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What exact IP makes TSMC so valuable?

We know the EUV machines are produced by ASML

We know ASML optics are produced by Zeiss.

So what is it?

They know how to integrate and operate those and all the other pieces required to go from a hardware design to hardware you can touch. If you just had to take delivery of ASML machines Intel wouldn't be struggling to get below a (so called) 7nm node.
Also TSMC pays far far more than Intel on a PPP basis for the same role so it's not like Intel can poach that talent.

Intel: USD$77k for a hardware engineer role (low i know - Intel have had 20years of wage freezes and they has an across the board wage cut last year). Link: https://www.indeed.com/cmp/Intel-Corporation/job-titles/Inte...

TSMC: Pays the Taiwanese equivalent of USD$58k for the same role. Link (in NT$ but conversions easy): https://www.salaryexpert.com/salary/job/signal-integrity-eng...

Now before you say aha! that's less on a direct dollar to dollar comparison remember that Taiwan has slightly better than 2x rate of PPP.

Contrary to what a lot of people seem to think, TSMC in Taiwan has better pay, working conditions and benefits than Intel in USA. The childcare mentioned in the article is one such example as is the pay i just mentioned. This has been true for a long time now. Intel is the primary Western competitor and they don't compete for talent at all. They haven't done for a long long time now.

It's probably not just a piece of IP. The question of competitive advantage (or comparative advantage) by companies (IBM in the 70s, Microsoft in the 90s, Intel for decades, TSMC, nVidia, and Apple recently) or by nation states (Japan in the 80s, Taiwan and S. Korea recently) is complex and often mysterious. Economists talk about core competencies, which is a combination of culture, training, work-ethic, supply chain, IP, and other things. If teasing these apart was easy, competitors would emerge more quickly.

Equally fascinating is why it goes away (Japan in the 90s, Intel recently).

I have been trying to figure out TSMC in particular but haven't yet, and I'm skeptical of anyone who claims it is one simple thing, or even anyone who claims they know all the reasons.

They built the supplier global and local ecosystem and they have a local pipeline for engineering and technician talent. The US has good graduate and university systems but the industrial culture is different and you see that in operations. There are different workplace incentives.

They’ve been working for a long time to reach this superior position and made good decisions business partners and investments along the way. These investments in local national economies take time, decades. I agree with you, IP is reductive where I think there is a combination of tangible and intangible factors, trade secrets, talent, operational discipline, management and long term thinking.

It’s hard to see in present time, but it becomes clear in retrospect when the winning companies started making failing decisions while on top. Then doubling down on those poor decisions or switching strategies too frequently to make an effect.

>It’s hard to see in present time, but it becomes clear in retrospect when the winning companies started making failing decisions while on top. Then doubling down on those poor decisions or switching strategies too frequently to make an effect.

It is even more infuriating when you see a big player makes a bad decision, but it takes years to see the effects (on the market for example).

I think of it like this:

ASML makes the film.

Zeiss makes the cameras.

TSMC is the movie studio. They'd be making hit movies no matter who was supplying the film and the cameras.

Zeiss - lenses both in analogy and irl

ASML - cameras

Silicon - film

TSMC - film house (manufacturing, color correction, managing storerooms, mastering, distribution brokering with theaters)

Taiwan - Hollywood with just the right climate for talent and business

Fabless chip firms - movie studios

Chip designers - writers

Specialized modular chip IP - actors

… the analogies really break down from there…

Are software engineers the ad agencies and the code execution just the generation of value by playing the movie for people???

I think that's a little too simplistic. They would not be the world leading fab without ASML. ASML's EUV process may be the most complex piece of machinery man has ever created.

It's maybe more like ASML's machines are like a Stradivarius, and TSMC is the best in the world at playing the instrument.

It's about the semiconductor wafer manufacturing and processing techniques. Just wafer manufacturing alone, to get the desired electrical characteristics, doping and the lowest number of defects possible is a mighty task. TSMC has perfected this black art. They are head and shoulders above anyone else.
For the same reason as buying the same guitar used by John Lennon make most of us playing music as good as John Lennon.
making a chip is not like hitting 'print'. there is an insane amount of engineering and consulting that goes on. yes, they buy the machines, but they develop the process. and all the tooling around that, including quite a bit of IP.

intel has tried to compete with them - they have their own ip, machines, and processes. but they are totally missing the consultancy and full package access that TSMC has, and they have failed.

ASML make the tool, TSMC make the process.

The fab itself, for example, you can't just setup a Twinscan in your garage. Even the floors are marvels of engineering. Culture is another subtle but huge factor. When chasing nanometers the fab becomes sensitive to things like deodorant and cigarette smoke. You can of course mitigate these issues, but having an aligned and motivated work force makes it easier.

Forgive my ignorant question, but if it's that sensitive why not automate it with robotics and vacuum seal it?

I understand that this is a sensitive process but so is surgery which robots are able to do with remote control.

They do their best but they can't seal away everything. Raw materials have to enter, chips and waste come out, and the whole thing comes apart for maintenance.

Manufacturing is a game of yields and margins. When you have thousands of operations and inputs, small changes have big effects. TSMC and Intel both have access to the same machines, it's what they're doing with them that differs.

You have no idea how many steps, robotics, offsets, material feeds, alignments, tool setup, recipe fixing, materials troubleshooting go into a fab. These are all to run automated processes. You underestimate how difficult it is to sink heat in a vacuum and the cost of scaling volume and keeping pressure to a low exponent (high vacuum).

Robot surgery is tolerant of a much greater length scale of defect than a modern IC chip and is orders of magnitude fewer process steps.

Try to watch a youtube video or something but even then you won’t see the full picture. There are so many layers and the wafer passes through different flavors of the same processes over and over.

In simplistic terms, they buy machine with 1000 knobs. They have engineers who know how much and when to turn each knob.
Can we stop framing fertility as a national/corporate policy issue when its almost entirely cultural. And I don't mean that policy is downstream of culture; I mean, people just want to travel, party, and drink instead of having kids.

If you're giving me stats, you'll have to explain why there's very little correlation between income and fertility within nations, and why previous (non-farming) generations had a higher fertility rate with fewer resources, and why a country's fertility generally declines as it becomes wealthier.

Have you considered bringing attention to fertility, demographics and social cohesion as a collective issue (thus national/corporate/etc) and not just a self-centered cultural issue is precisely the point?
I am a bit of a fatalist, I think things need to get really bad before cultural values change.
Ahh we are in agreement there then.
That’s a theory, but you’d need some data to support it and there are some potential confounds. For example, if someone decides children are out of the question because they can’t afford significant costs and instead decides to travel at considerably lower cost, that doesn’t tell us what choice they have made in an alternate scenario where policies made the financial burden much lower.
It’s a job security issue [1] for fence sitters (people who might be swayed to have kids if the economics were more favorable). Certainly, it doesn’t apply to firmly childfree people who prioritize life experience versus childrearing [2].

Think of a bank underwriting a 20 year mortgage. Are they going to originate a mortgage if they aren’t confident in your future income earning potential? Same thing, but parents are doing the underwriting of originating the child liability.

[1] https://www.population.fyi/p/job-security-lasting-choices-bi...

[2] https://www.axios.com/2024/07/25/adults-no-children-why-pew-...

I've heard this many times already, why don't you back that up with a serious study that proves the reason young adults don't want kids is to, quote "travel, party and drink"?

And if it's not an economical issue, what are we to do? Force people to have children? Artificial insemination?

Why don’t you back up your point with a study?

This is just silly argument to make in discussion. OP presented coherent viewpoint, and asking “for a study” is a simple way to derail any discussion.

No, OP presented a right wing talking point that I am tired of seeing repeated ad nauseam and that is never justified. I feel justified in calling out the obvious lack of evidence to their narrativisation of the issue.
No its the policy bros who have to justify this one because all the evidence shows that your ancestors had 2-4 times more babies despite having less time, energy, money, child care resources, or education which are all areas that "fertility policy" tries to address. The only counterpoint is that farmers need children to continue the farm. But thats a bad argument because urban fertility rates were also much higher compared to now.
You might want to learn about the "demographic transition". If it really is only about culture, what do you suggest we should do? Ban contraception? Require women to have at least two babies each? Endoctrinate the youth into wanting to have children? I can't think of a single thing that is not f'd up.
The models pretty much say its NOT about policy, but its about the conditions from which cultural values arise from. I don't even know what you are arguing about, did I make a single normative statement in my original post.
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OP might be simplifying it, but changing values (shift towards individualism across the globe) and women's freedom of choice are one of the biggest reasons why people don't want to have kids across all researches that have been done. Cost of living, job security and etc. contribute as well, but it really just doesn't make any sense to have more than 2 kids, other than "for having a lot of kids" sake. And two children is less than replacement level.

Also, as childless/1 child families grow old and retire, they kind of show how it's ok to live a fulfilling life without going through arduous pregnancy and etc. I'm not even talking about sacrificing minimum of 6 years of your life (pregnancy + first year of the child) to raise 3 kids. Culturally it's not celebrated anymore, you lose out on career progression, and since others in your age groups aren't having kids, you feel left out.

These are very real problems that no government has been able to solve yet. The worse it gets, people will feel more guilty for prescribing their future child to a life that was worse than theirs. And the cycle continues.

The issue I take with OP's point is that I'm pretty sure I heard Jordan Peterson or JD Vance use the exact same words "travel, party, drink" and use it to justify some heinous stuff like stripping women of their reproductive rights. I'm tired of seeing it repeated thoughtlessly with no critical thinking whatsoever.

I believe if a government really thinks fertility rates are an issue, the only think it should do is make it materially easier for citizens that want kids but can't to have them. Any other policy I can think of feels incredibly authoritarian.

Well, yes, I agree. But every government will try random things, and when it gets tough, they’ll take on the draconian measures. It’ll be interesting to watch China, South Korea and Japan in the next decade. Most governments are trying to see how they get out of this hole, and copy their implementations. I have no idea how they can fix it without rolling back contraceptives or women’s rights. I don’t think it’s going to be pretty.

And the whole “travel, party, drink” isn’t as morally insulting as it used to be before. I think a good chunk of people in their 20s would wear that as a badge of pride, rather than whatever they’re trying to imply.

people just want to travel, party, and drink instead of having kids

That’s something of a self-correcting problem, don’t you think?

Eventually yes, but it would be nice to avoid the Dark Ages this time. The crash will be brutal.
Is it? If it was, it would be fixed already. Parties didn't start in the 2000s.
Traveling, partying, and drinking is pretty great. Of course people want to do that.

If you think this is a problem and want to fix it, you either need to make traveling etc. less attractive, or make having kids more attractive. The people currently making a fuss about it seem to think they can just lecture people into changing, which is silly.

Who's making a fuss? I intend on taking advantage of the situation :)
From anecdotal evidence I agree it’s the root of the problem - why have kinds when there are more fun things to do? Among my peer group probably half of the group chose not to have kids.

Lucky enough for humankind this is self-correcting problem on both local and global level: people with partying genes will become extinct.

> Lucky enough for humankind this is self-correcting problem on both local and global level: people with partying genes will become extinct.

Humans aren’t fruit flies. Very little of our behavior has simple genetic controls in general and our brains are famously flexible based on our experiences. It’s also complicated in this case because deciding whether to have children involves any of the same skills people need to be successful in life: it’s a multi-decade commitment and so the problem is hardly “self-correcting” if it means that most of the children are being had by people who don’t make major life decisions rationally. Fortunately, most of them would be the ones choosing to party instead.

Sounds like a pulp song. *

But seriously, can we stop trying to over-simplify everything into neat little black and white boxes because grey areas annoy us, and contradictions scare us half to death.

Can we just be at peace with the fundamental interconnectedness of things, and understand that causality can run in two (or many) directions at once.

Though you or I may act individually according to our instincts or beliefs or morals, a group including you or I may act according to systemic patterns and drivers. More than one thing can be true at once!

Once you understand that, perhaps the question can shift from who is responsible for this thing I don't like, to how can we influence change and should we even? and why? and how congruous is this want or need with the multiple levels of truth, cause, and effect acting on each other?

* op comment changed after I wrote this. it said people just want to have fun and drink and travel (and.. because there's nothing else to do).

People are having fewer children than they explicitly say they want to have.
I'd want to know a lot more about overall Taiwanese demographics before I'd make a big deal out of this. 6x as fertile as the average sounds huge, until you consider that TSMC employees are vastly more likely to be in the child-bearing age group than the overall population (children and the elderly don't have many kids). The right comparison would be between TSMC employees and other employed people in the same age and income brackets. Could still be real, but probably not 6x.
Great time to be on alert for statistical weirdness. One that springs to mind is maybe TSMC attracts higher status men who compete more effectively for the women most likely to have children or something like that.

I don't recall ever seeing a nice rundown of why birth rates have collapsed in the most abundant era of human history but I doubt it is as simple as TSMC offering childcare. People have done more with far less on the children front over history.

Could be clean room air too. Or maybe you aren't allowed to smoke near a fab.
Always surprised that more US tech companies don’t offer childcare, which is probably the biggest constraint on employees’ time at the office. In addition it is a huge tax win to pay childcare from top-line revenue rather than having parents spend post-tax income.
is it qualified tax deduction for corp?
There's a tax credit (IRC Code § 45F) that is capped at $150k/year. It's really meant for small businesses.

> If you provide childcare services to your employees, you may be eligible for this general business credit. It covers qualified expenditures for a childcare facility and for childcare resource and referral.

> The Employer-Provided Childcare Credit offers employers a tax credit up to $150,000 per year to offset 25% of qualified childcare facility expenditures and 10% of qualified childcare resource and referral expenditures.

https://www.irs.gov/businesses/small-businesses-self-employe...

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> US tech companies don’t offer childcare, which is probably the biggest constraint on employees’ time at the office.

As a rule of thumb, US companies don't care about workers. Employees are considered an expense to be tolerated.

Before someone tries to present a contrarian view, I implore you to run a thought experiment with your employer - if share price/margin/profits drop tomorrow, what will they do? Layoffs/cuts or ask shareholders to accept lower returns for some time?

This I believe is because shareholder return has become the be-all and end-all. So unlikely to change in current companies. And with the way current systems are if you try to build something different you are unlikely to be able to get much financing/funding to grow.
The flip side of this is that it behooves everyone to be one of these greedy shareholders.
However, a person's retirement investment funds that go to those equity markets in search of bigger paydays are funds that're generally never going to be available to loan for local development in thousands of communities where such a person lives. Big US banks are federally required to provide local lending to some degree, but overall isn't the effect still a lot like brain drain?
That's not a flip side: it's the prisoner's dilemma.

Doing good things on principle is in dire need of being reinvented, perhaps on first principles again.

Eventually the doing for yourself ruins the whole world. We keep sliding down these chutes, ever more convinced to do for ourselves first, as things get worse & worse socially. Even Ford understood he needed to not just create workers for his factory, but a society affluent enough & well paid enough to buy cars. We no longer have that basic sense.

>That's not a flip side: it's the prisoner's dilemma.

True. Having the retirement funds of gen-pop tied to the wellbeing of some unscrupulous mega-corps, leads to a prisoner's dilemma where governments and gen-pop are incentivized to ignore or even support the exploitation, societal damage and misbehavior of such "too big to fail" entities.

It becomes a form of mutually assured destruction: "you can regulate or fine us Uncle Sam, but you'll also be hurting the retirements of your citizens; are you sure you want to do that?"

Where do you think the funding for public pensions comes from, fairy godmothers? Retirement depends upon the market economy to fund it either way. Your wellbeing was already tied from the start.
>Where do you think the funding for public pensions comes from, fairy godmothers?

From my taxes currently.

Shareholders are the owners. Management are legally required to maximize profits for the owners who hired them. It's not merely a recent social construct.

That's why you see shareholder lawsuits against their own company when management does something dumb/illegal and the stock drops.

Management is not allowed to take a pile of money and just burn it for funsies. But the law does not require them to prioritize shareholder profits over literally everything.

Shareholder Theory wasn't even a social norm in the US until the 70s!

As the original commenter said, it is cheaper to pay for childcare than it is to pay money to an employee, have that salary be taxed, and then have that employee pay for childcare with the after-tax salary. Said employee can also drop their child at the office in the morning.

I would take a salary below the market rate if the job came with free childcare, because I'd still have to spend the money and I'd potentially save time on my commute.

This idea that companies "don't care about workers" is absurd. If anything other than the TC for a job has ever mattered to you, the company offering the thing that mattered has probably saved money on your salary.

Part of the issue is parents are picky about who watches their kids.

I’m religious. I want my kids to have a religious daycare.

A friend of mine isn’t religious, but is an immigrant and wants her kids watched after by someone who can teach the kid their parent’s language.

Childcare is Gemeinschaft, not Gesellschaft.

Don't think I saw it so will bring up that wouldn't it be a gap between employees with kids and not? If paying below market, there would be little reason for a single person to pick it over another company that does, assuming confidence to change jobs if they become less single.

Assuming companies don't want an entire workforce of parents for various reasons, paying at market and providing childcare benefits would be the only option. Then the whole shareholders win argument takes hold since income would go down. Most likely miniscule impact, but that satisfy some investor types.

Otherwise, government just has to require it for all companies over certain thresholds. And that becomes the cultural issue. For countries with smaller governments, I guess competition becomes the only venue. We are seeing more public-benefit corporations, which should be able to provide company benefits more easily than shareholder companies. And if startup performance finally picks up in this AI age (well, probably not ;), big companies might be incentivized to retain by providing more benefits.

Costco is probably a counterexample. But yes counterexamples are hard to find so I agree with you.
>As a rule of thumb, US companies don't care about workers.

In which countries do you think companies actually care about workers?

I live in Europe and none of the companies I worked for ever cared about the workers beyond the bare minimum they were mandated to by regulations and even there they were trying to weasel out of some (unpaid overtime, etc) because "the economy is bad" and "we're not competitive with cheaper countries". The moment I got a longer sickness I've been laid off.

Sure, some companies have more perks like Kindergartens for employees and pension plans but that's because they want to attract more competitive workers, not because they actually care about those workers. Their care about you is limited to the amount of added value you bring in, not on some moral or ethical grounds. Otherwise those same companies wouldn't be using sweatshop workers in the far east.

We're economic cannon fodder everywhere. The private sector exists only to provide innovations and return on investment to shareholders or owners, not to care about workers, that's the government's job.

This is why the natalism of certain oligarchs rings so hollow. If they were really serious, they would do everything they could to make it easier for their employees to have children, but they don't.

Meanwhile, I know several people limiting their family size due to economic constraints.

>If they were really serious, they would do everything they could to make it easier for their employees to have children, but they don't.

They want the benefits of it without paying.

It's the same as hiring/training juniors/apprentices (in all kinds of jobs not just tech) etc. Companies want experienced people but don't want to pay to train them, in that case the workaround is to poach someone after they've gotten experience.

Of course when every company is poaching and nobody is hiring juniors you start to see shortage of experienced people.

edit: maybe this is why everyone is trying rush LLMs into some roles.

I disagree. The less a company is involved in my life. Bad enough my health care comes from them.

Companies should not be what holds up society. It gives them too much power. It also amplifies the divide between haves and haves not.

It would be a complex situation in the US at least.

The issue is the Right to Work states. If your childcare is tied to your employment, and you can lose your job at any time, you then can lose your childcare at any time. That sets up incentives that become rather ugly rather fast.

Add in that there are typically long wait lists for childcare, the emotional ties, childcare workers' incentives, and the costs that are universal for the US. It's not even close to a simple decision for anyone.

Personally, I wouldn't use such childcare if it were comparable to other providers. It would have to be significantly cheaper or free to consider it.

It’s not clear to me that this is ugly at all?

You don’t need childcare if you have free time due to not being at work..?

And how are you supposed to take interviews and have the time to apply for jobs with a sick screaming toddler in the room?

I'll add that about 40% of children are born to unwed mothers in the US.

https://www.statista.com/statistics/276025/us-percentage-of-...

And, again, many daycares have moths/years long waiting lists. Daycare is a super local thing in the US and, in my experience, not really all that tied to CoL standards. I've personally been in year+ lists and have had friends where you can pretty much walk in and get started. It's quite variable.

How is this ugly when healthcare is tied to employment already. All the arguments about you can lose your job then you lose X at any time apply.
Yes, we should stop doing that too, its a horrible system.
How is something ugly just because you don’t want to lose it?
Childcare is very personal, especially for those with means to access a wide variety of childcare options. US tech companies don’t offer childcare because it’s not something desired by the employees. There are a few reasons for this:

1. Everyone wants the “best” for their kids. When I think of the “best” childcare, I imagine some specialized program with excellent caregivers and a multitude of enrichment opportunities. I don’t think of a company-run daycare.

2. Many people don’t live near work. You want your kids’ friends to live nearby.

3. You want to provide stability for your kids. Tying daycare to your job is antithetical to that goal.

This is not true in most cases . First, it is logically impossible for everyone to get the ‘best’ thing. Secondly, how many people remember their daycare friends? And people change jobs anyway. Third, how offered something free tied you up? Why providing you free commute credit not tying you up ?
> First, it is logically impossible for everyone to get the ‘best’ thing.

You’re assuming two things:

1. The “best” thing is scarce.

2. Everyone agrees on what the “best” thing is.

People want to send their kids to the best place within the framework of their own opinions on what “best” is. Just because two people work for company X doesn’t mean they’re likely to agree on what a good daycare is.

> Secondly, how many people remember their daycare friends?

How is that relevant? When your kid wants a playdate, you want their friends to be nearby to facilitate that.

> Third, how offered something free tied you up?

Nothing is free.

Let I agree with you, Why “nothing is free” ties you up? You buy a coffee, does that ties you up?
Nothing is free means that the daycare provided by a company isn’t free. It costs the company money and can be considered part of your compensation. It’s almost certainly more efficient and more desirable for the company to give you money to procure your own.

Daycare and coffee just aren’t equivalent.

I think there's a mistake in the article, a fertility rate of 0.87 children per woman does not give 8 grandchildren per 100 taiwanese, but 100x0.87x0.5x0.87x0.5=19 grandchildren per 100 taiwanese.
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Too lazy to math, but I asked chatgpt/claude to guestimate TSMC TFR given numbers in article and it returns something absurd like 6. Which has to be wrong.

Regardless, article acknowledges TSMC accounts for 20% of Taiwans GDP for 0.3% of population, that kind resources per capita for family friendly policies can't scale. I'd be curious to know actual TFR of this cohort i.e. most affluent famillies I know below 2. Including most religious/conservative who has all the resources (maids etc) to have big families but don't. IMO short of god mandating at least 3 kids, TFR settles belows 2 because most don't want to handle more than 1-2 kids, no matter how wealthy they are. I guess people don't want to drive minivans.

Also does this pattern hold for Samsung who accounts for 20% of SKR GDP and employs 0.5% of population?

What if I changed the heading to

"The higher fertility of ( $ Wealthiest Company in the Country ) workers" ?

Would that makes it easier to understand? Not to mention TSMC employees have decent social status in Taiwan. Well Paid and High Benefits by Taiwan Standard, and tends not to do layoffs for stupid reasons. Long terms planning and Institutional Knowledge is important at TSMC. Unlike Intel 2009 - 2021.

How about something about sitting all day in tightly environmentally controlled facilities filtering all the pollution away?