Even then. Taking individual action to try and solve a systemic problem that results in a bad, unintended outcome is very on brand for Chaotic Good.
>But the summed probability of the “not too far away results” is much higher, i.e. P([93, 107]\{100}) > P([100]). That's true of every result. If you're using this to conclude you have a weird coin then every coin is…
Also no one was going to blame Amazon for inflation. There are still people in the US who are under the impression that the only reason they would be paying any part of the tariffs is due to corporate greed instead of…
I feel like its easy for "Trust, but verify" to degrade into "Verify, then trust". It's that initial step of distrust while verifying that starts to sour things.
I mean, if you go far back enough "dwarves cannot be wizards" was a core part of D&D as well.
Also probably includes all the times my company has made me change my password. It always takes a good week before I remember that my old password isn't the one anymore.
Honestly, this just Roko's Basilisk but even dumber.
Sure, but the question isn't about which statement is possible from the liar's statement, it's about which statement we can conclude from the liar's statement. The liar could be lying because they have no hats. They…
E cannot be correct. "All my hats are green" is still false even when I own a red hat and a green hat.
Or how when you look for something it always ends up in the last place you look, if it weren't there would have been some number of places you looked that were completely unnecessary.
>I wonder if this was supposed to be Nine Angels. Copy editing on the web is so sloppy that I'm going to assume so because it makes more sense (to me). I'm going to assume that wired got it right and it's the neo-nazis…
I'd add Chants of Sennaar to this list. It's similar to Case of the Golden Idol/Obra Dinn in that the entire game is about making deductions about the game world, but in this case it's about decoding fantasy languages.
I've never understood this argument. Caregivers are paid; it's a job. No one is forced to go into elderly care. Having kids isn't even a guarantee that they'll be around to care for you in your old age. My grandparents…
This is the kind of statement that the Appeal to Authority fallacy was made for. Just because someone is an expert in one field doesn't mean their opinions matter in every field.
It's also a weird assertion because you also have to wait around for takeout/delivery. You could also just cook at home, which usually ends up taking just as long and takes actual effort instead of just sitting around…
To tie in the sibling threads: devices that underreport will also be popular, just with the insurance companies after the fact to help them deny covering procedures. Your lung biopsy come back benign? CignaAI says you…
>Can you really blame them? Yes.
I know it's more complicated than this, but whenever I see businesses complaining about how including all the fees upfront will harm their business I can't help but read it as "Our business wouldn't be viable without…
>Why does a position need to be political? Mass surveillance involves giving the government, an inherently political entity, and its partners in the private sector increased power over public life. It's hard to get a…
Yeah, I was all ready to learn about how the ancient Egyptians used stacks to build the pyramids or something.
>I don't think you (or he) can get better than 50-50. Doesn't Monty reduce your win chances to 33% just by never opening a goat door?
It certainly can. For instance, when the speaker is my mother.
Doesn't this article basically show the exact opposite of what it's claiming? It cites simulation data showing that going for 2 here only increases the chances of winning by an absolute 1.7% and uses that to claim that…
>I find this whole episode very unpleasant. How one famous person's word against can make you a pariah to entire community; just like that. One famous person's word and Han's own history as a cheater that is.
Just using single cards will let bystanders know when both Alice and Bob say "No". The 5 card solution makes it impossible to differentiate between when both say "No" and when only one says "No".
Even then. Taking individual action to try and solve a systemic problem that results in a bad, unintended outcome is very on brand for Chaotic Good.
>But the summed probability of the “not too far away results” is much higher, i.e. P([93, 107]\{100}) > P([100]). That's true of every result. If you're using this to conclude you have a weird coin then every coin is…
Also no one was going to blame Amazon for inflation. There are still people in the US who are under the impression that the only reason they would be paying any part of the tariffs is due to corporate greed instead of…
I feel like its easy for "Trust, but verify" to degrade into "Verify, then trust". It's that initial step of distrust while verifying that starts to sour things.
I mean, if you go far back enough "dwarves cannot be wizards" was a core part of D&D as well.
Also probably includes all the times my company has made me change my password. It always takes a good week before I remember that my old password isn't the one anymore.
Honestly, this just Roko's Basilisk but even dumber.
Sure, but the question isn't about which statement is possible from the liar's statement, it's about which statement we can conclude from the liar's statement. The liar could be lying because they have no hats. They…
E cannot be correct. "All my hats are green" is still false even when I own a red hat and a green hat.
Or how when you look for something it always ends up in the last place you look, if it weren't there would have been some number of places you looked that were completely unnecessary.
>I wonder if this was supposed to be Nine Angels. Copy editing on the web is so sloppy that I'm going to assume so because it makes more sense (to me). I'm going to assume that wired got it right and it's the neo-nazis…
I'd add Chants of Sennaar to this list. It's similar to Case of the Golden Idol/Obra Dinn in that the entire game is about making deductions about the game world, but in this case it's about decoding fantasy languages.
I've never understood this argument. Caregivers are paid; it's a job. No one is forced to go into elderly care. Having kids isn't even a guarantee that they'll be around to care for you in your old age. My grandparents…
This is the kind of statement that the Appeal to Authority fallacy was made for. Just because someone is an expert in one field doesn't mean their opinions matter in every field.
It's also a weird assertion because you also have to wait around for takeout/delivery. You could also just cook at home, which usually ends up taking just as long and takes actual effort instead of just sitting around…
To tie in the sibling threads: devices that underreport will also be popular, just with the insurance companies after the fact to help them deny covering procedures. Your lung biopsy come back benign? CignaAI says you…
>Can you really blame them? Yes.
I know it's more complicated than this, but whenever I see businesses complaining about how including all the fees upfront will harm their business I can't help but read it as "Our business wouldn't be viable without…
>Why does a position need to be political? Mass surveillance involves giving the government, an inherently political entity, and its partners in the private sector increased power over public life. It's hard to get a…
Yeah, I was all ready to learn about how the ancient Egyptians used stacks to build the pyramids or something.
>I don't think you (or he) can get better than 50-50. Doesn't Monty reduce your win chances to 33% just by never opening a goat door?
It certainly can. For instance, when the speaker is my mother.
Doesn't this article basically show the exact opposite of what it's claiming? It cites simulation data showing that going for 2 here only increases the chances of winning by an absolute 1.7% and uses that to claim that…
>I find this whole episode very unpleasant. How one famous person's word against can make you a pariah to entire community; just like that. One famous person's word and Han's own history as a cheater that is.
Just using single cards will let bystanders know when both Alice and Bob say "No". The 5 card solution makes it impossible to differentiate between when both say "No" and when only one says "No".