Yeah, disappointing to see it so highly upvoted. So many tells of AI slop: > There’s a clean exception to all of this, and it flips the entire logic. > If letting go of the argument sounds like pure loss, here’s the…
Are you talking about LLMs in general, or specifically ChatGPT with a default prompt? Since dabbling with some open source models (llama, mistral, etc.), I've found that they each have slightly different quirks, and…
Thanks for the thought-provoking post. I don't think I share the perspective, but I'm curious to understand it more. On a personal level, I'm not happy to see a medallion-owning taxi driver lose their livelihood, in the…
As someone who was affected by this (non-U.S.), I have to say I was very satisfied with how PokerStars handled everything. When Full Tilt was shut down I essentially treated the funds I had on there as a write-off, and…
Sure, easy piracy is a part of reality and businesses should, as a pragmatic matter, adjust their business models -- that's neither here nor there. When I talk about being able to honestly assess willingness to pay, I'm…
That's a good clarification, and I agree that willingness to pay is the relevant metric to use when talking about being priced out of the market. The same point applies, though; it's hard to honestly assess your…
What makes you think pirates are priced out of the market? If we're talking about, say, the U.S., your typical pirate doesn't seem to be "priced out of the market" for a variety of other leisure goods, like the…
This sounds fine in the abstract, but I'm suspicious of it in practice because it's hard to make an honest evaluation of your willingness to pay for these goods when you have the easy option of getting them for free. I…
I agree that it's compatible, and further that taking care of yourself is crucial to being able to effectively help others. The author might agree too, but in that case it's rather peculiar that everything in the…
I can see how my post left room for misinterpretation; my intention was to express that the creators are in the set {people for whom it's most lucrative}. The earliest adopters are in the set too, obviously. Put…
It's effectively the same thing, except that the set of people at the top of the pyramid is larger. It's still most lucrative for the creators, it's just also highly rewarding for the earliest adopters.
I'm also dying to know who was rapping about web development from ~2003-2009: http://rapgenius.com/rapstats?q=html%2C%20javascript
Yeah, the translation in the OP was almost completely wrong; I'm not sure where they got the idea that there was a joke that said "kill yourself". Actually, the depressing thing is that the real comment points even more…
If you pay attention to the self-congratulatory subtext of such complaints, it becomes clear that it's not really anything to do with being apocalyptic. No one is concerned that they personally are descending into a…
Yes, there's reciprocity in this world, but it should be obvious to any unbiased observer that this wasn't part of some elaborate scheme on Patrick's part to grab the money of HN users. Patrick has spent countless hours…
Mathematically, you're correct that it isn't necessarily true that half of all current players are losing. It isn't even necessarily true if the pool of players is fixed, since the game being zero-sum doesn't constrain…
Pursuing poker as a career is usually a poor decision for a variety of reasons, but the cost of learning is not one of them. The overwhelming majority of poker hands are now played online, and the limits go as low as…
Here's my impression of the sequence of events, based on the blog post: 1) You post an article which includes several facts that are taken directly from Joshua's article. No credit is given to the original author. 2)…
Pay attention to the language you're using: "smug", "huge ego", "overblown response", "idiocy", etc. You're trying to make this out to be a principled stance about "spreading ideas", and yet with every post you…
I agree, and I meant to emphasize more clearly that I don't think the 5% figure is meaningful (and that it shouldn't have been stated without the appropriate caveats in the article). My main point was simply that I…
That would certainly be better experimental design, since you would be controlling for other factors. On the other hand, precisely measuring the improvement in conversion isn't particularly important in this case; it's…
Perhaps I'm just neurotic, but I do find it uncomfortable to write code with someone scrutinizing my work. When figuring out how to implement an efficient algorithm, I find that it's often helpful to perform exploratory…
In this case, observing the actual spending practices of people can only set a lower bound on willingness to pay. If you're obtaining something for free, it certainly doesn't preclude you from being willing to pay for…
Yes, I enjoyed that diversion quite a bit. A few different solutions: http://pastebin.com/Mf6ZmhfA
An additional consideration is the "dynamic" search that google implemented recently[1]. While you're typing, it'll guess what your final query is likely to be and display the results. Of course, the guess will usually…
Yeah, disappointing to see it so highly upvoted. So many tells of AI slop: > There’s a clean exception to all of this, and it flips the entire logic. > If letting go of the argument sounds like pure loss, here’s the…
Are you talking about LLMs in general, or specifically ChatGPT with a default prompt? Since dabbling with some open source models (llama, mistral, etc.), I've found that they each have slightly different quirks, and…
Thanks for the thought-provoking post. I don't think I share the perspective, but I'm curious to understand it more. On a personal level, I'm not happy to see a medallion-owning taxi driver lose their livelihood, in the…
As someone who was affected by this (non-U.S.), I have to say I was very satisfied with how PokerStars handled everything. When Full Tilt was shut down I essentially treated the funds I had on there as a write-off, and…
Sure, easy piracy is a part of reality and businesses should, as a pragmatic matter, adjust their business models -- that's neither here nor there. When I talk about being able to honestly assess willingness to pay, I'm…
That's a good clarification, and I agree that willingness to pay is the relevant metric to use when talking about being priced out of the market. The same point applies, though; it's hard to honestly assess your…
What makes you think pirates are priced out of the market? If we're talking about, say, the U.S., your typical pirate doesn't seem to be "priced out of the market" for a variety of other leisure goods, like the…
This sounds fine in the abstract, but I'm suspicious of it in practice because it's hard to make an honest evaluation of your willingness to pay for these goods when you have the easy option of getting them for free. I…
I agree that it's compatible, and further that taking care of yourself is crucial to being able to effectively help others. The author might agree too, but in that case it's rather peculiar that everything in the…
I can see how my post left room for misinterpretation; my intention was to express that the creators are in the set {people for whom it's most lucrative}. The earliest adopters are in the set too, obviously. Put…
It's effectively the same thing, except that the set of people at the top of the pyramid is larger. It's still most lucrative for the creators, it's just also highly rewarding for the earliest adopters.
I'm also dying to know who was rapping about web development from ~2003-2009: http://rapgenius.com/rapstats?q=html%2C%20javascript
Yeah, the translation in the OP was almost completely wrong; I'm not sure where they got the idea that there was a joke that said "kill yourself". Actually, the depressing thing is that the real comment points even more…
If you pay attention to the self-congratulatory subtext of such complaints, it becomes clear that it's not really anything to do with being apocalyptic. No one is concerned that they personally are descending into a…
Yes, there's reciprocity in this world, but it should be obvious to any unbiased observer that this wasn't part of some elaborate scheme on Patrick's part to grab the money of HN users. Patrick has spent countless hours…
Mathematically, you're correct that it isn't necessarily true that half of all current players are losing. It isn't even necessarily true if the pool of players is fixed, since the game being zero-sum doesn't constrain…
Pursuing poker as a career is usually a poor decision for a variety of reasons, but the cost of learning is not one of them. The overwhelming majority of poker hands are now played online, and the limits go as low as…
Here's my impression of the sequence of events, based on the blog post: 1) You post an article which includes several facts that are taken directly from Joshua's article. No credit is given to the original author. 2)…
Pay attention to the language you're using: "smug", "huge ego", "overblown response", "idiocy", etc. You're trying to make this out to be a principled stance about "spreading ideas", and yet with every post you…
I agree, and I meant to emphasize more clearly that I don't think the 5% figure is meaningful (and that it shouldn't have been stated without the appropriate caveats in the article). My main point was simply that I…
That would certainly be better experimental design, since you would be controlling for other factors. On the other hand, precisely measuring the improvement in conversion isn't particularly important in this case; it's…
Perhaps I'm just neurotic, but I do find it uncomfortable to write code with someone scrutinizing my work. When figuring out how to implement an efficient algorithm, I find that it's often helpful to perform exploratory…
In this case, observing the actual spending practices of people can only set a lower bound on willingness to pay. If you're obtaining something for free, it certainly doesn't preclude you from being willing to pay for…
Yes, I enjoyed that diversion quite a bit. A few different solutions: http://pastebin.com/Mf6ZmhfA
An additional consideration is the "dynamic" search that google implemented recently[1]. While you're typing, it'll guess what your final query is likely to be and display the results. Of course, the guess will usually…