Here's the reality: us plebs, regardless of how tech-savvy we are or aren't, have no say in what's going to happen. There is no level of outrage that is going to stop the frontier AI labs, and the US government isn't…
Just look at Meta's recent settlement. The minds and mental health of countless young people harmed. And they'll pay $17 billion, which is about one month's worth of revenue. The legal system today does not serve the…
As I said, a lot of "tech people", not all "tech people". The SV crowd was certainly more celebratory but in my experience, indifference and silence wasn't just limited to the "SV startup types."
> Of course none of the AI companies will suggest that they should be accountable for the illegal actions taken by agents they host, but I feel like that could be a very effective "pacing mechanism"... The problem is…
Isn't that what they're doing? "There's a better than 0 chance this thing could kill everyone in the next decade." That might be too imprecise for the HN set but it's realistic for laypeople. And none of the AI people…
I should have been more precise with my use of "vendor financing" in saying "trade credit." I agree that the guarantees are where the risk is. First, under US GAAP accounting rules (ASC 606), these are absolutely not…
> He's addressing a specific claim about human extinction, and making a broader point about the responsibility of experts to make measured claims backed up by arguments and evidence. What he's asking for isn't possible…
> Being generous makes you more powerful. As Tim O'Reilly said, you should create more value than you capture. Many hard-headed business types would write this off as idealistic hippy stuff, but in fact this is the…
I think the point of my comment went straight over your head, but just to be clear: the Houthis did not invent algebra.
He's not wrong but I think there's something the "tech people" up in arms about AI aren't saying, which is this: a lot of "tech people" were indifferent or silent as tech "disrupted" other industries. Taxis, mom-and-pop…
The data covers just ~10–20% of global aggregate AI supercomputer performance as of March 2025. And then there's this: https://epoch.ai/data/gpu-clusters-documentation/coverage > The coverage of Chinese companies is…
> I mean it's weird that we all imagine reasons why we're still relevant when we have set fire to the thing that made us indispensable. Very few things in this world are all-or-nothing, and not every purchasing decision…
> I only have the nagging question that if it’s so easy, why would the clients not do it by themselves? Plenty of reasons, including: 1. They don't (yet) know how to use AI to accomplish what they need. 2. The ROI is…
A big problem in discussions about Nvidia is that people can't distinguish between: 1. The equity investments Nvidia has made in its customers. 2. The guarantees/backstops it has extended to some of its customers. 3.…
> The term you're looking for is transmission channels. MB is turned into M1 through lending. M3 is turned into M1 through collateralisation and demand stimulation, among other effects. "Transmission channels" are how…
> It's M4. Which turns into M3 through the money markets. Which creates M1 through banks. M3 hasn't been published in the US since 2006 and M4 has never been published publicly in the US. Aggregates don't turn into one…
The only thing ridiculous here is thinking that the US government is in control to the level you think it is. Spending $500+ billion/year (and close to a trillion now) on defense for decades and it has depleted stocks…
> The fact that he would suggest this despite preparing for an IPO is an even stronger signal that it's in good faith -- it will almost certainly delay or reduce the valuation of the IPO. No it won't. This is a call for…
Being sarcastic isn't going to solve the problem but you're obviously free to believe that the US is still in a position to call all the shots when it's evident to the rest of the world this isn't the case.
> The U.S. Government won't allow that to happen. Like the US government wouldn't allow Iran to close the Strait of Hormuz? Or a bunch of sandal-wearing Islamists to take control over the Red Sea coastline? The US…
If they genuinely believe the tech is dangerous, how would it be acting in "good faith" to keep developing it, prepping an IPO, etc.?
Does this mean I'm going to have to wait for the cure for my colitis?
> Regardless of whether you think they're right, most everyone at Anthropic is acting in good faith. The road to hell is paved with good intentions. Dario Amodei is a 40-something dude who is obviously very, very…
Exactly. Low growth is a problem, but the primary reason young people feel so miserable is on the cost of living side of the equation.
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Here's the reality: us plebs, regardless of how tech-savvy we are or aren't, have no say in what's going to happen. There is no level of outrage that is going to stop the frontier AI labs, and the US government isn't…
Just look at Meta's recent settlement. The minds and mental health of countless young people harmed. And they'll pay $17 billion, which is about one month's worth of revenue. The legal system today does not serve the…
As I said, a lot of "tech people", not all "tech people". The SV crowd was certainly more celebratory but in my experience, indifference and silence wasn't just limited to the "SV startup types."
> Of course none of the AI companies will suggest that they should be accountable for the illegal actions taken by agents they host, but I feel like that could be a very effective "pacing mechanism"... The problem is…
Isn't that what they're doing? "There's a better than 0 chance this thing could kill everyone in the next decade." That might be too imprecise for the HN set but it's realistic for laypeople. And none of the AI people…
I should have been more precise with my use of "vendor financing" in saying "trade credit." I agree that the guarantees are where the risk is. First, under US GAAP accounting rules (ASC 606), these are absolutely not…
> He's addressing a specific claim about human extinction, and making a broader point about the responsibility of experts to make measured claims backed up by arguments and evidence. What he's asking for isn't possible…
> Being generous makes you more powerful. As Tim O'Reilly said, you should create more value than you capture. Many hard-headed business types would write this off as idealistic hippy stuff, but in fact this is the…
I think the point of my comment went straight over your head, but just to be clear: the Houthis did not invent algebra.
He's not wrong but I think there's something the "tech people" up in arms about AI aren't saying, which is this: a lot of "tech people" were indifferent or silent as tech "disrupted" other industries. Taxis, mom-and-pop…
The data covers just ~10–20% of global aggregate AI supercomputer performance as of March 2025. And then there's this: https://epoch.ai/data/gpu-clusters-documentation/coverage > The coverage of Chinese companies is…
> I mean it's weird that we all imagine reasons why we're still relevant when we have set fire to the thing that made us indispensable. Very few things in this world are all-or-nothing, and not every purchasing decision…
> I only have the nagging question that if it’s so easy, why would the clients not do it by themselves? Plenty of reasons, including: 1. They don't (yet) know how to use AI to accomplish what they need. 2. The ROI is…
A big problem in discussions about Nvidia is that people can't distinguish between: 1. The equity investments Nvidia has made in its customers. 2. The guarantees/backstops it has extended to some of its customers. 3.…
> The term you're looking for is transmission channels. MB is turned into M1 through lending. M3 is turned into M1 through collateralisation and demand stimulation, among other effects. "Transmission channels" are how…
> It's M4. Which turns into M3 through the money markets. Which creates M1 through banks. M3 hasn't been published in the US since 2006 and M4 has never been published publicly in the US. Aggregates don't turn into one…
The only thing ridiculous here is thinking that the US government is in control to the level you think it is. Spending $500+ billion/year (and close to a trillion now) on defense for decades and it has depleted stocks…
> The fact that he would suggest this despite preparing for an IPO is an even stronger signal that it's in good faith -- it will almost certainly delay or reduce the valuation of the IPO. No it won't. This is a call for…
Being sarcastic isn't going to solve the problem but you're obviously free to believe that the US is still in a position to call all the shots when it's evident to the rest of the world this isn't the case.
> The U.S. Government won't allow that to happen. Like the US government wouldn't allow Iran to close the Strait of Hormuz? Or a bunch of sandal-wearing Islamists to take control over the Red Sea coastline? The US…
If they genuinely believe the tech is dangerous, how would it be acting in "good faith" to keep developing it, prepping an IPO, etc.?
Does this mean I'm going to have to wait for the cure for my colitis?
> Regardless of whether you think they're right, most everyone at Anthropic is acting in good faith. The road to hell is paved with good intentions. Dario Amodei is a 40-something dude who is obviously very, very…
Exactly. Low growth is a problem, but the primary reason young people feel so miserable is on the cost of living side of the equation.
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