, we decided that the benefits were worth the costs.

Unfortunately, the benefits tend to be obvious and the costs tend to be more hidden. That usually results in overdoing it (in this case, perhaps overburdening the development and use of new treatments).