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You are doing god’s work.

Also, fyi for others. Many public libraries have NYT daily access codes you can use for free. It’s a bit of a pain to have to renew each day you want to read NYT but is still great to have.

Having a gift link is even more convenient.

We detached this comment from https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42040802. (Nothing wrong with your post, I just want to pin the parent to the top so people don't miss the links, and it's better not to consume extra real estate up there)
Appreciate the note!
Now that we switched to WaPo I've put it back :)
Thanks for mentioning that! One of my libraries does a 3 day code. It looks reasonably insecure and scriptable to fetch since it is hard coded as a hidden element in the page that opens the NYT page upon successful login.
The irony of your comment is that tech workers want pay increases (amongst other things) and here we're talking about avoiding paying for their product.

NYT is a great publication and I'm happy to pay less than a $1 a day for tons of great content.

I sympathize with the workers, but NYT is no org I want to support again
Nobody's talking about not paying.

We pay for the library, and the library pays for an access license. NYT gets paid.

Gift articles are sent by subscribers … who pay.

The current top comment includes this:

> I encourage everyone to respect the picket line and get your news elsewhere until the workers get a deal.

It would be nice if this could be replaced with a non-NYT link.

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That is not what the union asked for.

The guild said it was asking readers to honor its digital picket line by not playing Times Games products, such as Wordle, and not using the Cooking app.

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I am also a member of the union at NPR, on the subway headed to the picket line in solidarity right now. Happy to answer any questions.

I encourage everyone to respect the picket line and get your news elsewhere until the workers get a deal.

The Times Workers are holding the line against arbitrary return to office mandates and for Just Cause protections. The vast majority of HN consists of developers, designers, QA, and PMs who stand to gain from a successful movement to win these rights.

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It does, you don't have enough karma for it though. The threshold is/was 500.
It does, but I think it only appears after you reach a certain karma level.
It has, but not for newbies or people without a history of productive/popular comments.

Edit: interesting that this factoid attracted a downvote. It is factually true and doesn't indicate any personal opinion on the state of things.

/* It does, as soon as your karma reaches 500 or something. A comment voted down sufficiently enough becomes "dead". But again, with sufficient karma you can vouch for a comment and resurrect it from the dead, thus preventing e.g. effects of a brigade attack. There are several more automatic preventive tools. HN is slightly less simple than it looks; maybe this is one of the secrets why it's still alive and relevant after 17 years online. */
Ah, that's pretty neat actually
You can easily compare the civilian/combatant death ratio in the Israel / Hamas conflict to any other recent war, or alternatively look at the population growth of Gaza since Israel has left, to confirm this is false.

NYT also covered the fake hospital story and had to apologise regarding it: https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2023/10/new-york-times-gaza-...

> You can easily compare the civilian/combatant death ratio in the Israel / Hamas conflict to any other recent war, or alternatively look at the population growth of Gaza since Israel has left, to confirm this is false.

I'm not understanding how the population of Gaza is supposed to disprove the fact that the NYT made up fake stories. Please enlighten me?

The things being disproven are the genocide claim and the claim of the New York Times being biased towards Israel.
They're striking against return to office? I work from home and value it but it never would occur to me to strike for that. I view it as a privilege and not a right. Almost everyone in the world has to go on location for their jobs. I am curious why it is so important to NYT workers in particular that they would strike over it - is there something particularly bad about the location?
A privilege is given, a right is taken.

If enough people fight for the recognition of their need and desire to work from home, enough to enshrine it in some legal norms or at least in widely accepted and expected practices in the industry, WFH may become a right. This is how 40-hour work weeks became a right, or collective bargaining became a right, etc.

> This is how 40-hour work weeks became a right

It became a standard in the US, but is not a right. And while the idea of the 40-hour work week did, indeed, come from labour groups, it was the Great Depression needing effort to try and compel businesses to hire more workers, not the fight of workers, that pushed to see it become a standard.

That might be the final chord, but the tune started back in the 18th century, as a long struggle: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eight-hour_day_movement

It wasn't a sudden bout of benevolnce from the FDR administration, or from anyone in the management or government.

> It wasn't a sudden bout of benevolnce from the FDR administration

Was there something to suggest it was? Getting workers back working isn't for the benefit of workers.

How about letting them earn wages which they otherwise would not?
A wage is debt, so not beneficial in and of itself. It can be beneficial when you call the debt and turn it into something tangible (e.g. food), of course, but that is also of benefit to the business who derives joy in giving you that food. It is not for the benefit of workers. It is for the benefit of everyone.
It is one of the many things they strike against, and I imagine it's not the most important issue and they are willing to compromise on.

Also a reminder that just a few years ago, CEOs thought remote work was good, everyone was productive, and they didn't see how they wanted to force everybody back. No, it's not a privilege, it's just how you get work done.

> Almost everyone in the world has to go on location for their jobs

I think it's fair to point out that progressive worker rights acquisition would initially always be a small case minority context (vs the vast majority that would lack those rights).

In the distant past almost everyone in the world lacked xyz worker rights.

> I view it as a privilege and not a right.

I'd call it a perk or benefit. It's like health insurance or vacation time. You may not have a right to it, but it's upsetting when you lose it.

When an employer takes away something you have a right to, you don't strike, you sue.

Have you got a family? How long is your commute? What did you (and your family) gain from the move to WFH? Speaking for myself I gained over two hours of free time a day and a lot less stress from traffic. I wouldn't mind so much if my office was in walking or cycling distance, but living where you work is rare in this field.
I would totally join a strike against RTO if I were in a union or if someone organized one in response. The only other option for me would be to quit and look for another remote job.

I'm not going back to having to bring earmuffs and blast music all day just to have any hope of getting anything done, I'm not starting a commute, and I'm not sacrificing lunches with my kids for some executive's opinion about how I ought to collaborate most effectively.

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> They're striking against return to office? I work from home and value it but it never would occur to me to strike for that. I view it as a privilege and not a right

Meanwhile in the early 20th century:

> They're striking over a weekend? I work five days a week and value it but it never would occur to me to strike for that. I view it as a privilege and not a right

Like, this is generally how it goes; workers' rights are generally won, not granted by divine authority.

Let’s not forget they fought for the 8-hour work day too:

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eight-hour_day_movement

In the United States, Philadelphia carpenters went on strike in 1791 for the ten-hour day. By the 1830s, this had become a general demand. In 1835, workers in Philadelphia organised the 1835 Philadelphia general strike, the first general strike in North America, led by Irish coal heavers. Their banners read, From 6 to 6, ten hours work and two hours for meals.[37] Labor movement publications called for an eight-hour day as early as 1836. Boston ship carpenters, although not unionized, achieved an eight-hour day in 1842.

Except it didn't exactly work out like that, companies were constantly looking for loopholes to avoid it and it didn't become normalized until the Henry Ford did it voluntarily for capitalist reasons and it payed off.
> I work from home and value it but it never would occur to me to strike for that.

I believe that the value from WFH varies a lot from person to person.

If you were working from the office before and the company changed to a WFH policy, you might see it as a nice to have. You already made some life choices to accommodate going to the office. Maybe you even go to the office anyway.

But, if you were hired when the company already had WFH, you probably made some life choices based on that (buying a house far away from the city, having kids, not buying a car,...). In that case, mandatory RTO is a complete disaster (especially with the housing crisis) and you pretty much have no option other than resigning.

I assume NYT was doing WFH since ~2020, so a lot of employees probably took decisions based on WFH, therefore the strikes.

One of the things they're striking against is arbitrary return to office mandates. Why did you leave off two words that change the nature of what they're fighting for?

Other folks have already pointed out the "rights" unions have fought for that we take for granted today. On top of that, being in a union is about solidarity with your fellow workers. You can support your coworkers' who need or just want to work from home. This should be easy, since it would affect you in approximately zero ways. They'll have your back for fighting for Just Cause protections.

> One of the things they're striking against is arbitrary return to office mandates.

If it is arbitrary, why is the NYT seemingly standing firm on the issue? As the article tells, NYT have agreed to a seven month grace period to give workers a chance to get their houses in order. That is not indicative of an arbitrary move.

Perhaps you mean they are striking against mandates that are motivated by undisclosed reasons?

If it is arbitrary, why is the NYT seemingly standing firm on the issue?

You'll have to ask NYT management if you're curious why they're doing something. I can venture a guess though. A lot of companies use RTO mandates as a way to avoid layoffs (and the negative press and severance requirements that come with them). This seems to go hand in hand with the demand for "just cause".

As the article tells, NYT have agreed to a seven month grace period to give workers a chance to get their houses in order. That is not indicative of an arbitrary move.

This doesn't follow.

> You'll have to ask NYT management if you're curious why they're doing something.

I don't have to ask them anything if they are truly doing it arbitrarily. That's the answer.

But the question is if you are confusing "arbitrary" with "not knowing". Which is I guess I am to take that the answer is yes, that you are confused, since you admit to not knowing – which means you can't know that it is arbitrary.

How did you end up so confused?

> This doesn't follow.

If it is arbitrary, why not institute it today on a whim (strike notwithstanding)? Why wait? This indicates that there is planning involved, which suggests that it isn't arbitrary. It does not prove it without a doubt, but when playing the odds…

There are no severance requirements for layoffs in the US.
> I am curious why it is so important to NYT workers in particular that they would strike over it - is there something particularly bad about the location?

You're aware that NYC is an extremely expensive place to live, right?

Pretty sure the NYT has entire contributors and foreign correspondents working remotely, forever.

Not in a position to help you guys in any way, but fight the good fight against the mythology of the grand collaborative campfire that apparently happens in-office.

I rely on them to know what is going on, and tomorrow is the biggest day of every four years for needing to know what the heck is going on.

I find your suggestion that I should consider the trust I've built with their news division destroyed on this day of all days ridiculous and irresponsible, especially given the fact that the timing of the strike was chosen to hurt me extremely badly if I should feel morally obligated to follow your advice

Times leadership knew this was coming and dragged their feet on negotiating.
I don't doubt it.

While I wholeheartedly support their legal right to organize, I am not required to celebrate at the cynicism of attempting to undermine faith in democracy to win a better job

> I am not required to celebrate at the cynicism of attempting to undermine faith in democracy to win a better job

You're being melodramatic. There are piles of news sources to choose from, absent NYT. And that assumes it falls over due to the strike, although it seems likely they need workers on hand to do ops.

I am being a bit melodramatic, yes. My working assumption is that the services they offer are critical enough that management will somehow make sure they stand up, because it is their obligation to me as their customer to do so.

But with there being such a strong probability that there will be coordinated far-right attempts to undermine faith in our system of elections tomorrow, I do really do think of tomorrow as a kind of holy day for democracy that is not acceptable to use as bargaining chip.

> I do really do think of tomorrow as a kind of holy day for democracy that is not acceptable to use as bargaining chip.

Nothing about an election where only the votes of people in 7 states out of 50 matter can possibly be "holy" for democracy.

I don't need the far-right to undermine faith in our system of elections; I'm not far-right and have never had any faith in it to begin with.

There are many other excellent news sources. I suggest NPR, The LA Times, or the Washington Post.
Did Wapo roll back their cost-saving plan to coerce their reporters into using AI to write the news?
I'm not sure how organizing a strike is undermining the faith in democracy, looks to me rather the other way around.
> attempting to undermine faith in democracy

Election day, assuming that is what you are referring to, is the least important day in democracy. It is every day after the person is hired, when you stay on top of them and communicate your expectations to them, when democracy happens.

> While I wholeheartedly support their legal right to organize, I am not required to celebrate at the cynicism of attempting to undermine faith in democracy to win a better job

I’m not gonna support your cynical anti-union, anti-worker policy of blaming everything on the part of the workers while dismissing the management side with a “I don’t doubt it”.

Two can play this game.

Protests that are done quietly and without costs and not effective protest.

Also, there are more than one reputable news source. This protest isn't going to hurt you

I can't imagine that the strike was not timed. I suppose the idea is that the management may say "come on, let's quickly solve it and get back to the really important issues", if this indeed can be solved quickly. E.g. by saying that WFH is officially allowed for another year, or something similar, that actually requires no change except some change of heart among the higher-ups.

Not having this solved well ahead of time speaks poorly of NYT overlords. My trust in NYT has deteriorated quite a bit over the years :(

> was chosen to hurt me extremely badly if I should feel morally obligated to follow your advice

A few sincere questions:

1. Are there no other news sources that you'd trust to convey the binary of 'who won the election?'

2. Assuming that there aren't, what negative effect would there be to you from not knowing the result of the election for a few days?

I'm sorta hoping that "hurt me extremely badly" is an exaggeration for effect. If not I'd suggest getting some perspective.

That's assuming the result is a binary this year. I'm expecting torrents of news about this contest, which is likely to turn into a brawl.
And what harm to you would it be to not be aware of whatever nonsense is happening for a few days? Would you have been extremely damaged if you had not heard about January 6th until a week later?

Unless you sincerely think there's going to be widespread political violence in your specific area, knowing about what's going on in at this exact moment is honestly as much about entertainment as anything else. And if you need local news, the NYT is typically not the best place.

I'm as guilty of rubbernecking as anyone, but I wouldn't go so far as to claim that boycotting my favorite news source for a few days would be extremely damaging to me.

One way I get to have faith in our country and pride in being an American for the next four years.

You're talking about Jan 6 like it was just some minor scuffle. And I agree that it did not ultimately amount to more than that, but do not forget that at the time there were two live bombs on the ground, we were in a constitutional crisis, the president seemed to be hoping that if he maintained silence his supporters would carry out a forceful takeover of the government which he assured them would be righteous in his view.

The fact that there was not more escalation had a lot to do with how many people were watching closely, as well as with the actions of a few individuals like Mike Pence and Brad Reffensperger who, at the most important moments, decided that their duty was to all Americans and not just to one man.

> The fact that there was not more escalation had a lot to do with how many people were watching closely

It had absolutely nothing to do with the rubberneckers (myself included) who were following it from moment to moment on the other side of the country.

Some small percentage of the watchers are in a place to actually do something about it, and if that's you then fine. Most of us don't need to know on the day of, we've just grown accustomed to knowing, and it's probably honestly a net negative for the world that we do follow things that are outside of our control so closely.

Trump was literally watching television news, taking the temperature of people's reactions on Twitter, and deciding in real time what he should do based on that information. The insurrectionists were closely watching the news and Twitter as well. Probably more people would have died or the coup would have been successful if there was lag in the coverage of a few days.
If you believe this you fundamentally misunderstand the kinds of people who were participating in the insurrection.

The opinions of the people who are comfortable sitting by while the conspiracy "steals the election" (or more likely, the astrotufed reactions put forward by sockpuppets of the conspirators themselves) don't matter by the time you get to the point of invading the US capitol.

Trump was being cynical, but the insurrectionists themselves were just nuts. They couldn't have cared less what Twitter thought.

> The fact that there was not more escalation had a lot to do with how many people were watching closely, as well as with the actions of a few individuals like Mike Pence and Brad Reffensperger who, at the most important moments, decided that their duty was to all Americans and not just to one man.

... and in no small part due to the actions of police officer Eugene Goodman [1], who diverted away the incoming rioters with about 60 seconds or so to spare - had he not done that, the mob would likely have been able to take hostages.

It was sheer fucking luck and a couple of very VERY brave individuals that kept the death count of Jan 6th in the single digits (at least if one excludes the police officers committing suicide in the months after).

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eugene_Goodman

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I like coming to the Hacker News comments to get a sense of what other perspectives people have.

"Insurrection" is, in the most tone-deaf language-nerd sense, the word for what happened on that day. You could say that the US had a famous insurrection against the British, but we call it a revolution and we call the people who fought in the resulting war patriots and heroes. I've no doubt that the people who went and fought at the capitol believed that they were fighting as soldiers and patriots, so I'm less inclined to judge their moral character than I am to judge that of the person who told them that their lives and futures were over unless they took action.

no, completely unarmed protestors - protesting in favor of an election audit - did not think they were soldiers.
Really? War paint, mob mentality, tactical gear, and many of the police that engaged with them ended up wounded or dead. People were climbing the walls, smashing through windows. Can you imagine these people doing any of these things if they weren't riding a surge of adrenaline that justified any risk to further the cause? Can you imagine them being alone, without the (presumed) support of the sitting president, and doing these things? I can imagine them standing outside with signs, and if that's what they did we wouldn't be having a conversation now.
What police engaged with them and ended up wounded or dead? Can you show me?
Lawmakers are still exiting the chamber as a throng of bodies rushes towards the door. The nation watches on TV as someone with a deadly serious job waits on the other side to start shooting in defense of the lawmakers if the protesters break in. These protesters already know somewhere in their mind that they've committed a crime that will land them in prison. Should they gain tactical control of the chamber, especially after losing lives in doing so, especially before all the lawmakers were out... I agree that hostages would have been taken. It does not take a democratic vote for a mob to take hostages.

But I'm not judging -- they were just people, doing pretty much what I suspect you or I would do if we could contrive a comparable set of circumstances.

People were beaten, trampled and shot in the face. Subsequently, most are convicted and/or in prison. It was not a "scuffle."
Well Trump claimed to have a secret strategy to deploy if he loses. The rhetoric of violence and retribution is increasing from that camp. I don’t think widespread physical violence and an assault on the institutions of democracy are out of the question. It’s not unreasonable for the poster to want access to their trusted source of news in this trying time.
The judges will rule swiftly and for the betterment of democracy. I expect zero support of any consequence for election denying maggots.
If there is ANY political violence from this election, you should be checking LOCAL news, not the NYT, unless you plan to drive out to the Capital to participate in that violence.

What the shit does it help the Capital police if there is some sort of coup attempt and you watch it on TV? Does that really save America somehow? People are so desperate to be bystanders to things they could have prevented by making better choices months earlier.

The thing is, if people only go on strikes at times when it would be convenient to customers of the employer, then strikes wouldn't be particularly effective.

(There actually are strikes which are consciously run on this basis, but mostly only in the most safety-critical fields.)

Like, it's not as if the NYTimes was unaware that it'd be a big news week; you should probably be blaming management more than anyone else here.

> tomorrow is the biggest day of every four years for needing to know what the heck is going on

Watching a car crash, totally outside of your control in real time is not healthy. Skip the will they / won't they and find something healthier to do with the 24 hours or so of uncertainty.

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Well strikes are only effective when they hurt. I fully support aiming strikes at points of time when they have most impact. That is only way to show importance of the workers. Maybe excluding things like natural emergencies.
> This genuinely seems like extortion.

extortion implies extorionate demands. the demands here are ... checks notes ... remote work and protection from arbitrary termination.

That is what strikes are by definition, yes. It doesn't just seem like it. There is no other weapon workers can wield if they don't have a legal basis to make leadership meet their demands.

Obviously this can backfire in countries that don't have good union law and if you are too replaceable (hello AI).

Except this is legal. Extortion is typically not.
This isn't Extortion because there's no gun to your head saying you HAVE to provide labor. At least in most industries. If I choose not to help you, I'm not extorting anything - you're free to find someone else. If you can't, and I'm your only option, that's still your problem, not mine.
Not quite. Extortion is defined by introducing force. A strike is defined by withdrawing force.
What do they protest against though? Exploitation.

Who has more power; employees or employers?

No one has a right, legally or morally, to another person's labor if they can't come to terms. Workers have power when they act together, and in this case are using that power strategically to advance their interests and those of many other workers.

If management were rational actors, they would have reached a deal at some point in the last two years of bargaining.

You might want to research the topic of strikes & unions.

The timple truth is that it's a give and take. If the demands would be too extreme the NYT would go bankrupt and the workers lose out on their job.

Thus, it's in their best interest to have reasonable demands. Most people forgett this part.

The workers, collectively, formed demands. At some point the burden should be on the employer to explain why the demands are not reasonable.

I mean, unless you're arguing that employers are in some sense entitled to the labour of their employees under terms dictated by the employer, I'm not sure how that works.
I think leverage is the word you're looking for.
Extortion is defined by action (e.g. threat of violence). A strike is defined by inaction (the workers quit working).
I would recommend to just get your news elsewhere, forever.

Like just ask chatgpt or your dog to make something up that sounds contemporary and newsy. Same quality level.

Good luck. I'm curious what you feel about the following:

These days news publications generally have a pretty weak business model and a lot of competition. Does it still make sense to have a union in this case? Why?

The NYT is very profitable.
They just released their earnings report.

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/11/04/new-york-times-nyt-q3-earnin...

> Total revenue of $640.2 million was in line with estimates of $640.8 million, as digital advertising thrived.

> Adjusted profit was 45 cents per share.

There are 164,540,000 shares outstanding.

That gives a profit of $74,043,000

They have 5900 employees for a profit per employee per quarter of $12,550

While yes, they are profitable this doesn't suggest that there is a lot of room between profit, pay raise per employee and net loss for the company.

Unions are about more than compensation, they can also fight for working conditions, like the ability to work from home and the processes involved in termination, which are both at issue in this strike.

Contrary to perhaps popular misconception, if the business is unprofitable, unions aren't going to demand a larger piece of a disappearing pie. If there isn't money to be paid out, there's nothing to fight over. Leading a union or negotiating for a union does not fundamentally turn you into an unreasonable person at the negotiating table.

Uh the UWA would beg to differ. American production has only been shrinking as they have demanded more.
Something I've learned from 404 media is journalism actually has a fine business model. People are willing to pay for good journalism.

The problem is (much like the rest of the economy) what passes for news media is incredibly top heavy and bloated with managers, executives, and shareholders who suck up money without providing any value.

For every journalist there are 15 managers and editors hired for nepotism reasons. The NYT is full of people like that who do nothing but trot out right wing editorials supporting whatever war the US is involved in[4] or attacking people who think the world can be a better place[3]. I used to pay for The Atlantic but for every Ed Yong writing amazing science articles there's a right wing editor like Jeffrey Goldberg[1] sucking up money and shitting out right wing propaganda[2].

This article[0]from 404 said it well.

>Then I went to work for VICE, and made working at VICE part of my identity. I wanted the company to succeed so badly because I believed in what we were doing and I believed in the institution. I worked zillions of hours of unpaid overtime, took on side projects, canceled vacations to do work, worked on vacations, and made incredibly hard decisions, thinking that, if I did my job well enough, the company would succeed and we would get to keep doing what we were doing. I spent the vast majority of that time doing work that made money for an over-bloated apparatus that existed to make a bunch of middle managers and executives large salaries and bonuses and to benefit a founder who is now retroactively denigrating our work in an attempt to cling to whatever relevancy he can find by catering to conspiracy theorists and the right.

I hope journalists leave the old right wing media like the NYT and Washington Post and start their own things focusing on journalism. I gladly pay for that.

0 https://www.404media.co/the-billionaire-is-the-threat-not-th... 1: https://fair.org/home/conspiracies-pushed-by-atlantics-edito... 2: https://citationsneeded.libsyn.com/episode-198-how-the-atlan... 3: https://fair.org/home/nyts-campus-free-speech-coverage-focus... 4: https://fair.org/home/20-years-later-nyt-still-cant-face-its...

> For every journalist there are 15 managers and editors

Really? I don't believe this at all. I have not seen a properly edited published piece online in over a decade, and it continues to get worse. From obvious spelling errors and sentence fragments to full blown loss of coherent thoughts. The obviousness of multiple contributors' work being mashed together with the same information being repeated multiple times within the piece clearly shows that no editor is looking over the work at all. No editor worth their salt would allow that kind of work.

Lots of interesting things in here - thanks for sharing - but why on earth do you call NYT and WashPo "right wing"?
? Would say union are even more important in hard times.
Does it still make sense to have a union while there are jobs? Yes.
Genuine question: what prevents the NYT from offshoring these jobs if they can be done from home? I feel for you, as a fellow worker, but unless there is something hyper-local about the job such as regulatory requirements or trust issues with IP protection, the jobs will go to the ones who work hard without complaining too much.
> “Work hard without complaining”

I don’t think this is the outlook of an ally.

I think the answer to that is a strong union able to bring down the website and get management to the table.

This is why we all need unions.

> I think the answer to that is a strong union able to bring down the website

Unions cannot cause intentional or malicious destruction of their workplace.

https://www.cnn.com/2023/06/01/politics/labor-strike-supreme...

That was clearly intended to permanently damage/destroy the equipment.

Coding a time bomb into the website would be illegal, but they can't force you back to work to fix a bug/outage that happens to occur during the strike.

If your highly cacheable, almost entirely static news site goes out when no one is touching anything, that's pretty suspect.
I suspect you underestimate the complexity of the NYT site and keeping it running.

Especially with a huge election tomorrow.

Just saying, if it's built acceptably well, it shouldn't require engineers putting out fires constantly to not go down. But I'm sure you're right that I'm underestimating the complexity of the system as it's been constructed.

And I guess it's not the case that no one is touching anything, it's being updated constantly.

In particular, tomorrow night is going to have a lot of things needing rapid tweaking; some random county in Missouri is gonna somehow have an emoji in their election count CSV because someone hit the wrong key, some new microservice will choke under the once-every-four-years load, etc.
I see how you could think that based on my phrasing, but presumably they have jobs because they do important work.

I didn't meant to imply they would or should sabotage anything.

It is very beneficial for the newspaper to have them working eastern timezone hours (frequent meetings with NYC-based staff and deadlines driven by daily publishing schedule), and be familiar with the subject matter they are working on. They aren't reporters but they are still part of the reporting team and it will significantly slow things down for everyone if they don't know or care about the news.
Not OP, but I work in a company that is fully remote with a mix of offshore and onshore.

It's possible we'd hire junior engineers locally for the offshore roles if we went fully local, but there's zero chance that we could offshore any of our existing onshore roles. This is for a few reasons:

1. Data law compliance. We can't let people outside the US see PII, which precludes them from participating fully in many support roles, including rotations within engineering.

2. Time zone differences are huge. We have some developers in Eastern Europe who we love, but coordinating their work with the roles that we can't offshore is substantially trickier than local employees. At a certain point it's more rational to pay higher salaries for US-timezone employees.

3. Cultural differences get in the way. It's far easier for a product person or a designer to get an idea across to someone with shared cultural context, so there are fewer back and forth iterations when there are US employees on a project than when there aren't. For the same reason we can't offshore design roles since we're serving a US market, so that doesn't work as a solution.

4. There's substantial difficulty in filtering for quality. We have some offshore contractors who've been with us for years, but we've struggled whenever we tried to add new ones. Hiring is always hard but it's particularly hard when you're either doing it indirectly through a contracting company or doing it yourself across cultural barriers.

Lastly but perhaps most importantly, when we're doing offshoring through contracting companies who take a share of the fee, the difference in cost versus a US employee is much less significant. And if we're not using a contracting company then we're on the hook for figuring out the tax situation ourselves and as I mentioned filtering for quality is much harder. So it doesn't save as much money as people would assume to offshore a role.

Great list! All make sense to me.
For (2), this is why you are seeing more and more off-shoring from the US to South America.
Yeah, but that doesn't solve any of the other problems.
Ok. Wasn't intending to address any of the other issues you raised, but I can because on further reflection there are many issues with your points:

(1) This generally isn't true for most companies. You must be in healthcare? Otherwise there are a bunch of state-level data protection laws which to my knowledge do not prevent access to PII by persons not within the US.

(2) Partially covered with my first comment about South America. I'll also note that asynchronous work seems to be more productive for a lot of people, and practically everyone in the corporate world complains about too many meetings – so maybe making it harder to constantly have meetings is a feature, not a bug (even if your org isn't great at async).

(3) Shared context might be helpful, but the design part is nonsense. Obviously non-Americans can design for the US market. Suggesting otherwise is just so ludicrous I don't know where to start.

(4) This is just a skill issue. You can definitely filter for quality in off-shore roles just as well as you can for on-shore roles. If you're bad at it, that's on you, not intrinsic to the off-shore labor or their circumstances.

(5) Saving money isn't the only reason to off-shore roles. Believe it or not there are actually more talented people you have access to if you consider all 8 billion of the world's population rather than only looking at 4% of it. Or for example with your first point where off-shoring can actually be a huge boon because diff timezones means all of your employees can work a 9-5 without needing people to work graveyard shifts. Also there are solutions like Deel which are less expensive than your average contracting middleman, but still allow you to hire people globally without needing to deal (pun intended by them I guess) with all the local tax etc issues. So even if money is your only concern, there is plenty of room left in the market for labor arbitrage.

So many people underestimate the cost of coordinating across global time zones.
As well as take shared cultural context / communication for granted.

That isn't to say that teams should be monocultural, but expecting to have high performing teams without any thought to culture, time zone, or communication ability is optimistic.

IMO those issues are fixable with good hiring and firing. But all the fixes for large timezone differences that I've seen have significant costs and tradeoffs. Usually you pay with velocity.
Offshoring is nothing new. Has been tried for decades, with multiple degrees of failure.
It seems they failed either because:

1. The businesses didn't know how to handle the workers not being in the office. While a problem in the past, this is now a solved problem thanks to COVID forcing them to figure it out.

2. The businesses tried to hire cheap workers. This is still going to fail, just as hiring minimum wage workers in the US for the job would fail. The workers you actually want charge the same no matter where their seat happens to be located. But I'm not sure that is applicable here as the parent is not talking about cost-cutting, but filling the roles that are no longer filled due to the strike.

Cultural problems, communication problems, leadership problems.

I’ve been involved in a lot of software offshoring projects. It’s about twice as likely to end in failure compared to onshore software development services.

It has nothing to do with the price. I’ve worked with great devs who were cheap and terrible devs who were expensive. And it’s hard to tell which is which till the project ships or fails to ship.

> It has nothing to do with the price. I’ve worked with great devs who were cheap and terrible devs who were expensive. And it’s hard to tell which is which till the project ships or fails to ship.

Very interesting, thanks!

I worked both as an offshore contractor, and as part of a team with offshore members. I can ensure that #1 is bullshit. You can have the whole offshore team in an office butts in seats all day and meet with failure. Happened many times in the past.

#2 is a possibility. What happens when you do it is that your cheap hires tend to stay for a short time (as they will get better offers later, possibly involving relocation to better countries). You end up with the ones that are cheap for a reason.

Most of reasons for failure is that incentives in between contractors and hiring company is misaligned, leadership have no idea what they are doing, cultural differences, time zone differences, etc.

> You can have the whole offshore team in an office butts in seats all day and meet with failure.

If all the butts are in the same office, you are no longer offshoring. You've moved the entire business.

I don't think that is what anyone here is talking about, though. I certainly wasn't. Offshoring normally implies remote work.

You've misinterpreted their comment. US companies that offshore usually have offices in other countries and these offshore offices typically have stricter RTO policies than the onshore offices. They weren't saying that all of the workers for a given company were in an offshore office, but that the offshore employees were required to be in-office.
Again, offshoring normally implies that there are workers still in an "onshore" office. This has traditionally failed because the workers in the "onshore" office didn't know how to bridge the gap with the workers in the "offshore" office.

But that's not the case anymore. The "onshore" workers are (or at least did for several years, giving the needed experience) also working remotely, so there is no longer an office barrier between the "onshore" business and the workers abroad.

Whether or not the workers "offshore" work together in an office or independently at coffee shops really makes no difference and has nothing to do with the conversation. If you mean the parent misinterpreted what we're talking about – that is likely true. But we're not going to change the subject just because he is confused.

> If you mean the parent misinterpreted what we're talking about – that is likely true.

No, like I spelled out, your response that I replied to misinterpreted the comment that you replied to. What they were pointing out was that the failure rate of offshore work was never due to offshore teams being unable to coordinate due to not being in-office, but because other other problems, such as culture. Also, the user that you replied to was the one who made the upper-level comment that you originally responded to, not the other way around.

> What they were pointing out was that the failure rate of offshore work was never due to offshore teams being unable to coordinate due to not being in-office

Yes, that is what they pointed out, but it made no sense. The only way that could have applicability to the conversation is if you moved the entire business into that new "offshore" office, but then you wouldn't be "offshoring" anymore. You will have moved the business instead. Which isn't what anyone is talking about. The original comment is clearly about offshoring, not relocating businesses.

I expect you are right that the other commenter misinterpreted something and replied based on that misinterpretation. But, no need to change the subject because of their confusion. Especially when, as you point out, they established the subject! If it was good enough then, it remains good enough now.

"Most of reasons for failure is that incentives in between contractors and hiring company is misaligned, leadership have no idea what they are doing, cultural differences, time zone differences"

No-one was referring to moving business and I'm still not sure where you are coming from with that. Moving a contained software business unit of a US based business to another country is not "moving the business", but is often how offshoring works. This doesn't involve moving the entire business, but just a mostly self-contained portion of it. I don't think surgical_fire misinterpreted anything. The quote above from surgical_fire explains their sentiment. Businesses in the US getting used to their onshore employees being remote doesn't solve any of these offshoring issues.

> No-one was referring to moving business

Exactly. So where do you think the statement in question fits?

> and I'm still not sure where you are coming from with that.

Well, you're certainly not going to figure it out if you keep going off on some strange tangent about an entirely separate part of the comment that has nothing to do with the discussion here and which nobody replied to. And, I might add, offered nothing of value as that part said the same thing as the comment posted approximately two hours prior.

But what is your motivation for being in that state? We can see you are purposefully trying to not figure it out. Not only are you not staying on topic, you haven't even asked a single question to try and help your understanding. What is to be gained in acting like an idiot? Just a show put on for the sake of the lolz?

> Again, offshoring normally implies that there are workers still in an "onshore" office.

Not workers doing the same jobs though. Look at how manufacturing was offshored over the past several decades -- for many companies, entire job trees within the US were eliminated. HQ is still in the US, but anything remotely having to do with manufacturing isn't. You have to go really high up the chain in those offshored manufacturing jobs before you see anyone actually interacting with an employee in the US.

> You have to go really high up the chain in those offshored manufacturing jobs before you see anyone actually interacting with an employee in the US.

And how are those not the same jobs...?

There aren't workers doing those jobs in the US anymore. 100% of those close-to-the-actual-manufacturing jobs were outsourced. The remaining people in the US aren't doing the same jobs; they're doing HQ stuff.
I think if they did that and the union made a big enough stink, customers would potentially riot.
Time zone requirements will destroy your retention.
It's fairly difficult to do American news, centered around American politics and American culture, from not-America. This, at least, applies to editors and journalists. But for tech, I'd imagine they need quite a bit of context too.
Also the tech team at NYT is co-innovating with the business and journalism sides. Their work is highly ambiguous and changing year to year as they move their capabilities forward. That can't be outsourced or it undermines the strategy. NYT could build that capacity over time in another location that's cheaper but it would still need to be tightly integrated (i.e. employees).
Thats actually a big separator between quality tech companies and lower tier ones ime. Lower tier ones treat devs as a cost center and code monkeys. Higher quality ones treat them as a value generator and expect them to know about and engage with the business. Its what lets them work with more autonomy and intuition to ship the stuff people need most, that generates the most value.
There is nothing about the shitty office cube farm that imbues magic anti-offshoring properties to your job.
I have seen this before and it hit me. What is the point?

Is the end goal to just have management in a nice office and all production including hr, finance and IT overseas??

I mean those are office jobs, so they can WFH, so they can be in India or Philipines!! :)

Wow saving so much money!!!

Does a company work in a country or will they just take and take and take from the country and then not give jobs?

Almost making me nationalist (I am in the EU)

Yes! Outsourced HR has been a thing for a while, the same as IT or customer support. Offshoring the dev team makes sense, and offshoring of lower management has started, because it’s just easier if they’re in the same timezone as their team. Obviously senior management is too important to be replaced, for now.

The goal of a company is indeed to make as much money while spending as little as possible. Why hire people when you don’t have to?

The purpose, point, goal, and desire of a company, which in real terms means the people who work in the C-Suite and make all the choices, is to make as much money as possible. They have no loyalties, it's more profitable that way.

For example, multiple fast food companies have driven themselves into the ground by exploiting their franchise owners for fast cash. That's how Quiznos died. You would think murdering a company would actually be bad for C level people, but they just move on to the next company. They never seem to have a problem getting hired despite their past performance.

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There are already places with Internet access that can work for cheaper than people that live in the NY area. For a long time now. Clearly there are more variables at play here. Or else the local NYT employees could be the most subservient and diligent workers ever: they would still get replaced by the cheaper offshore labor eventually.

What prevents the NYT? In part: workers not just lying down and taking it. Just not “complaining” at all, like your implicit feel-for-you advice.

> There are already places with Internet access that can work for cheaper than people that live in the NY area.

Hell, even in the NY area. Median household in the Bronx is only $37,397, meaning that half of the households are living there for less than that. And that's household income, which is usually about 1.5-2x above individual income. That's a huge margin against what these workers are being paid.

But people don't sell things based on cost. Hell, a lot of people lose money when they sell things. Around 10% of the US population have a negative income in a given year! People instead charge as much as they can (or think they can, at least) get.

And anyone who is worth hiring offshore can get just as much as a local (within some reasonable margin; there can be frictional costs to offshore hiring that won't change the cost to the employer, but will reduce what makes it to the worker). You can sometimes get lucky and hire someone who doesn't understand their worth, both locally and offshore, but you can't count on that (and they aren't apt to stick around for long once they realize their worth). On balance, it costs the same no matter where you go.

> what prevents the NYT from offshoring these jobs if they can be done from home?

Cheaper and submissive labor doesn't result in high-quality products.

> on the subway headed to the picket line in solidarity right now. [...] are holding the line against arbitrary return to office mandates

Wouldn't you send a stronger message if you picketed at home?

Has the union asked for people to "boycott" the NYT during their strike? I know that sometimes unions want that, and sometimes they want the opposite.
> I encourage everyone to respect the picket line and get your news elsewhere

Technically, wouldn't "respecting the picket line" be not doing any "scab" work for the NYTimes? Asking us not to use the NYTimes is more of a boycott and a separate question (and not always something strikers ask for). Is it official policy of the strike that they request people boycott in solidarity as well?

> Asking us not to use the NYTimes is more of a boycott and a separate question

Hence the use of "and". It presents two separate ideas for you to think about:

- Respect the pickup line

- Get your news elsewhere

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If you were words on a page you'd be the fine print.
One aspect of respecting the picket line is not scabbing, the second is refusing to do business, i.e. not crossing the picket line.
What they're asking from readers is far more limited in scope than not using the whole website:

> The Tech Guild is asking readers to honor the digital picket line and not play popular NYT Games such as Wordle and Connections as well as not use the NYT Cooking app. Members of the newsroom union, Times Guild, have pledged not to do struck work, a right that’s protected under their contract.

https://nyguild.org/post/new-york-times-tech-guild-walks-off...

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According to Maggie Astor, news is not behind the picket line -

NYT Games and Cooking are BEHIND THE PICKET LINE. Please don’t play or engage with Games or Cooking content while the strike lasts!

News coverage — including election coverage — is NOT behind the picket line. It’s okay to read and share that, though the site and app may very well have problems.

https://bsky.app/profile/maggieastor.bsky.social/post/3la4qg...

> NYT Games and Cooking are BEHIND THE PICKET LINE. Please don’t play or engage with Games or Cooking content while the strike lasts!

If I pay for a service, I expect it to be available.

It’s not my job to track the status of labor disputes - it’s the job of the NYTimes (the organization) to ensure they deliver that service.

If they can’t, because they are dealing with ongoing labor disputes, then I’ll probably complain and cancel. The threat of those cancellations seems like plenty enough leverage for a striking union.

I don’t understand why I would need to preemptively refrain from a service I’ve already paid for.

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What leverage does the Times tech workers have in this negotiation? Why does their job specifically matter, versus someone abroad who can do some web dev and data wrangling for a fraction of the cost and similar quality?
You have more-or-less hit upon the reason unions exist.
Which is what?
Individual employees do not matter. Get a group of employees together to act in concert and you have a negotiating bloc that a company cannot ignore.

Especially as the bloc grows. If the "someone abroad" is also part of the same bloc, management ends up running out of people to turn to. A rising tide floats all boats.

(It's even more extreme in some countries. I've heard tale of situations in Scandinavian nations where a restaurant owner who mistreats their serving staff will find, in addition to the staff leaving and nobody being willing to scab for them, that their deliveries are delayed because nobody will drive ingredients to them and if their sink breaks down no plumber will take the contract to fix it).

I appreciate you for joining in solidarity.
It sounds like the biggest contention is just cause for terminations instead of at will. If the employer normally isn't firing people without a good reason it sounds like an easy win. Why do they fight these negotiations so much?
Because. Employers are firing people without a good reason. It makes the stock price go up. And even the threat of it keeps the masses in check.
I imagine they want to be able to let people go without building extensive cases against them. While being let go without a good reason isn't fun, neither is working with toxic people while the company tries to build a case against them.
> If the employer normally isn't firing people without a good reason

Isn't this the default state of affairs for american private enterprise? This is why PIPs are so wildly popular—it's trivial to fabricate performance reasoning regardless of the actual motivations for firing.

Granted, I don't see how you could negotiate your way out of this. We need federal labor protections to make serious movement on this.

Do the tech unions at these organizations get along/have solidarity with the journalistic unions or is there animosity between the two on deals like this?
I have been avoiding NYT ever since they started suing LLM developers for copyright infringement. I find it distasteful to own abstract ideas or claim copyright over them.
> The vast majority of HN consists of developers, designers, QA, and PMs who stand to gain from a successful movement to win these rights.

Personally, I have considered the arguments and concluded that I am not interested in collective bargaining or joining a union.

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I've seen a number of creative 404 pages.

A creative 500 / 503 page saying something about the tech team being on strike and served off the fronting proxy or LB, not the application servers, would be a cool touch.

Would that not qualify as a harmful sabotage though?
I don't see why would it be any more harmful as any regular strike.
Striking is not damaging the workplace in any way other than removing employees. Actively misconfiguring equipment is a dismissable offense in pretty much every situation I've ever seen. It can also be considered criminal.
I see your point, but I don't see how that might be damaging. Deleting data would be damaging. Putting a flamboyant rant instead of the home page would be damaging. But this, to my mind, amounts closing the factory gates and writing "Strike" on them with a piece of chalk. Rolling it back would amount to commenting out a line or two in a config file, maybe even.carefully commented for that purpose.
Deliberately making your employer's services unavailable for anything other than authorized reasons is quite simply sabotage, mischievousness, or any other thing (IANAL) that could be used to describe the act. It's not like someone make a bad configuration file that went unnoticed and pushed to the core routers to bring down the network as a mistake. This was a consciously made act to disrupt the company's services out of spite because employee didn't get something they wanted.
Absent human meddling, computers tend to just chug along doing their work once set up. In fact, I would be surprised if NYT weren't under a code freeze for the event regardless of the strike. So this would be more like shutting down the automated assembly lines on the way out (knowing that they're designed to run with no human operator and are never supposed to be shut down) rather than just leaving.
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I outright deny non remote positions. We got one life after all.
It's a luxury to be able to do that, though the more of us who do it the more companies must oblige. In that sense, these kinds of strikes are doing us all a favor.
I agree, it's only a luxury because it's being taken away so we should support those fighting to keep it when it doesn't make any sense for them to RTO.
It's actual the height of privilege. And likely unrecognized and unappreciated privilege. It really is sad that the divide is so large that the person that can turn down jobs thinks they're the oppressed.
We all indirectly benefit from the pressure tech workers put on the sector in negotiations for higher wages, perks like wfh, additional non-cash comp, etc. too.
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Just cause feels like a stretch. Is that common in a lot of employment contracts? Feels like one of those rules that sounds like it could make sense but in reality it does not play out and you get this weird cohort of unproductive employees that you can never get rid of.
I'll take a wild guess and assume that the big sticking point is the demand for just cause termination, with RTO being a somewhat distant second. I can't see management being in love with a just cause protection for employees as an alternative to what I assume is the current employee-at-will arrangement. But, from labor's perspective, it's probably the one thing they'd really like to gain, and for which they'd sacrifice or adjust all their other demands if necessary. To be safe in ones position, with its earnings and benefits, is a desirable position.
The default for the US is "at-will employment", which means that your employer can fire you at any time, no reason needed. The definition of "just cause" would be collectively bargained, so both management and the union will understand and agree on what constitutes just cause or not.

FWIW, layoffs are regulated differently from firings.

>The default for the US is "at-will employment", which means that your employer can fire you at any time, no reason needed.

That seems... fine? In most transaction neither party needs to give "just cause" to terminate a contract. Imagine having to give documentation to move out of your current apartment, for instance. Getting fired is disruptive to someone's finances that some notice/severance would be justified, but "you have to give just cause" (which in practice, means multiple formal write-ups and several months of PIP, even in places without a union contract) seems excessive.

>>The default for the US is "at-will employment", which means that your employer can fire you at any time, no reason needed.

>> That seems... fine? In most transaction neither party needs to give "just cause" to terminate a contract.

You like having a sword over your neck at all times that an employer can just swing and take away your salary and your health insurance for any reason at all?

Did you stop reading there and not the subsequent sentence?

>Getting fired is disruptive to someone's finances that some notice/severance would be justified

Did you stop reading there and not the subsequent independent clause?

> but "you have to give just cause" (which in practice, means multiple formal write-ups and several months of PIP, even in places without a union contract) seems excessive.

You still said requiring "just cause" is excessive. So you still want an "at-will" sword over your head.

>So you still want an "at-will" sword over your head.

That sword is still going to be over your head regardless of at will employment. You could be laid off (no cause needed), the company goes bankrupt, or you become disabled. Where do you draw the line? If you don't want to accept "sword over your head" for firings, why would you accept it for layoffs?

But whatabout being laid off, whatabout company bankruptcy, and whatabout becoming disabled? MY god, we're talking about at-will employment being a threat to a human's life insurance and salary, and you bring up NON at-will issues? Those are fundamentally different swords than an at-will employment one.

Is your manager going to disable your body? How is this even remotely close to a manager being able to fire you for whatever? You're just ignoring the whole "at-will".

I'm not talking about a "sword" of any possible negative thing happening to you. Why not bring up asteroids? Or another plague? Or just suddenly a REAL sword beheads me? THe "sword" is solely the at-will. Learn how metaphors work.

It's the same sword: loss of income and healthcare. Semantic games aside, if the premise is that we shouldn't accept the risk of losing income/healthcare due to poor performance/internal politics, why would you accept losing income/healthcare due to layoffs (which also involve poor performance/internal politics)? It's fine to argue "people should be shielded from the risk of losing their income/healthcare", but you can't arbitrarily decide when it's fine to apply that principle.
THAT'S LITERALLY NOT THE PREMISE. AND IT'S NOT THE SAME SWORD. So much whataboutism and changing definitions to fit your needs. And also, you keep forgetting the more important thing: SOMEONE IS SWINGING THE SWORD AND WHY.

> It's fine to argue "people should be shielded from the risk of losing their income/healthcare", but you can't arbitrarily decide when it's fine to apply that principle.

You keep deleting key parts, like "people should be shielded from the risk of losing their income/healthcare from manager's whims". It's not arbitrary.

>You keep deleting key parts, like "people should be shielded from the risk of losing their income/healthcare from manager's whims". It's not arbitrary.

And a layoff aren't caused by "manager's whims"?

1. Layoffs are usually not "you manager fires you on the spot for whatever reason and with no severance/compensation"

2. Layoffs are usually a less common occurrence than firing people. While the US sucks at labor laws in general, there's at least the WARN act for mass layoffs

3. Layoffs are when multiple people are let go at the same time, which is a distinct category from firing a single person

4. Hence there are often separate negotiations and separate clauses in the union contracts regarding firing a single person (one category) and laying off multiple people (a separate category)

Why the hell you're arguing (in extremely bad faith) against labor protections is beyond anyone's understanding

>1. Layoffs are usually not "you manager fires you on the spot for whatever reason and with no severance/compensation"

>Why the hell you're arguing (in extremely bad faith) against labor protections is beyond anyone's understanding

I'm not sure why you're focusing so hard on the "no severance/compensation" part, when from the start I said that "some notice/severance would be justified". Is it because I said that at-will employment "seems... fine?", and you can't get over that, despite my subsequent statements?

Until we get to the bottom of this, I don't think it's worth it for me to engage with any of your other points.

Dying by lightning is like dying of cancer only a tad more unlikely.

Your argument sucks at base level.

Layoffs are negotiated separately, and in normal countries (with collective bargaining and healthcare) layoffs, while impactful, won't cripple your life
>layoffs, while impactful, won't cripple your life

You lose your income in both cases, and I said I'd support severance/notice period for firings. I don't see how the two are materially different.

Severance is one of the many things unions negotiate.

Yet you keep insisting that somehow at-will employment with immediate termination is somehow good.

>Yet you keep insisting that somehow at-will employment with immediate termination is somehow good.

I'm not sure how you got that impression. My original comment:

>Getting fired is disruptive to someone's finances that some notice/severance would be justified,

It doesn't work like that. I worked for a tech company in Germany and it went brankrupt. By contract I have 3 months notice period, and I got them. That's plenty of time to find another job (which I did). It goes both ways too (whenever I want to quit, I give my 3 months notice period).

I would hate it to have an "at-will" contract. Just thinking that my manager or his manager or whoever can just fire me the very same day because of who knows what is just awful.

Yeah I don't want to give 3 months notice to quit, that sounds terrible. I'll take at will any day of the week if it means that I can quit immediately if needed.
You can simply negotiate the remaining time with your employer after you quit.

It is not mandatory to sit on your old job for 3 months.

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To be honest, yeah. I want to reduce the fixed costs of job transfer so that I can be efficiently allocated in the economy because that usually means I can make a lot of money. But I can see how someone who is at a lower skill level would want to raise the friction for hiring - less job mobility is good for them.

If someone wants to fire me, I hope they find it easy.

> If someone wants to fire me, I hope they find it easy.

Wut?

The point is that he wants to be employed at a company because the company values him, not because they're forced to keep him around. This shouldn't be an alien concept. In personal relationships, you want your friends/partner to stay around because they like you, not because they're forced to. In other business relationships, you want to get paid because you're delivering value, not because you'd be a pain to get rid of.
What stops them from quitting and finding employment elsewhere?
The point isn't keeping a job, it's being well liked by others. While it's unlikely to be anyone's overriding objective (I too would rather be employed but hated, than well-liked but starving), it's still something that people care about. More importantly, it shows that he cares about the other side of the transaction, rather than being some sociopath that only cares about what he gets.
What prevents them from working at a job where they are liked by others?

How does "you cannot be fired on the spot for no reason" prevent them?

>How does "you cannot be fired on the spot for no reason" prevent them?

At the very least, getting fired is a sign of no confidence from your boss.

It's a sign of many things, that is still not an answer to my questions.
I would hate to work for an employer that didn't want me there. I'd rather they just fire me so I can get a job somewhere else.
You know you can quit yourself, right? That labor protections that protect you from bad employers do not preclude you from, you know, quitting your job and finding employment elsewhere?
Sure but those same protections might discourage other employers from hiring me in the first place.

It's not such an issue for me now that I have a fair bit of experience, but if I was fresh out of university it would be harder to convince an employer to take a risk.

Also severance is a thing.

Never knew people are unemployable in countries with strong labor protections. I must be lucky to have landed a job counts on fingers multiple times now.

> Also severance is a thing.

Indeed it is. Not in the US though

---

The absolute delusion Americans live in never ceases to amaze me. I'm surprised China came up with 996, not the US, and that the US didn't immediately adopt it with the masses cheering it on.

Look at the average wage (especially for tech workers) in the US and compare it to basically any country with strong labour protections and maybe you will reach enlightenment.
Let's see: health insurance not tied to employer, no bankruptcies due to loss of job (or loss of health insurance), no fear of on-the-spot firing with impactful consequences (loss of medical insurance, loss of income), more than a few weeks of maternity leave (and significantly more than just a few days of paid maternity leave) etc. etc.

Not every delusion that Americans have is enlightenment.

Higher wages make up for all that, especially in big tech where people do get basically the same benefits as Europeans but at 4x the wage lol: unlimited or at least several weeks of vacation, excellent healthcare, etc. Sure, your point stands for regular workers, but not for tech workers. There's a reason people clamor to come to the US for tech jobs, and it's not because Europe is better for benefits.
It's not fine. It sucks for just about everyone involved except the business owner.
This fails to consider second order effects. Adding more friction to firings also makes teams less performant (as they fail to get rid of underperforming employees), as makes finding a job more difficult (because companies are more reluctant to hire on the off chance they get a bad employee they can't get rid of). This isn't theoretical. Returns suck for retailers, but they still voluntarily offer it because it entices consumers to buy things they wouldn't otherwise buy.
There's no evidence that "adding more friction to firings also makes teams less performant". Your statement relies on two assumptions: (1) employers are reliable at determining "underperforming", (2) employers are making choices based of performance. There's no evidence that it makes "finding a job more difficult". There are entire swaths of this earth that have the framework that we're talking about and their job markets are just fine.

I know that an online form makes it easy to just position yourself as correct, but you're arguing against reality.

>Your statement relies on two assumptions: (1) employers are reliable at determining "underperforming", (2) employers are making choices based of performance.

1. You could make similar arguments about consumers being qualified to determine product quality. Are retailers dumbasses for wasting money accepting returns?

2. When it comes to hiring/firing decisions, perception of competence is as important (if not more so), as actual competence (if you can even define that). No manager is going to be assuaged by "well actually, you're pretty bad at determining competence, so you should be glad that we're requiring you to file a bunch of paperwork before you can fire someone".

>There's no evidence that it makes "finding a job more difficult". There are entire swaths of this earth that have the framework that we're talking about and their job markets are just fine.

New hires rate in Europe (with famously stronger labor protections) is around 10% per year in 2022. US meanwhile is more than 4% per month.

https://www.cedefop.europa.eu/en/tools/skills-intelligence/r...

https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/JTS000000000000000HIR

> There's no evidence that it makes "finding a job more difficult".

The unemployment rate in Europe is 6% vs. 4% in the US. I find that some evidence that it's at least a little more difficult.

I'm sure the paper feels it's excessive too. The union doesn't. They've already failed to work this out without a strike, so the question now is who can suffer the longest before the other breaks, or is willing to give some other concession in return for getting their way on this issue.

In other words, one side will win, or both will compromise. It's just another contract negotiation, like any other between two parties. Unions are allowed to do it with businesses, just like businesses are allowed to do it among themselves. This is literally the ruling ideology of the West and has been for generations, but somehow when a union takes advantage of it, that's radical marxism.

> Just cause feels like a stretch. Is that common in a lot of employment contracts?

Very rare in the US

It's very common in union contracts.

They way it usually works is there is a probationary period that you can fire someone under for any reason (usually 90 days), but after that, supposedly you're more protected.

That said, in practice, it doesn't really prevent you from being part of a layoff or anything. You'll just get more notice and complaints.

Probation periods are a mess, b/c they incentivizes "hire and fire".
Though only for employers that don't care who they hire in the first place, if you fire someone simply because they might be harder to fire lately you don't really care about who you hired.
I actually came to the opposite conclusion: you really care about who you hired, because you define who they work with. If you hire a low performer or someone that isn't a good culture fit, the productivity of your other team members will suffer.
The claim is you would fire someone purely because they are about to age into a bit more job security.

If you fire some because they are a bad employee in some well defined way, that's a completely different situation.

Union contracts, or just about any permanent contract in "the west" except America
Probably there's a reason most innovation comes from America then.
It “feels like a stretch” and “sounds like it could make sense” and “but in reality it does not play out”. You’re just gesturing here. In turn the reply is either yes/no depending on if we agree with the general vibes you are putting out.
Can you be clearer with what you are trying to say? I am simply stating that I have rarely heard of "Just Cause" clauses and I wonder how it plays out in reality. I have my ideas about it but I don't have much of any data but I also generally think its hard to craft well thought out rules like this. Maybe you should take your vibes elsewhere if you don't like data and questions.
Due process for employment is probably more important than fair pay in most union contracts.

Your argument is in fact that exact same one that was used to argue against due process in legal proceedings. "In reality it doesn't play out and you get this group of criminals running free on legal technicalities."

If you are in a union shop and have a large contingent of unproductive employees, it happens for the same reason as non-union shops. You have bad management. Just Cause is almost entirely asking management to do a little paperwork and a little planning, things that are supposed to be their job anyway.

> Your argument is in fact that exact same one that was used to argue against due process in legal proceedings. "In reality it doesn't play out and you get this group of criminals running free on legal technicalities."

Dumb comparison. Losing a job is not the same as losing a legal action. You can’t just go get a different life if you’re convicted of robbery.

> it happens for the same reason as non-union shops. You have bad management.

No, sometimes employees are just bad and work the system to keep the job as long as possible with no intention of improving.

Where is this legendary employer who instantly hires all takers, no questions asked?
The actual development of capitalism around the world has shown that when business is thriving, there tends to be lots of employers willing to mop up any excess labour.

We’ve seen a ton of automation and offshoring for centuries now but employment around the world just keeps improving.

And yet, we have a positive unemployment rate!
True but that’s inevitable. A certain % of people are always going to be in the process of switching jobs.
Which is why I reponded to the commenter who said

>Dumb comparison. Losing a job is not the same as losing a legal action. You can’t just go get a different life if you’re convicted of robbery.

Because, as you just admitted, you can't just go get a different job if you're unfairly fired.

I admitted no such thing. Read again.

- in a thriving environment, lots of companies are hiring

- some people quit or get fired, and it takes a couple of months to get a new job. This is no biggie in a country where the median individual has a net worth of 192k. [0] (yet another argument in favour of a thriving business environment).

- so some % of people will always be temporarily unemployed.

[0] https://www.investopedia.com/average-americans-net-worth-871....

>no biggie

Loll, youre a pretty funny person. No biggie, ill just sell my house to feed myself.

You conveniently ignore the fact that this is the median family net worth, not individual net worth. Further, this will include retired families, who will have access to social security, medicare, and mature 401k/pension plans. This is not anywherenearthe median net worth of a working individual.

If youre going to quote statistics, please at least do so responsibly.

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Yes, if by "game of adding asterisks" you mean honest representation of statistics, we will never find common ground.
You’re the one interpreting a stat in a motivated way.

Middle class Americans have high net worths; some in stocks, some in cash, some in home equity.

All of the above can be leveraged when cash is needed.

Beyond complete misrepresentation of basic statistics, you have also failed to contextualize the statistics in a way that is useful for the conversation.

A better number would be: the median time an american in the labor force would be able to live off their net worth, something like net worth divided by annual salary. What's the median of that? We could then compare it to the amount of time the median job search takes, and have a fact-based discussion around the policy implications of that number.

But I expect no such intellectual honesty from you; you've already shown your cards.

When you run up against a fact (see? we’re being fact-based) that doesn’t fit your worldview, that doesn’t mean someone had to “completely misrepresent basic statistics”.

It could simply mean that you are wrong.

A possibility you no doubt spend a great deal of time thinking about, oh even-handed one.

I have yet to come across a fact in your comments! You are literally calling median family net worth median individual net worth, and then making arguments on the basis of that misrepresentation.

Further, this thread is about the labor force, not retirees, who generally have more assets, all else equal.

Stop making clownish claims and you wont be treated like a clown.

>Middle class Americans have high net worths; some in stocks, some in cash, some in home equity.

>All of the above can be leveraged when cash is needed.

And what percentage of Americans are working middle class? What percentage of those could liquidate their home equity or retirement portfolio (what you actually mean by "stocks") without causing a huge change in life plans?

It doesn’t exist and doesn’t need to. The current job market makes it abundantly clear that people are able to get some form of employment easily, even if it’s not what they want.

The point is that the comparison to due process is shockingly stupid. If the government imprisons you, you are done. Your life in civilization is over for the duration of your incarceration and you have no other options.

Anyone who thinks due process against the monopoly of violence is the same as due process for a payment from a company is completely tone deaf and has never dealt with the impact of government imprisonment.

Being unemployed indefinitely is far better than imprisonment.

What argument have I made other than a question? I would like to see data how it plays out. Now I have some ideas of how it plays out but it would be interesting if there was a way to have a test/control group in these types of contracts. I find the struggles here interesting and its fun to watch them play out.
Incorrectly firing a high performer is nowhere near the harm of incorrectly jailing an innocent man.
Seems like it could drive NYT engineering to be much more conservative in hiring, resulting in engineers being pushed to do more work.
Which is why Europe has more time off, more benefits, happier employees, etc right?
It’s not common in the US but over here in Europe it’s standard practice that you cannot fire an employee at will, most of the time you need to give 1-3 months notice. You can only fire them immediately if there’s misconduct, breach of contract etc.
> Is that common in a lot of employment contracts?

It's a legal requirement in many parts of the world.

As much as I am a bolshy union member and supporter, this doesn't seem too bad on the surface, the article doesn't make clear what the issues with it are?

Times management said in an email to workers on Sunday that it had offered a 2.5 percent annual wage increase, a minimum 5 percent pay increase for promotions and a $1,000 ratification bonus. It also said that the company would maintain its current in-office work requirements of two days a week through June 2025, while allowing employees to work fully remotely for three weeks per year.

> the article doesn't make clear what the issues with it are?

What is not clear? The article tells that the issues are contention around return to office policies (as your quote tells, change is planned for July) and wanting a “just cause” provision.

But it's a reasonable offer, there is no clarity in the article about exactly what is so bad they need to strike.

Eg if they said we haven't had a pay rise for ten years, that would provide context.

Nothing in the article gives a justification for a strike. That's not to say the justification doesn't exist but it's not remotely elucidated.

You find it reasonable. THe union, and I, do not find a RTO announcement in June (or anytime really) to be a reasonable request. So yes, the article justified the strike. You just don't think the justification is reasonable.
You don’t think it’s reasonable to tell your employees that as a condition of employment they have to be at a specific location at specific times?
Of course it is reasonable. But it is equally reasonable for workers, as a condition of employment, to be able to work remotely. Everyone gets to choose what they want for themselves.

If an agreement can't be made... Oh well.

If they are tech workers who only need a laptop and can work remotely 3 days a week normally, and therefore 5 as well? Yes, its unreasonable as their specific location at a specific time is unnecessary. If you don't need to be physically present to work, then it is unreasonable to force someone to relocate or to come into an office.

Is it reasonable to tell your factory worker employees that they have to be at the factory at certain times? Yes, that's reasonable because these workers must be physically there.

Using broad words like "employees" and "employment" simplifies your thinking.

But you have no idea about internals of NYT, do you? You have no idea whats reasonable and whats not in their team.

BTW why people create a new accounts just to furiously comment all over pretty basic topics like this? Are you really that ashamed of your own opinions (which are still anonymous) or you feel your employer may trace you back? Or NYT employee?

And you do know what's reasonable? I'm gonna side with the union and not the company owned by a billionaire
It's not about the internals of NYT. It's 2024, WFH should be already a non-negotiable perk for tech employees because:

- the tech is there to offer this kind of work. It's not that NYT is somehow special about this

- it's better for the employees. Would we be in favour of companies asking to work 80h/week as a normal thing? Would we be in favour of companies asking to work 6 days per week? Maybe 100 years ago, but in 2024 the answer is (or should be) no. Why? Because we as employees have gained some rights over the last decades to make things better for ourselves. WFH is one more right in that list and shouldn't be taken as a privilege

I'm amazed by the people who are bashing against WFH. This is not about the free market, this is about moving the human race in the right direction.

> WFH is one more right in that list

Yet, strangely, your list doesn't contain any rights. Employers absolutely can ask you to work 80 hours per week / six days per week if they so choose (with assumptions about you being an average US resident; obviously jurisdictions can vary). You have the right to a higher rate of pay after a certain number of hours (with some exceptions) if you accept, but that's something quite different.

> WFH is one more right in that list

While rights can have exceptions, when those excepted are greater in numbers than than those eligible... Good luck! The right to higher pay if you work on location seems more politically tenable, but isn't that already priced in anyway?

Do you work at the NYT and have some idea about its internals?

And do you think it is possible that a lot of people just don't agree with you (maybe because you are wrong)?

> You don’t think it’s reasonable to tell your employees that as a condition of employment they have to be at a specific location at specific times?

You think it's reasonable to hire someone remotely, then later forcibly relocate them to another, more expensive city, with no compensation? Because that's what's happened here.

In jurisdictions with stronger labor laws, that is not only not reasonable, but outright illegal (constructive termination).

It’s a negotiation. What is reasonable is for the two parties to determine. But it’s not crazy to imagine. This is not Walter White asking to work remotely from a professional-grade chemistry lab. These are tech workers who can carry the professional-grade equipment in their backpacks.
I think different levels of "reasonable" are being mixed up here.

By the normal definition, it's a reasonable thing for an employer to want, and a reasonable thing for an employee to not want.

But if we're treating "reasonable" and "strikeworthy" as opposites, then sure it can be "unreasonable".

> Eg if they said we haven't had a pay rise for ten years, that would provide context.

That wouldn't provide any kind of justification either, though. All it might indicate is that they desire more pay, just as we know here that they desire a different policy around remote work and desire a “just cause” provision.

And it seems that is the motivation – simply that they want it. Which is all the justification that is needed. One does not have to work if they don't want to. It is up to the NYT to decide if it wants to compel them to or not.

They don’t think RTO is reasonable, which is a completely logical stance to take if you’ve setup your life working from home (esp if it’s hours from the office).
... which is something people did on their own, without agreeing with their employers on duration etc.

I love working from home, but its just a non-guaranteed perk that can go away anytime and eventually it will, and companies shouldn't break their backs to accommodate people. There is free job market to match one's expectations, triple especially in places like New York.

I really, really don't get folks who setup their lives in the middle of nowhere to save some bucks and then they complain that world and work doesn't come to their doorstep. You took the risk in maybe unclear situation, you bear the consequences if the risk doesn't pan out your way.

> and companies shouldn't break their backs to accommodate people.

Why isn't the inverse equally true? That workers shouldn't have to break their back to accommodate a change in company policy?

> You took the risk in maybe unclear situation, you bear the consequences if the risk doesn't pan out your way.

Again, I think this is equally true going the other way. Companies allowed their workers to move away from the office, why don't they assume any risk that workers won't want to return?

I get that there needs to be a balance of power, but I don't understand why any request from the company is valid by default and any request by workers is somehow an imposition that the workers need to justify. Why isn't the company asked to justify why workers need to RTO?

> Why isn't the company asked to justify why workers need to RTO?

Well, we do know the state of New York offered the NYT (among others) tax incentives/subsidies earlier in the year. I can't imagine the state of New York will be happy if the workforce works from New Jersey (or Texas). Calling upon the workers to work in New York gives the state the economic activity it expects in return for the subsidies it offered.

But does that make any difference to the workers? If they want to work remotely, whatever reason the NYT has is not their problem.

> you bear the consequences if the risk doesn't pan out your way.

Okay, but that's what they are doing. They can't work there anymore under the current situation, so they have accepted that their risk didn't bear fruit and are now no longer working for the NYT. Consequences bore.

They have graciously extended an opportunity to the NYT for it to reconsider the current state before the workers walk away for good. Accepting risk doesn't mean you can't still be cordial. At this point they are still willing to go back if the conditions allow them to. But if the NYT in the end says "no, we don't need you anymore, it is time for us to close up shop", so be it.

> its just a non-guaranteed perk

"Perk" is another way of saying "working conditions". They are bargaining over salary, benefits, and working conditions. Therefore, it's on the table.

Whether or not the bargaining workers are responsible (or even sympathetic) with their private living arrangements is not part of the negotiations, and so it doesn't materially matter.

The workers are not "owed" WFH, but neither is the paper "owed" RTO. They have to bargain over it. One side, or likely both sides, will have to give somewhere on the basket of issues they are bargaining over. Maybe the paper loses on this, but gets something else they want like lower salary. Or maybe workers are willing to RTO if they get some kind of commute allotment (pay for their gas/metrocard/whatever).

The bargaining is holistic, over the whole contract terms. The process is not simply that they go item by item and try to convince each other to change their minds. The process is that they bargain the entire package until they are both OK with accepting it.

Exactly. At one time it was not “reasonable” to expect Saturdays off, either.
> but its just a non-guaranteed perk that can go away anytime and eventually it will, and companies shouldn't break their backs to accommodate people

I think this is the key to the question. We should start seeing WFH as a right rather than as a perk. Just like the dozens of other rights we have gained over the years. If it were for the companies, we would still be working 6 days/week, 80h/day with little or no vacation/sick/parental days. I'm sure those rights were considered normal in the past but not anymore.

Were you around during Covid? Many of these employers hired fully remote positions with no timeline to move to an office as a contingency.

This isn’t taking away free coffee, this is a significant altering of the employment. It’s no different than moving everyone in a location to a completely different office on a whim.

Your comment is pretty tone deaf in that it is essentially “I really, really don’t get folks who setup their lives to live in a specific location”. The same thing is happening for people in cities and it has nothing do with middle of nowhere.

> I love working from home, but its just a non-guaranteed perk that can go away anytime and eventually it will,

So is getting paid more than minimum wage and getting extra days off. What a non-argument.

> As much as I am a bolshy union member and supporter, this doesn't seem too bad on the surface, the article doesn't make clear what the issues with it are?

The linked article is the New York Times writing about a strike _against_ the New York Times. Factor this into your assessments.

If you're implying bias, consider that the news and editorial staff have been unionized since the 1940s.
Consider also that these workers have been unionized for over two years and the NYT is refusing to acknowledge them.
Sure, this is also worth factoring in.

But factor in how? (rhetorical question) Understanding bias well cannot simply reduce to a high-school debate style of tallying arguments for and against. First, there are more than two sides. Second, reasoning under uncertainty (with probabilities) is essential. Third, the best way for humans to reason requires getting the complexity out of your head. So one way or another, if you want to win [1], you have write down your model (we're not yet doing this here, but at least we're laying out some of the moving parts).

Anyhow, I'm not making a "final" assessment of overall bias; I'm trying to (a) expand discussion of the moving parts and (b) promote a rational and probabilistic approach here.

[1] "Rationality is Systematized Winning" https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/4ARtkT3EYox3THYjF/rationalit... but consider the counterpoint at "Rationality !== Winning" https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/3GSRhtrs2adzpXcbY/rationalit...

A 2.5% annual wage increase doesn't even cover inflation over the past few years. That is a complete non-starter.
Front line hospitality workers are pretty much the only ones to do that, and that's only because they were making so little to start with.

Anyone expecting their salaries to get a raise to make up for the 2022 inflation are in for a rude surprise.

The longshoremen managed it.
If my understanding is correct, they haven't yet. The raise is spread out evenly over 6 years, so it'll probably be at least 3 years before they return to pre-pandemic purchasing power.

Still quite extraordinary, though I'm not sure how long they had already been at their current rates, so maybe less impressive? Not really sure.

idk 2.5% yearly raise and 5% for promotions seems kind of meager to me. Seems like a yearly raise should both cover cost of living and throw in another percent or 2 to compensate for having another year of experience. I know a lot of people in a lot of professions don't get this but tech comp is what it is.

Then a promotion raise that constitute only 2 years of yearly base raises seems pretty lacking to me since a promotion generally comes with increased responsibilities and higher standards.

I've worked as a developer for companies outside of big tech who complain all day long about the fact that they can't compete with big tech on compensation while they hemorrhage engineers to big tech. I'm sure NYT does the same. No amount of moaning about this will change the fact that they are directly competing with these companies for talent.

I'm not anti-union at all and see them as necessary in certain types of jobs (I hope the Boeing Machinist's Union guts Boeing), but I have no interest in being a part of a union as a developer because it seems like collective bargaining just ends up locking everyone into the level of salary/career progression of the lowest common denominator.

> this doesn't seem too bad on the surface

The NYT's latest offer is shit compared to what the employees are asking.

Here is context on the strike, how long it's been brewing, and more that I happened to read yesterday:

https://www.thenation.com/article/archive/the-new-york-times...

Thank you so much! That is a vastly more informative article. It seems like it's not so much the NYT is opposed to the contract's specifics -- they're opposed to having a contract at all because the union is new. The NYT has been stringing the union along without ever actually signing anything, so now the union has to strike to get the NYT to take them seriously.

Key parts:

> The Tech Guild won its unionization vote in March of 2022, but has yet to agree upon a final contract with management. In September of this year, the Guild voted to authorize a strike with an overwhelming 95 percent (or over 500 members) in favor. The vote marked two and a half years of bargaining with no result. As Harnett puts it, “At some point, you need a deadline.”

> The first key demand is a protection that Times editorial staff already have: just-cause job protections, which would ensure that members cannot be fired without good reason and due process. The editorial staff won this protection in their 2023 News Guild contract, and just weeks ago, 750 Times journalists penned a letter to management urging them to reach a contract with the Tech Guild before Election day.

> The second demand stems from a pay study the union released in June of this year, which found numerous pay discrepancies for women and people of color. According to the study, Black tech workers at the newspaper make 26 percent less than white workers. The study also found that women, who make up over 40 percent of the Tech Guild, earn 12 percent less on average than men, while Black and Hispanic or Latina women earn 33 percent less than white men.

> The third demand in dispute is a frequent source of anxiety for Hoehne in particular: return to office. Currently, many in the Tech Guild work remotely full-time.... Hoehne has been living and working remotely three hours away from the Times office, in upstate New York, since the pandemic began. “I would lose my job. I can’t sell my house. My kid is in daycare. I can’t. All we’re asking is for them to put in writing that we won’t do that to you.”

> But both Hoehne and Harnett don’t think management’s reluctance to settle these demands stems from the particulars of any of the demands themselves; none of them would spark radical changes. The negotiation process has lagged for years, which Times editorial staff experienced en route to their contract as well. Rather, Hoehne said, staring down the barrel of the Election Day strike, management’s immovability feels like it’s more about preventing the union from stabilizing at all.

> “They could easily end all of this with a single phone call or e-mail,” Harnett said. “But they’re making the decision not to. Maybe they don’t believe that we are resolved [to strike]. I don’t know how else to convince them.”

>>According to the study, Black tech workers at the newspaper make 26 percent less than white workers

>>women, who make up over 40 percent of the Tech Guild, earn 12 percent less on average than men

claims like these always irk me, like did you just compare averages by race/gender? Whoever made this claim, did they control for other factors, like job title/level or productivity?

its like the famous "gender pay gap" claimed by all the people who majored in Gender Studies instead of Statistics. Turns out "gender pay gap" magically disappears as soon as you start controlling for relevant variables like hours worked, job seniority, experience, etc (https://www.aei.org/carpe-diem/there-really-is-no-gender-wag...)

   That is, there is almost no evidence that men and women working in the same position with the same background, education and qualifications are paid differently. Whether it’s the Target Corporation, Facebook, the University of Virginia, the United Way, the White House or McDonald’s, there is almost no evidence that any of those organizations have two pay scales: one for men (at a higher wage) and one for women (at a lower wage). Of course, that would be illegal, and if that practice existed, organizations would be exposed to legal action and “half the legal profession would be taking such cases on contingency fees”

I am all for fairness in pay and equality, but lets not insult the intelligence of your readers by making some absurd claims without doing proper econometric study and controlling for confound variables
> Whoever made this claim, did they control for other factors, like job title/level or productivity?

You get that "all the black people are in lower roles or somehow all deemed less productive" is worse, right?

Deemed “as less productive” by whom?

We have a free labour market, if it was true that NYT underpaid Black workers for the same productivity, they could easily jump ship to other company and make more $$.

What is stopping “black people” from escaping the supposed inequality at NYT and making more money elsewhere ????

> Deemed “as less productive” by whom?

You've attempted to explain away pay gaps by saying it's because of lower roles and/or lower productivity, but that's just the same problem with an extra step. Why are they in lower roles? Why are they assessed as less productive? Are they inherently dumb/lazy/bad, or are we just back to "the pay gap exists because of biases" again?

> What is stopping “black people” from escaping the supposed inequality at NYT and making more money elsewhere ????

Black NYT employees are likely very well aware that the biases they encounter are not unique to the NYT.

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you can do a little scientific experiment yourself: Change your linkedin location to San Francisco, add the buzz words and $big_tech_company to your profile, make sure you are of under-represented minority in profile, and watch recruiters banging your door and offering to apply and headhunt you for pay raise
See, I look at what you wrote and draw the mirror-image conclusion: "Here is a person who would prefer to shame others for being 'impolite' than let them say out loud what is obvious to literally anyone."

The fact that the situation is as GP described is undeniable. But there can be reasons why things are this way that extend beyond what the racists of yore believed about genetics. Most obviously: Not all subgroups of white people are equally represented in tech either. (When was the last time you were in a team where the majority hailed from Appalachia?)

But actual investigation and remediation can't begin until we can first point at reality and describe it as it currently is.

I think you're reading that the wrong way.

Rather than "talented engineers can already be hard to find, now divide that by 20".

>but that's just the same problem with an extra step

I think it’s a totally different problem. The problem no longer is about how group X is compensated for doing job Y, but why group X is doing job Y in the first place.

In practice, we use the term “labor market” because those words tend to go together, but if we take a moment to stop and imagine it was an actual “market” it would be a pretty crappy one. Imagine walking into a grocery store and milk was priced as “between $5 and $15”. You need to haggle on the final number. And that’s if you’re lucky to live in a state where prices have to be posted at all! You also don’t really know what’s in it. There is also considerable investment whether or not you end up liking the price. (Imagine you have to stand in line for an hour before you can even begin haggling.)

Anyone who has applied for a job knows that switching companies isn’t free, as it would be in a “free market”. There’s any number of outside factors that could prevent it. And switching too often is also viewed negatively, which is not true of e.g. shares of Amazon.

could not disagree more. Switching jobs in tech is literally free pay raise. top tier tech worker can jump jobs every 2 years and get ~30% bump every time. You are actually leaving money on the table if you dont switch jobs (in tech specifically) - because jobs are comparable to each other.
I’m not sure which of my points you’re disagreeing with exactly.
I think this image hits the nail on the head. Only thing missing is that markets will only sell to you if you live within an hours commute so you may need to move having to a different city, leaving friends/family behind to even try if the milk at another market is worth it. And sometimes the milk turns out to be orange juice...
We have a free labour market

Do we? Your spelling suggests you're not from the US, so I wonder how familiar you are with market conditions. Gotta say your arguments here and above come off as a little shallow.

do you have an argument to the contrary, besides spelling?
I don't see why I should just accept your premise at face value.
My argument is we have at-will employment which means you are free to work at any company willing to hire you, and free to leave and join elsewhere if you find a better place. I certainly benefited myself from at-will employment and free labour market.

Do you have a reason to believe the labor market is not free? Like do tech workers in NYT experience slavery/involuntary labor or industry gatekeeping of some sort?

I think it is interesting that people are so quick to understand that measuring productivity is difficult when it comes to software engineering metrics or how promotions can be scuttled by things like internal politics but when it comes to macro scale things suddenly we assume that populations are being accurately evaluated for productivity.
Exactly. A few years ago everyone outside of tech was excited about a study from Google showing that “soft skills” were more important for career advancement for engineers within Google.

And it’s almost tautological: people who are good at playing organizational games succeed in the organization. Actually measuring engineering productivity isn’t solved at all.

People aren't spherical objects. People may rightfully fear being mistreated by horrible bosses and hence stay in jobs that doesn't maximize salary.
to me, this is actually an argument in favor of becoming a spherical object, so that you can easily switch job in case your boss is horrible.

You don't want to be stuck under a bad boss, do you? or do you want to take a gamble that each manager will be perfect (manager can change without your control as well due to restructuring)?

if Corporation treats employees as a perfectly replaceable unit of a Human Resource, then I will treat them as a fungible unit of a Job Description

Jesus christ thank you, folks on the internet are so quick to dismiss pay gaps just because we know what causes them as if that magically makes it not a problem.

Take one factor, women earn less because of mid-career halts due to having children, like the father didn't also have a child. Women bear the brunt because we're expected to be the primary caregivers, and this hurts men too due to the "father babysitting his kids" problem of considering the father's involvement as secondary.

You can say this isn't a problem for her employer to solve but as long as we have no intention of upsetting the standard nuclear family gender roles men and women taking the default life path shouldn't consistently make one worse off than the other.

What if Women, on average, prefer to take more time away from work due to having a child than their male partners? And what if "Black" people are, on average, younger than other groups and so are more likely to be in early-career roles?

More broadly, once we start dividing "People" up into groups like "Black" "White" "Man" "Woman"; isn't a bit silly to think the groups won't expect and want and do different things? Like even if we assign people literally at random (and 'Race' isn't much different than this); wouldn't differences emerge?

Now, imagine you enslave one of those groups for ~400 years, prevent them from voting or getting an equal education for another ~100+. Might differences emerge in how society treats that population?
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Yes. Do you agree that my point is also correct? Different groups want different things, and have different demographics, and excel in different areas.

If we defined the "groups" in a less historically informed way, we'd still have differences.

> Different groups want different things, and have different demographics, and excel in different areas.

I think it's very easy to overstate how much those things are genuine differences in preference/ability. Allowing no-fault divorce dropped female suicide rates by 20%; were they happy in those marriages, or enduring them? Would they choose differently if offered the same opportunity?

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Wasn't there also research showing that when women's financial independence improved, divorce rates went up? I wish I could find that source again.
Do you think people with Green eyes are more or less compensated than people with blue eyes?
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Eye color, unlike Race or Gender, is pretty evenly distributed over the obvious confounding variables like "Age" or "Preference of staying home with children". I'd expect it to be +/- 10%, though probably not "equal" enough to keep "disparate impact" folks from calling it out.
> You can say this isn't a problem for her employer to solve but as long as we have no intention of upsetting the standard nuclear family gender roles men and women taking the default life path shouldn't consistently make one worse off than the other.

Yes it should — if they’re making choices at a different rate.

That is, if men who take similar time off experience similar hardship and it simply happens to be that women prefer to stay home with the kids more often, there is literally no problem.

We don’t need to “fix” biology to fit our ideology: that’s backwards.

Any individual woman has far more control over how she and her husband split childcare responsibilities than her employer who was not involved in who she decided to marry or how they decided to split up childcare and financially providing for the family.

And I don't think it's crazy for individuals who dedicate more of their life to work to make more money those who don't.

each family makes their own decision how to split responsibilities at home. Its possible that men take care of children, while women work more.

my position is each wife's gender gap is compensated by husband's gender gap, and on balance it all comes down to individual choices, division of labor at household level.

Using motherhood as a wedge issue between genders is an artificial issue that ignores incomes and choices at the household level.

> my position is each wife's gender gap is compensated by husband's gender gap

Time to turn off the “Leave it to Beaver” reruns, I think.

It seems logical that if either partner has to stop working for childcare, whichever partner earns the most keeps their job, unfortunately that just creates a feedback loop where gender gap means women are more likely to tale on child care, which in turn is used to justify the gender gap.

I don't think there is any real agency there. That said I also don't think parenthood is the root of the issue.

Just from my casual observation, it seems like these days, lots of women complain about having to do a lot more household work than their husbands, while also holding a full-time job just like the husbands. But no one ever seems to ask these women: "why did you marry this guy then?"

Of course, I've been in a bad marriage myself, so I understand how someone can make a really poor decision about their marriage partner (esp. when young!), but it seems to me that a lot of people are in lousy marriages, and are only still in them because it's easier to put up with a crappy partner, especially when you have kids, than to divorce and try to deal with the huge challenges that life as a divorced parent presents. I suspect many, many people (primarily women) are just waiting until the kids are out of the house until they finally end their marriages.

All in all, this makes me wonder how viable traditional marriage as an institution really is any more.

This is patently false. The USA does not have any regulations around equal parental leave for example. Very few companies allow employees to split their leave however they want, like some other countries do.
this is not an issue between union and corporation, but more like societal issue. Other countries provide prolonged maternity leave (Sweden has 16 months leave) and free/cheap childcare.

Its just that American lawmakers don't value traditional American family, they'd rather woman have an abortion, instead of subsidized childcare and 12+ months of paid family leave.

This is not a gender issue, this is the issue of American elites refusing to provide incentives to working American families.

Remember, most of the American societal "struggles" across artificial wedge lines (straight vs gay, male vs female, democrat vs republican, pro-choice vs pro-life, coastal vs rural, etc etc) => are artificially created by the mainstream media and Uniparty in the DC to leech taxes from working families and selectively prop up one side of the struggle, so that another side is outraged and fought the other.

There is only one struggle in America: rich rentiers on Investment income/Trust funds vs Working class on W2 income.

everything else is distraction

I broadly agree, but would draw this out a little:

> Its just that American lawmakers don't value traditional American family, they'd rather woman have an abortion, instead of subsidized childcare and 12+ months of paid family leave.

I'd be surprised if any federal elected official was on record with a position as ghoulish as this. I think the diversity of opinion on "what do we do about childbearing" is broader than "American lawmakers... would rather women have an abortion". At least the right is pushing a lot of incentives to make women staying home to raise children economically feasible again, and the left is really trying to figure out the care economy. There's a lot of hot button cultural stuff entwined with all of this, but also a rich policy discussion happening underneath.

> claims like these always irk me, like did you just compare averages by race/gender?

Probably not, the striking union is the one that contains all the data analysts at the NYTimes, so they have some experience with sociology data.

> Whoever made this claim, did they control for other factors, like job title/level or productivity?

As explained in the article, the data analysts union mad this claim, it's even explicitly linked!

> Turns out "gender pay gap" magically disappears as soon as you start controlling for relevant variables like hours worked, job seniority, experience, etc

No, that's just something you read on a blog written by a guy who would go on to write that women shouldn't get wage equality because they would have to work more dangerous jobs and thus die more, because apparently saving the lives of man by making those jobs safer is impossible.

Anyway, here's a big stats heavy quote about how there is solid evidence for a pay gap, from the stats nerds at the census bureau (I link only the executive summary https://www.dol.gov/sites/dolgov/files/WB/media/An%20Evaluat..., link to the full thing can be found in the summary)

"""In both decomposition models, the portion of the gender wage gap that could not be explained by differences in men’s and women’s work histories, work hours, industry and occupation distribution, and job characteristics was between 68 and 70 percent, yielding an unexplained wage gap of 14 to 15 percent. That is, of an estimated wage gap of 21 percent, statistical models explain between 6 and 7 percentage points of the gap, leaving 14 to 15 percentage points unexplained, similar to other major studies on this topic.

Differences in the sorting of men and women between occupations do not fully explain the gender wage gap; men and women are paid differently within occupations as well. The size of the gender wage gap varies significantly by occupation even as men earn more than women in nearly all occupations. While wages are at parity in some occupations, gaps are as large as 45 percent in others. Across the 316 occupations in this study, occupations in finance and sales had the largest gender wage gaps""

> finance and sales

Weird that jobs with performance bonuses are the largest gap — but that perhaps suggests that the cause isnt sexism in the workplace, but yet more confounders they didn’t account for.

I think the orthodox Left response to this would be that the unseen hand of the patriarchy and general internalised gender roles cause women to hustle less/advocate for recognition of their performance less than men, or for men to overlook their contributions.
Or that their sales contacts treat women and non-binary folks worse than men.

https://www.newsweek.com/male-and-female-coworkers-switched-...

sales is literally you-eat-what-you-kill. you get paid % commission on sales regardless of your gender. There are so many sales people nobody would actually bother creating a separate pay grade for women and separate for men (and it would be highly unethical and illegal ofc)
For new business. But what about managing existing accounts, or renewals
Did you perhaps respond to the wrong comment? This is in no way responsive to what I wrote.
Who gets handed the best leads to the biggest fish? The people perceived as the best deal closers. Perceived. This is where you can hide the most sexism, along with other confounders, yes.
And every other human social bias: attractiveness, confidence, loyalty, etc.

You can’t point to gender and say that’s the clear and overwhelming bias.

did you actually read the research you cited?

because it DOES NOT control for hours worked nor experience, and lumps up narrow specialties with wide specialties together in a single "finance".

There is a huge difference in finance as a "bank teller" and finance as a "investment banker at Wall St".

This is a problem of large scale population level wage research, it misses very important confounding variables and lumps up everything they failed to explain as some magical gender pay gap.

This is the epitome of how low replicability social sciences research is done: download dataset from JSTOR, load it in Stata/Matlab, run some regressions and call it a day.

I agree about the diversity of finance as a sector. I know many people that work ”in finance” and that varies from glorified interior decorating for corporate real estate to running macros on spreadsheets to check loans to defining investment portfolios
It is a quote from a summary, they don't write out the full list of jobs that fall under the heading to keep it short.

Examples of jobs in that category given in full report reads: "securities, commodities, and financial services sales agents (0.55), financial managers (0.66), and personal financial advisors (0.68)."

The first sentence in the quote talks about trying to explain wage differences by hours worked?

I can also tell you didn't bother to peruse the linked summary, because it also talks about experience though they call it work history.

>a guy who would go on to write that women shouldn't get wage equality because they would have to work more dangerous jobs and thus die more, because apparently saving the lives of man by making those jobs safer is impossible.

I think it can be true that we should make those jobs safer and that it makes sense to pay dangerous jobs more.

I really am curious what the people that disagree with me think. Do you think that danger shouldn’t be compensated?

You are arguing against a claim you made up yourself, best of luck getting that conversation somewhere useful.
I’m not sure what you mean. I thought I was responding to the plain meaning of the text I quoted. What claim did I make up?
That someone claimed those were opposing aims.
Of course someone did. The clear and obvious interpretation is saying that “making the jobs safer” is an alternative to “a group does more dangerous jobs and dangerous jobs should be paid more”
I know plenty of dangerous jobs that are poorly compensated. I don't know many millionare inner city convenience store clerks.

Jobs compensate employees according to how much they can get away with exploiting their employees.

It's more that I don't see the relevance of that to the subject being discussed.

If dangerous jobs are paid more, what does that have to do with the gender pay gap?

And, let's face it, two of the most dangerous jobs around at the moment are teaching and nursing, both of which are predominately done by women.

> let's face it, two of the most dangerous jobs around at the moment are teaching and nursing, both of which are predominately done by women.

Not even in the top 10. 2024 numbers:

Logging – 100.7 per 100,000 workers

Roofing – 57.5

Fishing and hunting – 50.9

Construction trade helpers – 38.5

Air transportation – 35.9

Delivery trucking and commercial trucking – 30.4

Refuse and recycling – 22.6

Iron and steel – 21.3

Mining – 20.1

Agricultural workers – 20.0

I wonder what happens to get those numbers for the air transportation industry? I definitely didn't expect it in the top...
I had a friend who worked on the ramp at SFO. Saw him real shook up after work, said he saw a coworker drive one of their carts under a plane while looking elsewhere- and got his head cut off.

It's a very physical job with a lot of powerful machines.

These are just deaths. I wonder also about exposure related hazards.
>If dangerous jobs are paid more, what does that have to do with the gender pay gap?

Men do far more dangerous jobs than women

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The fallacy (...ish) in these conversations is that men and women always work the same types of jobs. Which you pretty much just admit isn't really the case, which your "teaching and nursing" comment.

Ultimately, it turns out, men have a combination of typically choosing higher-paid careers and also being more demanding in terms of compensation. At the end of the day I can't hold a gun to women's heads and make them become engineers. If they want to be teachers, then so be it.

But wait! That doesn't mean that there isn't discrimination at play. Because typically jobs that are predominantly women are lower paid. It's complex, because:

1. Typically, there ARE some value/toughness differences in the job. Being a nurse is "easier" than being a doctor. But how much? Are we certain we're dividing the pay equitably?

2. While men have these higher paying jobs more, men aren't more educated. At least, not anymore. What could be the factors leading women to receive education in fields that are less economically viable?

Also, while there is a pay gap, this isn't the only gender gap. Clearly, job distribution across gender is very complicated. For example, men make up 97% of workplace deaths. Why do men choose these jobs more? Is it biological, social, economic, or all three?

> No, that's just something you read on a blog written by a guy who would go on to write that women shouldn't get wage equality because they would have to work more dangerous jobs and thus die more, because apparently saving the lives of man by making those jobs safer is impossible.

What am I missing here? Is it possible to make the workplace injury rate among linemen comparable to the rate among social workers?

That the full argument amounted had this weird structure where women should be excluded from some jobs without complaint because of the danger, but simultaneously there was no interest in making the jobs safer!

So that men work more in dangerous jobs wasn't a problem, instead that was a proper, "of course men should die more" sort of thing because it motivated the pay gap.

So the argument becomes that men should die so the pay gap is sustained, which doesn't seem like a great thing to declare triumphantly?

All the applause. Thank you for posting a comprehensive review of the information in the post (and then accurate guess of what was to come)
> the striking union is the one that contains all the data analysts

You seem to believe a union in a negotiation would care about carefully drawing conclusions from data analysis.

The goal is to construct a political wedge which makes their employer look bad for not giving into their demands. The only mindset about data is “how can we use this to argue for what we want”.

and here's the woman who won a Nobel prize for proving otherwise

https://freakonomics.com/podcast/a-new-nobel-laureate-explai...

Very persuasive. Intuitively a lot of her findings make sense and are quite obvious, once having read the transcript.
The linked transcript is describing a very real phenomenon, in quite a lot of detail. The "otherwise" in your comment is a little confusing.
If you feel so strongly about it, become a Union rep and advocate for whatever you see fit.
Employers generally would prefer to pay people less. If you don't ask for a raise you often don't get one. If you ask for a raise, you generally need to consider quitting if you don't get so kind of raise. Men are generally more aggressive about asking for raises. From a certain perspective when one sees a "pay gap" you could think, "Women need to risk more and fight for higher pay. They are bringing wages down for everyone. Let's encourage them to fight for higher pay at the same rate men do." Your mileage may vary.
Some recruitment firms had some reports that corroborated that. HIRED’s annual report showed that too.

In person, I’ve seen many women colleagues do things at odds with the competition

For example, being worried about how to move up in their organization without coming across as “too bitchy”, as if it was a unique phenomenon to their gender

When the competition is:

- losing opportunities for being too cocky, and they keep trying until they find a different organization “looking for someone to make the hard decisions”

- emphasis on a different organization. the competition is coming in at a higher level by bluffing and trying, not focusing on going up the corporate ladder, or worried about being married to a company

its a widely replicated experience that changing jobs will get you 30% pay bump and the same level of responsibilities, while trying to move up gets you a ton more responsibility and single digit percent compensation increases

if many women are adverse to doing that, it would be a significant factor in some industries

Have you honestly heard any male colleague described as “too bitchy”? How did you listen to your female colleagues’ genuine experience of being unfairly labeled and come away from it thinking it was their fault? And the solution is “don’t be loyal and lie”? Sure you can probably get ahead doing that but yikes maybe it’s the system that’s the problem.
I’ve worked with a bunch of men who were considered ‘assholes’. Mean or difficult women are sometimes called bitches, mean or difficult men are sometimes called assholes. There is no practical difference between the two.
well one is allowed in a corporate setting and the other isn’t. that’s the main practical difference. i have literally sat in meetings where women are complaining about “old white assholes” in the industry (im not white) while my white male colleagues just look around uncomfortably.
amusing, as the competition doesn’t have the privilege of defining whose fault their circumstance is. adapt or exist in mediocre compensation, mediocre abilities to provide security to partners.

act like the competition. you aren’t going to get the satisfaction of an argument about the validity of everyone’s lived experiences.

figure it tf out and don’t worry about how it’s articulated in internet comments. otherwise, you’re probably not pulling your weight on the wage gap for your gender, yikes, because other people are.

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If you have the time, could you explain what you think "gender studies" entails? Not to step on your broader point at all, but I think you might need to pick a better strawman here.

I can only speak anecdotally with my many years in the "liberal arts", but feel pretty confident you would be laughed out of the classroom for bringing such a thing up, whatever side of it you are on. Its just more of a thing people like us argue about on message boards, not really something academics would care about beyond a fraught data point! For I hope obvious reasons.

And no I cant speak for the annoying guy you met one time who was a gender studies major. I'm sure they were very annoying though.

"Gender studies" is usually used as a dog whistle for low rigor Liberal Arts programs like Psychology (as opposed to high rigor STEM programs like Physics).

Colleges aggressively enroll low-SAT high schoolers in these low rigor fields, because they want their federal student loan money at overinflated tuition. Colleges have only incentive to overproduce students and hand out diplomas like candy in exchange for student loan money.

The problem with over-enrollment of low-SAT students in low rigor fields is Replication crisis[1]. A lot of "research papers" are being produced every year due to sheer over-production of graduate students in these fields, and with pressure to "publish-or-perish" a lot of research ends up bogus, fake, non-replicated or p-hacked.

This NYT claim caught my attention because they used words "average wage per gender/race" - which is telling sign they used simple Excel's AVERAGE() to get their "insights".

In a more rigorous field like econometrics/statistics, you would be laughed at if you make such claim because average numbers hide a lot of nuance, required to understand the field. If one were to control for certain confounding variables, one would get a much better understanding of a "wage gap" or "racial gap" issue and understand each individual components of the gap, rather than blaming everything on strawman "institutional racism" or "institutional misogyny" or whatever

  1. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Replication_crisis
Ah gotcha. Well thanks for responding thoughtfully, reading what I actually said! Good luck with all that, you are fighting a good fight. One day those rigor-less Academia scum are gonna get whats coming to them, I'm sure.
> claims like these always irk me, like did you just compare averages by race/gender? Whoever made this claim, did they control for other factors, like job title/level or productivity?

I can’t speak for these numbers, but when we do them we account for these things. Obviously pay isn’t going to be fair, but it should be less unfair than it is at many places.

Part of the reason women get paid less where I currently work is because they ask less. That doesn’t mean every white man is paid much better, because not all men ask either. In general, however, you can generalise across experience, productivity, seniority and so on and say that some groups are paid less. There are a lot of factors which play into this beyond people not asking. Our metrics also show that employees who ask less frequently or are in general less assertive are also much less likely to leave their jobs. As such it becomes less of a risk to not give them raises. Risk of employees leaving is a factor you consider when balancing your budget, and I’m sure you can imagine other things which may play into this, some of which, shouldn’t.

> Part of the reason women get paid less where I currently work is because they ask less.

Yes, and that’s because as study after study has shown they’re less likely to successfully get more and not have it held against them.

> New research by Berkeley Haas Professor Laura Kray shows the belief that women don’t ask for higher pay is not only outdated, but it may be hurting pay equity efforts. Contrary to popular belief, professional women now report negotiating their salaries more often than men, but they get turned down more often, Kray found.

https://newsroom.haas.berkeley.edu/research/new-research-sha...

If you notice I spoke about my place of work. Not on the national or global norm. I’m sure times are changing, but it’s not what our internal metrics currently show at our company.

I personally hope it changes.

Do you have internal metrics showing that women who ask are treated the same way? That women are convincingly told that it won’t jeopardize their offers as it likely has at other employees? This stuff is insidious and it doesn’t need to happen every time, everywhere to shape people’s decisions.
We don’t have any sort of metrics which are that personalised.

I’m not sure you’re arguing against who you think you’re arguing against. I’m not defending it, I’m simply sharing how it is at our place. There are a lot of issues, if you took a wild guess at the demography of our manager staff I'm fairly certain you would get it right.

Yeah, supporting anecdote: only thing I got for trying to negociate my salary and benefits last time I tried, was my contract started over a month later so I technically lost that much pay, with zero changes to my contract. It just doesn't feel worth trying. Sure, you can blame me for poor negotiation skills maybe, or for not walking away from this job but contrast that to my partner's salary doubling without having to even ask... So it deeply irritates me when people say women don't get things because they don't ask. It is just a catch 22 situation.
I don't know that the American Enterprise Institute is the most unbiased source of this information.

The author of this particular article you linked to (which itself doesn't really link out to much, other than an interview given by Sheryl Sandberg and references to her commentary from The Guardian, so where is the data coming from exactly?) is also a concurrent fellow at The Federalist Society[0] which has a notoriously right wing bent to its interpretation of law and policy research, which does bring up some questions of bias here, given this and the fact there isn't anything in the linked article that really supports their position, rather its a snippet of interpretation for a Sheryl Sandberg interview and a book titled Why Men Earn More: The Startling Truth Behind the Pay Gap -- and What Women Can Do About It by Warren Farrell. To which, he uses both snippets outside of their broader context, which both argue that pay remediation is a core component to having gender equality in the workplace, but isn't the only thing

I'm coming up empty here, as to what supports this assertion as any semblance of reality?

Prove me wrong with facts and studies, I’m all ears. I would life to be wrong about this

[0]: https://fedsoc.org/contributors/mark-perry-2

Claims that there is no gender pay gap based on clearly biased sources irks me.

So firstly, you don’t know what the NYT tech guild analysis looked like, so why assume they didn’t control for other factors? It is plausible they could have, given their access to competent statisticians, but we don’t know either way. It seems like you may just want this story to fit your pre-existing narrative.

Secondly, there are so many high-quality studies out there better than an a blog post about a Forbes article about an interview from a conservative think tank that show the very real existence of a gender pay gap that _is not accounted for_ by fewer hours worked, experience, or job type (yes these do contribute but are far from the entire picture). Here’s a couple (read their citations for more):

https://www.dol.gov/sites/dolgov/files/WB/equalpay/WB_issueb... https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w21913/w219...

Lastly, _even if_ womens’ “lifestyle choices” were to explain entirely the pay gap (which they don’t, see above), think about what kind of career choices you’d make if you had to constantly debate about your right to equal pay with your supposed peers.

It’s not really plausible that the NYT tech guild would have controlled for factors that would make the pay gap appear smaller, because their incentive isn’t to be truth-seeking, but to attain a superior negotiating position.
The gender pay gap disappears when you control for hours worked, job seniority, and experience.

So, why do women work less hours than men and have less experience? That's still an issue even if it's not directly sexist. If we read some bullet points from your post:

> Men are more likely than women to have more years of continuous experience in their current occupation.

What crawls on four legs and causes women to drop out of the labour force?

> four legs, ...

If we, as a society, want to encourage more kids, we should to allocate those funds as a society, much like roads or anything else (we do, tax benefits, ..., maybe we should do more). If we want to offer welfare for people regardless of their life constraints, that's again a societal decision (and one I'm mostly in favor of).

Pushing that to each individual employer sets up a cat and mouse game where the shadiest organizations barely not getting audited are able to leverage that inequality (supposing we did fix the wage gap at an employer level without addressing underlying factors) to achieve higher profits and outperform the competition.

And that's one of the _better_ outcomes. Switching gears only slightly, suppose (using round numbers for simplicity) the average cost to the employer of maternity leave is 6 months salary and you have a 10% chance of incurring that cost. An organization like the NYT can absolutely self-insure, but at the level of only a few employees you cannot.

Something kind of like the unemployment insurance situation works much better in those kinds of scenarios. The government acts as an insurer to provide the service we as a society have decided is worthwhile, and each employer only has to send in a check for their average liability instead of dealing with a different mountain of paperwork and existential risks.

We can't even do something simple that I would like to see happen — make WIC universal with no conditions. It already covers about half of all children so it basically only doubles the budget. We can afford it and it saves so much time and energy trying to police the system.

Another one is free of cost universal pre-K. A lot of women can't go to work because there is nobody at home to take care of their children. But really the easiest lowest hanging fruit is universal WIC. Make it available to everyone so it is easier for us to tell people to get it.

> What crawls on four legs and causes women to drop out of the labour force?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Motherhood_penalty

progenity penalty is a societal issue, not issue between worker-corp. It is individual choice of a household to pro-create, and each mother's gender penalty is offset by father's gender penalty.

one may argue that America should provide more incentives to working families, but I see it as a society level issue, not the issue between a particular worker union and NYT.

I would love American society to unite once and for all, and ignore all artificial wedge lines created by MSM and uniparty (state, party, rural/urban, region, identity, ideology) and demand better laws that provide longer PFL and affordable childcare.

also in https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42047289

Curious what you mean by father's gender penalty as the link you provide states "Men's wages are either unaffected or even increase after having a child."

Doesn't sound like a penalty to me? also it assumes parents stay together if one offsets the other

> What crawls on four legs and causes women to drop out of the labour force?

"Women earn less due to sexist discrimination" and "women earn less due to bearing the brunt of raising children" are two distinct claims. The first one is contentious and widely disputed (disproved?).

Being socially expected to raise kids is a form of discrimination.
then so is being socially expected to provide for a woman with the same or better opportunities than you
> Turns out "gender pay gap" magically disappears as soon as you start controlling for relevant variables

I think this is false?

The gap certainly becomes smaller when you control for those factors, but it does not disappear.

But don't take my word for it; search for "unadjusted gap" (or "uncontrolled") vs "adjusted gap" (or "controlled") to see various reports. Your quoted source does not cite much data that I can see.

My understanding is that the adjusted pay gap is approx. 99¢ vs. $1 for men; one source, with data and a description of their methodology: https://www.payscale.com/research-and-insights/gender-pay-ga...

(and of course, aside from this, the question of why women would tend to have less experience and lower titles than men, is a valid topic on its own, and adjusting for it doesn't make it unimportant)

> 99¢ vs. $1 for men

isn't it on the border of measurement error ? Would it be fair to say, after controlling for some variables the gender gap narrows down to 1% (which is a fairly small number if you ask me).

Like $1000 per year on a median salary in the US

> isn't it on the border of measurement error?

At least going by that payscale.com link, I don't think so. That is compiled from 600K+ responses, so they have enough data to measure small differences with some confidence, I think. I didn't sign up to download the full dataset though, so I'm mostly going by their claims.

Quoting from the article:

  Although $0.99 may seem very close to $1, the red line in the chart
  below has never crossed the dotted $1 line in blue representing men’s
  pay. Even when women are doing the same jobs, the gender pay gap is
  not zero.
If it were a "lost in measurement error" thing, I would expect that chart to have a lot more noise in it — some years women would be above men, other years below (that said, I do wish the charts had error bars). Instead, it's showing a small-but-consistent difference repeated across the years.
Surely, every other time you've raised this argument, people have pointed out that job seniority is a desirable and highly contested variable? Saying that it makes sense, because fewer women and minorities are promoted, does not actually support your point. Don't control for job title.
I think it helps to isolate the issue and prescribe better targeted intervention measures.

If we can say that for the same level, gender pay gap does not exist, but there is discrepancy in promoting women to senior/executive levels: and there could be many legitimate reasons.

and the issue of gender gap becomes an issue of promoting women to senior levels from the inside, or more diverse hiring for senior job roles from outside.

I don’t think it’s really relevant? It would be a very easy promise to make if no such thing were happening in the first place.

I’m going to give them the benefit of the doubt and assume they’re smart enough to not just straight up compare the average of all men vs the average of all women.

Given that I've got a rather nice chunk of cash (buy-a-really-nice-car nice) from a settlement in a pay gap lawsuit, there's at least existence proof that a pay gap exists occasionally to the extent a judge will believe it does. I'd consider looking at the actual data instead of blanket-dismissing via generic questions.

Further, given that the AEI has a very strong incentive to lie a pay gap away, I'd at least suggest consulting additional resources.

What annoys me about the left is exactly things like this. Someone points out that an ideologically-motivated claim is baseless, and the talking heads on the left just repeat, over and over, in various ways, that bad-faith actors on the right are disputing the claim, but they’re wrong (and evil). They just do this until people get tired of arguing, and they refuse to give up the claim.

With the right, a lot of it is based on religion or irreducible moral sentiment, and you just accept that some people on the right believe crazy things and can’t be swayed. On balance their beliefs are more harmful (though not by as much as in the past), but they don’t bother me in the same way because they’re admittedly irrational. Many on the left start with a set of beliefs similarly rooted in feeling and then rationalize the hell out of them, and will (often literally) scream at you if you dare to point out that their evidence is ex post facto and just poor besides.

I am economist and former quant. I wrote a report on the gender pay gap for a candidate for Congress. There is evidence of a gap.

Glassdoor has a great report showing that salaries for the same company and same job title are about 7% lower for women. An academic paper on MBA grads showed that hiring salaries for women were lower. So there is evidence for it.

For the MBA grads, the paper show that with training on negotiation, women got salaries similar to men. So, there are policies that help.

> The third demand in dispute is a frequent source of anxiety for Hoehne in particular: return to office.

Other tech workers should take note. RTO is negotiable, like everything else. If companies can enforce RTO with zero cost, they just might do it.

I just don't know, all these points sound so weirdly out of touch with reality, it feels like we live in a world of children and there are no parents anymore.

Point 1: Only getting fired for a good reason? Who decides what a good reason is? The boss right? So what are we even doing here, what's the hidden implication? They want a foot in the door to be able to argue that X wasn't really a good reason and they'll strike over it. If I were a company owner/boss I would want to be able to fire people who are terrible to be around, argumentative for no good reason. Is that a good reason? They would think no because it's a personal fit issue. And yet it's totally legitimate, people don't get hired all the time over "fit" but then you can't fire over "fit". Everytime I have to deal with such colleagues I always think "man if I were a boss, I'd just fire such people, it's so obviously poison for the work environment". Arguing effectively is important but because it's so important it's a great duty to not use it as a tool for personal benefits.

Point 2: Pay discrepancies for "women or people of color" could easily have real world reasons, maybe they really are just worse at their job, less engaged, less ambitious, whatever it is that causes less pay. It's not impossible for this to be the case, no matter how uncomfortable that may be for everyone. Yes really. Yes really really. It can absolutely be true. You might even have a situation where every worker from Russia is just worse at their job. Or the majority of workers that are e.g hindu are just worse for whatever reason that a company can't fathom. It may even be the case that everyone who is white is worse for whatever reason, maybe they are too comfortable, who knows, none of this is impossible and none of this is the job of the company to figure out. I need to have the legal power to pay worse people less money or we are in a situation where you just levied a massive hidden tax on my company. You want me to subsidize worse performers in some strange hope that this is going to help the country as a whole to be nicer. Well having a nicer country would be fantastic, I just want you to be clear that you are issuing massive, gigantic new taxes with these so called anti-racist, anti-sexist rules and it's not just a tax on the company, it also hurts the psychology of all the better workers, so you are hurting society in general. Who is going to count the cost at the end? Why work harder after all if you can just have a certain genetic profile or protected political class and then you'll get free money. What such people who push for this are always implying is that the company is hurting itself in sexist, racist confusion, the implication is that these people are underpaid for the value they provide and the company is too incompetent to see it. The union or government in their infinite wisdom is going to force the company's racists/sexists/homophobes to finally pay according to the real value of these workers and the only metric that they will use to determine the real value is genetics and political class. Absurd isn't even a strong enough word to describe it. Even in the theoretical best case scenario for such a rule where you truly have identical value from two different people, why reward the person that doesn't want to negotiate for more pay? What we should actually do is maybe look at workers' family situation and give people who can't negotiate effectively due to raising kids that they get a government tax bonus. But wait, that is already the case! People who have kids can already get a tax bonus.

Point 3: Yes it would be nice if we could all work how we want but how is that a legitimate negotiable thing for the union to involve itself in? If the company thinks that home office doesn't work for them then who is the union to say otherwise?!

The entire mindset here is so utterly divorced from reality, it...

I'd also point out the irony that if the NYT had hired staff with balanced and diverse perspectives, it might not have put itself in this ouroboros trap.
> Only getting fired for a good reason? Who decides what a good reason is?

There are these things that exist called courts and independent arbitrators...

> Pay discrepancies for "women or people of color" could easily have real world reasons, maybe they really are just worse at their job, less engaged, less ambitious, whatever it is that causes less pay.

> ...

> I need to have the legal power to pay worse people less money or we are in a situation where you just levied a massive hidden tax on my company.

Ok, then. We have these things called protected categories. If your contention is one of those categories actually consists of "worse people" that you need to be able to "pay less money," then you need to prove that each of those individuals is in fact "worse." A giant wall-o-text consisting of a bunch of coulds, maybes, and I-want-to-be-able-to-do-this's ain't gonna cut it.

> Yes it would be nice if we could all work how we want but how is that a legitimate negotiable thing for the union to involve itself in?

The short answer: yes. The long answer is: yes, and why is that news to you?

> The entire mindset here is so utterly divorced from reality...

Honestly, I could say the same about your comment.

We can just take this exchange as an example, maybe that helps to clarify my actual position. Imagine if I had to contact an independent committee before I could "fire"(=ignore) your comment with several snide insults. I'd get bogged down, my work day would be slower. Imagine if somebody could drag me to court over every comment decision because hey, maybe I just ignored it for no good reason, or because you are black or white or have a certain religion. You could file an appeal at HN that I have to give you more attention. So in your desired reality we will have to find out during the court proceedings and in the meantime I am forced to pay you 15% more attention *by default* in an irrational attempt of fairness to all the other comments if they received 15% higher attention.

Having certain protections against discrimination is a good thing but they should be very carefully applied. We can already see that the New York Times Tech Guild does not seem to want careful application of these rules if their website doesn't even mention any evaluation of worker productivity or value, all their study apparently did was to look at pay difference without looking at work difference. A perfect example of a total failure to care about the correct things, a total failure to care about what the company needs to achieve (=actual value) and just looking at pay with no connection to possible reasons I enumerated. https://www.nyguild.org/post/pay-inequity-at-the-new-york-ti...

> Imagine if I had to contact an independent committee before I could... ignore your comment...

I can imagine an orange when we're talking apples, sure.

> We can already see that the New York Times Tech Guild does not seem to want careful application of these rules if their website doesn't even mention any evaluation of worker productivity or value, all their study apparently did was to look at pay difference without looking at work difference.

Come on, it's an adversarial negotiation. You seem to really want to argue the side of the employer, and for some strange reason seem also want everyone to argue that side as well.

Point 1: The hidden implication is obviously the continued problem of large firms over-hiring when labor or money is cheap and then performing mass layoffs when it's not. If you are hiring someone or a group with plans of firing them later then the contract wasn't established in good faith. Many of these workers can make more hourly if they are independent, they are paying for stability. No company should be able to double dip by hiring a large team to build a system and then firing most of them to maintain it on a shoe-string budget, if they want to do that they can pay top dollar to have a 3rd party build it

Point 2: No matter how it shakes out, if you structure your company in a way that white men or asian men are incentivized to do more or women and blacks are incentivized to do less, then your company has a racist incentive structure and it should be rebuilt. They aren't flying in 15-year-old Hadje from Chad, the people they hire are all similarly qualified so there shouldn't be such a large gap, as we know cause if we restrict it to just white men then there isn't this large pay gap. Besides, it's a complete myth that people are "payed what they are worth" if that were the case a 100xer would make 100x more than a 1xer after firing 99 people and keeping the 100xer. In reality they might double or tripple their pay and the rest just becomes (record) profits for the company and 99 people are out of work.

Point 3: Does the company have any evidence that it doesn't work or should we just take their word? Doesn't work in what sense? That profits for the company aren't maximized? If that's the only metric then why should the employees be payed at all? Just have them as slaves and use the government to beat or kill them if they disagree.

Thank you! I wish I could promote this (and @crazygringo's helpful summary a few min ago) to the top of the thread. The rest of the HN commentary so far would've benefited from it a lot.
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With the shit show that the current tech industry has turned into, unionization is crucial. US has a very low percentage of unionized workers compared to Iceland, Finland and Scandinavian countries for instance. Time to change and make our voice heard.
In what way do you think the current tech industry has turned into a shit show?
There's a lot of companies now that expect you to leave the house and go work around other people. Like, what the hell?
That's a weird way to say:

"Companies are taking more of people time for the same pay, in addition to requiring unpaid commute time".

I usually don't like when I work more for less, do you?

> go work around other people

I’m sure you meant to say “waste time in commute and spend 8 hours trying to complete 1 hour of WFH amount of work in open office”.

I think tech workers have gotten a little spoiled. At my company, we have about 35 people in our IT department. 3/4 are directors and managers and I honestly have no fucking idea what they do all day. 600 people on the IT staff at the NYT is insane, and I guarantee the majority of those jobs is "attend meetings every day to jerk each other off with 1 deliverable a week".
> 3/4 are directors and managers

this is a problem. Hiring and career paths are completely non-existent for tech people. Most will not get a cost of living increase, and the only way to actually increase their pay is to update their resume and spend months trying to find another position. I dont' know if you've noticed, but our job market blows right now.

They may have bought us off for a decade or so, giving us benefits that rivaled unionized positions. But over the last 20 years, that "bargain" has slowly eroded and now the unionized shops are the only ones getting benefits for the employees.

Capitalism being what it is, each company MUST pursue the lowest costs and highest margin. Without collective bargaining, a single worker has no power against the whims and desires of board members, to whom you are just a rounding error.

"If hard work were good for you, the rich would have it all to themselves."

I'm pro union. I'm just saying I've worked with a lot of people with Director in their title that I know don't do any actual work other than balance a budget or shuffle shit around in spreadsheets once every couple months. I've been at my new job almost a year now, and I can't believe what people are getting away with. Obviously not everywhere is like this, but it's not my first job where the rest of the company is completely clueless as to how little the IT dept actually does day to day.
I see - I absolutely agree with your assessment that the Directors may not be contributing any actual value at this point. I would love to see more servant leadership, and perhaps have management be an elected position instead of one that seems to be reserved for a certain Class of person.
Yeah that would be great. There's a bachelor's degree requirement for all management positions. Even if you've been there 20 years, you can never be "one of them". Pretty crazy imo. They passed up people with multi decade experience in the company for someone completely new because they had a bachelor's. That blows my mind.
From the WSJ’s reporting on this:

> Most employees in the tech union receive pay of more than $100,000, and average compensation, including bonus and restricted stock units, is $190,000, according to a Times spokeswoman. That figure is an average of $40,000 more than members of the Times’s journalist union, she said.

> Times leaders have also bristled at the nature of some of the guild’s requests. The union previously sought a requirement that the company use unscented cleaning supplies and offer a pet bereavement policy that included a leave of up to seven days, though it has since backed down from those demands.

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The auto workers unions got established when auto work was high paid, high tech work. People deserve to have unions - which is to say, a voice in the terms of their employment - regardless of the size of their paycheck.
Not all Unions are bad but some Unions are. Same with management. We've lost the art of compromise.
Ehhh, this is the counter-argument from the employer. That $190K seems highly dubious. I, an at-will employee earn ~60% more via benefits... and let me tell you that's definitely not the same as cash.

And the pet bereavement et al sounds like bargaining chips (no better proof than them being dropped in the negotiation process.)

> That figure is an average of $40,000 more than members of the Times’s journalist union, she said.

The journalist union should push for an increase too, then.

NYC cost of living is enormous.

I don't know about the NYT, but in my country newspapers are fighting for their lives, financially. Newspapers closing down and others laying off staff is a regular occurance.

Print newspapers are essentially dead. Online news? Barely anyone pays for that. Online with ads? Reddit/twitter/facebook/youtube pay zero dollars for the content they put ads on.

If you're in tech and you want to maximise your salary - a company's gotta have money before they can give it to you. And newspapers don't have money.

The NYT has money.

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/04/business/media/new-york-t...

> The company’s adjusted operating profit for the quarter, which ran from July through September, rose 16.1 percent to $104.2 million, from $89.8 million a year before. Overall revenue increased 7 percent to $640.2 million, compared with the same period in 2023.

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/07/business/media/new-york-t...

> The company’s adjusted operating profit for the quarter, from April through June, rose to $104.7 million from $92.2 million a year before. Overall revenue increased 5.8 percent, to $625.1 million, compared with the same period in 2023.

Profit of $104.7 million a year. 5800 employees [1]. So a profit of $18k per employee.

A $40k wage gap between tech and journalism it'd be nice to close.

That's gonna be one difficult negotiation.

[1] https://www.nytco.com/

These are per-quarter numbers, not annual.
Ah, I must have misunderstood the rose to $104.7 million from $92.2 million a year

Even quadrupling the $18k per employee, you're still trying to get a $40k raise from an organisation with a profit of $72k per employee. That's going to be tough.

Far tougher than moving to a different job at a company with more money.

It's the same in the US, but the NY Times is probably the most financially successful newspaper in the world at this point. They are not only the #1 news source by reputation, they made a huge push into digital very early and sell subscriptions to news, gaming (they have the #1 crossword and wordle), cooking, product reviews and sports. They supposedly make as much money on games as news which is why the message from the union has been to boycott wordle today.
Sure, but the workers don't have to take a shave to prop up a failing business model. Sure, they COULD just go somewhere else, but it's reasonable to first negotiate with the employer, because, ideally, the employer doesn't want a whole section of their workforce to just leave.

When I was much younger, a few years out of high school, I ended up being the last developer on a sinking ship, and had asked for a pay raise to get me up to where the highest paid of the employees who had left were, IIRC that was around $5/hr, and was denied. I should have used that as an RGE, but instead just hung on until around a year later when a job fell into my lap. But the employer would have been hurting if I left, and was definitely more expensive for them to lose me than it would have to keep me. But in the end, the parent company folded a couple years later because of a very, very bad bet they made.

nyt makes tons of money from trump news. Its not the same as local news. Trump ironically revived "failing new york times" .
I’d make the argument that the NYT is well positioned in the AI age to be an authority more so than before. The internet will be inundated with AI generated news, and the only way to keep your sanity is to check anything with a legitimate logo on the top of the site.
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Considering the common pay for software devs thats not as high as I expect.

The unscented cleaning supplies is a weird request, but it does kinda make sense and the cost should be pretty low - don't know why they removed that requirement.

As a person whose very sensitive to scents there's an entire world of folks who are debilitated by them!

I can often tell if someone was wearing anything but the mere hint of perfume minutes after they've left an area, and anything stronger gives me headaches or worse.

Great perspective that I wouldn't have considered. Thanks for sharing!
I am very allergic to many common fragrances and it makes my life really uncomfortable very frequently. Some of them are worse than others but commercial grade cleaning products are some of the worst. And it’s not just problematic for me to be in the bathroom where they’re used, but sometimes entire sections of the building that are close to the bathrooms. I get immediate physically uncomfortable symptoms and prolonged exposure can actually cause ETD and a resulting debilitating vertigo where I can’t even sit up for five hours and vomit the entire time. It’s not just fragrances that contribute to this but it’s a large part of it

The idea that they “bristled” at a union supporting people like me is total shit

You've been mislead on the "common pay" for software developers by the overemphasis of total compensation from FAANG (partially due to HN bias). Outside of FAANG, most developers earn less than you think in the US, and outside the US, it's even drastically less.
It's great the union was pushing for unscented cleaning supplies.

I have a friend who is very sensitive to scents. She may not be able to work in a typical office again because of it. I'm very sensitive to harsh fluorescent lighting and noisy office environments and get migraines. You can push through for a while but eventually you burn out.

We've also realized we're both "mildly" autistic [1] over the last few years, along with quite a few other software engineer friends. The sensory sensitivities fall under that umbrella.

Tech has traditionally been more accepting of neurodiversity than other careers, so it's great to see a tech union raising issue like this that don't cost much but make a big difference for anyone affected.

[1] Book: Unmasking Autism by Devon Price

From this article:

> The guild said it was asking readers to honor its digital picket line by not playing Times Games products, such as Wordle, and not using the Cooking app.

I’m not familiar with digital picket lines, why not ask that people not read via the site? Tying the picket line to Wordle and the cooking app seems to trivialize the importance of the team – Wordle was an acquisition!

My understanding is that, if you judge by traffic, The New York Times is actually a cooking blog and online gaming platform that dabbles a bit in journalism on the side.
Hilarious but I wouldn’t be surprised if it’s true. Upon some reflection, Marcella Hazan’s Tomato Sauce recipe is probably the most that i’ve actively sought the nyt’s content.
Locals newspapers were a grocery shopper and a comic book that dabbled in journalism as well.
Don't forget the classifieds as a critical revenue stream.
I mean, newspapers used to make all their money on classified ads which is why Craigslist has killed so much local news and Craig Newmark is now donating money to save journalism.
Pay-per-word classified ads drove sellers to websites that offered better reach for less money.
I guess it's because the software engineer union members are the ones who run that part
Let's put those numbers in perspective:

$100k is about $72k after tax[0].

Suppose I want to support a family in NYC. Average cost of living is about $9,000/mo for a family of four[1].

That's $108,000 per year. Or about $36,000 above what I would need to support an average 2-kid family, living paycheck-to-paycheck.

So if I want to be able to support a family, 100k is not even close to enough.

edit: forgot to add the sources

[0] https://www.talent.com/tax-calculator?salary=100000&from=yea...

[1] https://livingcost.org/cost/united-states/ny/new-york

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I guess we disagree on whether unions should fight for enough wages for their workers to support a family.
Should people with families get paid more in order to support them? Why would a single person need to get paid as much as a person supporting another adult without a job and two children?
IMO single people should also make more.

I just think "can they support a family of 4" is a decent heuristic for whether people are getting paid enough.

Yes. So much of our economy is built on the idea that future people will be able to support and pay for today's economic choices.
This has to be the most out of touch comment I have read ever here.
100% out of touch, yes, but not wrong. Before kids I had the same exact sentiment, and now, with kids, I still do.

Raising a family is a choice, and that choice should be made deliberately, considering all aspects, including financial impact.

It is no more the responsibility of the employer to consider the family of the employee anymore than for them to consider if the employee is a gambling addict, or spends frivolously on OnlyFans subs or funko pop collecting.

Most families have more than one earner, though.
It'll be curious to see what the ramifications are of sending a kid to daycare basically straight away, vs rearing him at home until he's ~5.

The costs in cities like NY and SF are so high that many kids end up in care as soon as parental leave expires. One of the big recent public policies in NYC is "3K," public schooling for kids starting at 3 years old.

A small sample size, but all of my kids which go to a pretty high-end daycare seem to have a bit leg up on peers who have stayed home in terms of social skills, language, reasoning, and reading. That's not just me acting like my kids are the best (of course they are), that's those other parents mentioning it to me.

It's practically a college tuition per kid at age 0 though.

Most families don't have a strong union that can negotiate a decent wage.
"It's not a bad deal because you can just deploy more of your household's available labor to earn more."
More than a few do not. You shouldn’t have to barely scrape by as a single parent in one of the most wealthy countries in the world.
It does when the biggest expenditure category is for a positional good (ie. rent). There's only so much land in new york and so many apartment units. Being in a wealthy country means your peers are also wealthy, which means a household with double income can easily outbid a household with a single income.
When I see people critique those numbers as being “too high”, or demands for additional compensation “unreasonable”, I can’t help but think those people don’t understand that $100k is very much the new $45k of the 2000s, and has much less purchasing power than the latter did at the time.

Truth be told, for the present cost of living in the Northeast in general, you’re looking at a family income of $300k to be “comfortable”, or a single base income of $200k. That’s if you want to buy a new car (of which the bulk cost more than $50k), a starter home that doesn’t need major repairs ($800k+), and still have some money left over to save for retirement; in cities like NYC and Boston, you’re easily looking at $250k single/$400k couple for a “Middle Class” existence.

The brutal reality is that everyone who has to work to survive is grossly underpaid relative to the current cost of living. To ignore this fact (or worse, try to compartmentalize it or limit its scope to a reduced “other” category) endangers both the economy and the state.

Cost of living has gotten really insane today compared to a couple decades ago.

Its pretty easy to go to college on loans and rack up $150k in debt for an average 4-year degree. Its easy to spend $35k-$50k on a new car, even 10 year old cars in good shape are $10k-$15k. Housing costs vary a lot more by area, but I think most would agree its extremely expensive these days.

The idea that a young family could have $5,000/mo just in debt payments between school, vehicles, and housing is insane to me. That doesn't even account for day to day expenses, children, vacations, etc.

> Its pretty easy to go to college on loans and rack up $150k in debt for an average 4-year degree.

It isn't easy for a 4-year degree. To get to that level generally requires law school or medical school debt or an unfunded graduate degree.

For 4-year degrees around 80% of students graduate with less than $30k in debt.

For public schools only 7% of graduates have debt above $50k. For private nonprofit schools 12% have debt above $50k. For private for-profit schools it is 32%.

The University of Alabama has estimates cost for in-state attendance of roughly $34k per year [1]. That is their general tuition unrelated to what school/department or degree you are there for.

That does include estimates for housing, food, books, etc so there's wiggle room especially if you have family near by and live at home.

For anyone going to school entirely on loans though, you wouldn't make it a year with only $30k in debt.

[1] https://afford.ua.edu/cost/

Sure, but most students at the University of Alabama don't go through entirely on loans. Only 42% of them take out loans. Median federal loan debt at graduation for them is $23k. 8% also take out private loans. The people with private loans have a median debt of $59k.
That wasn't actually my point though. My original comment was specifically calling out the cost to go to college entirely on loans, not what the average student ends up borrowing.

To me its less interesting to look at what the average person who is able to afford college today borrows to pay for it. That's a self-selected population and doesn't show what the impact would be on anyone who gets into college but doesn't have family money, scholarships, or grants to help pay for it.

>I can’t help but think those people don’t understand that $100k is very much the new $45k of the 2000s, and has much less purchasing power than the latter did at the time.

False. $45k in 2005 is only $73k today, when adjusted for inflation[1]. Even if you use the most generous interpretation of "2000s" to mean 2000, that's only $82k.

[1] https://www.usinflationcalculator.com/

Does that account for increased housing prices? It probably doesn't, because housing prices (cash price, per the fed) more than doubled since 2005: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/NYSTHPI
>It probably doesn't,

If you did a 30 second search, you'd see it's factored into the CPI, with "Shelter" (which further breaks down into rent and owners' equivalent rent) making up 36% of the CPI basket.

https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.t02.htm

Unfortunately, your source is offline, so I couldn't see where it got its data.
It's very much up for me. In any case here's an archived version:

https://web.archive.org/web/20241009171432/https://www.bls.g...

I meant the original source, the inflation calculator site. Anyway, thanks for the figures. House prices more than doubled but I guess other things must have become cheaper to compensate.
House prices aren't part of the CPI, but housing (ie. rent and owners' equivalent rent) is. The former is an investment but the latter is the thing you actually consume.
One possible issue is that the largest component (27% out of 26%) is `OER`, which can be detached from reality.

Unless owners are completely in the loop in terms of the rental market (which they likely are not, they don't rent), they may not come up with good estimates for what an equivalent rent would be.

Yes, it's in there. But also, IMO, oer is a dreadful metric. It's very laggy, and more opinionated that it ought to be. Rent is rent, but oer seems neither fish nor fowl. It's a wild survey guess that's off by 6 months.
All of my bills say “bull shit”.

I’m sure getting it that low means ignoring housing, and making everything in the “basket of goods” worse.

>I’m sure getting it that low means ignoring housing

No. https://www.bls.gov/cpi/factsheets/owners-equivalent-rent-an...

>and making everything in the “basket of goods” worse.

Given that food, energy, and shelter makes up the bulk of the CPI, I'm not sure how this can be done. The most plausible thing I can think of is "food is less nutritious than before", but I doubt that's an actual factor. "Food is getting less nutritious so I'm forced to shop at whole foods" isn't exactly a popular sentiment.

How about medical appointments with nurses instead of doctors?

I wonder if there is a similar measure for time kids spend in school. My kid comes home early every Wednesday, and there’s are ~15 other early dismissal days during the school year too.

I would bet almost everything that relies heavily on labor has been increasing in price faster than official figures for the basket of all goods and services.

"Food" listed in there is not food at all. Thats some cheap filler that isn't really affected by inflation that much because of its just cheap garbage subsided by govt.

Look at the junk in this section for exampe

> Cereals and bakery products

And ofcourse all the items in fruits and vegetables had the highest inflation.

>Look at the junk in this section for exampe

>> Cereals and bakery products

>And ofcourse all the items in fruits and vegetables had the highest inflation.

A simple check shows this is false. The "Cereals and bakery products" category went up by 28.6% since January 2020, compared to 17.9% for "Fruits and Vegetables". You get similar conclusions if you use compare against January 2005.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CUSR0000SAF111

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CUSR0000SAF113

You're making a couple mistakes on this.

The first is you're using the Nationwide averages as opposed to the regional numbers for New York where a lot of these increases are much greater than on the nation.

The second thing is the way it includes housing is by using a thing called the owners imputed rent. And what that does is it tries to back out the rental from a housing unit. The problem is in New York City rent has been rising way faster than that.

30 is the cpi's consistently underestimated a number of its own provisions because of the way it does hedonics and substitution. It basically says that while meat might have risen 50% people switch to fish now and it uses in lower value for inflation.

The CPI over the last 30 years have been so massively game it's almost useless anymore

>The first is you're using the Nationwide averages as opposed to the regional numbers for New York where a lot of these increases are much greater than on the nation.

Another commenter has pointed out new york house prices actually rose slower compared to the rest of the country.

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42043147

>The second thing is the way it includes housing is by using a thing called the owners imputed rent. And what that does is it tries to back out the rental from a housing unit. The problem is in New York City rent has been rising way faster than that.

Most Americans own their home. OER might not be perfect, but pretending that they pay market rent doesn't make much sense either. Even for people who don't own their home, new york has rent control, which provides similar inflation protections compared to owning a home.

>30 is the cpi's consistently underestimated a number of its own provisions because of the way it does hedonics and substitution. It basically says that while meat might have risen 50% people switch to fish now and it uses in lower value for inflation.

The part about hedonic adjustment is misleading. While it's true that such adjustments are used. It's only used for small minority of categories (basically clothes and technology), and doesn't include stuff like food (like in your example).

Meanwhile the part about substitution is straight up false:

https://www.bls.gov/cpi/factsheets/common-misconceptions-abo...

Read that link. The BLS says "yes we try to adjust for the substitution, but really we are trying to calculate a basic level of satisfaction:

> In January 1999, the BLS began using a geometric mean formula in the CPI that reflects the fact that consumers shift their purchases toward products that have fallen in relative price. [It continues by saying it allows substitution withing categories and not between categories.]

This is exactly what I was saying. It has become a cost of living index, not a measure of inflation anymore. The hedonic adjustments can be laughably hand-wavy (it is a very difficult problem on how you measure inflation when using CPUs -- the real answer is you shouldn't and CPI's basked is a bad bad way to do it). That FAQ is always pretty funny and defensive (a lot of "give us a break -- it doesn't really affect anything much").

> Even for people who don't own their home, new york has rent control, which provides similar inflation protections compared to owning a home.

This is one of the huge issues. (1) Not sure if you live near NYC, but ask any new yorker about how much rent control has helped -- the answer is usually pretty low. don't have a heart attack looking at this rental rise in the last 5 years https://comptroller.nyc.gov/reports/spotlight-new-york-citys...

However that isn't the important part - rent control shouldn't effect measures of inflation -- this is precisely why CPI is bad. You can't legislate away inflation, you mere push the money around and prices rise asymmetrically but you still have the fundamental issue that CPI no longer even tries to measure -- too many dollas chasing too few goods. So you stop some of using those dollars on housing -- they just bid of something else instead.

CPI is a terrible horrible very bad measure of inflation. Its been that way since the 70s at least when the concept was turned on its head.

These are NYC tech workers. "Food" isn't broccoli beef stir fry at home for $8. It's dinner at Del Frisco's for $300.

You need to understand that when people bitch about the "cost of living", they're not speaking in broad terms. They're speaking in specific terms, inclusive of their insane budgetary choices that they believe are mandatory to be seen as high-status.

Yes, you can live just fine on the median income. But in order to have your ego stroked as the super important high class person that you obviously are, you have to spend some money. Choosing to live in NYC in the first place is certainly part of that, the rest is just gravy.

This was pretty funny. Not particularly believable or credible, but definitely funny!

It reads like you are projecting your own beliefs of what New Yorkers and tech workers are like, and then screaming about that intersection.

Can we stick to stats over caricatures? If we’re going to go by “gut feel,” the stereotype is that the status climbers primarily go into finance, consulting, medicine, and law - not engineering.
[flagged]
My work at FAANG and FAANG-adjacent companies would suggest that it’s far more probable that a random e.g. finance professional is driven primarily by perceived status than a software engineer.

The media and general public still openly poke fun at tech titans like Mark Zuckerberg and even Jeff Bezos in a way that they would never do to e.g. Jamie Dimon. The perceived statuses are still incomparable, and I think any competent Gen Zer knows it.

>infested

Tell me your viewpoint is unreasonably biased without telling me your viewpoint is unreasonably biased.

And median wage in NYC is $74k (according to Google). Sure, Manhattan is different, tech salaries are different, etc. I'm not claiming that these specific workers should/shouldn't be paid more, just that it's really tone-deaf to claim that you can't live on <$100k, when more than half of New Yorkers do.
>when more than half of New Yorkers do

I'm curious about what portion of those that are living on $74k or less are doing so solo, and how many are only able to do so by racking up debt / getting support from family / etc.

I live in an area less expensive than NYC and, at least anecdotally in my circles, if you don't have a partner (or other assistance like roommates, parents, or something along those lines) it seems pretty damn rough to get by on ~70k.

You have roommates. Or you live in less than 400 sq feet. Or you're in an older rent control.
I have a good job in the Bay Area, and I spend 4K a month. Of course if I were a family, there is no way I could support a wife in 4K a month but that is rare anyway. If she were working too, I could surely support a child in 6k a month. At this cost my life includes:

1. A Tesla Model 3, on which I spend 1k a month with insurance

2. 1.5k rent for a studio in a good safe location with utilities

3. Rest on groceries, eating out movies etc.

If I decided to get a cheap car, I could easily have 600$ or more to spend on housing etc. So it would be tight but as a single 20s male, I would make it with 50k a year after taxes. Everything else just goes into savings. I think people have lavish tastes, or no control over their spending if they can’t make do with 70k a year after taxes.

// 2. 1.5k rent for a studio in a good safe location with utilities

I actually can't think of an EU Capital where that's achievable anymore, bar possibly the socialist outlier of Vienna. In Dublin a good studio is at least 2k, and you'll pay 52% tax on earnings over €70k as well...

To be fair, I’m not living in a SF proper, there it would cost around 2.5k but still EU is crazy expensive for the low wages they get paid.
But you have data privacy, social net there. You win some you lose some.
>if they can’t make do with 70k a year after taxes

I don't think the median income is after taxes, is it? That would be more reasonable, for sure. My comment was made in reference to friends who make $70k/yr before taxes.

No, the bureau of labor household/personal income figures are not reported post-tax.
Nah this is just false. I'm a founder and pay myself less than our employees, 70k does just fine. I define just fine as 'enough so you don't have to be distracted by coupon clipping for daily necessities, and can still travel on trips and buy splurge purchases like a fancy rice cooker or designer couch or fancy cocktails.'

I live alone in a 2br. I don't have assistance from family or a partner.

Now, I do not live in a luxury building, and I am not building up a nest egg from my salary. And I rent. But when people think about the costs of NYC, a lot of people forget that you don't need a car, car insurance, or gas.

Where you get into trouble is if you're paying a stupid large amount for rent. It is very possible to pay 1-2k / month in rent. Most people who move to the city at that budget live with roommates initially, but most find a really good deal, sometimes rent controlled, organically through networks after a year or two of living here. Deals are hard to find as they should be, but certainly exist, and most longterm locals have a great deal.

>Nah this is just false.

What is false?

I didn't make any claims other than saying that in my circles I see some of my friends and colleagues have trouble making it by on $70k. I'm not sure how you would be able to tell me that I'm wrong about that. I'm happy that you are able to make it on $70k, though.

>I didn't make any claims other than saying that in my circles I see some of my friends and colleagues have trouble making it by on $70k. I'm not sure how you would be able to tell me that I'm wrong about that.

Okay, then let's make this rigorous.

Falsifiable Claim: People live a life of struggle on 70k a year in new york, where struggle is defined by constant worries of physiological needs, safety, and security, as categorized in Manslow's hierarchy of needs. https://www.simplypsychology.org/maslow.html

Falsified by counterexample.

QED.

For a lot of people, they may mean 'struggle' in the sense of living below where they want to be, which is relative. Maslow's hierarchy is helpful to categorize.

This might be the most "hackernews" comments I've seen in awhile.

Can we maybe just have a normal conversation without trying to flex our superior debating skills?

I was curious how many people that make the median wage in NYC are living comfortably solo -- that's it!

You're making up claims, disconnected from my comments, and then falsifying them yourself in some sort of weird self-debating comment.

[on a salary of 70k] “I am not building up a nest egg from my salary”

You are robbing from your future to live in the present.

This might be ok for you specifically as you are making a gamble on your ownership of the startup paying off. Perhaps you have a family safety net. Or Perhaps you are ok with taking the risk that you don’t have enough money in your older years.

It’s not really ok for standard employees to live that way. The USA social contract is that each person must self-fund their own retirement. Deferring that savings to “later” has truly staggering costs in compound-interest-years lost.

"It’s not really ok for standard employees to live that way."

The majority of standard employees live this way, or with less.

>and I am not building up a nest egg from my salary

So you can't actually afford to maintain your lifestyle, unless your retirement plan is a revolver.

It's all about rent. If you've lived somewhere a while and have rent control, or you have roommates, or an unorthodox living situation (e.g. no kitchen), or can find a below-market unit, or some combination of those, you can survive on FAR less than someone who is moving to the city today and signing a new lease on a market-rate 1-bedroom apartment.
Doesn't not having a kitchen probably mean you're eating out every meal? That's quite expensive.
Sometimes it's like a half fridge and a two burner electric stove. Maybe you have an air fryer. Maybe you just microwave a lot of stuff. Or do like I do, eat a lot of simple uncooked meals, like fresh fruits and veggies, nuts, smoked fish, cheese, etc. I'm constantly amazed at how so many people assume everyone must eat exactly like they do.
You're amazed most people have kitchens? Lol unreal.
I'm amazed when someone assumes others must eat out every meal if they don't have the ability to broil a roast in their home. Though I shouldn't be amazed - the inability of people to understand lives that work differently then their own seems widespread.
Broil a roast? Now you've really lost me.
It was a turn of phrase, most people would understand the meaning easily.
You said without a kitchen, not without an oven. If you have a fridge and a range, you have a kitchen.
I personally could live off less than €1k/month for everything, before buying a house that reduced my costs by around €400/month.

Just because it's possible, doesn't mean most are willing to take the set of preferences in my head that allows me to be so cheap and rewire their own brains like that.

(comment deleted)
There's more in play here than math. An interesting idea is the concept of a "Vibecession", coined by Kyla Scanlon.

It's more a focus on how people "feel" about their situation than it is math. It's resonant to me.

https://kyla.substack.com/p/the-vibecession-the-self-fulfill...

Do you think people should be compensated more because they feel poorer, regardless of the actual costs of living...? As an avid Scanlon reader I personally think you're misrepresenting her position
Nope, I don't have a particular view on what would be adequate compensation, although I'm reflexively with labor. But it might get to the heart of why people do what they do. Why go on strike when the math says you're being payed above average on a nationwide basis? People are funny that way. Very few are calculators, they're just people.
I reckon people want to be paid as much as they can bargain for, regardless of their relative income level. Besides, it's not just about pay, it's often about working conditions.
Yes, and double yes. How these people view (feel about) their working conditions is more important to them than any explanation of why they ought to, or ought not to, feel that way based on some measure of comparative economics or conditions. If they want, for whatever reason (either allergy or solidarity), a scent-free cleaning product and they're willing to strike for it; well, why not? It's a political negotiation, a bargaining. That's sensible to me. Everything is people and politics. It might be justified by math, but it's not driven by it.
Of course, but I think people do (and should) bargain for as much as they can get. I don't think it should be motivated by and only when workers "feel bad" about the economy necessarily.
> There's more in play here than math

As in "people feel as though they want to be paid more"? You may find the idea interesting and resonant, but how does that affect anything? It's still true that they're on more than journalists, regardless of how they feel.

Don't underestimate how someone's feeling about something animates their actions about the same thing.
Yes, of course. Within their choices, everyone does what they want. But that's not something worth bringing into a discussion, unless we bring it into every discussion as a point to note every time before continuing with the actual discussion.
But, isn't that the discussion? That is, why would someone earning 100k feel that it's not enough, when all economic comparisons, with peers or peer-adjacents, insist that it's a load of money? Maybe it is, and maybe it's not; but if you go on strike you're probably not convinced by what the Fed, the DOL, and HN say.
No, the discussion was about actual buying power.
This doesn't account for the fact that cost of living doesn't rise at the same rate everywhere. You can't just use national statistics for this. It's entirely possible that in NYC the cost of living went up more than 2x since the 2000s.
It's remote work though, why would they live in NYC.
The more I stare at this the more I think that using official inflation numbers / using the official CPI is wrong -- these baskets combine recreation and technology being nearly -50% (TVs can be had today for $300, whereas they used to cost $500 in 1995 dollars), assume you only buy new cars (only up ~25% since 2000, but used cars are now almost as expensive as new whereas they used to be available for half the price or less), and underweight housing (basically doubled since 2000, worse if you need to move to a HCOL major urban center for employment).

If you are a healthy person living frugally then I think the inflation in your personal basket of goods is actually higher than the fed numbers would dictate (esp for rent and housing).

>these baskets combine recreation and technology being nearly -50% (TVs can be had today for $300, whereas they used to cost $500 in 1995 dollars),

The entire "Recreation commodities" category (which includes other stuff like "Sporting goods" and "Pets and pet products") is only weighed at 2%, compared to 13% for food and 37% for shelter. Even if it's down 50% the impact on the overall CPI is negligible.

>assume you only buy new cars (only up ~25% since 2000, but used cars are now almost as expensive as new whereas they used to be available for half the price or less),

???

There's clearly a "Used cars and trucks" category.

>and underweight housing (basically doubled since 2000, worse if you need to move to a HCOL major urban center for employment).

The index is called "Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers", not "Consumer Price Index for Young Urban Professionals". Not everyone is a recent graduate who recently moved into a high COL city and paying for a market rate apartment. For every person fitting that criteria, there's probably also a retiree who owns their house and/or lives in a rent controlled apartment.

> The index is called "Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers", not "Consumer Price Index for Young Urban Professionals". Not everyone is a recent graduate who recently moved into a high COL city and paying for a market rate apartment.

The discussion here is about the cost of living difference for tech workers who I assume are clustered around NYC.

$45K in NYC in 2005 is not equivalent to $73K today for most such people. It is likely closer to $100K today, as the above poster said.

The thing you always need to keep in mind about CPI is that it’s a weighted average for the ENTIRE COUNTRY. Like, retirees in Florida who own their own homes have a very different relationship with prices than young renters in NYC. It really only makes sense to use CPI and other inflation figures when you’re talking about the whole country.
That's assuming that headline inflation numbers from the government are an accurate representation of reality.

But they're not.

No one cares that they can buy a 4k TV for $400. We want healthy food that we can regularly afford. That costs $400 a week for a family. These government indexes are incredibly warped.
If you assume a family of four with both children aged 9-11 and the parents a male and a female aged 19-50, the USDA says [0] it costs only $250.10 with a low-cost plan, $314.90 with a moderate-cost plan and $380 with a liberal plan. All three of these plans each support "a healthy diet through nutritious meals and snacks at home" [1] and would cover everything -- no restaurant budget required.

[0]: https://www.fns.usda.gov/cnpp/usda-food-plans-cost-food-mont...

[1]: https://www.fns.usda.gov/cnpp/low-moderate-liberal-food-plan...

measures of core inflation that sites like this use leave out many things that massively impact purchasing power - namely food, fuel, and interest rates. When factoring these in, the gp comment is quite reasonable, as those costs have soared in the last 20 years for the typical household.
>measures of core inflation that sites like this use leave out many things that massively impact purchasing power - namely food, fuel,

Those are literally part of the CPI.

>interest rates

The "C" in "CPI" stands for consumer. Unless you're taking out loans to buy your groceries, interest rates shouldn't be a factor on your expenditures.

"Official" inflation numbers are fraudulent and have always been. Real life situations is what matters, because we're dealing with real people.

The Soviet Union "officially" had the highest production of food per capita in the world, yet they had to import food. Because you cannot eat government statistics.

I had a feeling someone would dredge up a basic calculator and make this argument.

The problem with your retort is it ignores the very context I outlined above. The present rate of inflation appears more manageable, but because most of it is driven by absurd inflation in shelter and transport costs (homes and cars), those two areas are starkly higher than inflation overall - as much as 50% or more, in some metros.

So while your napkin math makes for a good soundbite, the reality is that it just hides the complex truth of inflation. So yes, while $45k might be inflation-equivalent to $73k today, that purchasing power is significantly different. $43k in the 2000s could buy you a starter home in most states, albeit not in most metros; nowadays, $73k can’t even cover basic necessities in many states and all metros, not without significant sacrifices.

So my point still stands.

Remote work made so much sense for all the reasons you’ve listed.
And yet, remote work alone is not the solution to this issue. For those of us unable to drive, we must live in expensive cities with comprehensive mass transit systems if we want a decent quality of life and opportunities. For those of us who are LGBTQ+, we might not have the safety or support structures to thrive in different states. For those with chronic health issues, living in states with better patient protection laws or healthcare subsidies may be a necessity, driving up our costs on housing or transport to ensure our survival.

This is a global problem, and it requires solutions at all levels. Remote work is amazing, and I 100% support it (and exist on hybrid despite being in a major metro), but we need more on a local, state, and federal level as well. Heck, it’s so bad that we can’t even blame a singular or group of enployers anymore: the system is broken, and desperately needs updating so it can work again.

It is an immediately available solution for most if not almost all white collar workers. COVID was proof that it worked. However, the incentives and goals are not aligned with both employers and local governments.
> I can’t help but think those people don’t understand that $100k is very much the new $45k of the 2000s

It really isn't.

I'd bet it's young people making these outlandish comparisons.
> I can’t help but think those people don’t understand that $100k is very much the new $45k of the 2000s

Yeah but if they're remote they can live in cheaper parts of the country so the 100K+ range of inner expensive cities is less justified and they're competing on a country wide market.

You're absolutely right. Purchasing power has shifted in just a couple of decades
So what, if it costs you 300k to be comfortable then you are being suckered. When people are struggling to make it by on $30 and $40k and see these privileged propagandists complain about making six figures, no one has sympathy.
Here, here!

Minimum wage is $15,000/yr.

With an MS in the life sciences I can make $16/ at the big local public university doing research.

Anyone making over $100k is doing fine and has no sympathy from me.

Sorry, I don't see a valid point in any of these salary arguments. In fact, they're down right insulting and ignorant.

I did strenuous manual labor for next to nothing once upon a time. After about 8 years of that, on top of regular 60 hour work weeks, I spent almost every waking moment of 4-5 years to learn and better myself with about every sacrifice you could imagine short of divorce. I'm now making significantly more and working much less with an extremely happy family.

I'm not some trust fund kid. I have a high school education. My father worked 3-5 jobs to provide for my family growing up. So if you haven't picked it up, I know what the other side looks like.

I work in tech now, I wouldn't even reply to a recruiter presenting a 190k job offer if it meant living in New York. I can get more working remote. It's not because I'm spoiled, it's not because I make bad financial decisions, it's because I know my value and won't compromise and I sure won't reduce my family's quality of life because some multi million dollar company wants to short change me.

I get paid fairly for my experience and what I bring to the table, I make sure of that. If my employer isn't matching what I know I can get on the market, I will first negotiate (which is right where the NYT Tech workers are at), then leave for greener pastures if that falls through. I can do that because I worked hard to bring more value to myself in an in demand field.

I'm sorry if you're making a lower salary, but that doesn't mean everyone should just take what they're given. That's how people are exploited.

These arguments aren't just wrong. They are backwards and self limiting.

There are many commenters that talk past each other given the emotionally charged topics of unions, pay, negotiations, etc. I think this is one of them.

What I read from parent is that lifestyle inflation must be high in some of these demographics when the rhetoric used is about survival, despite evidence of many more people 'surviving' on far less income.

What I read from you is that you fiercely maintain negotiating power because you can and feel it's only right given your high value. Why WOULD anyone leave money on the table, after all?

Both can be true.

I called out my high value solely because I fall into the "privileged propagandist" rhetoric the comment I responded to and some other siblings are pushing.

Yes, the notion you need 300k to be comfortable anywhere is absurd, but just because someone makes more doesn't mean their desire to achieve a better quality of life is any less valid than anyone else. Do people with higher salaries need more? No. But why assume that just because an individual or group of people want a better quality of life they're "privileged?"

FTR, 100k as a average base salary is pretty low for tech in NYC. When the other 90k is bonus and RSUs that probably vest over 4 years, the stock has fluctuated 50%, and this being the journalism space, I wouldn't expect to see the full value. They have every right to try to negotiate better quality of life improvements out of NYT, especially for something as low impact on revenue as pet bereavement, as ridiculous as that is. I feel a lot of these comments don't understand tech compensation, where sometimes companies can't meet market value in cash so resort to all kinds of quirky benefits to attract/retain skilled workers. That is exactly where I see such a crazy request coming from when a company pushes back against giving more than a 2% annual raise.

You're "value" is entirely subjective and based on imaginary nonsense. Machine learning engineers making $500k are certainly not worth $500k just because its a hot trend right now. Gucci, Louis Vouton, etc, high fashion items are most certain not worth their price tags, much like diamonds. Eggs at Erawan aren't any different than likewise organic eggs elsewhere and are only $30 because someone decided they could rip off rich people and rich morons happily swallow it hook line and sinker. Value is entirely subjective and only quantifiable in the most abstract, opinionated manner and the richer people are the more often they are terrible at discerning any actual or reasonable value out of something.

If you think it's reasonable to pay exorbitant rent, food, gas, utilities, simply because you live in some concrete jungle then you are blind. It doesn't justify you actually deserving to make that much other than someone choosing to pay you that much.

I make ~30,000/yr doing seasonal physical work. Prior to this role I was a municipal engineer. Be careful what you whistleblow.
At the end of the day, we’re all on the same side. I make ~5x the rest of my household combined, but spend a plurality of my time and energy advocating for their enrichment and support because I know that if they’re taken care of, I will be too, when I really need it.

If you have to work to live, then we’re on the same side, and we all deserve more money to help us offset this cost of living crisis.

Purchasing power is part of the equation. Part of the dispute is about mandating that workers come into the office at least part time, which basically means living in a high-cost area.

However, journalism in general is a struggling business, which will probably push wages down on average across the profession.

Double however, the NYT has been doing really well at adapting to the modern media landscape and currently has record subscribers and profits [0], so I can see why the union thought it would be a good time to play hardball.

Triple however, I'd quibble a bit with your numbers, even if I think the overall point is well taken. It might be hard to live on the UES on 100K. It's not so hard to live by the Cortelyou stop in Brooklyn or in Sunset Park, both lovely areas.

[0] https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/07/business/media/new-york-t...

Funny enough that it’s always “too high” for non executives but executive pay is never policed and any attempts to do so are met with fierce resistance.

Which reminds me of another thing. A good friend of mine is currently getting their MBA from a fairly well regarded school. One thing they recently learned about is structuring compensation. The general adage is that whatever you pay an employee must be in reflection of the multiple you get back from that employee. For example a ratio of 5:1 would be for every 1 dollar you pay you get 5 back.

When you start thinking about it like that, you realize just how underpaid people are. So many companies - in fact the vast majority - it’s much higher, in tech for example it’s usually around 10:1 and often as high as 25:1 or more.

This makes it much more straightforward in understanding things and the power imbalance when thinking about it like this

It is interesting that the person you're replying to used the compensation numbers for other guild employees rather than executives. I wonder why they made that decision
Seems like obfuscation. I doubt the NYT guild is striking to take money away from the lesser group, but instead to negotiate better working conditions and potentially a bigger slice of the profits pie for their workers, as would be their right.
Well executives are few and non-executives are many. So total outgoing money is more as per accounting department. Nothing funny or conspiratorial here.

> A good friend of mine is currently getting their MBA from a fairly well regarded school...

Let that good friend of yours get actual job in some non-superlative companies like Wall street banks or FAANG. They will learn how their fantastical ratios of 5:1, 10:1, or 25:1 work in real life.

> ... you realize just how underpaid people are...

If that were true those 100s of thousands companies be making enormous unheard of profits. But that doesn't seem to be happening.

>Well executives are few and non-executives are many. So total outgoing money is more as per accounting department. Nothing funny or conspiratorial here.

This means nothing. Its a red herring. The fact is executives are paid outsized to the rest of a company typically, certainly when you look at companies of size like Google, Microsoft or even Intel or Nvidia (and so it goes down the chain really), and I really question the value of most executives, as they tend not to like being scrutinized by outside parties, especially within their own organizations, but the reverse is untrue. They really seem to hate accountability but sure love getting the board to rubber stamp golden parachutes and big bonuses for themselves

If a corporation can find 350 million dollars to pay out in executive bonuses salaries etc. I'm certain than is an allocation problem not a money problem.

>If that were true those 100s of thousands companies be making enormous unheard of profits. But that doesn't seem to be happening.

>Let that good friend of yours get actual job in some non-superlative companies like Wall street banks or FAANG. They will learn how their fantastical ratios of 5:1, 10:1, or 25:1 work in real life.

They have one, I'm declining to use identifying information. The largest bonuses and salaries funnel upward, its no secret, with huge executive (and to be clear, I'm bundling VPs and SVPs in this) getting hundreds of thousands to millions of dollars in bonuses that those below them see a fraction of.

Like profits being at record highs last year?[0] and thats just 5 seconds of running a search.

Not mention we are talking ratios here. So just because some SMBs aren’t taking in millions doesn’t mean the ratio is any less true

[0]: https://thehill.com/business/4561631-corporate-hit-record-hi....

The value an employee creates is a function not only of their labor but also the *lever they are given by the company* It's amazing how often I see this asinine argument that assumes an employee is generating value in a vacuum.

Labor compensation is determined primarily by substitutability. A $200K engineer creating "$1M worth of value" is not automatically deserving of a higher wage unless there is no one else willing to do that engineer's job for $200K.

The business doesn’t really function without someone actually producing the work. Please tell me why executives are so much more entitled to profits than the people down the chain?

I’m not saying don’t people pay well but the executives - non executive power balance is huge and I don’t see how a person can deny this.

Materially executives are also rarely helped accountable for their terrible decisions or layoffs would actually be laid at their feet.

Labor market imbalances of power are well documented and easily discoverable. It’s really plain at this point that material productivity gains have almost entirely been funneled to the top, with workers benefitting very little. Wages have not kept pace with productivity gains since the 1970s, even if you include the recent blip of wage increases they aren’t meaningful in the grand scheme of things.

I don’t know why we just accept these as truths or whatever cause they don’t have to be

None of what you said is relevant to the core point that labor compensation is determined primarily by substitutability. As for why we "accept" that, it's because it makes rational sense. Why would anyone offer more to someone to do what someone else will do for less?
We accept it culturally as we have driven away the narrative of labor having an equitable stake in the economy. That much is clear.

I'm not a fan of the status quo. Things should change.

In your fictional utopia, you would need practically every single company in the world to agree to pay labor in excess of the rate dictated by market forces. Any company that deviates from that would have a considerable competitive advantage and quickly usurp its market. This is so categorically obvious that I hesitate to call it economics. It's not even just human nature. This is so self-evident that it may very well be a bedrock principle of sentience.
Just because you can't be comfortable in a used car with a fixer upper home doesn't mean other people can't be. You're talking about your preferences like they're a bare minimum and they're not. Plenty of people live perfectly comfortable lives without those luxuries.
Careful with those assumptions. I drive a 16-year old used Honda and have already set aside cash for necessary home repairs when I finally buy a place. However, I do refuse to spend half a million dollars on an uncared-for shithole that hasn’t been renovated or repaired since the 60s; I have standards, and one of them involves not paying inflated rates for someone else’s crap, especially when doing so also eradicates my budget for repairs and maintenance.

You’re right that personal standards, subjective as they are, can make an argument highly misleading. However, you’d be careful not to make the mistaken assumption that your personal standards are the norm, either.

I’m seeing a lot of “you’re wrong, no sympathy for anyone over $100k” responses to my argument here, all of them making the same assumptions: that anyone making that much dosh must obviously be whinging about paying more for their Maserati or unable to afford rent on that high-rise condo anymore. Everyone is extrapolating some false narrative despite overwhelming evidence that even the most highly-paid among us are getting squeezed out of the housing market or struggling to make ends meet, and that’s exactly what the powers that be (people who don’t have to work to live, because they have all the money) want us to devolve into.

At the end of the day, there’s exactly two groups: those who must work to survive, and those who don’t need to due to immense wealth. Statistically speaking, you’re never going to be the latter, so you should be just as concerned about “highly paid” workers struggling to make ends meet as you are “low-skilled” workers, because we’re all workers.

And it's the uneven propagation of price information through the popular consciousness that makes inflation so insidious. You're absolutely right: a lot of people are calibrated on 2010 prices for income despite 2024 prices for expenses.
I will unashamedly admit I was one of those people until recently. When I got into the housing market, I thought $650k for a turnkey property fit for four adults would be sufficient, with another $70k set aside for repairs and projects (HVAC, oil tank removal, etc).

Turns out I was wrong, and my failure to adapt my standards has likely cost me an opportunity to own a home sans a significant pay rise.

Once I accepted that new data, however, I was able to see the immense gap between reality and expectation, as well as understand that it’s not necessarily my fault for missing that opportunity. I went with the widely-propagated programming for new homeowners at the time, and missed the pitfalls despite my ample additional research. Housing is complicated, and it’s the biggest hindrance to a more stable, equitable, and productive society in my personal opinion.

I thank my lucky stars I was able to get something like a 2.5% mortgage locked in in a few years ago
I'd love it if we could tie down salaries in terms of what they can pay for:

- Minimum is 1.0 Living Wage ™ (after taxes, rent, insurance, utilities, savings... you get to eat 3 meals and 2 snacks per person per home).

Having the mental stress of trying to determine when would be the right moment to approach the moody boss to make a case for your livelihood shouldn't be a thing.

I'd like the freedom of not having to pay the time tax of determining if I'll make rent or not...

I don't give a shit whether the workers are asking for "too much", whether they've got a cushy desk job, whether they want to eat avocado toast and drive a nice car. Everyone's entitled to whatever they can bargain for. Applying some kind of value judgement to it is doing ownership's work for free.
Pretty sure other countries with similar CoL but much lower salaries are handling a middle class existence fine. 100k is literally better than 99% of other countries, if that isn't good enough what is?
Interesting that you didn't address the demands over pet bereavement and the scents of cleaning supplies. It makes sense that you chose to, of course. It's these types of demands that give away the underlying absurdity of these unions and their demands.

> grossly underpaid relative to the current cost of living

This is just very, very out of touch. The vast majority of the world lives just fine on far, far less than what the median worker at NYT currently makes.

People will laugh at it, but pet bereavement should absolutely be a thing. The saddest I've ever been in my life was when my dog died. Perhaps seven days is a bit much, but when you go to the bargaining table you don't start with what you want, you start past that point then negotiate down.
yep same. It hit me harder than some of my human relatives. I had hard time getting out of bed for days.
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> I won't laugh at the pet bereavement leave request, but I most certainly will laugh at the ask for unscented cleaning products. What's the point then?

The point of cleaning products is to clean, which can be done perfectly well with no scent. If they're just covering up uncleanliness with a pretty scent, then they're not cleaning.

Some people have serious allergies to common scents, and some people just find them unpleasant and slightly nauseating.

Agreed that is silly. But it is equally silly, and telling in my opinion, that that is what you're focusing on.
That's how things work don't they? You tend to focus on which demand seems the most patently absurd one.
Unscented cleaning products in a communal workplace setting makes complete sense to me, tbh. It minimizes the exposure to any sensitivities or allergies that could expose a company to legal liability. e.g. it only takes one poorly-paid cleaner to forget that someone's bathroom has an accessibility policy because they're deeply allergic to the lemon scent in the cleaning product or something.
Um, what? If anything, the bit about unscented cleaning products would be one of the more reasonable asks, since it's relatively cheap to provide, and makes a huge difference to quality of the workplace for those who care about it and are annoyed by the scents.
Because of allergies basically. It's a big problem for some people. My mother's church asks people wearing perfumes or other scents to sit on one side every service.
I felt the same but my preference is to have enough PTO to take off for that.
Yes, the fairest and least corruptible system is to just provide PTO. People can use it however they see fit.
I think the issue is that it comes off as egregiously woke.
It's woke to grieve important members of your household? You don't think that's a little reactionary?
It makes no sense as a policy.
It makes no sense until it happens to you and your manager doesn’t give a shit.
Does it expand to all pets? If I have 10 small dogs I could easly get an extra 1 week/year off. What about reptiles, fish. My girlfriend's cat?

Again, it doesn't exist because it makes no sense.

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"Woke" makes absolutely zero sense here. I think the word you're looking for is "sensitive".
Anything you don’t like is woke. No sexist jokes in office? Woke. Bro culture is frowned upon? Woke. Can’t make jokes about gay and black people? Woke, woke, woke.
Feelings are woke. Caring about anything or anybody is woke.
Same. My boy pug dying in 2019 was so distressful that I was coughing up blood the following morning. My father had a massive heart attack a couple months later and I was still numb to the point where I couldn't process it emotionally.

For some, esp. those who choose to be childless, a relationship like that is probably the closest we'll come.

I was happy the startup I worked at during that time allowed me to take a week off as sick pay... sent flowers with a handwritten note from our HR leader the following morning, but I opted to come back after a couple days as I needed to take my mind off things.

Sometimes, those small acts of kindness in hard times can make a world of difference
Absolutely, pet bereavement should be taken seriously. Losing a pet can be one of the most devastating experiences, often comparable to losing a close family member. Pets are part of our daily lives, routines, and emotional support systems
I'm sorry for you loss but it's silly nonetheless to try and codify a solution to an individuals issues.
The saddest I've ever been in my life was when my dog died.

I take it you've never lost a child? Because I've lost both and sad as it was, losing a dog doesn't even come close. Losing the dog was sad, but I got over it and eventually adopted another pup. Losing the child was so unimaginably awful that I struggle to find the words...

Police knocking on my door at 2am to tell me. Calling my wife at 2:30am to tell her (she was away on business). Waiting for her to find a flight home. The funeral. Dealing with the estate. Waking up every few weeks feeling like it was all a nightmare, only to realize it was not.

It's fucking awful.

I’m sorry about you child, but it doesn’t mean that we have to belittle someone’s grief because you’ve had it worse.
The only thing the times has to worry about is whether or not they can get other tech workers in the door to undercut the union.

When the union was formed in 2021, tech workers were insanely in demand and carried basically all the chips. But now that that has cooled significantly, and many tech workers are having trouble finding work, the union is in a precarious position of being founded on ideals of 2021, but having to negotiate with the reality of 2024.

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The 2nd quote is kind of funny, but the first one isn’t.

Tech generates more money than the Times. It makes sense that the employees should be paid to reflect that.

I don’t think there’s anything wrong with high paid workers striking for even higher pay. It’s not like the suits don’t hoard bonuses for themselves.

Tech generates more money than the Times.

It's the journalists that create the content for the tech end. Without them, there would be no Times tech employees.

To reductio ad absurdum, without the advertisers there'd be no journalists.

The problem remains that with the advertisers, there cannot be journalism.

Little distinguishes much of american mass-media 'journalism' from a ChatGPT precis of a Press Release or Reuters/AP wire. What does is generally in the form of an Op-Ed, and is generally at the behest or bias of a billionaire or their lobbying proxy.

In 2024 this has gotten to the point where America's Largest Newspaper chain will not endorse a presidential candidate out of fear. That's 200+ separate publications.

https://edition.cnn.com/2024/10/29/media/usa-today-gannett-n...

Both the advertisers and the journalists rely on the Tech Employees as their core dependency for distribution and scaling factor, and are weighted in compensation accordingly. Much as it ever was - the people selling adspace and doing the logistics of distribution always made more than the people writing copy or typesetting.

> Little distinguishes much of american mass-media 'journalism' from a ChatGPT precis of a Press Release or Reuters/AP wire.

The Reuters/AP wire is journalism.

They're all in it together. The journalists should strike for everything they want as well!
I meeean… if they have the negotiating power then they should.
https://www.threads.net/@astor.maggie/post/DB82iPoxKMC

> Some background: The Tech Guild represents hundreds of software engineers, product designers, data analysts and others who make and run our website, apps, games and publishing systems. It’s a sister to my union, the NYT Guild, which reps the newsroom (and advertising, security & more!).

> The NYT Guild contract contains a no-strike clause. That means we in the newsroom are legally forbidden to go on strike with Tech. So we will be supporting them in other ways, some of which you can also do.

Something like half of NYT subscribers are only there for the games (tech side).
Without office and cleaners there would be no Times.
What’s the point of a comment listing numbers like this?

Have you looked at what the owners of the New York Times make and compared that to the average “newspaper owner” in the US?

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Journalist salaries, especially at prestigious piblications, are quite famously set such that only people who can rely on external support to the tune of 5-6 figures a year can become journalists. It makes sense that the journalists union would prioritize things other than salary in bargaining - their W2 job isn't where their money comes from.
We demand interventional purchase of our software.
This strike seems very poorly messaged. As far as I can tell, the union hasn't given any public explanation of what specific demands management won't meet. The union website doesn't even mention that they're on strike!
Here's one from me: down with "the needle"!
> Negotiations between it and the Times hit logjams over things like a “just cause” provision that prevents the company from firing workers unless it’s for something like misconduct, as well as pay increases, pay equity, and return-to-office policies, reports the Times.

https://www.theverge.com/2024/11/4/24287600/new-york-times-t...

I dunno. It is a negotiation between the union and the company. They might not have prepared much marketing material because they aren’t really selling anything to those of us in the general public, right?

Interesting. I spot checked the Boeing strike, and it does seem like unions often aren't too specific about their demands in public. I guess a lot of stuff that I thought came from unions is actually coming from internal reports like this.
I know some folks who’ve done union organizing a bit, although I’m personally not that interested in it, so take this with a HUGE grain of salt.

But I think appealing to the general public is a tool in the toolset, something they consider, but not an automatic go-to. Ultimately, the NYT tech guild doesn’t actually want the general public to think their boss is a “bad guy,” right? Like, getting the general public to boycott their employer too effectively is a risk to their own paychecks, haha.

As a foreigner it’s so alien to me that such a provision isn’t mandated by law anyway, and that there isn’t broad support in the population to restrict employers from firing at will… wild.
Exactly! US workers have to fight tooth and nail for things that employees can just expect from other countries. That's why strikes like this are such a big deal.
because working with poor performing coworkers is soul crushing, and having a bad boss even worse
An an American it's hard for me to imagine how companies could ever work with universal protections from firing at will. What if you're running a painting business, and there's a downturn in construction. Do you just have to pay people to do nothing, since they haven't done anything wrong and aren't allowed to be fired? Or what if a large company needs to make a strategic pivot and fire some employees to hire others with a different skillset.

It seems like economists do consider this to be one of the big reasons why the U.S. economy has grown so much faster than the EU. Hiring in Europe is much riskier, so companies would rather stay small.

In all those cases, it sounds like the company would actually suffer the consequences of their prior mismanagement (compared to today where mostly just employees suffer from bad management decisions).

Yes, that means some companies might go under when they could have saved themselves by mass layoffs. I'd be okay with that trade.

Yes, that means growth might slow down to more reasonable levels. I'd be okay with that trade. Europe isn't booming economically like the US, but if you've ever traveled there, their quality of life seems perfectly fine, and costs are much lower.

> Europe isn't booming economically like the US

This would be an extreme understatement.

> but if you've ever traveled there, their quality of life seems perfectly fine

I'm not sure if traveling there is much of an indicator of anything. Doing business there over the course of many years might be a very basic table stakes start to get any idea of what is happening. Even then it will have large blind spots. Most folks traveling to Europe are also traveling to the richest parts of the richest countries and ignoring the rest.

Inertia is a hell of a drug. For how much longer can western Europe stagnate and continue to fall behind the entire world little by little? There are bright spots, but those seem to becoming fewer and further in between. Talk with the younger generations and you may start to get different answers than you expect.

The US system certainly isn't how I'd design things today, but I very much would avoid what the EU is seemingly running headlong into. How much of that has to do with worker protection laws is certainly highly debatable though.

There are usually provisions for firing people due to financial hardship or having too few contracts. The employer must declare the reason, but if it’s found out that they lied, there is an avenue for the worker to get compensated.
Sounds like a recipe for permanent lawyer employment.
That's not how it works at all. Of course you can fire someone with proper cause, you just can't fire someone __at will__. Lack of demand for the position is proper cause. If you don't need staff you can fire them, but you cannot fire someone and hire someone else in the same position.
What's the argument to not be able to fire someone because you can hire someone with better or relevant skills instead? That makes the business stronger, which means it can make more money, which means it can hire more people.
Well the arguments are many, and the counter-arguments also many. The point of my comment was not say that the (typically European) system is better, but it's not like described as parent commenter where you cannot fire people and are stuck with too much staff. That is not the case. I wasn't really arguing for it being better for the company and/or society.

Relevant skill could be proper cause. You can absolutely fire someone for not having the skills you need and hire someone else with the right skillset.

I don't think a lack of imagination is a particularly American trait.
In this scenario, you would go through redundancy processes instead of simply firing people.

Depending on the laws and the country, it involves consultations, handing out offers for alternative roles in the company, mandatory notice periods and timelines, and severance pay.

Or what many multinationals do, you offer non-legally-redundancy severance deals by paying the employees out.

Severance already happens in many industries in the US, however it’s generally only for those paid very well, which arguably need the legal protections less. So such laws are designed to level the play field and prevent abuse of the system. For instance, if you make an accountant redundant, you can’t go and hire another one for a period of time because that means the role was required the whole time. If you want to remove a specific person from a role, you fire them for cause (say bad culture fit or inadequate work) or offer them a payout to leave.

For a start all implementations of such protections i'm aware of don't apply till you have over X employees which rules out your specific example. eg. Australia allows businesses with under 15 employees to fire at will. Small businesses have very little employee protection for exactly the reason you stated; You need to be able to hire/fire since each individual employee is such a large part of your workforce. It's generally understood that if you work for a small employer you are more at risk because of this. Large employers are seen as a safer job.

So these protections are always tradeoffs. You can actually earn more at the smaller companies and those places are typically good to get your foot in the door. The larger companies where these protections apply can afford to follow the process and having the process there gives stability that some people need in a career.

I actually think it comes down to the viewpoints on careers. There's no risk to any particular business since the laws are written to only target business that can reasonably follow the process. There is a different viewpoint on working at bigger stable companies vs smaller companies though. One's seen as a stable career and the others seen as temporary (of course exceptions apply).

There’s a huge gap between at-will-employment and no ability to fire people at all.

FWIW, it looks like 11 US states have “Implied covenant-of-good-faith and fair dealing” which mean “an employee may only get fired for a reasonable, lawful, and sufficient reason.” The list is also interestingly bipartisan, Alabama, Utah, and Massachusetts are on there. And it must not hurt business too much, since Massachusetts has that very high GDPPP stat.

https://clockify.me/learn/business-management/at-will-employ...

> Do you just have to pay people to do nothing

There are shades of grey. Large institutions should fall back on other means (reduced hours, pay cuts, comfortable severance, longer heads-up for firing) before resorting to overnight-mass-layoffs.

> why the U.S. economy has grown so much faster than the EU

Again, shades of grey.

The economy is a means to an end. If economic growth leads to worse life-outcomes for the populace, when what's the point of having a 'powerful economy'. Now, govt. policies shouldn't knee cap the economy. But, let's not tunnel vision on it as the sole indicator of development.

In my experience, Europeans with a $80k wage live better lives than American tech workers on $300k. To put in concrete light : most American tech workers get 14 days of vacation a year. All that work and all that money, and you only get to enjoy 2 weeks a year in the world's richest country ? That's pathetic.

Perhaps there is a link between at will employment and competitive, thriving businesses.
States are free to implement such provisions to protect their workers, in fact not all states are "at will".

As a foreigner, do not forget that USA have several government layers, federal ones and state ones.

> As a foreigner

I strongly suspect that, as usual in discussions like this, by “foreigner” you specifically mean “European” or “Canadian” or “Australian”.

The US is surely not alone in having a relative lack of legally mandated job security.

It's unique in that it's a country with h western values with relatively underdeveloped worker protections.

Sure places like Saudi have literal slavery, but they don't pretend to value life either.

"Western values" is too broad, IMO. The US and Europe are fundamentally different civilizations despite a shared cultural root (centuries ago).
> They might not have prepared much marketing material because they aren’t really selling anything to those of us in the general public, right?

NYT isn't a highly regulated interstate employer like Boeing or the rail industry or the dockworkers so it's dispute with the union isn't a de-facto matter of national politics like those strikes were so appealing to the public to have a particular opinion on the matter is not of as much use therefore neither side of this dispute has invested heavily in it.

> more than 600 software developers

Does anyone have a sense for how this breaks down? I would never have guessed so many full-time employees were necessary to maintain a CMS.

Is this comment made every time by hacker news people?

“I run my basement website with in my spare time? Why can’t one of the most popular websites in the world run on gum and a few paper clips”

> "Why can’t one of the most popular websites in the world run on gum and a few paper clips"

The answer is almost always: Cloud Costs, Kubernetes and Resume-driven architectures.

Maybe that’s part of it but there are so many moving parts in a near-realtime CMS and world class publishing platform, so 600 people doesn’t surprise me when you consider the scope and scale of the NYT
Fair question. Having not worked at an organization like the New York Times, I really don't know. 5 people would obviously be too few, and 2,000 people would be too many. Hacker News handles a huge amount of traffic to dynamic pages with basically zero (by comparison) technical maintenance. Twitter (though not doing well as a business) was overloaded with tech employees.
> Hacker News handles a huge amount of traffic to dynamic pages with basically zero (by comparison) technical maintenance.

Hacker News isn't exactly the kind of website for many millions of Internet users to engage with. Its interface and features work well for the kind of niche it serves, which is much smaller compared to many other websites. HN (at least the user-facing parts) seem to run on mostly the same code for years, where NYT likely needs to build many interactive, one-off features for the flavor of the day topic.

> Twitter (though not doing well as a business) was overloaded with tech employees.

I read this a lot and maybe it has a truth to it, though I remember before the Great Layoff of 2023 there was a time when Twitter was trying (and AFAICT often failing) to grow its business. One example is that they've tried (and failed) short-form videos way before Tiktok started. Today's Twitter seem to be in maintenance mode, and operates with less people.

Maybe it was 'overloaded' in the sense that it was the kind of business that could never grow and shrinking it down to the size where it can be profitable and squeezing it hard was the way to go, that I cannot know.

> Hacker News handles a huge amount of traffic to dynamic pages

Traffic is not the primary driver of staffing. For a simple app, it is relatively straightforward to use commodity cloud offerings to scale to large volumes of traffic. Even something as simple as Heroku + a CDN can take a small team a long way.

But the NYT is not a simple app. I'm not even willing to accept that their CMS needs could be handled with an off-the-shelf CMS without modification. Without having worked there, I can see:

- CMSs for text/images, audio, video content - syndication for audio content - custom? subscription system - some kind of interface to the printing system - bespoke game studio - Web dataviz studio

plus all the stuff needed to run a company as big as the NYT, which will include lots of integrations between things like payroll, accounting, 3P ad networks, reporting, HR software, etc.

I haven't even included the people who might make use of the copious data generated by the business.

These things add up fast.

> Twitter (though not doing well as a business)

That's a heck of a caveat! Most businesses aim to do well as businesses, so current Twitter is not a great model.

Twitter was doing way better as a business when it was "overloaded with tech employees" than it's doing now.

If anything, the cloud to onprem migration was best and maybe only move from Elon that made sense.

The comment was more like: "I don't understand why they need 600 developers, but I'd like to learn. Anyone know what they're doing?"
The OP didn’t claim they thought 600 was unreasonable. A charitable reading of their post is they were genuinely curious why it’s reasonable.
"Charitable interpretation" it seems like that is what's missing from the internet (and world) today. Extreme perspectives and no interpersonal relationships == not trust, no willingness to learn.
It’s actually that large organizations operate on people with average skill, and there is a significant inefficiencies as organizations grow.

So yes, 10 skilled people could run a site that large (and do). But you can’t run a company to recruit and manage that team over decades. “Well just find 10 smart and motivated people who work well together and can be given autonomy to do the right thing and hope they give us what we want” is not an actionable management plan.

Nope, I have no sense of how it breaks out. But, it's a pretty good site w.r.t. technology/delivery/robustness, so 600 doesn't seem that exorbitant.
The NYT has awesome interactive web features for things like the election tomorrow, which I'm guessing take a lot of development work to land. It's much more than a CMS.
It's a very good CMS, with lots of cool, bespoke features you don't typically get, but functionally it is still mostly a CMS.
No it's not.

Just open this (gift) article: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/01/09/opinion/immig...

There was clearly a non-trivial amount of frontend development work necessary to build the dynamic visualization in this article. This has nothing to do with CMS's. The work has nothing to do with persisting data anywhere. It has nothing to do with backend anything. It's all frontend work to get a visualization in a browser. Absolutely nothing do with CMS's.

I'm almost certain that 600 software developers is wrong and that it's actually 600 people in the whole union (software developers, data analysts, designers, and product managers).

When I was at NYT in 2021 there were like ~300 software developers. Which still seems like a lot but they have legacy COBOL (converted to java) systems to interact with the ancient printing press technologies around the world, a payments team instead of stripe, a lot of folks working on different apps ( cooking, audio, games, etc), data scientists working on the algorithms, an in house CMS with a lot of steps, probably tooling for all their podcast work, software for the customer support agents when people have issues, and the list goes on.

They've also been pioneers in datavis. Mike Bostock (D3/Observable) had a long stint there, and I think Rich Harris (Svelte/Rollup) still is.
> Which still seems like a lot but they have legacy COBOL (converted to java)

I'm still trying to figure out how to start up Aristo (ex-CIS) correctly. What a messy codebase...

> I would never have guessed so many full-time employees were necessary to maintain a CMS.

Well they also run Cooking and Games, which has gotten pretty big. I imagine they have some hand in audio too.

They run their own services, such as messaging and ad delivery, too.

IIRC, they basically developed things like D3 and Backbone back in the day (or paid the maintainers)

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I have a colleague in tech over there on the product side. They do a ton of very interesting work: https://open.nytimes.com/

They have a much higher bar for quality and boutique solutions than almost any organizations.

Only in tech do people get so aggravated by employee count.

Legacy companies have armies of consultants building pretty decks with little end-product to show for it. Never questioned. Every industry has a certain amount of slack built in. Large institutions (big Hollywood, govt, defense, medical services) have oodles of bureaucracy. Tech looks like a paradise in comparison. Yes, tech workers should seek to be more efficient. But, when viewed from comparative lens, tech is in the top tier of efficient industries.

Personally, I am not sold on tech unions. But, tech workers have uniquely low leverage within their profession. Tech lacks paid overtime or paid on-calls. Engineers are routinely expected to work evenings for meetings with off-shore teams. There is limited mobility because unlike doctors or lawyers/ engineers/ hard-tech engineers.... SWEs are frequently managed by non-SWEs. The manner in which remote work was revoked is a canary for the lack of lobbying power among tech workers.

Yes, tech workers are paid upper-middle class wages. But, the quality of life afforded by the profession has gone for a plunge since the 2022 layoffs. Companies have revoked all the pros of covid (flexible & remote work replaced with mandatory in office days and 9-5 hours). But, they've kept all the negatives of covid (work never ends, notification on all devices, global teams, smaller offices, fewer in-office perks). It's like companies want to have their cake and eat it too.

To that end, I empathize with any tech coalition that wants to lobby for better 'worker rights'. Union strikes may be a suboptimal way of doing this. But, it's better than nothing.

The timing isn't going to win a lot of friends — there's a public interest involved here, as journos keep telling us.
NYT has had two years to make a contract and they dragged their feet. Good on the union for hitting them where it hurts.
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Have devs at any of the large tech companies ever tried to unionize? If not, why not?
Many big tech companies have a software union, but despite substantial efforts invested from CWA none have gotten close to majority support across a whole company. Microsoft has some majority unions in specific segments of their gaming org.
Grindr devs did ("large"). Announced intention to unionize in July of 2023. In August 2023, the gay republican CEO then made a RTO requirement to force all of engineering to Chicago, after hiring everyone as remote first for years. But designers and project managers would be forced to move to LA.

The union filed an unfair labor practice with the NLRB, but that process has dragged for over a year, even after the union successfully won their vote AFTER the purge.

Why don't workers unionize? Because management can fire them right away with repurcussions only after years, if that, and even then, the repurcussions aren't to the CEO who broke the law. Breaking labor laws should put executives in prison, but noooo, instead penalties are paid by the company and the CEO's move to another company to do the same illegal shit.

The government agencies must move faster if they want to protect workers. Delays only help management, who still get salaries throughout and are never actually punished or face any negative consequences.

https://www.vice.com/en/article/z3mq4y/grindr-unlawfully-pur...

https://cwa-union.org/news/releases/grindr-workers-united-cw...

US-centric
When I worked in tech in Germany, we had no union and my WFH contract explicitly said I could be reassigned to any office at any time.

A friend in another industry had this happen: management forced everyone out of Berlin (or you could take a package). He ended up having to move for five days per week.

I think Boeing developers might be part of their engineers union.

Tech companies tend not to unionize, because most developers don't see net gain to be had from unionizing. Most unions end up serving the interest of the union instead of the company, and enact things like seniority based pay and promotion. There's just too much incentive to cater towards interest of mediocre employees in a union model.

Another big factor in software development is that the jobs are comfortable and pay very well. So lots of people would happily apply to the job. IIRC, it's something like a 40:1 ratio of applicants to offers at big tech companies.

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it's not anti union propaganda. The largest union in the United States is the public school teachers union. It has explicitly fought against merit based pay for decades. Other Unions like the electricians unions also sets up seniority base systems. You can proclaim that it's propaganda all you want, but what matters is whether or not it's actually true.

I agree that the union has no incentive to look after the benefits of the company, but that's exactly why unions are typically harmful to businesses.

you see "merit based pay", I see corporations incentivizing shitty boundaries

if you adjust for hours worked, unionized employees will make more

If one worker is willing to respond to alerts at 3 AM and another only works 9-5, then those two workers are providing different levels of value to the company assuming equal ability. Why shouldn't the worker that contributes more get rewarded?

This is why unionized workplaces are

> if you adjust for hours worked, unionized employees will make more

This is in large part because unions artificially restrict the workforce. A union job at the docks is great... if you can actually get a job. Plenty of unions practice institutionalized nepotism, with friends and family given priority in hiring. Take the LA port union for example:

https://www.mercurynews.com/2017/06/02/longshoreman-lottery-...

> This time around, about 80,000 put their names in for the drawing, and 25,000 were picked out and placed in sequential order. The first 2,300 on the list will be eligible for a part-time dockworker position that can lead to full-time employment, PMA officials have previously said.

> Negotiated between the ILWU and PMA, the controversial lottery process has been criticized over the years for being a two-tiered system that favors ILWU friends and family.

> Anyone can put their name in the drawing by sending in a postcard, but ILWU members get a specially marked postcard for their friends and family.

>The two are placed in separate barrels and drawn randomly from alternating piles. The two groups hired an outside party, Moorpark-based InterOptimis, to conduct the drawing behind closed doors, stoking distrust from those outside the process.

Institutionalized nepotism to restrict lucrative jobs to friend and family. That's what happens when unions control well paying jobs.

Union jobs that actually are accessible are things like public school teachers, electricians, plumbers. They pay okay, but nothing compared to to $150,000 median wage of a longshoremen.

> Why shouldn't the worker that contributes more get rewarded?

Expecting work at 3AM is inhumane. Incorporating it into the incentive structure enables a race to the bottom that jeopardizes sleep schedule which has numerous health consequences

Also let's consider a bunch of these workers are on a visa and can get deported at the whim of their employer

> Plenty of unions practice institutionalized nepotism, with friends and family given priority in hiring

I mean, are you saying that the corporations they're negotiating against don't do this also? It's a problem anywhere where there's money

> In what world should a UNION of the workers care about the COMPANY?

Some unions are more powerful than companies (think UAW). They're able to negotiate terms that are bad for the long-term health of the company, and not having backgrounds in running companies, union leaders might not be thinking about that.

All companies are more powerful than individual workers (think anywhere without a union). They're able to negotiate terms that are bad for the long-term health of the human workers, and not having backgrounds in caring about people and only money, CEOs might not be thinking about that.

Unions look out for workers. That's their priority. They should not cater to the business.

My point is that unions should (but don't always) think about long-term business health because if the business loses market share or fails, it's bad for workers. If negotiating power is balanced, this might not matter, but if the union has more power, it can negotiate terms the company can't afford.
My point is business should (but never do) think about their employees as humans and not just numbers on a spreadsheet.

So, rather than try to balance the individual worker against the company with a union on the off-chance the union becomes more "powerful" than the business, you'd keep the business (i.e., billionaires and capital) more powerful than the workers.

You: Unions? bad for workers. No union? also bad for workers. Whelp, can't do anything like other countries have done with stronger labor laws

This comes down to your valuing a "successful" business over humans, where "successful" means American exploitation of profits to owners, whereas some of those profits should go to the workers.

> My point is business should (but never do) think about their employees as humans and not just numbers on a spreadsheet

This has not been my experience. The businesses I've worked at have had great benefits and amenities for their employees. The one time I was laid off, they vested everyone's stock who hasn't yet got their cliff, gave us 3 months worth of pay, and paid for a year of healthcare.

I don't doubt your lived experiences with bad workplaces if that's been the case, but know they are not universal. Especially in fields where demand for employees is high, companies do need to care about their employees if they want to keep them.

I'm glad you had a good company do the right thing on their own. I would like to have those same enforcements universal so everyone can be as lucky as you were. This is what a society does.
Unions look out for themselves once they get big enough, like any bureaucracy.
> All companies are more powerful than individual workers

Nonsense. Maybe once a business reaches a certain level of power that becomes true, but as a small business owner, the individual workers who work for me have way more power than I do.

> Unions look out for workers. That's their priority. They should not cater to the business.

A worker union is just a collective of workers who have agreed to associate. It would be unusual for workers to look out for anything other than themselves (humans are selfish), but theoretically nothing says they can't cater to the business instead. It depends on what they want.

Dismissing any form of dissent as purely the result of propaganda is not a good way to bring people to your side.

> In what world should a UNION of the workers care about the COMPANY? Maybe if the workers in the union partly owned the company.

For one, a meaningful amount of tech worker compensation comes in the form of company stock. For another, I would argue that anyone who wants to stay in their job long term should care about the company and it's long term health.

I'm not dismissing ANY form of dissent. I'm dismissing the "unions mostly cater to the mediocre employees" as propaganda which ignores the universal benefits a union gives to all employees, mediocre and superstar alike. Benefits that would either not be guaranteed without a negotiated contract or would be hard to have conceded on an individual basis.
> because most developers don't see net gain to be had from unionizing.

you think visa workers have the balls to unionize?

that's what this is all about, finding people who can't say "no". if this round of visa workers wants to say "no" they'll just turn around and import a few more

The strength of a union is have a large organization with funds for lawyers and such.

Most of those organizations (like the UAW) don't focus on technology positions, so software people are left out in a lurch a bit.

NYTimes has savvy, vocal people in it that have someone overcome this.

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Or, more accurately, tech positions pay well and have good benefits so rarely benefit from unions.
I get that this is an american comment. But usually you are focused on each trades. In Sweden we have an "office worker" union.

- https://www.unionen.se/in-english/this-is-unionen

You can be in finance, hr, it, dev, engineering etc. Because we all want transparency, good salary, protection, 40h work weeks, overtime etc.

A union is not going to be involved in specifics like if we use Linux or Microsoft, so why does it need to be tech focused?

Because software development is a “trade” and like you said most unions are build around trades. “Office worker” is not a trade/profession.
Just showed it does not have to be based on trade :)

Look @ link

Indeed, I worked at Apple in Spain where the offices and stores are part of general unions. In my office, there were 2 unions present.
Media organizations like the New York Times have had unions for a long time. The Times Tech Guild is part of the New York Times Guild, which is part of the NewsGuild of New York, an umbrella organization for a lot of media unions in New York.

There is no tradition of unionization in most tech companies, and tech employees are paid very well and have usually had an easy time moving between companies. If you're unhappy with something, you can probably solve that as an individual without needing collective bargaining.

Tech workers at a company that's already unionized would be more likely to unionize in part because their colleagues are unionized, so they look around and say, "Hey, how come I'm not a part of that?" And the unions themselves can evangelize unions and recruit tech workers to unionize, which is good for the union because it gives them more resources and more bargaining partner. It's much harder for a union to come into a non-unionized workplace and start a movement from scratch, especially with a bunch of people who make six figures.

There's also a libertarian streak to Silicon Valley and the tech industry more broadly. This makes startup culture vibrant but at the expense of more individualism and less collectivism.

It's no coincidence that one of the few areas of tech to have seen a meaningful unionization push in recent years is gaming. Workers in gaming are in much more volatile positions, since it's a hit-driven business with long, expensive development cycles. And there's a constant stream of young, idealistic people who have dreamed of working in games their whole life and are willing to take on terrible working conditions and low pay to live that dream, at least for a while. There's also a lot of roles like art, music, and game design that are hard to parlay into other industries, whereas a software engineer or product manager who works can move between industries with relative ease. So there's an incentive for people in those roles to fix the companies and industries where they are instead of just moving on.

Because there are a half billion people in India ready and willing to take that job.
Historically big tech provided amazing compensation and benefits compared to everyone except some finance companies. Why unionize and potentially risk a very good thing?

For context, the NY Times does not provide amazing compensation or benefits.

Maybe in the bay area. My experience elsewhere is that both are sliding much more towards white collar norms. As more and more people fall under the “tech” umbrella I expect those trends to accelerate.
I said historically and unions do not form overnight. Although even right now outside the Bay Area, the pay from big tech is significantly higher than other software engineer roles.
Google workers created a union (Alphabet Workers Union). However for the most part it is a non-contract union (aka solidarity union or minority union) which means that for now it isn't attempting to get a majority vote of the workforce, which is the process to get formal union recognition and start bargaining for a contract. Instead they are pooling resources and using collective action without that. There are a few small units of workers that have run and won elections though (all contractors I think).

In the 90s there was also a minority union of field engineers at NCR Corporation.

Right now there is a union at blizard.

ActBlue Technical Services (CWA 1400) unionized and ratified a contract this year.
hell yeah when we fight we win
I totally support their demand for remote work. NY Times should hire more remote! They could save a lot by hiring offshore without hassle of providing benefits or fighting unions.
Can't get this fetish with on premise work when the code you write is on your machine, the systems you deploy to are in a data centre you don't know the exact location of.

If Linux kernel can be developed remotely spanning over several architectures and huge number of mission critical subsystems, surely your systems having blog posts, comments and such can work as well and if not, you have failed to articulate exactly what needs to be done and by when and under what constraints.

But the managers don't feel as important at the end of the day.

Didn't you think about them?

If this was such an easy proposition and there was actually arbitrage available, why haven't they already done it. If the market is to be believed, this would only be a temporary boost if it were even achievable. Demand goes up for offshore workers, their prices start to rise, and the delta closes.
This has happened with several offshore manufacturing destinations already.

These formerly poor countries become middle class and then manufacturing has to shift to one of remaining poor countries.

Have you ever done knowledge work with offshore contributors?

It’s challenging to say the least. Even when working between first-world countries speaking English, there’s a host of serious problems. Cultural differences; different expectations; time zone differences.

The New York Times is a glorified blogging platform. Not to long ago it was a Wordpress site.

I'm fully aware of how jaring it is for the median HN reader to hear this, but maintenance of a news website isn't the kind of skilled labour that commands a 250k a year paycheck anymore.

Perhaps but they do serve their blog at scale, including video and interactive widgets. They’re the most popular of the news blogs.

It’s not rocket engineering but it’s not nothing.

Yes, I did. For more han a decade. With same failure rates as with in-office teams.

With 100k annual budget you can hire a contractor with good English who will be working in your timezone.

Regarding cultural difference - does everyone in your office has the same culture? No indian-born developers? No asian-born?