290 comments

[ 4.4 ms ] story [ 272 ms ] thread
WeWorkOnLayoffs - what a terrible turn this has taken and how many good people are impacted by this. truly sad
From the article, 2,400 employees is 19% of the peak of 12,500 employees on June 30. There was no mention of where the cuts were made however.

I am curious how many "white collar" type jobs WeWork would have, since I heard from previous discussions here that they were hiring for roles in unrelated-to-real-estate things like machine learning. I would imagine that there are lots of hourly-type roles managing the sites, but 12,500 seems reasonable for 849 locations (from https://www.wework.com/locations), ~14 people per location, assuming that they are included in that 12,500 number.

(comment deleted)
I currently keep a wework hotdesk and they do have a sizable headcount at each location - 3 rotating front desk people, a location manager, and maybe 3/4 rotating maintenance staff. I think they might contract out the maintenance staff, but that's still 4x number_of_locations just for that.
How many office did WeWork have at peak vs current?
Didn't WeWork own/purchase some sort of dev contracting business?
One of the big overheads of WeWork was staffing a faux-technology organisation in order to justify the disruptive silicon valley tech valuation. I image a lot of those people are long gone. I'm sure there's a load of IPO related staff that are ripe for cutting too.
Surprising absolutely nobody.

Meanwhile, Adam Neumann is still collecting a $1.7 Billion payout.

Just think of the shareholder value that's been unlocked now that 2400 people are out of a job!
Is it a 'payout' if you own (whatever % of) the company?
More context: many employees of WeWork wrote a letter to management, covered also in NYT: "‘We Are Not the Adam Neumanns of This World’: What WeWork Employees Told Their Bosses" [1]

[1] http://archive.is/8bVvY

This will become quite the case study in the business world. There's so much to learn from this mess.
(comment deleted)
What on Earth is WeWork doing that requires TWELVE THOUSAND PEOPLE!? Holy fucking shit
(comment deleted)
Certainly nothing to merit 12k, but they do have close to 1,000 locations and it's fundamentally a brick and mortar managed office space company, so every location needs at least a few people to keep things running / deal with client issues. The question is how big their back office operations really needs to be.
Managing their local facilities.
Managing 800 physical office locations? That’s not really that many people per location.
Do they seriously have employees at each? I assumed it was either a franchise or contractor thing. Rare for a tech company to actually hire people directly for that sort of thing.
They aren't a tech company. They are an office leasing and real estate company, and have the appropriate employees for this type of business.
> and have the appropriate employees for this type of business

I disagree. WeWork has 836 locations and 12.5k (now 10k) employees, or ~12-15 employees per location. Regus/IWG has 3,306 locations and 9.6k employees, or ~3 employees per location.

How is 4-5x the number of employees for a comparable non-tech company appropriate?

WeWork is trying to grow aggressively, so they probably have a shit-load of sales people.
You'd have to know how the two companies split functions between employees and contractors. Though I'd not be surprised if WeWork were staffed relatively heavily. To note something random, WeWork has an (unstaffed) booth at Kubecon which suggests they do marketing activities that someone like Regus generally doesn't.
Probably because Regus is more interested in running a business and not advertising to potential investors how cool it is.

Just my guess.

On top of that, Regus pays a huge portion of the employees at center hourly. I know Regus is not sexy, but they should get credit for focusing on economics that work at scale rather than just pumping up some ridiculous valuation with no chance of liquidity outside of getting bought or IPOing.
I have seen Regus people at conferences before. They may be more selective, but they do these things as well.
WeWork has a number of side businesses that have no link to their office business. Regus does not.
WeWork is not a tech company
Something I love is how companies have been able to convince people that they are a tech company just because they have an app even when they do something which has existed before the internet was even around.
Why do people keep referring to WeWork as a tech company?
Probably a big portion of that is managing the actual physical locations and another big portion of that is sales.
do things that don't scale /s
WeWork has not only been in the business of running offices, they have been in the business of _producing_ new offices at scale. They have contracted and built out over 800 locations within 9 years. Probably 100-200 a year as of late - which requires a horde of lawyers, real estate people, project managers, area managers, recruiters and so forth. They even have their own factory for (cheap and shitty) tables and chairs. If every office location has 1000 seats, we are talking 100k tables a year.
Even if average Employee cost was $20,000/year, that is a whopping $48,0000,000 (Million) profit added to the shareholders. What is their actual revenue ?
In their filing for the IPO WeWork posted a net loss of 1.6 billion on 1.8 billion in revenue.
(comment deleted)
I can't fathom the morale at this place. I really hope things get better for these poor people caught in the middle of this shit show.
The worst part of this for people will be having WeWork on their resume.
Why would that matter? You can be doing great technical work even if the company overall is doing something that may not be working out well.
I don't really agree with this. I despise Facebook and happily retweeted a post a few weeks ago specifically aimed at helping FB engineers find work elsewhere.

I'd prefer to help good people get out of bad places.

https://twitter.com/EricaJoy/status/1190701524210438144

Wow. You do realize most engineers have to work at far shittier companies and environments than FB? And for a lot less money.
Then they should research the companies in the post and if they're interested in a change apply as well. No listing in that post is catering to an ex-FB employee by any means.
It’s not about doing “research“. They would love to work at Facebook if they could. FB software engineer is a dream job for many outside of SV bubble, and even for many inside.
It certainly was, nowdays its a bit more niche.
There is a perception that they hired tech employees just to show "growth" and therefore people haven't really done much real work.
I don't think most reasonable employers hold it against prospective employees if they have "bad" former employers. Obviously the exception being if they were employed in executive (and perhaps in some cases, managerial) capacities. But certainly not line engineers.
> I really hope things get better for these poor people caught in the middle of this shit show.

As in, you hope they find new employment at a legitimate company?

I wish I had gotten that level of sympathy as a software engineer at an investment bank in 2008. In fact, rather than sympathy, more often I was told I was the problem.
Not that I would personally blame you, but the collapse of WeWork hasn't directly affected peoples' jobs, home values, or retirement savings. The implosion of the company has left the rest of the world pretty unscathed.
It has not imploded because it was privately bailed out.

If it did implode (Ch 11 or Ch 7 BK) - it will start to have major impacts on the NYC and other real estate markets. It’s the largest lease holder in many cities.

I still don't think that would have had the same downstream macroeconomic effects as, say, exploding mortgages for millions of working and middle class Americans. Nobody leasing their commercial properties to WeWork is one missed paycheck away from homelessness or health crisis.
I feel you as someone who was in the same boat at that time. The reality is, these people are being let go at a time of historically low unemployment, they will be just fine and likely be able to get higher salaries elsewhere. I know a guy whose last real job was in 2009. He was older, but not yet at retirement age. He has been a cautionary tale to me though- always stay technical and hands-on. He was like many of that era where he just "managed" and while he was very smart, did not write a line of code- which might have been forgivable if the entire eng team wasn't 6 people (including him and a systems/network guy). Those types did not fare well in the recession.
I can (can't?) say from some sources... it's a great day to work from home.
Imagine the employees with options worth millions a few months ago. Waiting for ipo and the wait period to cash out. Imagine the retirements, homes, vacations, goals, etc that people were dreaming of. Now all gone. It's must be like buying the winning lottery ticket only to lose it. Lots of hopes and dreams died for sure.
I still can't believe this guy gets to walk away with 1.7 billion dollars just for building up fluff while all the people who helped him grow have dire consequences both financial and personal. Unbelievable that this guy gets a clean chit, and all this isn't considered criminal. This to me is almost at the scale of Theranos. Only, this guy was smarter in the legal side of things, perhaps.
What dire consequences?
I'd argue that they would have been reasonably happy with their salaries (and any other perks) while they were employed (otherwise they would have gone elsewhere). And whilst I've not read the article chances are there will be some severance payout. And whilst it's inconvenient there's a good chance many of them will find employment elsewhere. Lastly, the writing's been on the wall for some time now. I'd like to think that they would have braced themselves for this eventuality.
Look even if you want to be obtuse and pretend its not bad that people got lured into jobs that couldn't possibly last, and may have uprooted families only to get laid off now, and have to uproot them again, even pretending that is no big deal, which it is, but let's pretend.

MAYBE you can feel some emotion for the investors whose money was essentially stolen, by a scam artist?

I feel badly for the employees. SoftBank, not so much.
I feel no emotion for the investors since these are professional VC funds which should be fully aware of the risks involved. However, the situation would have been very different if they pulled out the IPO, cashed out to (among others) individual investors and then folded.
I don't agree with the person you are replying to either, however I don't feel much emotion for VCs who throw their money around and don't do their proper due diligence.

A property leasing company that sub-leases property owned personally by the CEO is a massive conflict of interest and a huge red flag, how these "professional investors" came to the conclusion that it would be a good idea to invest is beyond me.

> MAYBE you can feel some emotion for the investors whose money was essentially stolen, by a scam artist?

I've got plenty of sympathy for people being laid off I was just putting forward the case that it was good while it lasted. Less so for investors. From the perspective of the latter you win some, you lose some. And any concerns should be raised with people that funded the company to the tune of billions with what appears to be little governance or due diligence.

>MAYBE you can feel some emotion for the investors whose money was essentially stolen, by a scam artist?

Honestly, I think investors were quite aware of what kind of business WeWork is. They were hoping to dump the whole hot mess to public markets and walk away, and they failed.

>MAYBE you can feel some emotion for the investors whose money was essentially stolen, by a scam artist?

Please explain what the scam was, and how money was forcefully or fraudulent taken from the investors. Was the scam the public knowledge of a CEO using private jets to smoke weed and vacation with company money and speaking in cultish phrases? Was it the lack of cash flow? Was it the obvious lack of any moat?

You could look at this as a shifting of talent. Instead of those 2,400 people wasting their time managing short term office rentals for yuppies, perhaps they'll move on to more meaningful work! Some will start companies, some will join companies that provide more value to society, some will spend time with their families.

  shifting of talent
I hate this new reality.
Which new reality? The one where most of the population can read and write and where most hold degrees and diplomas? This isn’t the 1900s industrialization era, where employees were picked out of the farm fields to work in factories, having never gone to school. People are smart these days, layoffs aren’t as destructive as they used to be.
> layoffs aren’t as destructive as they used to be.

Student loan debt cannot be discharged.

Unsecured personal debt is at all-time highs.

Nearly half of Americans have less than $1000 in savings.

You are wrong.

Yeah, no. I’ll take being laid off in 2019 over being laid off in 1919 any day!
> Unsecured personal debt is at all-time highs.

> Nearly half of Americans have less than $1000 in savings.

Those both sound like bad financial planning. Pumping more money into the equation won't solve that.

There's no money left for savings when rents double over 10 years while wages only go up $1-2/hr.
Obviously the comparison should be between today and a society of serfs & slaves.
I don't think most people are that smart. Out of the 50 or so I work around daily, one or two are truly smart. The rest are average or below, honestly.
I don't want my talent shifted. I want stability and peace of mind.
You can have that!

I mean, I don't know you personally, but if those are your priorities, then there are plenty of big stable boring companies to work for. Maybe apply at one of those instead of wildly unprofitable startups with idiosyncratic founders?

You have agency.

Life isn't Economics 101 where labour is perfectly mobile and comparative advantage can be activated instantaneously.
maybe we could shift them some money from Adam Neumann's bank account
for the people who got laid off, obviously it's very bad, they should sue and they may get something back as settlement.

For the existing employees who saw their stock options value deflated overnight, well tough luck. it's hard to become a millionaire

For the investors who just throw money to whoever in sight just to see what sticks, no tears at all

> for the people who got laid off, obviously it's very bad, they should sue and they may get something back as settlement.

On what possible grounds? They were fairly compensated and got severance. There is no indication that they were hired under false pretenses. They're angry cause they didn't get to rip off Softbank too.

To be clear, Neumann's $1.7 billion payout is from SoftBank shareholders. There's nothing obviously criminal about SoftBank's bailout. But I agree SoftBank didn't have to do it. WeWork was ostensibly bankrupt and SoftBank could have dictated pretty much any terms they wanted.
SoftBank is trying to obtain a $2.8B loan for turning around WeWork [1]. Sunk cost fallacy at scale. SoftBank should've burned WeWork and Neumann's comp to the ground, while still paying out severance to the rank and file ("shoot the hostage").

Instead, SoftBank looks incompetent, Son looks incompetent, Neumann walks away a billionaire for delivering nothing of value, and layoffs are still happening. They're doubling down on financially destructive decisions. This is what happens when you have more money and vanity than courage.

[1] https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/SoftBank2/SoftBank-in-talks... (SoftBank in talks with Mizuho and Japan banks for $2.8bn loan)

They're doubling down to save face. They're betting that WeWork can survive as a much smaller company and that in 5 years people will forget what a disaster this was.
(comment deleted)
i thought part of it were also consultancy fees for him to be a consultant for the company many years to come?
Yes, in the same way that high level employees leave those roles to spend more time with their families.
If I owned shares in softbank, I’d be livid about him flushing more money down that hole. It makes me suspect that if WeWork collapses, softbank would go down with it.
Well if you define a market simply as a mechanism of wealth transmission from dumb people to smarter people then I think that Adam Neumann deserves every single cent of 1.7 billion dollars.
> if you define a market simply as a mechanism of wealth transmission from dumb people to smarter

Who defines a market with that kind of cynical, silly definition? I don't think most of us want that kind of "market". And if that's the only way to make Neumann look good, then maybe the reverse is true.

There is a definition of stock market as a mechanism of wealth transfer from active investors to patient/intelligent investors.

Most of the people are jumping one over the other to lose money as quickly as possible on some fantastical promise of profits. Human nature is like that. Intelligent people made money out of this sentiment since money had been invented.

> There is a definition of stock market as a mechanism of wealth transfer from active investors to patient/intelligent investors.

That's certainly not a definition. Investing is not zero-sum.

> Well if you define a market simply as a mechanism of wealth transmission from dumb people to smarter people...

Does anyone?

Free market always means someone gets suckered into building someone else's wealth, so
The employees deserve more cause they didn't get their share of the grift? By all accounts they were well compensated for working in a wealth destroying venture.
I presume that by all the people who helped him you mean the WeWork employees and not investors like SoftBank. Well, these employees aren't walking away empty handed either. They've been getting paid all these years and most of them will probably continue getting paid for some time. That's also a fruit of Neumann's scheming. These people didn't have to fight for jobs in a real business, they are benefiting from the WeWork illusion of grandeur and bringing in paychecks month after month.
They’re not destitute, no.

But their employees were heavily compensated with options that are now worthless.

Of course options are a risk, but they didn’t work there if they didn’t think those options would be at least worth something in the future.

Options in a startup are always a lottery ticket. I would argue that no rational person assigns any significant value to them, because even career investors aren't able to pick winners and instead earn money by betting on a lot of different startups.
People aren't and will never be rational economic actors -- homo economicus -- and while we can chide them for making mistakes a rational person wouldn't, I feel like there must be a way to structure the world that doesn't set up this expectation no one will ever live up to. (edit to fix a typo)
Big difference between a startup and a massive valuation that everyone assumes is about to IPO.

WeWork deflated more than any company in HISTORY. You’re technically correct but people are irrational and I’m sure they were being lied to their face in all hands about how great the future would be.

At that stage as an employee you’re counting on those to be able to put down a down payment or do a much needed renovation, or hopefully not payback debt.

>WeWork deflated more than any company in HISTORY.

Cisco went from 77$ per share in 2000 to $10 per share in 2002, while being public (so the value was much more real than WeWork, you could hit the 'sell' button to make it real money in 5 minutes, unlike WeWork equity).

IIRC it was valued around 500 billions in 2000, so it was much larger destruction in value. It still hasn't recovered, with $45 per share right now, never reaching its 2000 peak during these 19 years.

Right, so how did the fucking guy running the ship win the lottery on the backs of everyone who didn't?
The reason he made bank is because Softbank decided it would be a good idea to let Neumann burn money, gave Neumann a shit ton of money without actually buying control of Wework from Neumann, found that nobody else thought burning money was a good idea and so WeWork couldn't IPO, decided that burning money wasn't a great idea after all, found that Neumann liked burning money and would continue to run WeWork into the ground burning money every step of the way, found that they couldn't do shit because WeWork still belonged to Neumann, couldn't walk away because they were billions in the hole, and so decided to give Neumann even more money so they could actually control the company this time.

The employees pretty much got the typical outcome of working at a startup (startup runs along for a couple years, then fails). The fact that Adam Neumann made bank is rankling, but Rich People Burning Money and Also Accidentally Giving Some Away to Undeserving People Because They Did Incredibly Stupid Things isn't exactly something we can or should stop. You can't make it illegal to be stupid.

Options are a risk you take, and every analysis out there says that one should discount them almost to zero, especially for startups.

It does suck for those employees that their risk didn't work out, but for most of them it was a conscious decision to take on the risk, presumably for a high potential upside.

And if you accept the risk, then its unfortunate that it didn't work out, but that is what risk is.

> These people didn't have to fight for jobs in a real business, they are benefiting from the WeWork illusion of grandeur and bringing in paychecks month after month.

Yikes. I have worked in two different startups that imploded quickly, largely due to an inability to find an effective sales and growth strategy. The fact that I was sold on the vision and that vision wasn't realized doesn't make the work I was doing any less challenging, nor did it make the job or business any less real.

The jobs are definitely real and I was careful to not make any claims otherwise. I've worked in failed startups myself, so I certainly know.

As far as WeWork not being a real business, I think this was fairly well documented during the IPO attempt. However, more generally, when I say real business I mean a business that can survive without getting most of its funds from an unrelated source, i.e. investors. All evidence points towards WeWork not being able to continue without continued burning of investor money and there's no path to profitability on the horizon even.

Investors did not do due diligence (unless there was fraud, but I have not heard of that). It is therefore not surprising AN got away with it. There are several companies with the same business model as WeWork that do not have nearly the same valuation (before all the recent hullaballoo, that is). There have been a number good articles about this topic in the WSJ lately. There is no reason to compare Adam Neumann to Elizabeth Holmes at this point.
>Investors did not do due diligence

One (likely in my opinion) possibility is they did, and they were betting they could find a bigger fool.

Agreed, all the public statements from them were highly bullish, right up until the point where they realized the public markets weren't going to be suckered after the Uber IPO bombed.
Hey, it's the bank's fault they approved a 20K credit limit without even checking my ID. They should've done their due diligence beyond seeing the credit score /s
Your statement doesn't make sense to me. If you're claiming that this WeWork situation is similar to someone fraudulently obtaining $20,000 by claiming they are someone else, I have to disagree because there has been no misrepresentations in the WeWork saga that I am aware of.
Oh no, there was no identity theft. Just a jobless man cashing in on his credit score.
Then I don't understand how a lender that lends money using the information they requested has been wronged. Even if borrowing money without intending to pay it back is wrong, it's still not relevant to this WeWork situation, so I don't see the point.
I don’t really see why it’s his fault investors over valued his company — he believed in his own spin and was phenomenally successful at building a large, real business. This was not like Theranos where he was straight up lying about a product working — anyone could analyze the business based on the fundamentals, and investors seemed ever willing to invest at high valuations.

The self dealing was reprehensible and evidence of low morals in my view, but none of those events actually materially impact the value of the business. Instead, overnight, investors just came to their senses about what kind of value this type of business is worth. Definitely a strategic misstep on his part, but it’s not like he stole billions of value away from the company. The drop in value is more like what happened to Uber or Blue Apron post IPO, except, unfortunately for the employees, it happened before they could exit.

> I don’t really see why it’s his fault investors over valued his company

> he believed in his own spin

It's his fault because he accepted the price for his business! He was in numerous conversations where people wanted to invest in WoWork and he told them that the valuations they were investing at were not just reasonable, but under the real market price - which is why venture buys into companies.

> none of those events actually materially impact the value of the business

> overnight, investors just came to their senses about what kind of value this type of business is worth

These things seem like they contradict each other. If Neumann's actions are not material, why did his removal reveal the true value of the company? Material just means it changes the value of the company. There are lots of "material" events that don't have anything to do with business fundamentals.

I refuse to believe anyone wouldn't take 1.7 billion to walk away from a company.
Not before paying, I don't know, something like 10-20 million to have the deal and everything else made watertight and 110% legal. Other that, you cannot blame him for the 1.7 billion. For the way how he got them he can be blamed so, IMHO.
I think it's unlikely that Adam would be liable for having accepted an inflated valuation. Courts typically give management pretty wide latitude to make business decisions as along as they can give some plausible explanation. It's called the "business judgment rule" in corporate law and gives the company quite a bit of deference[0]. It derives from Delaware General Corporate Law § 141(a), then gets carved out through case law.

That said, there are a few ways to overcome it. Self-dealing is one way, assuming Adam didn't disclose the transactions. Fraud would be another.

All this stuff is pretty fact-specific. We can guess, but there's a lot we won't know until it gets litigated.

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Business_judgment_rule

>It's his fault because he accepted the price for his business! He was in numerous conversations where people wanted to invest in WoWork and he told them that the valuations they were investing at were not just reasonable, but under the real market price - which is why venture buys into companies.

What? It's his fault that he was able to hoodwink all these amazingly smart venture capital owners into investing?

No. What happened was some venture capital owners made a bet that they could find a bigger sucker to dump their shares on. But that bet went sideways. Nothing more. There is no indication of any fraud yet. Just some people that thought an eccentric personality could help them ride the wave of funding.

Everybody will always sell their business for as much as they can. It's unreasonable and not helpful to expect otherwise.
VC-s as a rule of thumb do due diligence before investing. They didn't throw money at him on the whim. They examined the books and everything else you could think of (or should have done so).

Unless he was cooking the books or conned some other way - you may say he is the one scumbag to rule them all if you like for walking with fuck you money squared while his employees get the shaft, but he did nothing wrong in pitching high valuations that the others side accepted.

> I don’t really see why it’s his fault investors over valued his company ... This was not like Theranos where he was straight up lying about a product working

Hell of a low bar you're setting.

Self dealing is fraudulent. It sends a message to con-artists of the future to do exactly what Neumann did for a potential big payout.

> The self dealing was reprehensible and evidence of low morals in my view, but none of those events actually materially impact the value of the business.

Materially WeWork is a real estate company selling itself as a tech company to get a higher valuation. Sure, it's expected that founders don't have a realistic idea of what their company is worth, investors should have done more research. But Neumann's ethical failings in regards to self-dealing is closely related to failing to accurately represent the state of his business. I think Neumann is fully responsible for WeWork's overvaluation, even if he fully believed his own spin.

Unless Neumann presented fraudulent numbers, then the buyer is responsible for valuing what they buy.

Sellers don't get to dictate what something is worth.

I'm not arguing that Neumann's actions meet the legal definition of fraud. I'm arguing that he has a moral responsibility. Investors are responsible for believing Neumann. But I think that if he had been an ethical person who did not self-deal, WeWork might not have been over valued so much. I think self-dealing and dishonestly representing your company's worth is related.
The self dealing was not hidden, so I am perplexed why one would think a company with self dealing is worth more than a company without self dealing.

Neumann, as a seller, went out into the market and found some buyers. A seller sells for the most they can, and the buyer buys for the least they can. Except in this case, the buyer wanted to flip it, so the buyer wanted to over value it, so that they could claim it was worth even more (due to the rate of increase in "valuations") when they try to IPO it.

If anyone was lacking in morals, it would be the buyer who intentionally paid more than they knew they would if their aim was to hold onto it as a business, just so they could pawn it off onto someone else who didn't know better.

> was phenomenally successful at building a large, real business

What? How? He built an 8b business with 16b in investment. Anyone can do that. Take 16b, put it in index funds, call yourself an investment bank. You'd get better returns than -50%, for sure.

(comment deleted)
Not just anyone gets 16b of funding to lose 50% on it. You need to be a very charismatic CEO - maybe borderline cult-leader status
and there you have hit the nail on the head
I think you also need some "special" investors. In this case softbank appreciated the crazyness of the CEO.
Yes, but don't forget that those "special" investors were funded by even richer, special-er investors.

Softbank funded WeWork via the Vision fund, which is primarily funded with Saudi money.

Right but we're assessing the quality of the business he built. It's crap. That doesn't change with what the parent said.
ANYONE can lose that kind of money - that's the point they were getting at.

No need to be pedantic.

I'd love to see you try. It's easy to turn $20 into $40, but as you approach larger numbers it keeps getting harder.
(comment deleted)
Looks like you've got it backward - as long as your $16b doesn't turn into $8b (negative fifty percent), you're doing better than this guy. If you put the $16b in any kind of mutual find, you're going to get a positive return, even if it's a single digit percentage, and it'll be much better than this guy.
Overall I agree with the point, but I was considering the idea of risk and the stock market, and I looked at what kind of return you would get if you invested in a major index at a peak and sold at the low point, and historically it's been in the ballpark of -70%.

So the odds are lower and the timescale is longer, but you could still lose more, potentially.

The issue i have with all these arguments is that while you can turn x into 2x, when you layer on interest, taxes, and any fees you encounter in the process...your cut won’t be what you thought it was going to be. Making money isn’t cheap and anyone who thinks it is hasn’t actually tried to do it yet.
That's a negative 70% in the worst case. I wasn't talking about making 70%.
He's saying you can do better than turning $40 into $20 at scale. He's not saying he will double the investment - only that he won't lose half of it.
Completely untrue. Even if all you do is take advantage of the investment opportunities that someone with, say, a million dollars get access to that someone with 20 doesn't, it's easy to grow large amounts of money.

"To turn $100 into $110 is work. To turn 100 million into $110 million is inevitable". Edgar Bronfman

Wow, well, you obviously haven't done it. I have, and I am here to tell you that it wasn't so easy. Even with 7 figures, I don't have access to anything special. I guess those perks kick it at some higher figure, maybe 8, dunno. Maybe at the $100M mark it is that way, I probably will never know.

Earning a steady 10% is really fucking tough. It's kind of a joke, really,

Getting anything resembling decent investment return is god damn hard.

So you have a good argument, but that basically means all that stands between someone making $10million is getting the credit to start their business? I’d love to offer you that credit and take half your profits after interest and taxes.
No, I said no such thing, and borrowing money is different than having money.
I guess I just don't know what you're saying then. It's easy to make money if you already have it? Maybe in terms of quantity, but in terms of % return i don't feel the ease of producing a return is really super linear or logical.
Or as Matt Levine might say, take the $16b, light half of it on fire, and put the other half under your mattress. Boom: You've just beaten negative interest rates.
(comment deleted)
> This was not like Theranos where he was straight up lying about a product working

She.

He.

He's talking about the WeWork guy, not the theranos woman. I think it's a strange sentence, but technically correct.

> phenomenally successful at building a large, real business.

That's like saying the Soviet Union was successful at building a strong consumer economy. Anything can look good when you're able to under-price your services using someone else's money.

>"he believed in his own spin and was phenomenally successful at building a large, real business.'

How was he "phenomenally successful" if the company needed an emergency bailout because they were about to run out of cash?

> How was he "phenomenally successful"

He walked away with $1.7 billion.

Agreed. This is the direct and intended result of a society which values those with money (investors) over those without money (people who invest their time, talent and effort).

He did nothing wrong in this society, so maybe we ought to fucking change society.

That seems like an odd statement, considering that to participate in WeWork, employees got paid, customers got subsidized, and investors (Saudis, I guess) got charged vast amounts to no benefit for them. Nothing about it suggests valuing investors, but the opposite.
Ah yes, "if it's legal, it's not his fault." It's not "his fault" for the gross incompetence that lead to this outcome? Whose was it? I would suggest that it is in fact "his fault," but why would he ever have cared? He lacked any incentive to fret any potential negative outcomes for the business, since after a point he had assured that they all ended in him being astronomically wealthy regardless.

This sort of thing sends ripples across peoples' lives. Normal people (outside of the idle rich who can afford to waste money on speculation with effectively no consequences) do lose out when things like this blow up.

The lack of regulation and legal accountability here is shocking. The fact that regulation doesn't currently exist shouldn't be used as a justification for excusing the behavior of bad actors!

The investors. If you give a loose cannon many billions of dollars, who is at fault?

But yes, normal employees are paying the price here.

The investors also paid a hefty price. The only person getting out of this scot-free is Adam.
He’s getting punished too. He thought he was going to be the first ruler of the entire world, and now that dream is (probably) dashed.
> ...he believed in his own spin and was phenomenally successful at building a large, real business.

Successful at building a large, real business selling $10 bills for $8. It's a dreadful business, they lose money hand over fist with no path to stopping the bleeding.

For a while now, any company who could claim to be a "tech" company like WeWork (an objectively real estate company) did was able to raise on terms that are only suitable for zero-marginal-cost businesses. That is unlikely to continue.

Doesn't have to be necessarily a bad thing if you ask me.
Oh no, I'm actually glad.

There's a case to be made that the benefit of a recession is that it kills off these types of wildly unsustainable businesses as they're forced to prove their model. It's been over a decade since the last one. This allows us to remove some of the froth from the market without necessarily going through the same level of hardship en route.

> selling $10 bills for $8.

The classic "We lose money on every sale, but make it up in volume" approach.

A neat spin on it actually! "We lose money on every sale and we have no idea how we'll ever stop, but let's do a lot of it anyways."
I was under the impression it wasn't even a real estate company since it only rented it's properties and then sublet them.

It didn't even buy properties.

Just one small comment -- instead of investors, it was mostly Masayoshi Son at SoftBank that was pumping capital into WeWork and each round invested pumped up the valuation as well, so never had to face any reality from other investors, but it all came to a head in the prospectus for the IPO.

I think Galloway explains it well in this video -- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3UdhLWGrtDI

Wait, did he not use company funds to buy real estate in his own name and then lease them back to the company? That is still not illegal but super shady. You cannot paper over things with "investors overvalued it" logic. He went to extra lengths to make his cheating legal.
Did not know about that, do you have a source on that?
“WeWork isn’t really a real estate company. It’s a state of consciousness, a generation of interconnected emotionally intelligent entrepreneurs.” -Adam Neumann.[1]

Even after hearing that media raved about him/WeWork, analysts were bullish and investors pumped Billions. Startup media are generally happy with their funding related news as it is glamorous.

And due to the funding noise, Startup ecosystem has forgotten that a Startup is a Business and a Business should make money, else it's just a hobby.

[1]:https://www.nytimes.com/2018/02/17/business/the-wework-manif...

I don't even know who their target audience was. Many people who work from home do so because they enjoy the privacy of working from home. People who want more social interaction go to coffee shops, and plenty of people do both.

I don't see who would want to pay a few hundred bucks a month to work on a conference table surrounded by strangers.

A lot of people do this – coworking spaces are a huge thing, especially when they can host small companies who can't afford their own office.

Outside of smaller independent coworking spaces and WeWork's existing customer base there is IWG which does the same (albeit more sustainably): https://www.iwgplc.com

I can't help but think that Neumann's taret audience was deep pocketed old-generation investors who've worked in corner offices for decades and fell hook, line and sinker for the "gig economy is the future" spiel.
Example - IBM rent WeWork space in London for some teams even though they have a London office.
Please don't give your opinion on something you don't know anything about. You've clearly never even seen the inside of a WeWork because the majority of them were office spaces. The audience was small companies who preferred short time leasing, which in large cities, there were plenty of. Every wework I've been to in Manhattan has been completely full. There are 1-5 person offices, and sometimes single larger spaces, and you rented the "offices", which were just rooms. It's not like it's just a table where people sit together, that's crazy. It's office space. The benefit was you could get a place for a few months and then move somewhere else if your company isn't stable yet and you don't want to sign a year lease.
As I understand it, the goal was also to network with other small businesses using the same space. The spaces were set up to encourage people to find opportunities to work together -- cross-marketing, sharing resources, new ideas. Kind of an incubator, without the financial support or design.

Not inherently a bad idea, though it's full of Silicon Valley optimism where one serendipity produces tons of money while a lot of other things just fail to gel -- but some people get paid regardless.

It is the office space equivalent of elastic cloud computing. Definitely a solid market, but you gotta be diligent about the bottom line costs.
I don't understand how that doesn't trip the bullshit detectors of anyone that still has money to invest in the first place. That's language I'd expect from someone flogging a pyramid scheme.
They know, they just do it to inflate the valuation & exit at the right time i.e. before the company goes down; The investor just before that is the real looser.
Most investors are smart enough to recognize BS and pass. But they don't issue press releases announcing "We just decided not to invest in this much-hyped startup." It only takes one deep pocketed investor to buoy a deeply flawed startup for a while.
Even well beyond the usual norms of Silicon Valley, this dude has lost so many people so much money um, I gotta wonder what sort of security detail he has for himself to prevent some pissed off people from making themselves feel a little bit better.
On the bright side. He has to watch his back for MBS henchmen.
He really doesn't. For that kind of investor, the portfolio is more about having strategic connections to big players rather than purely making money. I'd imagine the next time Son comes around to ask for money, MBS will have more leverage than he previously did.
well, he will never work in this town again :/
He'll Epstein his way back into the good graces of the upper classes. Fully expect to see the "Adam and Rebekah Neumann centre for cancer research" or something like that at a major university sooner rather than later.
sadly he was given 1.7 billion as an exit package. he's capable of starting multiple business ventures tomorrow if he desires
If he was not able to manage that kind of money the first time, he will not go very far the second time. Most likely he will come up with a similar Ponzi scheme and burn all his cash.
I think you could consider WeWork worse than Thernanos in many ways. Far more people understood what was going on at the highest level, and when all was said and done Elizabeth Holmes walked away with nothing but criminal prosecution. Both screwed their investors, arguably Thernanos did worse, but investors prepare for potentially big losses.

The employees on the other hand are all screwed: at Thernanos Holmes was the most screwed given the potential jail time, but at WeWork Neumann is walking away with over a billion, which is sort of like spitting on your employees.

WeWork (Neumann) preached about the 'We Generation' and 'elevating the world to a new consciousness,' but really his actions were traitorous against the people who made him. Thernanos never claimed the moral high ground, nor did the leader get off like a bandit.

Didn't people pay for Theranos tests that lied about their abilities? That is way worse.
I am shocked people still get shocked about the elite being treated differently

Sports, TV, designer stuff... all heavily dependent on emotional attention. The attention economy is older than we realize.

Brand building is at the core of this, and we’ve seen this with of elite brand builders over and over.

Those who can do. Those who can’t are CEOs

I’m pretty neutral. Why does he deserve it less than the billionaire VCs who didn’t do due diligence before handing it over? I don’t see moral superiority on either side of the table from where I’m standing.

Besides by that principle his employees didn’t deserve to get paid either, since by your reasoning his employees were only paid by the fruits of fraud. That doesn’t make sense to me.

He's not getting that for building fluff. Adam is walking away with 1.7 billion dollars because he fooled whoever is in charge at Softbank into getting into bed with him for WeWork and Softbank decided that that was an appropriate amount to pay in order to get rid of him.
What's not to believe, or be (more than momentarily) surprised by? His behavior is not only perfectly consistent with, but emblematic of the governing ideology of his, and our time:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Neoliberalism

The overarching goal of which might well summed up succinctly as: "Socialization of risk; privatization of gain."

I wouldn't say workers suffered from "dire personal and financial consequences". The employees had good jobs that could help build their career with relatively little risk.
This is a much more massive scam than Theranos. They almost IPO'd with all this fraud.
> while all the people who helped him grow have dire consequences both financial and personal.

That's definitely a glass half empty way to look at this;

On the other hand, with 20/20 hindsight, knowing it was selling space it rented for a $.80 for $1 of cost, knowing that this hype meant and in a low unemployment time means that these were effectively a jobs program, with above average market salaries, funded by Softbank (and the Saudis).

Also a jobs program for any companies that would have paid $1/$1 of office space but saved the discount.

And, from a being laid off perspective; while it's not fun to have a job end at someone else's discretion, if you worked at WeWork and the August headlines weren't a hint to get the resume ready, I'm not sure what else might; Effectively, 4+ months of notice combined with now actual severance.

The downstream effects of this are probably worse from a capitalism / worker piece; As WeWork reduces leasing office space, buildings or service companies will likely pocket the contract termination fees while reducing jobs/hours of contract staff -- who, unlike wework employees, were closer to minimum wage, may not even have benefits, and definitely won't get severance.

Not quite at the same level.

For it to be like theranos the offices wouldn't exist.

Judging from the incredible press, it would be amazing if the management can hold the company together and it actually exists in 3 years.
They will likely change the name, since it's become a punchline and will always remind people of their fly-by-night founder.
Any predictions for EOL of WeWork?
There is an startup bubble funded by central bank low interest rates. It’s understandable that capital is seeking higher gains. What is not so ok is that we are building a casino like economic bubble funding ideas which are not profitable. If interest rates where higher bets would be more selective.
Hypothesis: Events like this are the modern moral equivalent of the giant, gaudy, gilt-encrusted palaces of the 17th century.

Economic disparity has reached a point where those at the top end literally have more money than they know what to do with and are increasingly spending it on stupider and stupider things out of some perceived need to do something.

I like your hypothesis but fear the reality is less benign. To me it seems most ('those at the top' as you put it) do what they do in an attempt to obtain ever more money and power - never satisfied with how much they already possess.
So nothing has changed in this regard since 17th century, right?
Thanks to surveillance and collusion between politicians and the elite, now the elite is more protected than ever.
Was the elite less protected in 17th century?
They ended up having their heads cut off, so, yes.
According to [1] there have been more revolutions in the last 10 years than in the entire 17th century.

[1] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_revolutions_and_rebe...

Interesting observation, but a) events of the last 10 years are documented at an exponentially higher rate and resolution than events of the 17th century, and b) this list has lots of events which hardly raise to the level of the large scale revolutions of the 17th century, aaand c) none of these events are taking place in global centers of wealth and power. Today's elites are without a doubt more protected than the denizens of Versailles precisely because their power and wealth operate on a global scale.
Re global centers - is it because elites are better protected, or because there are fewer people willing to die on barricades? Vast majority of Americans have a decent life today (eg not starving, not being exploited and treated like slaves by the elites), unlike the vast majority of population in the 17th century in Europe.
I mean, both. But there are plenty of self proclaimed radicals in America who claim they'd be willing to die on the barricades, but a) there's no central set of barricades upon which to die, even in the global "centers" and b) the ones that do exist are way too well protected. Remember Occupy Wall St? That was essentially an attempt to besiege (albeit non-violently) the financial power centers, but it was easily swatted away by local municipalities armed to the teeth with military grade crowd control tools.
Re radicals: it’s not about them, it’s about having enough support in the population.

Re protection: it’s only good if those who are supposed to protect you are on your side.

Events like this are the modern moral equivalent of the giant, gaudy, gilt-encrusted palaces of the 17th century.

I think this vastly overstates it. Versailles cost some significant fraction of France's GDP - possibly as much as 25% in some years. WeWork's $10B is a mere drop in the US' $20T GDP.

Not to mention Versailles was built with taxpayers money.
It's not as straightforward with VC money. VCs have to answer to investors.

(Hopefully someone more knowledgable can chime in,) but I always thought VC was a mix of government, private, and institutional funds?

I think there's an argument that taxpayers are indirectly funding all of this.

If you assume that the government needs $X to perform its function then when tax rates are cut for corporations and those wealthy enough to game the system, its everyone else whose taxes pay the shortfall. The reason there is so much money floating around the top end is specifically because they've figured out how to foist their tax burden onto others.

WeWork is just one part of it, however. Uber is another Ponzi scheme, living on underpriced rides and multi-billion losses for as long as their bond rating holds up.
And what's their profit exit? The ever-innovative and dubious "forcing people to watch fucking ads while they ride around."
Uber isn'ta Ponzi scheme.

I use Uber all the time, as does everyone I know. Hell, I even drove for them for a while.

They provide a needed service and they are subsidizing that to get rid of competition like Lyft and to grow a huge user base. Then, it's likely they will raise prices and start making money.

But it is not a Ponzi scheme. Last I checked, a local taxi company that is still in business wants $30 to take me into town, which is 5 miles away. Uber is $7.

> But it is not a Ponzi scheme. Last I checked, a local taxi company that is still in business wants $30 to take me into town, which is 5 miles away. Uber is $7.

The cost of that $7 are the billions they lose every quarter. It's not sustainable. They're a public company now, so to come up with fresh cash, they have to issue bonds and pay interest on them. How will they repay it when they aren't generating fresh cash through profits? They can't rely on VCs opening their wallets whenever they needed money.

I believe the plan is to increase prices.

Cheap rides are to gain marketshare and customer acquisition. Not saying the strategy will be fruitful but it is a strategy.

That's a terrible plan considering any one of their competitors could not raise their own prices and now be a preferred choice to Uber.
> The cost of that $7 are the billions they lose every quarter. It's not sustainable.

They will raise prices eventually, they are in the "get a lot of regular users" phase still, growing that until they are ubiquitous.

Yes, they may face monopoly concerns then, but that is down the road.

What they will not face is competition from the $30 taxi companies, because unlike the taxi company they do not own any cars and the resultant costs of that.

I don't know where you're getting this idea. At its highest, it was less than 5% of total State spending.
(comment deleted)
(comment deleted)
Honestly I'm surprised there are 2400 employees who have stuck around this long, waiting for the other shoe to drop. How could they not see the obvious implosion coming? The proverbial tidal wave of ugly news has been steady for months now.
Not everyone can easily find a new job whenever they want.
Perhaps true for those at the margins, but for 2,400 white collar workers at a "tech" startup?
Having recently gone through a job search as a decently qualified candidate in an area with a lot of demand and low supply for my skillset, I'd say absolutely.

Hiring doesn't happen overnight and it's much more difficult when you're doing it actively, as opposed to passively responding to the recruitment vultures. Especially when there's a time crunch, since severance doesn't last forever and hiring doesn't happen overnight.

Being laid off gets you unemployment. Quitting doesn't.
It's not between sticking around or quitting. They could have gone out and found a new job. One that presumably pays more than unemployment and quite possibly given the current stage of the economic cycle, more than their current job.
I mean, if your lifestyle doesn't require the full payment, you can think of it as a half-pay long vacation.

I for one wouldn't mind being unemployed for 3 months.

To get the benefit, you have to provide documentation that you're looking for a job.
> I for one wouldn't mind being unemployed for 3 months.

A 3-month hole in your resume will be something you'd have to explain to your future employers for the rest of your life.

any place that would give me a hard time because of a 3 months gap in my resume is a place I'd rather not work at
> A 3-month hole in your resume will be something you'd have to explain to your future employers for the rest of your life.

Huh? People take time off between jobs all the time.

There are places that demand your high school and/or college diplomas even if it's been 30 years. There are places that give programmers tests with flow charts. At some stage of maturity you realize there's no point in worrying about pleasing everybody, because many of them are unreasonable and you'll never get the chance anyway.

Whenever there are unreasonable rules and you really do want to get around them, all you have to do is find a way to demonstrate your talent sufficiently that people will bend them for you.

It's not that easy to find a new job while working full-time.
How many of them were Meetup employees who just got shafted by their acquiring company?

How many of those Meetup employees are sitting on, or exercised, worthless WeWork options?

Talk about no lube...

> Honestly I'm surprised there are 2400 employees who have stuck around this long

Based on one friend of mine... he's patching up his resume while waiting for his manager to offer a severance package.

But if they saw it coming, why would they leave earlier? It's easier to just take the money while it's there.
Imagine going from being on the verge of cashing out your equity options to being fired within the space of 3 months.
If I'm Neumann, I'm taking 200-250 million dollars of my 1.7 billion in winnings and giving it away to the laid off employees (about 90k each).

Imagine the positive press you could drum up about yourself! All while keeping 1.5 billion dollars!

Why?
> Imagine the positive press
Why? A fraction of that will buy you even better positive press.
Positive press of this magnitude can help propel your next big idea. If you have a reputation of compensating employees well when startup ideas don't pan out they will be more likely to want to join the next one.

Though there are probably more news worth things you could do with 300m.

Not being selfish?
Empathy and because he made an order of magnitude more money than he can spend in a lifetime?
Well he's not you, so he's keeping 1.7 billion. No one cares at large. Investors actually respected Shkreli, and the masses don't even remember who that is. Just cover your legal bases lol
Or he could start a philanthropic foundation that mostly exists to put his name on buildings and cement his legacy for a hundred years or more.
I'm sure he could just donate a few mil to some charities and then bribe or otherwise manipulate journalists with another few mil, and generate MUCH more positive press overall with that money.
This would upset me if I was one of the remaining employees.
Good point! Google says there are 15k employees at WeWork, how about EVERYONE gets 50k.

750M given away, still have a billion dollars and a bunch of goodwill.

He doesn’t just get $1.7B. There’s taxes involved.
why would that upset you? you still have a job? that's like saying you'd be upset if a homeless person got a free meal at a restaurant where you had purchased a meal. also it's his money not public tax base - how can you can be upset about what someone chooses to spend their money on.
The more likely outcome is that he's now focused on protecting that nine figure status as if his life depended on it.
What about the taxes? Post fees and taxes, it won’t be $1.7B
So, who will play Adam Neumann in the WeWork movie? Jim Carrey?
Why corporate boards are so inept, and allowed to remain so, I'll never understand.

If you buy into the goal being "shareholder value" then plainly Softbank failed. One could make the argument that WeWork's board did the things that they thought created the most value - but if you implode in on yourself, you clearly failed. Even if the self-dealing was not outright legal fraud, it was plainly not to anyone's benefit apart from Adam Newmann - which again is complicit behavior on the part of both boards. None of it is good business.

The board has the perspective of _ownership_. The employee has the perspective of _being commanded_.

Imagine something nice that you own- like your car. Do you feel compelled to understand your car? Must you be an excellent driver to own that car, if you can afford it?

No. And while it's not exactly the same, the people generally look at the company as a machine that makes them money. They don't have to be good at anything to own that machine, and if they want, they can even share it with their drug addict fail-child.

This is the ultimate problem with how we've structured public corporations/LLCs in the US. When markets are working correctly in an environment of low innovation, companies themselves becomes the product, and the company's product itself just become a cashflow on a balance sheet. Grow the company (and its userbase) to a point where it can be harvested (go public) and then processed while you get paid out.

Nothing else in the environment matters if it's not on the balance sheet (most notably pollution, social disruption, and general human suffering). Yvon Chouinard has a great perspective on this in his book "Let My People Go Surfing" where he meditates on the paradox of running a private business that fights itself by automatically giving away portions of its revenue to charity rather than paying out shareholders/reinvesting in growth. What do you do when you see every sale your company makes as a failure in the fight against consumption/towards sustainability?

Before a company goes public, the only way you get to be on the board is by being a cheerleader. After a company goes public you have a lot more responsibilities.
Right - I get that - but my thinking is, why would you make short-sighted greedy choices that are fundamentally bad business decisions? One could say hindsight is 20-20, but I don't buy that. WeWork at its core was a legit business (I say this as a former customer), unlike a say Theranos. It could have legitimately been a wildly successful company without the shenanigans. It seems trite to simply say that the board hoped they would get theirs before everything imploded.
I think they justified it by saying that they were aiming to be tech unicorn, not merely a real estate company; and it's par for the course for the board to pump and dump a tech unicorn once they realize the horn is about to fall off.
I see what you're saying, but what I'm saying is not even on that axis. If you don't have a history of talking up the startups you are attached to, you don't get invited to be on the board of startups.

If you are critical of the growth plan or business practices, you are fired from the board.

edit: actually we might be agreeing.

When you see big, tall men with forceful personas running roughshod in positions of leadership, you realize that perhaps we should always remember that we are just primates that learnt how to use tools well.
Waiting for the next domino to fall coughUbercoughLyftcoughDoordash* It feels like 1999 all over again :-)
Sucks for the employees and everyone else who built up the founder's ego and his wallets. But honestly, this is an indefensible business model with clearly unsustainable economics. This deal and Theranos has convinced me that venture capitalists aren't as a group particularly insightful or worthy of admiration. Personally I hope the collapse of WeWork takes Meetup.com with it.
Would you mind explaining what you mean? I can't see any connection between wework and meetup.
wework bought meetup in 2017.
Ahh. I had no idea. Thanks!