does Sandwich have much brand recognition outside of the startup crowd? Most of their videos have lots of views but it's hard to separate the contribution of the video alone vs other marketing efforts.
The video production by itself is not worth it imo, but if Sandwich videos have inherent social proof/viral factor it might be more attractive.
I'd argue you don't want "brand recognition" in your advertising agency. I should think "wow that's a nice video and nice product" not "oh, yet another Sandwich video".
If the video increases your expected valuation by another 100k or more - e.g. by influencing other VCs' investment decisions - then it's probably the right thing to invest in.
[This statement is inherently true by the principles of finance.]
Seems like a pretty weak signal to me. They're just expecting startups they like to go up at all. That doesn't require crazy valuations or buyouts. And even with a mild loss in value they can make a profit on the video production side.
There's definitely adverse selection bias. The companies that can raise the money from a good investor will raise the money and pay for the video. The ones that can't will take the video. Sandwich only gets equity in the companies that can't sell their equity to someone who's a professional equity buyer.
I saw this dynamic in the 90s. My portfolio had several of the top web design firms. They were amazing at what they did. But they saw some of their clients become multi-billion dollar companies and decided they wanted equity instead of cash. Some clients agreed, others did not.
Of the dozens of companies they got equity in, instead of being paid cash, all of them failed. That is, every single one went to zero.
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[ 4.8 ms ] story [ 35.1 ms ] threadThe video production by itself is not worth it imo, but if Sandwich videos have inherent social proof/viral factor it might be more attractive.
[This statement is inherently true by the principles of finance.]
When service providers start deferring 100% of their fees to cash in on some future bounty.
But Sandwich Video's decision to accept equity is obviously based on an assumption that start-ups continue to reach high valuations.
So if we're at the top, Sandwich Video is late. In that case, cash out now by purchasing a video. The service provider will suffer the valuation loss.
I saw this dynamic in the 90s. My portfolio had several of the top web design firms. They were amazing at what they did. But they saw some of their clients become multi-billion dollar companies and decided they wanted equity instead of cash. Some clients agreed, others did not.
Of the dozens of companies they got equity in, instead of being paid cash, all of them failed. That is, every single one went to zero.
Cue poppity-pop of a SV bubble about to burst. It's for real now people!
The canary in the coal mine is not only dead, but just re-incarnated as your VC. I'mma go fetch me some popcorn as the dot-com-bust part deux unfolds.
~ We'll tak' ae cup o'kindness yet, for auld lang syne ~